PGO Forecast Lab

Dated predictions, explanations and grades throughout the season. Back to the ratings board. Current rankings, picks and records.

PGO Power Rankings — Experimental

2026 · Week 1 · EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. Accuracy is still being tested. The record below tracks saved forecasts.

How the numbers connect

Team ratings measure model strength from recent results and team/quarterback history. The home rating minus the away rating is the projected home-team point advantage at a neutral site with equal rest. The saved venue and rest adjustments then give the game lead. Each individual rating is centered model strength, not a standalone score prediction. A separate scoring estimate sets combined points; the lead splits those points into two score averages. That scoring estimate uses the saved 2025 regular-season and playoff scoring and points-allowed averages; it does not yet update with 2026 results.

Win probability is a percentage from the saved model probability method, not a rating or a confidence-point percentage. Fixed confidence points weight the picks within one weekly pool. Points times win probability gives expected pool points, not NFL scoreboard points. None of these numbers guarantees a result.

Rounded score estimates can look equal even when one team has a small edge. About 25 points each is not a prediction of a tied game. Open Model averages for decimal estimates.

Checks are scheduled every 5 minutes around kickoff and every 15 minutes otherwise; runner delays are possible. Final-result grades update first; weekly rankings wait for complete game statistics.

Rankings update after a complete week and verified statistics; an expected-quarterback change can also revise unlocked picks. Forecast availability refreshes before prediction lock. Final inactive checks continue separately around kickoff; a check does not mean every player is healthy. Overdue means more than 30 minutes for availability or 45 minutes for results and automation.

The main W/L/T records grade straight-up winners. Spread comparisons have separate records below. Any victory by the selected team earns a W, regardless of the winning margin. Lead error separately measures how close the predicted margin was. The predicted lead is a model estimate, not a sportsbook line. Grades use saved picks and verified final scores. Missing results remain pending. Injury news is shown as context; current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not separately rated.

Automation: READY. Non-QB injuries and backup quality are context, not fitted adjustments.

Rankings calculated
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Game day · September 11 (Eastern)

No games on this date. Next saved game: ATL @ PIT · .

Current power rankings

Ranking inputs captured . Includes completed games through February 8, 2026. This is the date of the latest included game, not a data-capture deadline. First saved ranking edition; rank movement starts with the next edition.

RankTeamPGO strengthRank changeRating scaleExpected QB
1Los Angeles Rams+5.347First editionMatthew Stafford
2Seattle Seahawks+4.947First editionSam Darnold
3Buffalo Bills+4.161First editionJosh Allen
4Philadelphia Eagles+3.317First editionJalen Hurts
5Houston Texans+3.307First editionC.J. Stroud
6New England Patriots+3.271First editionDrake Maye
7Jacksonville Jaguars+3.076First editionTrevor Lawrence
8Baltimore Ravens+2.258First editionLamar Jackson
9Chicago Bears+2.148First editionCaleb Williams
10Denver Broncos+1.939First editionBo Nix
11Detroit Lions+1.786First editionJared Goff
12Cincinnati Bengals+1.678First editionJoe Burrow
13San Francisco 49ers+1.081First editionBrock Purdy
14Minnesota Vikings+0.907First editionKyler Murray
15Green Bay Packers+0.855First editionJordan Love
16Los Angeles Chargers+0.304First editionJustin Herbert
17Indianapolis Colts+0.297First editionDaniel Jones
18Kansas City Chiefs+0.202First editionPatrick Mahomes
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers+0.196First editionBaker Mayfield
20Atlanta Falcons-0.267First editionTua Tagovailoa
21Pittsburgh Steelers-0.759First editionAaron Rodgers
22Washington Commanders-0.785First editionJayden Daniels
23Dallas Cowboys-1.239First editionDak Prescott
24New York Giants-1.435First editionJaxson Dart
25Carolina Panthers-1.640First editionBryce Young
26New Orleans Saints-1.765First editionTyler Shough
27Miami Dolphins-3.238First editionMalik Willis
28Arizona Cardinals-4.648First editionJacoby Brissett
29Cleveland Browns-5.091First editionDeshaun Watson
30Tennessee Titans-5.708First editionCam Ward
31Las Vegas Raiders-7.028First editionKirk Cousins
32New York Jets-7.474First editionGeno Smith
Why teams rank here
#1 LAR: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Matthew Stafford.

What lifts this rating: recent game results, quarterback passing history, avoiding sacks.

What holds this rating back: QB historical sack avoidance, quarterback experience, Offensive explosive-play rate.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input3.664+2.176
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1412+1.374
Team sack avoidance0.9594+1.048
QB historical sack avoidance0.9487-0.607
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.03553+0.449
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.2291+0.417
QB historical passing sample size6.627+0.376
QB historical ball security0.9813+0.289
QB experience prior2.89-0.251
Offensive explosive-play rate0.07911-0.240
Defensive takeaway rate0.02267+0.212
QB historical rushing efficiency-0.1625-0.200
Team giveaway avoidance0.988-0.100
QB completion rate above expectation0.03084-0.035
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.03316+0.018
Defensive sack creation0.06272-0.016
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.06093-0.010
Explosive-play prevention0.9421-0.007
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#2 SEA: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Sam Darnold.

What lifts this rating: recent game results, winning turnovers, quarterback passing history.

What holds this rating back: QB historical ball security, QB historical rushing efficiency, quarterback experience.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input5.624+3.340
Defensive takeaway rate0.0299+0.657
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.07991+0.357
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1145+0.284
QB historical ball security0.9721-0.281
Team sack avoidance0.9366+0.275
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1266+0.231
QB historical passing sample size6.362+0.192
QB historical rushing efficiency-0.03952-0.113
QB experience prior2.197-0.079
Team giveaway avoidance0.9862-0.079
QB draft-position prior0.5774+0.075
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1707+0.056
QB completion rate above expectation2.579+0.048
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.03943-0.027
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05726-0.016
QB historical sack avoidance0.9315+0.012
Explosive-play prevention0.9425+0.008
Defensive sack creation0.07242+0.006
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#3 BUF: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Josh Allen.

What lifts this rating: recent game results, quarterback passing history, rushing performance.

What holds this rating back: QB historical sack avoidance, run defense, quarterback draft history.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input2.803+1.665
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1393+1.343
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.06224+0.618
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1826+0.332
QB historical passing sample size6.529+0.308
QB historical sack avoidance0.9402-0.301
Explosive-play prevention0.9484+0.225
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.03697-0.211
QB historical rushing efficiency0.3356+0.155
Team sack avoidance0.9327+0.143
QB draft-position prior0.378-0.104
Offensive explosive-play rate0.06566-0.102
Defensive takeaway rate0.02081+0.098
QB experience prior2.197-0.079
Defensive sack creation0.04319-0.061
QB completion rate above expectation2.589+0.049
Team giveaway avoidance0.9763+0.041
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.07519+0.029
QB historical ball security0.9769+0.015
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#4 PHI: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Jalen Hurts.

What lifts this rating: recent game results, avoiding sacks, winning turnovers.

What holds this rating back: quarterback draft history, protecting the ball, quarterback experience.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input1.546+0.918
Team sack avoidance0.9495+0.711
Defensive takeaway rate0.02487+0.348
QB draft-position prior0.1374-0.320
Explosive-play prevention0.9509+0.316
QB historical ball security0.9812+0.282
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.07314+0.244
QB historical passing sample size6.373+0.200
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.007723+0.174
Offensive explosive-play rate0.04261+0.135
QB historical sack avoidance0.9287+0.113
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.06126+0.110
Team giveaway avoidance0.9859-0.076
QB completion rate above expectation2.759+0.054
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1867+0.049
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1033+0.037
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.01288+0.026
QB experience prior1.946-0.017
Defensive sack creation0.07616+0.015
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#5 HOU: why this rating

Expected quarterback: C.J. Stroud.

What lifts this rating: recent game results, winning turnovers, avoiding sacks.

What holds this rating back: quarterback passing history, rushing performance, passing performance.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input2.509+1.490
Defensive takeaway rate0.03423+0.923
Team sack avoidance0.9513+0.774
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03174-0.443
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.09991-0.411
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1507+0.403
QB draft-position prior0.7071+0.192
QB historical passing sample size6.348+0.183
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.07219-0.128
QB experience prior1.386+0.121
QB historical ball security0.9751-0.097
Offensive explosive-play rate0.04772+0.082
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.2151+0.068
Explosive-play prevention0.9441+0.067
QB completion rate above expectation-0.9454-0.067
Defensive sack creation0.0956+0.059
Team giveaway avoidance0.9754+0.052
QB historical sack avoidance0.931+0.030
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1288+0.008
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#6 NE: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Drake Maye.

What lifts this rating: recent game results, QB historical sack avoidance, Explosive-play prevention.

What holds this rating back: avoiding sacks, QB historical ball security, Offensive explosive-play rate.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input3.204+1.903
Team sack avoidance0.8885-1.351
QB historical sack avoidance0.91+0.790
Explosive-play prevention0.9624+0.736
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.09228+0.562
Defensive takeaway rate0.02426+0.310
QB historical ball security0.9718-0.296
Offensive explosive-play rate0.07898-0.239
QB experience prior1.099+0.192
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.08471+0.187
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01579+0.123
QB completion rate above expectation4.73+0.119
QB historical passing sample size6.21+0.087
QB draft-position prior0.5774+0.075
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.2114+0.067
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.02549-0.044
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1645+0.033
Team giveaway avoidance0.9781+0.019
Defensive sack creation0.06858-0.003
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#7 JAX: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Trevor Lawrence.

What lifts this rating: recent game results, Explosive-play prevention, quarterback draft history.

What holds this rating back: quarterback passing history, QB historical ball security, QB historical sack avoidance.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input3.025+1.797
Explosive-play prevention0.9556+0.488
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
Defensive takeaway rate0.02601+0.417
Team sack avoidance0.939+0.356
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1623+0.296
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.04482-0.226
QB historical passing sample size6.384+0.207
QB historical ball security0.9735-0.191
QB historical sack avoidance0.9366-0.171
Offensive explosive-play rate0.0702-0.148
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.05408-0.120
QB completion rate above expectation-0.7283-0.060
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01157-0.052
Defensive sack creation0.04728-0.052
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1321+0.045
QB historical rushing efficiency0.167+0.035
QB experience prior1.792+0.021
Team giveaway avoidance0.9814-0.021
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#8 BAL: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Lamar Jackson.

What lifts this rating: recent game results, rushing performance, quarterback passing history.

What holds this rating back: avoiding sacks, Explosive-play prevention, quarterback draft history.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input1.916+1.138
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.1267+1.027
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1169+0.970
Team sack avoidance0.9083-0.680
Explosive-play prevention0.9253-0.621
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1629+0.443
QB historical sack avoidance0.9238+0.291
QB draft-position prior0.1768-0.285
Offensive explosive-play rate0.07407-0.188
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.0746+0.137
QB experience prior2.197-0.079
QB historical passing sample size6.162+0.053
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1709+0.038
Defensive takeaway rate0.01981+0.036
Defensive sack creation0.05414-0.036
QB completion rate above expectation2.04+0.031
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.09126-0.018
Team giveaway avoidance0.9782+0.018
QB historical ball security0.9764-0.017
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#9 CHI: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Caleb Williams.

What lifts this rating: avoiding sacks, recent game results, quarterback draft history.

What holds this rating back: quarterback passing history, Explosive-play prevention, QB historical sack avoidance.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
Team sack avoidance0.9732+1.512
PGO v0 results-history input1.094+0.650
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03378-0.409
Explosive-play prevention0.9331-0.336
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.0154+0.321
QB historical sack avoidance0.9392-0.266
QB historical ball security0.9803+0.225
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1092+0.200
QB experience prior1.099+0.192
QB historical passing sample size6.343+0.178
Offensive explosive-play rate0.06879-0.134
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.01227-0.130
Defensive takeaway rate0.01712-0.130
QB completion rate above expectation-1.86-0.097
Team giveaway avoidance0.9831-0.041
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1159-0.025
Defensive sack creation0.05994-0.023
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1248+0.005
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#10 DEN: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Bo Nix.

What lifts this rating: recent game results, avoiding sacks, Explosive-play prevention.

What holds this rating back: QB historical sack avoidance, rushing performance, quarterback draft history.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input2.037+1.210
Team sack avoidance0.9562+0.939
QB historical sack avoidance0.9557-0.862
Explosive-play prevention0.9498+0.275
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.06744-0.205
QB experience prior1.099+0.192
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.06981+0.189
QB draft-position prior0.2887-0.184
QB historical ball security0.9795+0.174
QB historical passing sample size6.323+0.165
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.01249-0.131
Offensive explosive-play rate0.04837+0.075
Defensive sack creation0.09883+0.067
Defensive takeaway rate0.02008+0.052
QB completion rate above expectation-0.4556-0.051
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1494+0.050
Team giveaway avoidance0.9834-0.045
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.009359+0.019
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1303+0.009
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#11 DET: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Jared Goff.

What lifts this rating: quarterback passing history, recent game results, quarterback draft history.

What holds this rating back: rushing performance, Explosive-play prevention, QB historical sack avoidance.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1487+1.500
PGO v0 results-history input1.806+1.073
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.1164-0.515
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
Explosive-play prevention0.9328-0.348
QB historical sack avoidance0.9413-0.340
QB historical passing sample size6.571+0.337
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1416+0.258
Defensive takeaway rate0.0153-0.242
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.04338-0.232
Offensive explosive-play rate0.07565-0.204
Team sack avoidance0.9337+0.177
QB historical rushing efficiency-0.1092-0.162
QB experience prior2.398-0.129
QB historical ball security0.9787+0.125
QB completion rate above expectation1.666+0.018
Defensive sack creation0.07765+0.018
Team giveaway avoidance0.9801-0.005
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.02124+0.002
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#12 CIN: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Joe Burrow.

What lifts this rating: quarterback passing history, avoiding sacks, rushing performance.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, Explosive-play prevention, run defense.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1042+0.760
Team sack avoidance0.9479+0.658
PGO v0 results-history input-0.9802-0.582
Explosive-play prevention0.927-0.560
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.04187+0.489
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.04324-0.231
Defensive takeaway rate0.02289+0.225
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.09266+0.170
QB historical ball security0.9787+0.125
QB historical passing sample size6.217+0.091
QB completion rate above expectation3.74+0.086
Defensive sack creation0.08782+0.042
QB historical sack avoidance0.9328-0.034
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1512+0.024
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.08783-0.017
QB experience prior1.946-0.017
Team giveaway avoidance0.981-0.016
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05485+0.009
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#13 SF: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Brock Purdy.

What lifts this rating: quarterback passing history, avoiding sacks, recent game results.

What holds this rating back: winning turnovers, QB historical ball security, QB historical sack avoidance.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1337+1.249
Team sack avoidance0.9528+0.825
PGO v0 results-history input1.093+0.649
Defensive takeaway rate0.009857-0.576
QB historical ball security0.9678-0.543
QB historical sack avoidance0.9438-0.430
QB draft-position prior0.06178-0.388
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.04624-0.241
Explosive-play prevention0.9487+0.236
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.09286+0.170
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.04992-0.094
Defensive sack creation0.04032-0.068
QB experience prior1.609+0.066
Team giveaway avoidance0.9743+0.066
QB historical rushing efficiency0.2061+0.063
QB completion rate above expectation2.844+0.057
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05035+0.055
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1237-0.027
QB historical passing sample size6.104+0.013
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#14 MIN: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Kyler Murray.

What lifts this rating: Explosive-play prevention, quarterback draft history, recent game results.

What holds this rating back: avoiding sacks, passing performance, quarterback passing history.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
Team sack avoidance0.8859-1.437
Explosive-play prevention0.967+0.905
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
PGO v0 results-history input0.726+0.431
Defensive takeaway rate0.02575+0.402
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1336+0.347
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1908-0.343
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.04514-0.221
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01037+0.157
QB historical passing sample size5.88-0.142
Offensive explosive-play rate0.0443+0.117
QB historical ball security0.9785+0.114
Defensive sack creation0.1178+0.110
QB historical sack avoidance0.9342-0.083
Team giveaway avoidance0.9737+0.073
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.219+0.069
QB experience prior2.079-0.050
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1439+0.018
QB completion rate above expectation0.6334-0.015
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#15 GB: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Jordan Love.

What lifts this rating: quarterback passing history, avoiding sacks, passing performance.

What holds this rating back: QB historical sack avoidance, Explosive-play prevention, quarterback draft history.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1537+1.581
QB historical sack avoidance0.9516-0.712
Team sack avoidance0.9401+0.393
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.2093+0.381
PGO v0 results-history input0.6113+0.363
Explosive-play prevention0.9343-0.293
QB draft-position prior0.1961-0.267
Defensive takeaway rate0.01532-0.240
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.06631-0.198
Offensive explosive-play rate0.07264-0.173
QB historical passing sample size6.247+0.112
QB historical ball security0.9784+0.108
Team giveaway avoidance0.9869-0.087
Defensive sack creation0.04503-0.057
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01054-0.056
QB completion rate above expectation2.409+0.043
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1577-0.037
QB experience prior1.946-0.017
QB historical rushing efficiency0.133+0.011
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#16 LAC: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Justin Herbert.

What lifts this rating: QB historical sack avoidance, winning turnovers, run defense.

What holds this rating back: avoiding sacks, quarterback passing history, passing performance.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
Team sack avoidance0.8894-1.321
QB historical sack avoidance0.9196+0.442
Defensive takeaway rate0.02636+0.439
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03595-0.373
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1314+0.340
PGO v0 results-history input0.5466+0.325
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1726-0.310
QB historical passing sample size6.491+0.282
Explosive-play prevention0.9489+0.244
Offensive explosive-play rate0.04418+0.118
QB historical ball security0.9783+0.105
QB draft-position prior0.4082-0.077
Defensive sack creation0.09055+0.048
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.02771+0.047
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.08383+0.031
QB experience prior1.946-0.017
Team giveaway avoidance0.9811-0.017
QB completion rate above expectation0.6538-0.015
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1363+0.013
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#17 IND: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Daniel Jones.

What lifts this rating: avoiding sacks, rushing performance, run defense.

What holds this rating back: quarterback passing history, winning turnovers, QB historical ball security.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
Team sack avoidance0.9495+0.710
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03461-0.395
Defensive takeaway rate0.01547-0.231
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.007448+0.176
QB historical ball security0.9743-0.141
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.06505+0.123
Team giveaway avoidance0.9698+0.119
Offensive explosive-play rate0.04493+0.111
Explosive-play prevention0.9394-0.103
PGO v0 results-history input0.1501+0.089
QB historical sack avoidance0.9297+0.079
QB draft-position prior0.4082-0.077
Defensive sack creation0.04508-0.057
QB experience prior2.079-0.050
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1879+0.050
QB historical passing sample size6.016-0.048
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.01812-0.030
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1301-0.029
QB completion rate above expectation1.186+0.003
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#18 KC: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Patrick Mahomes.

What lifts this rating: quarterback passing history, Explosive-play prevention, amount of quarterback history.

What holds this rating back: avoiding sacks, winning turnovers, QB historical sack avoidance.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
Team sack avoidance0.898-1.031
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1119+0.888
Explosive-play prevention0.9539+0.424
QB historical passing sample size6.575+0.340
Defensive takeaway rate0.01388-0.329
QB historical sack avoidance0.9397-0.284
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1134+0.281
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1388-0.249
QB draft-position prior0.3162-0.160
PGO v0 results-history input0.2544+0.151
Offensive explosive-play rate0.04357+0.125
QB historical ball security0.9786+0.123
QB experience prior2.303-0.105
QB historical rushing efficiency0.2605+0.102
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.04545-0.065
Team giveaway avoidance0.9815-0.022
QB completion rate above expectation1.542+0.014
Defensive sack creation0.06495-0.011
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.007375+0.010
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#19 TB: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Baker Mayfield.

What lifts this rating: quarterback draft history, amount of quarterback history, winning turnovers.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, Explosive-play prevention, QB historical ball security.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input-0.9789-0.581
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
QB historical passing sample size6.491+0.282
Defensive takeaway rate0.02298+0.231
Explosive-play prevention0.936-0.230
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.09403+0.218
QB historical ball security0.9746-0.126
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01581+0.123
QB experience prior2.197-0.079
Team sack avoidance0.9303+0.061
QB historical rushing efficiency0.196+0.056
QB historical sack avoidance0.9332-0.047
Defensive sack creation0.05041-0.045
QB completion rate above expectation-0.07988-0.039
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1448-0.033
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05886-0.032
Team giveaway avoidance0.9803-0.008
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.05813-0.005
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.003047-0.003
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#20 ATL: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Tua Tagovailoa.

What lifts this rating: avoiding sacks, quarterback passing history, winning turnovers.

What holds this rating back: Explosive-play prevention, recent game results, QB historical ball security.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
Team sack avoidance0.9501+0.733
Explosive-play prevention0.9286-0.501
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.08662+0.468
PGO v0 results-history input-0.7413-0.440
QB historical ball security0.9714-0.322
Defensive takeaway rate0.02322+0.246
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.06841-0.211
QB historical sack avoidance0.937-0.184
QB historical rushing efficiency-0.06496-0.131
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.003933-0.103
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.03637+0.068
QB historical passing sample size6.181+0.067
Defensive sack creation0.09205+0.051
QB draft-position prior0.4472-0.042
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05166+0.042
QB completion rate above expectation1.892+0.026
Team giveaway avoidance0.9818-0.025
QB experience prior1.946-0.017
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.005178+0.009
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#21 PIT: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Aaron Rodgers.

What lifts this rating: winning turnovers, avoiding sacks, QB historical ball security.

What holds this rating back: quarterback passing history, quarterback experience, quarterback draft history.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.01988-0.640
Defensive takeaway rate0.02611+0.424
Team sack avoidance0.9399+0.388
QB experience prior3.091-0.300
QB draft-position prior0.2041-0.260
QB historical sack avoidance0.9379-0.216
QB historical ball security0.98+0.204
QB historical passing sample size6.362+0.192
PGO v0 results-history input-0.3155-0.187
Explosive-play prevention0.9377-0.166
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01475+0.130
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.06731-0.119
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.003383-0.079
Team giveaway avoidance0.9854-0.069
QB completion rate above expectation-0.4599-0.051
QB historical rushing efficiency0.06843-0.035
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05361+0.022
Defensive sack creation0.07499+0.012
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.05011-0.007
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#22 WAS: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Jayden Daniels.

What lifts this rating: QB historical sack avoidance, avoiding sacks, quarterback experience.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, winning turnovers, run defense.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input-1.551-0.921
Defensive takeaway rate0.01012-0.560
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.09616-0.405
QB historical sack avoidance0.9235+0.302
QB historical passing sample size5.69-0.275
Team sack avoidance0.935+0.220
QB experience prior1.099+0.192
QB draft-position prior0.7071+0.192
QB historical ball security0.9795+0.177
Explosive-play prevention0.946+0.137
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01804+0.109
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05011+0.058
Team giveaway avoidance0.975+0.057
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.0552-0.054
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1812+0.045
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1705-0.040
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.01061-0.017
QB completion rate above expectation0.656-0.015
Defensive sack creation0.07491+0.012
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#23 DAL: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Dak Prescott.

What lifts this rating: quarterback passing history, avoiding sacks, passing performance.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, Explosive-play prevention, winning turnovers.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1146+0.932
PGO v0 results-history input-1.439-0.855
Explosive-play prevention0.9277-0.533
Team sack avoidance0.9434+0.504
Defensive takeaway rate0.01106-0.502
QB historical sack avoidance0.9421-0.371
QB draft-position prior0.08607-0.366
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.07222-0.326
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.136+0.248
QB historical passing sample size6.405+0.222
QB experience prior2.398-0.129
QB historical ball security0.9785+0.115
Offensive explosive-play rate0.06324-0.077
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.2834-0.072
QB historical rushing efficiency0.04146-0.055
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.02717+0.051
Team giveaway avoidance0.9814-0.020
Defensive sack creation0.0635-0.014
QB completion rate above expectation1.426+0.011
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#24 NYG: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Jaxson Dart.

What lifts this rating: rushing performance, QB historical sack avoidance, quarterback experience.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, quarterback passing history, avoiding sacks.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input-1.258-0.747
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.01862-0.661
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.05816+0.592
Team sack avoidance0.9135-0.507
QB historical passing sample size5.361-0.503
QB historical sack avoidance0.9186+0.478
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.06536-0.304
QB experience prior0.6931+0.293
QB draft-position prior0.2-0.264
Explosive-play prevention0.9358-0.236
QB historical ball security0.9798+0.195
Defensive takeaway rate0.02119+0.121
QB historical rushing efficiency0.2747+0.112
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.04361+0.081
Team giveaway avoidance0.9856-0.072
QB completion rate above expectation0.2077-0.029
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01837+0.013
Defensive sack creation0.07355+0.009
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05627-0.006
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#25 CAR: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Bryce Young.

What lifts this rating: avoiding sacks, Explosive-play prevention, quarterback draft history.

What holds this rating back: quarterback passing history, recent game results, rushing performance.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.05466-1.878
PGO v0 results-history input-1.718-1.020
Team sack avoidance0.9439+0.522
Explosive-play prevention0.955+0.467
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.0636-0.180
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.01025-0.124
QB experience prior1.386+0.121
QB historical ball security0.975-0.103
QB historical passing sample size6.233+0.102
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.05438-0.096
Team giveaway avoidance0.974+0.069
QB historical sack avoidance0.9335-0.061
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05046+0.054
Defensive takeaway rate0.02+0.048
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1809+0.045
Defensive sack creation0.0603-0.022
QB completion rate above expectation0.4732-0.021
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.09807-0.020
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#26 NO: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Tyler Shough.

What lifts this rating: QB historical sack avoidance, run defense, quarterback experience.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, quarterback passing history, amount of quarterback history.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input-1.523-0.904
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.01903-0.654
QB historical passing sample size5.354-0.507
Team sack avoidance0.9148-0.462
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.104-0.437
QB historical sack avoidance0.922+0.354
QB draft-position prior0.1581-0.302
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1192+0.300
QB experience prior0.6931+0.293
Explosive-play prevention0.9499+0.281
Offensive explosive-play rate0.04728+0.087
QB historical ball security0.9779+0.080
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.03728+0.070
Defensive takeaway rate0.01824-0.060
Defensive sack creation0.0949+0.058
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1371+0.046
QB historical rushing efficiency0.08097-0.027
Team giveaway avoidance0.9781+0.019
QB completion rate above expectation1.118+0.001
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#27 MIA: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Malik Willis.

What lifts this rating: quarterback passing history, QB historical sack avoidance, winning turnovers.

What holds this rating back: amount of quarterback history, recent game results, Explosive-play prevention.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
QB historical passing sample size3.859-1.545
PGO v0 results-history input-2.156-1.281
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.09591+0.622
Explosive-play prevention0.9317-0.388
QB draft-position prior0.1078-0.347
Team sack avoidance0.9187-0.329
QB historical sack avoidance0.9229+0.323
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.07006-0.221
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.03681-0.210
Offensive explosive-play rate0.06574-0.103
Defensive takeaway rate0.02039+0.072
QB experience prior1.609+0.066
QB historical ball security0.9776+0.058
QB completion rate above expectation2.579+0.048
Team giveaway avoidance0.976+0.044
QB historical rushing efficiency0.0755-0.030
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1068-0.023
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.002987+0.008
Defensive sack creation0.06856-0.003
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#28 ARI: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Jacoby Brissett.

What lifts this rating: QB historical sack avoidance, QB historical ball security, rushing performance.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, quarterback passing history, avoiding sacks.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input-3.309-1.966
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.006593-1.080
Team sack avoidance0.9153-0.444
Defensive takeaway rate0.01271-0.401
QB draft-position prior0.1048-0.350
QB historical sack avoidance0.9229+0.323
Explosive-play prevention0.9342-0.296
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.02517-0.172
QB experience prior2.398-0.129
QB historical passing sample size5.983-0.071
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.2647-0.067
Defensive sack creation0.0473-0.052
QB historical ball security0.9775+0.051
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05989-0.043
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.03054+0.029
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1485+0.022
Team giveaway avoidance0.9791+0.007
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.004402-0.006
QB completion rate above expectation0.9572-0.005
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#29 CLE: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Deshaun Watson.

What lifts this rating: QB historical sack avoidance, Explosive-play prevention, Offensive explosive-play rate.

What holds this rating back: quarterback passing history, recent game results, avoiding sacks.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.03476-1.547
PGO v0 results-history input-2.473-1.469
Team sack avoidance0.8976-1.044
QB historical passing sample size4.818-0.880
QB historical sack avoidance0.9142+0.636
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.2848-0.512
Defensive takeaway rate0.0149-0.266
Explosive-play prevention0.9485+0.230
QB draft-position prior0.2887-0.184
Offensive explosive-play rate0.03899+0.172
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.02052-0.157
Team giveaway avoidance0.9707+0.109
QB experience prior2.303-0.105
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.04909-0.088
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1602+0.053
QB completion rate above expectation-0.007964-0.036
Defensive sack creation0.08322+0.031
QB historical ball security0.9763-0.023
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1066-0.008
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#30 TEN: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Cam Ward.

What lifts this rating: QB historical sack avoidance, quarterback draft history, quarterback experience.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, quarterback passing history, Explosive-play prevention.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input-4.469-2.654
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.1001-2.632
Explosive-play prevention0.9275-0.542
QB historical sack avoidance0.9176+0.514
Defensive takeaway rate0.01089-0.513
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1976-0.355
QB experience prior0.6931+0.293
QB historical passing sample size5.802-0.197
QB completion rate above expectation-1.471-0.084
Team giveaway avoidance0.9847-0.061
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.2372-0.059
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.0407+0.043
Team sack avoidance0.9295+0.034
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05333+0.025
QB historical ball security0.9763-0.020
Defensive sack creation0.07813+0.019
QB historical rushing efficiency0.1412+0.016
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.03374+0.009
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#31 LV: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Kirk Cousins.

What lifts this rating: Explosive-play prevention, Offensive explosive-play rate, run defense.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, rushing performance, avoiding sacks.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input-4.411-2.620
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.2805-1.557
Team sack avoidance0.8838-1.510
Explosive-play prevention0.959+0.613
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.2384-0.429
Defensive takeaway rate0.01319-0.372
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03642-0.365
QB draft-position prior0.09901-0.355
QB historical sack avoidance0.9416-0.353
QB experience prior2.708-0.205
Offensive explosive-play rate0.038+0.182
QB historical ball security0.9746-0.124
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.06451+0.121
QB historical rushing efficiency-0.009074-0.091
Team giveaway avoidance0.9762+0.042
Defensive sack creation0.08216+0.028
QB completion rate above expectation0.2377-0.028
QB historical passing sample size6.072-0.009
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.0161+0.003
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

#32 NYJ: why this rating

Expected quarterback: Geno Smith.

What lifts this rating: QB historical sack avoidance, Offensive explosive-play rate, amount of quarterback history.

What holds this rating back: recent game results, quarterback passing history, avoiding sacks.

These are overlapping influences in the formula, not separate player-quality grades. Current non-QB injuries and backup quality are not numerical adjustments here.

Saved calculation
InputSaved input valueContribution to rating
PGO v0 results-history input-5.285-3.139
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.02937-1.458
Team sack avoidance0.9028-0.867
Defensive takeaway rate0.00562-0.837
QB historical sack avoidance0.9143+0.635
Explosive-play prevention0.9289-0.491
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.2621-0.471
QB draft-position prior0.1601-0.300
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.08193-0.297
QB historical ball security0.9721-0.280
Offensive explosive-play rate0.03269+0.236
QB historical passing sample size6.359+0.190
QB experience prior2.639-0.188
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.3806-0.100
Defensive sack creation0.04108-0.066
QB historical rushing efficiency0.04294-0.054
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01123-0.053
QB completion rate above expectation2.303+0.039
Team giveaway avoidance0.9775+0.027
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
defense availability missing0+0.000
explosive play prevention rate missing0+0.000
explosive play rate for missing0+0.000
giveaway avoidance rate missing0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
offense availability missing0+0.000
passing epa per play against missing0+0.000
passing epa per play for missing0+0.000
qb ball security missing0+0.000
qb cpoe missing0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
qb current minus full missing0+0.000
qb draft prior missing0+0.000
qb epa per dropback missing0+0.000
qb experience prior missing0+0.000
qb log dropbacks missing0+0.000
qb rushing epa per carry missing0+0.000
qb sack avoidance missing0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
rushing epa per play against missing0+0.000
rushing epa per play for missing0+0.000
sack avoidance rate missing0+0.000
sack creation rate missing0+0.000
takeaway rate missing0+0.000

Input values use different scales and cannot be added together. The formula converts each into a contribution; those contributions sum to the displayed rating. EPA measures how a play changes expected scoring; completion percentage above expectation compares completions with the expected rate for those throws.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. Generated .

Current PGO vs. McCabe rankings

PGO edition: . McCabe source: .

This compares rank positions, not points. Each board uses its own method and rating scale.

Largest rank gaps: LAC: PGO 10 places lower; KC: PGO 8 places lower; ATL: PGO 7 places higher.

TeamPGOMcCabeRank difference
LAR11Same rank
SEA24PGO 2 places higher
BUF32PGO 1 place lower
PHI411PGO 7 places higher
HOU512PGO 7 places higher
NE67PGO 1 place higher
JAX79PGO 2 places higher
BAL83PGO 5 places lower
CHI913PGO 4 places higher
DEN1015PGO 5 places higher
DET1117PGO 6 places higher
CIN125PGO 7 places lower
SF138PGO 5 places lower
MIN1419PGO 5 places higher
GB1518PGO 3 places higher
LAC166PGO 10 places lower
IND1720PGO 3 places higher
KC1810PGO 8 places lower
TB1914PGO 5 places lower
ATL2027PGO 7 places higher
PIT2121Same rank
WAS2222Same rank
DAL2316PGO 7 places lower
NYG2425PGO 1 place higher
CAR2524PGO 1 place lower
NO2626Same rank
MIA2731PGO 4 places higher
ARI2829PGO 1 place higher
CLE2928PGO 1 place lower
TEN3023PGO 7 places lower
LV3132PGO 1 place higher
NYJ3230PGO 2 places lower

Model records

Saved model seriesWLTNo pickPending
PGO weekly model
pgo-weekly-2026
110014
PGO postseason - original Week 1
pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09
110014
PGO corrected - September 8
pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08
110014
PGO - September 7 preseason
pgo-active-roster-2026-09-07
1100270
PGO v0 - saved preseason baseline
pgo-v0-preseason
1100270

Each record covers its own saved schedule. Weekly editions cover published weeks; the preseason baselines cover all 272 regular-season games, so their pending counts can be larger.

Season accuracy

Original saved picks, verified finals. A correct winner can still come with a poor score estimate. Margin error is how far the predicted winning margin was from the actual margin; combined-score error is how far the predicted total was from both teams' final points added together. Lower error is better.

Correct winners
1 correct; 1 incorrect; 0 tied
2 eligible; 14 not counted
Average margin error
12.28 points
2 eligible; 14 not counted
Average combined-score error
18.72 points
2 eligible; 14 not counted
Pool points on completed picks
10 earned
13.74 expected
2 eligible; 14 not counted
1 late entries; 0 with unknown timing

How the win chances are holding up: Only 1 eligible game has been graded; too few to judge the win chances.

These are early results, not proof of accuracy. Confidence accounting includes marked late entries; pregame probability accuracy excludes them. Expected points shown here cover the same completed picks as earned points.

Compare models on the same games

Each pair uses exactly the same eligible game IDs for that measure. Errors are in NFL points. Different model schedules and missing estimates cannot give a model easier games here. Older score forecasts have no originally saved full probabilities, so they have no pregame probability comparison.

Saved comparison modelLead error: weekly / comparisonSame gamesTotal error: weekly / comparisonSame games
PGO postseason - original Week 112.279 / 12.279218.723 / 18.7232
PGO corrected - September 812.279 / 12.546218.723 / 19.3972
PGO - September 7 preseason12.279 / 11.696218.723 / 19.3972
PGO v0 - saved preseason baseline12.279 / 11.4772Awaiting eligible finals / Awaiting eligible finals0
Do the win chances match the results?

Over many games, picks given about a 60% chance should win about 60% of the time. The table groups saved chances into fixed ranges and compares them with actual wins. A few results cannot establish reliability; ties count as no selected-team win.

Saved chance rangeGamesAverage saved chanceActually won
0% to 10%0UnavailableAwaiting finals
10% to 20%0UnavailableAwaiting finals
20% to 30%0UnavailableAwaiting finals
30% to 40%0UnavailableAwaiting finals
40% to 50%0UnavailableAwaiting finals
50% to 60%0UnavailableAwaiting finals
60% to 70%163.9%0.0%
70% to 80%0UnavailableAwaiting finals
80% to 90%0UnavailableAwaiting finals
90% to 100%0UnavailableAwaiting finals

Ranges include their lower bound and exclude their upper bound, except the last range includes 100%.

Technical probability scores

Brier: 0.822; Log loss: 1.030. 1 eligible; 15 not counted.

Brier measures squared error across home win, away win and tie, on a 0-to-2 scale. Log loss penalizes confident misses more strongly. Both improve as they get smaller. Sample size alone does not establish calibration.

What is not counted?
  • Lead error: No verified final yet: 14.
  • Total error: No verified final yet: 14.
  • Probability accuracy: Probability added after lock: 1; No verified final yet: 14.
  • Confidence points: No verified final yet: 14.

These counts refer to the weekly model's saved schedule. The source archives retain every original forecast and its timing.

PGO versus the saved sportsbook forecast

1 matched game; 15 not counted. Both forecasts are checked against the same final scores. Lower margin error means the predicted winning margin was closer.

PGO
24.27 points average margin error
0 correct; 1 incorrect; 0 tied; 0 no pick
Saved sportsbook forecast
23.50 points average margin error
0 correct; 1 incorrect; 0 tied; 0 no pick

The sportsbook forecast was 0.77 points closer on average on these games.

This uses the saved DraftKings handicap captured through ESPN before prediction lock. An even line has no sportsbook favorite; a zero PGO margin has no model winner pick. Tied games and no picks are counted separately. These results do not establish predictive superiority or profitability.

Not counted: No saved sportsbook comparison: 1; No verified final result yet: 14.

Do larger differences from the sportsbook perform better?

Descriptive results. The groups use the absolute difference between the saved PGO margin and sportsbook forecast: zero, under 1 point, 1 to under 3 points, and 3 or more points. Zero means no ATS edge. The groups were fixed for this study; earlier outcomes were already known.

No difference (no edge)
0 covered; 0 not covered; 0 pushes; 0 pending; 0 no edge
Under 1 point
0 covered; 1 not covered; 0 pushes; 4 pending; 0 no edge
1 to under 3 points
0 covered; 0 not covered; 0 pushes; 6 pending; 0 no edge
3 or more points
0 covered; 0 not covered; 0 pushes; 4 pending; 0 no edge

1 unavailable. Pushes are separate from wins and losses. There is not enough evidence to adopt a minimum ATS difference. A larger difference is not a verified cover probability. Original ATS suggestions remain unchanged.

Fixed study rules and saved evidence

Week 1 picks and grades

Winner grades count who won. Each game also shows how its saved picks compared with the PGO projection and sportsbook line. A correct winner can fall below the projected margin or fail to cover the spread.

Fixed confidence points: the weekly allocation is saved once. Before a game locks, an expected-QB update may change its win chance without reallocating its confidence points. Expected pool points = fixed points times win chance; these are not NFL scoreboard points. After-lock confidence entries are marked separately and are not pregame probability evidence; the original score forecast keeps its own saved timing.

Week 1: IN PROGRESS

Straight-up record: 1 W / 1 L / 0 T; 0 no pick; 14 pending.

Original forecast saved ; inputs through .

Confidence pool: 10 earned so far; 136 allocated points. Includes 1 late entry with 10 earned pool points. Expected pool points from the saved chances: 87.17. Late entries and entries with unknown timing remain in these tracking totals.

MatchupWinner pickPredicted scoreWinner and spread checksFinal scoreConfidence allocationForecast status and times
NE @ SEA
SEA
Projected margin:
SEA by 3.3 points
Predicted: NE 21, SEA 24
Model averages

NE 21.0, SEA 24.3

Winner: W
PGO line (SEA -3.3): Below projection
Winner vs sportsbook: Unavailable
ATS pick: Unavailable
Saved lines and grading details
Final: NE 10, SEA 13
10 allocated pool points; win chance 60.8%
Expected pool points: 6.08
Earned pool points: 10
Added after lock
FINAL
Deadline
Kickoff

Result report card

Winner pick
SEA: Correct
ATS suggestion
Unavailable
Margin error
0.3 points
Scoring error
22.2 points too high

Errors compare the saved, unrounded estimates with the final score. Lower is better. ATS uses the saved sportsbook line.

Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors SEA by 1.7 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors SEA by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: SEA by 3.3 points. Combined-points estimate: 45.2.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: SEA +4.947; NE +3.271. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: +1.68 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor SEA. The saved model favors SEA by 3.3 points. Its combined-points estimate is 45.2. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 24.27; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 20.97. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: NE: Drake Maye; SEA: Sam Darnold.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

SF @ LAR
LAR
Projected margin:
LAR by 4.3 points
Predicted: SF 22, LAR 27
Model averages

SF 22.5, LAR 26.7

Winner: L
PGO line (LAR -4.3): Below projection
Winner vs sportsbook (LAR -3.5): Not covered
ATS pick (LAR -3.5): Not covered
Saved lines and grading details
Final: SF 27, LAR 7
12 allocated pool points; win chance 63.9%
Expected pool points: 7.67
Earned pool points: 0
FINAL
Deadline
Kickoff

Result report card

Winner pick
LAR: Incorrect
ATS suggestion
LAR: Not covered
Margin error
24.3 points
Scoring error
15.2 points too high

Errors compare the saved, unrounded estimates with the final score. Lower is better. ATS uses the saved sportsbook line.

Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors LAR by 4.3 points.
  2. No venue adjustment.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: LAR by 4.3 points. Combined-points estimate: 49.2.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: LAR +5.347; SF +1.081. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: +4.27 points; Home/venue adjustment: +0.00 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor LAR. The saved model favors LAR by 4.3 points. Its combined-points estimate is 49.2. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 26.74; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 22.47. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: SF: Brock Purdy; LAR: Matthew Stafford.

Saved forecast availability

Checked

  • SF · Alfred Collins (DT): Out
  • SF · James Thompson Jr. (DT): Questionable
  • LAR · Aaron Donald (DE): Out

Final inactive lists are not fully verified.

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

Latest availability update

Observed . This update was observed after kickoff.

  • SF · Alfred Collins (DT): Out
  • SF · James Thompson Jr. (DT): Earlier report: Questionable; not on final inactive list
  • SF · Ephesians Prysock (CB): Inactive
  • SF · Jordan James (RB): Inactive
  • SF · Jordan Watkins (WR): Inactive
  • SF · Tatum Bethune (LB): Inactive
  • SF · Enrique Cruz Jr. (OL): Inactive
  • SF · Kurtis Rourke (QB): Inactive
  • LAR · Aaron Donald (DE): Out
  • LAR · Ty Simpson (QB): Emergency third QB
  • LAR · CJ Daniels (WR): Inactive
  • LAR · Tutu Atwell (WR): Inactive
  • LAR · Bill Murray (OL): Inactive
  • LAR · Max Klare (TE): Inactive

This is separate from the saved forecast availability and expected quarterbacks. It does not change the original prediction or its grade.

ATL @ PIT
PIT
Projected margin:
PIT by 1.1 points
Predicted: ATL 22, PIT 23
Model averages

ATL 21.9, PIT 23.0

Winner: Pending
PGO line (PIT -1.1): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (PIT -6): Pending
ATS pick (ATL +6): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
4 allocated pool points; win chance 53.6%
Expected pool points: 2.14
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors ATL by 0.5 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors PIT by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: PIT by 1.1 points. Combined-points estimate: 45.0.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: PIT -0.759; ATL -0.267. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: -0.49 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor PIT. The saved model favors PIT by 1.1 points. Its combined-points estimate is 45.0. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 23.04; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 21.92. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: ATL: Tua Tagovailoa; PIT: Aaron Rodgers.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

BAL @ IND
BAL
Projected margin:
BAL by 0.3 points
Predicted: About 25 points each
Model averages

BAL 25.2, IND 24.8

Winner: Pending
PGO line (BAL -0.3): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (BAL -3.5): Pending
ATS pick (IND +3.5): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
2 allocated pool points; win chance 51.0%
Expected pool points: 1.02
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors BAL by 2.0 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors IND by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: BAL by 0.3 points. Combined-points estimate: 50.0.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: IND +0.297; BAL +2.258. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: -1.96 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor IND. The saved model favors BAL by 0.3 points. Its combined-points estimate is 50.0. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 24.83; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 25.17. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: BAL: Lamar Jackson; IND: Daniel Jones.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

BUF @ HOU
HOU
Projected margin:
HOU by 0.8 points
Predicted: About 23 points each
Model averages

BUF 22.5, HOU 23.3

Winner: Pending
PGO line (HOU -0.8): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (HOU +1.5): Pending
ATS pick (HOU +1.5): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
3 allocated pool points; win chance 52.4%
Expected pool points: 1.57
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors BUF by 0.9 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors HOU by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: HOU by 0.8 points. Combined-points estimate: 45.8.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: HOU +3.307; BUF +4.161. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: -0.85 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor HOU. The saved model favors HOU by 0.8 points. Its combined-points estimate is 45.8. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 23.26; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 22.50. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: BUF: Josh Allen; HOU: C.J. Stroud.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

CHI @ CAR
CHI
Projected margin:
CHI by 2.2 points
Predicted: CHI 24, CAR 22
Model averages

CHI 24.1, CAR 21.9

Winner: Pending
PGO line (CHI -2.2): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (CHI -3): Pending
ATS pick (CAR +3): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
7 allocated pool points; win chance 57.1%
Expected pool points: 4.00
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors CHI by 3.8 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors CAR by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: CHI by 2.2 points. Combined-points estimate: 46.0.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: CAR -1.640; CHI +2.148. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: -3.79 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor CAR. The saved model favors CHI by 2.2 points. Its combined-points estimate is 46.0. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 21.93; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 24.10. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: CHI: Caleb Williams; CAR: Bryce Young.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

CLE @ JAX
JAX
Projected margin:
JAX by 9.8 points
Predicted: CLE 17, JAX 27
Model averages

CLE 16.7, JAX 26.5

Winner: Pending
PGO line (JAX -9.8): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (JAX -8.5): Pending
ATS pick (JAX -8.5): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
16 allocated pool points; win chance 78.8%
Expected pool points: 12.61
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors JAX by 8.2 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors JAX by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: JAX by 9.8 points. Combined-points estimate: 43.3.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: JAX +3.076; CLE -5.091. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: +8.17 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor JAX. The saved model favors JAX by 9.8 points. Its combined-points estimate is 43.3. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 26.53; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 16.74. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: CLE: Deshaun Watson; JAX: Trevor Lawrence.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

NO @ DET
DET
Projected margin:
DET by 5.2 points
Predicted: NO 21, DET 26
Model averages

NO 20.7, DET 25.9

Winner: Pending
PGO line (DET -5.2): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (DET -7): Pending
ATS pick (NO +7): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
13 allocated pool points; win chance 66.6%
Expected pool points: 8.66
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors DET by 3.6 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors DET by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: DET by 5.2 points. Combined-points estimate: 46.6.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: DET +1.786; NO -1.765. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: +3.55 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor DET. The saved model favors DET by 5.2 points. Its combined-points estimate is 46.6. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 25.86; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 20.70. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: NO: Tyler Shough; DET: Jared Goff.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

NYJ @ TEN
TEN
Projected margin:
TEN by 3.4 points
Predicted: NYJ 21, TEN 25
Model averages

NYJ 21.3, TEN 24.7

Winner: Pending
PGO line (TEN -3.4): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (TEN -1.5): Pending
ATS pick (TEN -1.5): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
11 allocated pool points; win chance 61.1%
Expected pool points: 6.72
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors TEN by 1.8 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors TEN by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: TEN by 3.4 points. Combined-points estimate: 46.0.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: TEN -5.708; NYJ -7.474. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: +1.77 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor TEN. The saved model favors TEN by 3.4 points. Its combined-points estimate is 46.0. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 24.71; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 21.32. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: NYJ: Geno Smith; TEN: Cam Ward.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

TB @ CIN
CIN
Projected margin:
CIN by 3.1 points
Predicted: TB 23, CIN 27
Model averages

TB 23.4, CIN 26.5

Winner: Pending
PGO line (CIN -3.1): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (CIN -3.5): Pending
ATS pick (TB +3.5): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
9 allocated pool points; win chance 60.2%
Expected pool points: 5.41
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors CIN by 1.5 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors CIN by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: CIN by 3.1 points. Combined-points estimate: 49.9.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: CIN +1.678; TB +0.196. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: +1.48 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor CIN. The saved model favors CIN by 3.1 points. Its combined-points estimate is 49.9. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 26.50; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 23.41. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: TB: Baker Mayfield; CIN: Joe Burrow.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

ARI @ LAC
LAC
Projected margin:
LAC by 6.6 points
Predicted: ARI 19, LAC 26
Model averages

ARI 19.2, LAC 25.8

Winner: Pending
PGO line (LAC -6.6): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (LAC -9.5): Pending
ATS pick (ARI +9.5): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
15 allocated pool points; win chance 70.7%
Expected pool points: 10.61
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors LAC by 5.0 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors LAC by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: LAC by 6.6 points. Combined-points estimate: 45.0.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: LAC +0.304; ARI -4.648. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: +4.95 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor LAC. The saved model favors LAC by 6.6 points. Its combined-points estimate is 45.0. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 25.78; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 19.21. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: ARI: Jacoby Brissett; LAC: Justin Herbert.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

GB @ MIN
MIN
Projected margin:
MIN by 1.7 points
Predicted: GB 20, MIN 22
Model averages

GB 20.4, MIN 22.0

Winner: Pending
PGO line (MIN -1.7): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (MIN -1.5): Pending
ATS pick (MIN -1.5): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
6 allocated pool points; win chance 55.4%
Expected pool points: 3.33
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors MIN by less than 0.1 point.
  2. The venue adjustment favors MIN by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: MIN by 1.7 points. Combined-points estimate: 42.4.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: MIN +0.907; GB +0.855. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: +0.05 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor MIN. The saved model favors MIN by 1.7 points. Its combined-points estimate is 42.4. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 22.03; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 20.36. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: GB: Jordan Love; MIN: Kyler Murray.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

MIA @ LV
MIA
Projected margin:
MIA by 2.2 points
Predicted: MIA 22, LV 20
Model averages

MIA 22.3, LV 20.1

Winner: Pending
PGO line (MIA -2.2): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (MIA +3): Pending
ATS pick (MIA +3): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
8 allocated pool points; win chance 57.1%
Expected pool points: 4.57
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors MIA by 3.8 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors LV by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: MIA by 2.2 points. Combined-points estimate: 42.5.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: LV -7.028; MIA -3.238. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: -3.79 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor LV. The saved model favors MIA by 2.2 points. Its combined-points estimate is 42.5. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 20.15; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 22.32. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: MIA: Malik Willis; LV: Kirk Cousins.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

WAS @ PHI
PHI
Projected margin:
PHI by 5.7 points
Predicted: WAS 19, PHI 25
Model averages

WAS 19.4, PHI 25.1

Winner: Pending
PGO line (PHI -5.7): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (PHI -6): Pending
ATS pick (WAS +6): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
14 allocated pool points; win chance 68.3%
Expected pool points: 9.56
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors PHI by 4.1 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors PHI by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: PHI by 5.7 points. Combined-points estimate: 44.5.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: PHI +3.317; WAS -0.785. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: +4.10 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor PHI. The saved model favors PHI by 5.7 points. Its combined-points estimate is 44.5. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 25.09; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 19.37. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: WAS: Jayden Daniels; PHI: Jalen Hurts.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

DAL @ NYG
NYG
Projected margin:
NYG by 1.4 points
Predicted: DAL 26, NYG 27
Model averages

DAL 25.8, NYG 27.2

Winner: Pending
PGO line (NYG -1.4): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (NYG +3): Pending
ATS pick (NYG +3): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
5 allocated pool points; win chance 54.6%
Expected pool points: 2.73
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors DAL by 0.2 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors NYG by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: NYG by 1.4 points. Combined-points estimate: 53.0.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: NYG -1.435; DAL -1.239. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: -0.20 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor NYG. The saved model favors NYG by 1.4 points. Its combined-points estimate is 53.0. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 27.21; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 25.79. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: DAL: Dak Prescott; NYG: Jaxson Dart.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

DEN @ KC
DEN
Projected margin:
DEN by 0.1 points
Predicted: About 21 points each
Model averages

DEN 20.6, KC 20.5

Winner: Pending
PGO line (DEN -0.1): Pending
Winner vs sportsbook (DEN +2.5): Pending
ATS pick (DEN +2.5): Pending
Saved lines and grading details
Pending
1 allocated pool points; win chance 50.2%
Expected pool points: 0.50
Earned pool points: Pending
Draft
Deadline
Kickoff
Forecast explanation and availability

Why this forecast

  1. On a neutral field, PGO favors DEN by 1.7 points.
  2. The venue adjustment favors KC by 1.6 points.
  3. No rest adjustment.
  4. Final projected edge: DEN by 0.1 points. Combined-points estimate: 41.1.
Exact saved calculation

Ratings saved for this forecast: KC +0.202; DEN +1.939. Rating inputs through . Neutral matchup: -1.74 points; Home/venue adjustment: +1.62 points; rest adjustment: +0.00 points. Positive values favor KC. The saved model favors DEN by 0.1 points. Its combined-points estimate is 41.1. Home average = (combined points + home lead) / 2 = 20.51; away average = (combined points - home lead) / 2 = 20.63. Rounded scores are not literal final-score predictions.

Edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Issued ; inputs through .

Expected quarterbacks saved with this forecast: DEN: Bo Nix; KC: Patrick Mahomes.

Saved forecast availability

Saved opening-week report; non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments.
Checked

Non-QB injury news is context, not a fitted injury adjustment.

Penalty experiment and ongoing results

Experimental comparison, separate from the main picks. This tests whether a team's prior penalty yards help predict its next game. Recent games receive more weight; four games later, an observation has half its original weight. Penalty counts are audited but are not another fitted input.

Weights stay fixed. The scheduled updater checks new finals and prepares future test picks after the weekly rankings update. Each candidate and comparison pick is saved before the prediction deadline. Games already locked when the test began, including the NE–SEA opener, do not count toward its future record.

Past-game test: 2,127 games

Average error in the predicted lead: existing model 10.1021 points; penalty candidate 10.1023 points. Lower error is better. The candidate did not meet the predeclared improvement screen. It improved 6 of 8 seasons.

Estimated improvement range: -0.004 to +0.003 points (95% interval). Positive means less error; a range spanning zero does not show a clear gain. These historical seasons have already been studied, so future saved predictions are the next test.

Future test: 1 completed paired games

The two methods are scored on exactly the same saved games and inputs. A later revision of a main pick does not replace this saved comparison. Small samples are only progress updates; no automatic model promotion occurs.

Test modelW / L / TAverage lead error (points)
Existing model on the same saved inputs0 / 1 / 024.266
Penalty candidate0 / 1 / 024.262
Saved prospective test picks
MatchupExisting model leadPenalty candidate leadGrades: existing / candidateSaved (Eastern)
Week 1: SF @ LARLAR by 4.27LAR by 4.26L / L
Week 1: ATL @ PITPIT by 1.12PIT by 1.15Pending / Pending
Week 1: BAL @ INDBAL by 0.344BAL by 0.393Pending / Pending
Week 1: BUF @ HOUHOU by 0.762HOU by 0.736Pending / Pending
Week 1: CHI @ CARCHI by 2.17CHI by 2.21Pending / Pending
Week 1: CLE @ JAXJAX by 9.78JAX by 9.78Pending / Pending
Week 1: NO @ DETDET by 5.17DET by 5.23Pending / Pending
Week 1: NYJ @ TENTEN by 3.38TEN by 3.34Pending / Pending
Week 1: TB @ CINCIN by 3.1CIN by 3.14Pending / Pending
Week 1: ARI @ LACLAC by 6.57LAC by 6.62Pending / Pending
Week 1: GB @ MINMIN by 1.67MIN by 1.68Pending / Pending
Week 1: MIA @ LVMIA by 2.17MIA by 2.19Pending / Pending
Week 1: WAS @ PHIPHI by 5.72PHI by 5.67Pending / Pending
Week 1: DAL @ NYGNYG by 1.42NYG by 1.48Pending / Pending
Week 1: DEN @ KCDEN by 0.121DEN by 0.177Pending / Pending
Games excluded from this test
  • 2026_01_NE_SEA: Not issued before the real T-60 cutoff

The penalty candidate refits the existing coefficients alongside one new input. Its full prediction change is not just the new coefficient. This tests scoring margins; it does not supply new score totals, probabilities or injury adjustments.

PGO projected spreads and ATS results

A PGO projected line of LAR −4.3 means the model expects the Rams to win by about 4.3 points. The table shows the home-team line: a minus sign favors the home team; a plus sign favors the away team. Sportsbook ATS grades use the saved DraftKings line supplied by ESPN.

The PGO-line check says whether the winner pick exceeded, fell below or matched its projected margin. Exceeding the projection is not necessarily more accurate; margin error measures closeness. The table rounds the model line to one decimal, but checks use full precision, shown in saved line details. Close calls can differ from the rounded display.

Straight-up picks win by any margin. Covering the spread requires the selected team to beat its saved handicap; an exact tie after applying the handicap is a push. The original straight-up W/L record stays unchanged.

Quotes and ATS selections can refresh before T-60, one hour before kickoff. Grades use the last saved pre-lock line; stale quotes retain their original capture time. Missing sportsbook lines are excluded from sportsbook records; an authentic PGO forecast saved before lock can still receive a PGO-line check. No cover probability is estimated, and straight-up win chances are not cover chances.

Quote check: READY. Checked .

Winner pick vs PGO projected line

Exceeded
0
Below
2
Matched
0
No pick
0
Pending
14
Unavailable
0

Winner pick vs sportsbook line

Wins
0
Losses
1
Pushes
0
No pick
0
Pending
14
Unavailable
1

ATS suggestion vs sportsbook line

Wins
0
Losses
1
Pushes
0
No edge
0
Pending
14
Unavailable
1

Wins and losses count only graded selections. Pushes are listed separately, as are no-edge or no-pick games, pending games and unavailable lines.

MatchupPGO projected line (home)Winner pick vs PGO lineESPN sportsbook lineWinner pick vs sportsbook linePGO ATS choiceATS result
SF @ LARLAR -4.3LAR: Below projectionLAR -3.5 / SF +3.5
DraftKings via ESPN
Locked line
LAR: Not coveredLAR -3.5; edge +0.766 NFL pointsNot covered
ATL @ PITPIT -1.1PIT: PendingPIT -6 / ATL +6
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
PIT: PendingATL +6; edge +4.876 NFL pointsPending
BAL @ INDIND +0.3BAL: PendingIND +3.5 / BAL -3.5
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
BAL: PendingIND +3.5; edge +3.156 NFL pointsPending
BUF @ HOUHOU -0.8HOU: PendingHOU +1.5 / BUF -1.5
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
HOU: PendingHOU +1.5; edge +2.262 NFL pointsPending
CHI @ CARCAR +2.2CHI: PendingCAR +3 / CHI -3
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
CHI: PendingCAR +3; edge +0.828 NFL pointsPending
CLE @ JAXJAX -9.8JAX: PendingJAX -8.5 / CLE +8.5
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
JAX: PendingJAX -8.5; edge +1.283 NFL pointsPending
NO @ DETDET -5.2DET: PendingDET -7 / NO +7
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
DET: PendingNO +7; edge +1.834 NFL pointsPending
NYJ @ TENTEN -3.4TEN: PendingTEN -1.5 / NYJ +1.5
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
TEN: PendingTEN -1.5; edge +1.882 NFL pointsPending
TB @ CINCIN -3.1CIN: PendingCIN -3.5 / TB +3.5
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
CIN: PendingTB +3.5; edge +0.402 NFL pointsPending
ARI @ LACLAC -6.6LAC: PendingLAC -9.5 / ARI +9.5
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
LAC: PendingARI +9.5; edge +2.932 NFL pointsPending
GB @ MINMIN -1.7MIN: PendingMIN -1.5 / GB +1.5
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
MIN: PendingMIN -1.5; edge +0.169 NFL pointsPending
MIA @ LVLV +2.2MIA: PendingLV -3 / MIA +3
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
MIA: PendingMIA +3; edge +5.174 NFL pointsPending
WAS @ PHIPHI -5.7PHI: PendingPHI -6 / WAS +6
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
PHI: PendingWAS +6; edge +0.281 NFL pointsPending
DAL @ NYGNYG -1.4NYG: PendingNYG +3 / DAL -3
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
NYG: PendingNYG +3; edge +4.42 NFL pointsPending
DEN @ KCKC +0.1DEN: PendingKC -2.5 / DEN +2.5
DraftKings via ESPN
Current saved line
DEN: PendingDEN +2.5; edge +2.621 NFL pointsPending
NE @ SEASEA -3.3SEA: Below projectionLine unavailableSEA: UnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
SF @ LAR: saved line details

Locked line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: LAR -4.266054498387761.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

ATL @ PIT: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: PIT -1.124031595894316.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

BAL @ IND: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: IND +0.3441365766271646.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

BUF @ HOU: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: HOU -0.7615638609605188.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

CHI @ CAR: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: CAR +2.1719416580254016.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

CLE @ JAX: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: JAX -9.782500032185865.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

NO @ DET: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: DET -5.16628825525041.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

NYJ @ TEN: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: TEN -3.3820894588799484.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

TB @ CIN: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: CIN -3.0980196144251066.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

ARI @ LAC: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: LAC -6.5678899543040385.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

GB @ MIN: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: MIN -1.6685927007011319.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

MIA @ LV: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: LV +2.173752189641478.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

WAS @ PHI: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: PHI -5.718967199262716.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

DAL @ NYG: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: NYG -1.4199302021598754.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

DEN @ KC: saved line details

Current saved line.

Quote captured
ATS selection issued
Prediction lock
Kickoff

Saved PGO projection at full precision: KC +0.12111885918859044.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

NE @ SEA: saved line details

No sportsbook comparison was issued before T-60

Saved PGO projection at full precision: SEA -3.291695521475117.

Original PGO prediction issued: . Original PGO edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09.

Model tests

These fixed comparisons are separate from the main picks. Original test forecasts are saved before lock and graded when verified finals arrive. The completed opener is excluded from tests first created afterward. No experiment automatically replaces the main model.

Score totals: can current-season results help?

Two fixed formulas gradually mix this season's scoring with last season's. A 4-game starting weight means last season counts like four games; the 8-game version changes more slowly. Only verified results from earlier game days can enter.

Monitor: READY.

Both updating formulas passed the historical further-study screen. The 4-game version reduced average total error from 11.04 to 10.74 points across the same 2,127 games. This is a reason to keep testing, not proof of live improvement. The current main score estimates remain unchanged.

Scoring ruleHistorical total error (points)New-game total error (points)
Last season: league average11.0711.96
Last season: these teams11.0415.21
Update with this season: 4-game starting weight10.7415.21
Update with this season: 8-game starting weight10.7615.21

New comparison: 15 saved matchups; 1 verified finals on identical games for all four rules. Formal review requires at least 150 paired games across 12 weeks. No automatic model change.

Original test estimates for upcoming and completed games
MatchupSaved (Eastern)League priorTeam prior4-game weight8-game weight
SF @ LAR46.049.249.249.2
ATL @ PIT46.045.045.045.0
BAL @ IND46.050.050.050.0
BUF @ HOU46.045.845.845.8
CHI @ CAR46.046.046.046.0
CLE @ JAX46.043.343.343.3
NO @ DET46.046.646.646.6
NYJ @ TEN46.046.046.046.0
TB @ CIN46.049.949.949.9
ARI @ LAC46.045.045.045.0
GB @ MIN46.042.442.442.4
MIA @ LV46.042.542.542.5
WAS @ PHI46.044.544.544.5
DAL @ NYG46.053.053.053.0
DEN @ KC46.041.141.141.1

Lower average absolute error is better. Historical seasons have been reused, and original source timing still needs review. Methods, season checks and saved evidence.

Inputs and win chances: test overlap without guessing new weights

Recent results, team passing and quarterback passing can describe the same games. We tested removing one passing block at a time and refitted each fixed variant using earlier seasons only. We also tested two ways to convert each lead into a win chance.

Monitor: READY.

No alternative cleared the improvement screen. Removing either block made average lead error slightly worse. None of the probability alternatives met the required improvement and uncertainty checks. The main model stays unchanged.

Input choiceHistorical lead error (points)New-game lead error (points)
Current input blocks10.1024.27
Without QB passing block10.1524.45
Without team passing block10.1224.44

All lead tests use the same 2,127 historical games. Probability tests use the same 1,615 later games, after allowing earlier seasons to train the probability method. Lower error, log loss and Brier are better.

Probability methodHistorical log lossHistorical Brier (0–2)New-game log loss
Current input blocks; same neutral midpoint0.64710.44041.0301
Current input blocks; learned midpoint0.64740.44001.0022
Without QB passing block; same neutral midpoint0.64930.44241.0433
Without QB passing block; learned midpoint0.64950.44201.0149
Without team passing block; same neutral midpoint0.64700.44041.0436
Without team passing block; learned midpoint0.64730.44011.0163

A learned midpoint lets the probability method move its 50/50 boundary; it can change the selected team even when the lead estimate stays fixed. That is why these test picks are tracked separately. Fixed confidence points are not reassigned.

New comparison: 15 saved matchups; 1 paired finals. Historical results are diagnostic and source timing still needs review.

Original test picks and probabilities
SF @ LAR

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: LAR by 4.3 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: LAR 63.9%; learned midpoint: LAR 62.9%.
  • Without QB passing block: LAR by 4.5 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: LAR 64.3%; learned midpoint: LAR 63.3%.
  • Without team passing block: LAR by 4.4 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: LAR 64.4%; learned midpoint: LAR 63.4%.
ATL @ PIT

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: PIT by 1.1 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: PIT 53.6%; learned midpoint: PIT 52.3%.
  • Without QB passing block: PIT by 1.9 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: PIT 56.1%; learned midpoint: PIT 54.8%.
  • Without team passing block: PIT by 1.7 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: PIT 55.4%; learned midpoint: PIT 54.1%.
BAL @ IND

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: BAL by 0.3 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: BAL 51.0%; learned midpoint: BAL 52.4%.
  • Without QB passing block: IND by less than 0.1 point. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: IND 49.8%; learned midpoint: BAL 51.2%.
  • Without team passing block: BAL by 1.6 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: BAL 55.3%; learned midpoint: BAL 56.7%.
BUF @ HOU

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: HOU by 0.8 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: HOU 52.4%; learned midpoint: HOU 51.0%.
  • Without QB passing block: HOU by 0.1 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: HOU 50.2%; learned midpoint: BUF 50.8%.
  • Without team passing block: BUF by less than 0.1 point. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: BUF 49.9%; learned midpoint: BUF 51.3%.
CHI @ CAR

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: CHI by 2.2 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: CHI 57.1%; learned midpoint: CHI 58.6%.
  • Without QB passing block: CHI by 1.5 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: CHI 55.0%; learned midpoint: CHI 56.5%.
  • Without team passing block: CHI by 1.6 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: CHI 55.2%; learned midpoint: CHI 56.7%.
CLE @ JAX

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: JAX by 9.8 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: JAX 78.8%; learned midpoint: JAX 78.3%.
  • Without QB passing block: JAX by 11.9 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: JAX 83.0%; learned midpoint: JAX 82.7%.
  • Without team passing block: JAX by 9.4 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: JAX 77.9%; learned midpoint: JAX 77.4%.
NO @ DET

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: DET by 5.2 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: DET 66.6%; learned midpoint: DET 65.7%.
  • Without QB passing block: DET by 4.9 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: DET 65.6%; learned midpoint: DET 64.6%.
  • Without team passing block: DET by 6.0 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: DET 69.1%; learned midpoint: DET 68.3%.
NYJ @ TEN

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: TEN by 3.4 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: TEN 61.1%; learned midpoint: TEN 60.0%.
  • Without QB passing block: TEN by 4.1 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: TEN 63.4%; learned midpoint: TEN 62.3%.
  • Without team passing block: TEN by 2.7 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: TEN 58.8%; learned midpoint: TEN 57.7%.
TB @ CIN

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: CIN by 3.1 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: CIN 60.2%; learned midpoint: CIN 59.0%.
  • Without QB passing block: CIN by 2.1 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: CIN 56.8%; learned midpoint: CIN 55.6%.
  • Without team passing block: CIN by 2.3 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: CIN 57.5%; learned midpoint: CIN 56.3%.
ARI @ LAC

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: LAC by 6.6 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: LAC 70.7%; learned midpoint: LAC 69.9%.
  • Without QB passing block: LAC by 5.0 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: LAC 65.9%; learned midpoint: LAC 64.9%.
  • Without team passing block: LAC by 7.5 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: LAC 73.0%; learned midpoint: LAC 72.4%.
GB @ MIN

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: MIN by 1.7 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: MIN 55.4%; learned midpoint: MIN 54.2%.
  • Without QB passing block: MIN by 0.6 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: MIN 51.8%; learned midpoint: MIN 50.5%.
  • Without team passing block: MIN by 2.7 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: MIN 58.7%; learned midpoint: MIN 57.6%.
MIA @ LV

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: MIA by 2.2 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: MIA 57.1%; learned midpoint: MIA 58.6%.
  • Without QB passing block: MIA by 1.1 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: MIA 53.4%; learned midpoint: MIA 54.9%.
  • Without team passing block: MIA by 0.2 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: MIA 50.5%; learned midpoint: MIA 51.9%.
WAS @ PHI

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: PHI by 5.7 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: PHI 68.3%; learned midpoint: PHI 67.4%.
  • Without QB passing block: PHI by 5.7 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: PHI 68.1%; learned midpoint: PHI 67.3%.
  • Without team passing block: PHI by 5.3 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: PHI 67.1%; learned midpoint: PHI 66.2%.
DAL @ NYG

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: NYG by 1.4 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: NYG 54.6%; learned midpoint: NYG 53.3%.
  • Without QB passing block: NYG by 1.6 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: NYG 55.1%; learned midpoint: NYG 53.8%.
  • Without team passing block: NYG by 1.4 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: NYG 54.3%; learned midpoint: NYG 53.1%.
DEN @ KC

Saved . Lead estimates are NFL points; percentages are straight-up win chances.

  • Current input blocks: DEN by 0.1 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: DEN 50.2%; learned midpoint: DEN 51.6%.
  • Without QB passing block: DEN by 1.2 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: DEN 53.9%; learned midpoint: DEN 55.4%.
  • Without team passing block: KC by 1.2 points. Win chances — same neutral midpoint: KC 53.8%; learned midpoint: KC 52.6%.

Every variant, review rules and saved evidence.

Injuries and defensive backups: what we can verify

Capture: DESCRIPTIVE / NOT IN MODEL. Saved ; newest source .

No numerical injury adjustment yet. We now save dated player identities, provider depth positions, known absences and prior defensive usage for future evaluation. The historical audit found no dated historical depth sources or source-capture clocks in the admitted inventory, so it cannot support a fitted injury or replacement-quality effect.

Prior playing time describes experience, not talent. Unknown history stays unknown, including rookies. Active roster status does not prove health; a backup not confirmed out is not confirmed available. Provider position labels are kept as supplied. Multiple defensive packages can list more than eleven players first. These latest observations do not revise locked forecasts.

32 team summaries; 14 unlocked matchups captured. Official report coverage is stated separately for each team.

ARI · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10110
LCB10100
LDE10110
LDT10100
MLB10100
NB10000
RCB10100
RDE10100
RDT10100
SLB10100
SS10100
WLB10010

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 2.

  • Joey Blount (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Zachary Carter (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 37.2%.
  • Kaleb Proctor (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
ATL · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10100
LDE10100
LILB10010
NB10010
NT10100
RCB10020
RDE10000
RILB10200
SLB10100
SS10100
WLB10200

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 2.

  • Darren Hall (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 37.8%.
  • DeAngelo Malone (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 6.2%.
  • JD Bertrand (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 26.3%.
  • Malik Verdon (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Jalon Walker (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 51.5%.
  • James Pearce Jr. (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 60.6%.
  • Anterio Thompson (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
BAL · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10000
LCB10100
LDE10100
LILB10100
NB10110
NT10100
RCB10100
RDE10100
RILB10100
SLB10100
SS10010
WLB10020

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 2.

  • Bilhal Kone (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Jahquez Robinson (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
BUF · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10200
LCB10100
LDE10100
LILB10010
NB10100
NT10100
RCB10010
RDE10010
RILB10100
SLB10110
SS10010
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 1. Active defenders missing from depth list: 1. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 1.

  • Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 46.7%.
  • Phidarian Mathis (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 35.9%.
  • Dorian Strong (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 44.7%.
  • Zane Durant (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
CAR · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10100
LDE10010
LILB10010
NB10000
NT10100
RCB10010
RDE10010
RILB10100
SLB10100
SS10010
WLB10200

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 0.

  • Tershawn Wharton (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 79.9%.
  • Bam Martin-Scott (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 33.3%.
  • Nic Scourton (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 78.6%.
CHI · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10010
LCB10100
LDE10110
LDT10200
MLB10010
NB10010
RCB10010
RDE10100
RDT10020
SLB10100
SS10100
WLB10000

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 5.

  • Jonathan Garvin (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Tony Fields II (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Dallis Flowers (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Nephi Sewell (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Kyler Gordon (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 66.7%.
  • Coby Bryant (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 98.4%.
  • Noah Sewell (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 11.7%.
  • Ruben Hyppolite II (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 13.9%.
  • Dontae Manning (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Shemar Turner (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 23.4%.
CIN · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10010
LDE10010
LDT10000
MLB10000
NB10100
RCB10000
RDE10200
RDT10210
SLB10100
SS10100
WLB10000

Unresolved depth names: 2. Active defenders missing from depth list: 2. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 0.

  • Ja'Sir Taylor (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 31.6%.
CLE · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10010
LDE10100
LDT10100
MLB10000
NB10100
RCB10100
RDE10100
RDT10100
SLB10010
SS10110
WLB10010

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 4.

  • Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Alex Wright (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 68.8%.
  • Kalia Davis (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 41.1%.
  • Damarri Mathis (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Travis Bell (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Elijah Chatman (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 24.4%.
  • Edefuan Ulofoshio (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
DAL · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10110
LDE10010
LILB10100
NB10000
NT10100
RCB10100
RDE10000
RILB10010
SLB10110
SS10200
WLB10200

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 2.

  • Marist Liufau (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 8.6%.
  • Devin Moore (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Kelvin Gilliam (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
DEN · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10100
LDE10110
LILB10100
NB10100
NT10100
RCB10100
RDE10100
RILB10100
SLB10100
SS10200
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 1.

  • Matt Henningsen (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Levelle Bailey (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 19.3%.
DET · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10100
LDE10110
LDT10200
MLB10100
NB10110
RCB10100
RDE00120
RDT10010
SLB10010
SS10000
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 1. Active defenders missing from depth list: 1. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 1.

  • Payton Turner (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Damone Clark (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 7.1%.
  • Kerby Joseph (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 89.7%.
  • Brian Branch (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 96.9%.
GB · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10100
LDE10010
LILB10100
NB10100
NT10100
RCB10100
RDE10110
RILB10200
SLB10000
SS10000
WLB10110

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 2.

  • Micah Parsons (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 88.8%.
  • Trey Dean III (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Jordon Riley (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 21.8%.
  • Collin Oliver (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 46.3%.
  • Johnathan Baldwin (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 98.5%.
  • Marlon Jones (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
HOU · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10000
LCB10110
LDE10110
LDT10110
MLB10100
NB10000
RCB10100
RDE10100
RDT10100
SLB10010
SS10010
WLB10010

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 2.

  • M.J. Stewart (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 61.7%.
  • E.J. Speed (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 19.4%.
  • Ja'Marcus Ingram (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 16.1%.
  • Ali Gaye (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 24.6%.
  • Dylan Horton (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 26.5%.
  • Solomon Byrd (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • K.C. Ossai (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
IND · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS00100
LCB10000
LDE10110
LDT10110
MLB10100
NB10010
RCB10100
RDE10110
RDT10100
SLB10010
SS10010
WLB10010

Unresolved depth names: 1. Active defenders missing from depth list: 1. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 0.

  • Cam Taylor-Britt (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 78.4%.
  • Cameron Mitchell (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 48.8%.
JAX · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10010
LCB00100
LDE10110
LDT10200
MLB10100
NB10100
RCB10000
RDE10110
RDT10010
SLB10000
SS10110
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 3.

  • Jared Bartlett (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Zach Durfee (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Parker Hughes (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
KC · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10010
LCB10100
LDE10100
LDT10020
MLB10100
NB10000
RCB10100
RDE10120
RDT10000
SLB10000
SS10100
WLB10000

Unresolved depth names: 1. Active defenders missing from depth list: 1. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 0.

  • Ethan Downs (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 17.7%.
  • Omarr Norman-Lott (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 28.3%.
LAC · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10110
LCB10010
LDE10010
LILB10100
NB10000
NT10000
RCB10100
RDE10100
RILB10100
SLB10010
SS10100
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 1. Active defenders missing from depth list: 1. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 0.

  • Denzel Perryman (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 59.3%.
  • Kyle Kennard (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 18.4%.
LAR · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10000
LCB10000
LDE10100
LILB10100
NB10100
NT10100
RCB10100
RDE00100
RILB10100
SLB10100
SS10100
WLB10110

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 4.

  • Zech McPhearson (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Keir Thomas (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Eddie Walls III (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Daniel Rickert (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
LV · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10200
LCB10110
LDE10100
LILB10200
NB10000
NT10100
RCB10010
RDE10100
RILB10010
SLB10100
SS10010
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 3.

  • Chigozie Anusiem (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Brennan Jackson (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Keyron Crawford (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
MIA · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10010
LCB10000
LDE10100
LDT00100
MLB10010
NB10010
RCB00010
RDE00100
RDT10100
SLB10000
SS10020
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 2. Active defenders missing from depth list: 3. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 2.

  • Darrell Baker Jr. (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 100.0%.
  • Storm Duck (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 35.5%.
  • Kenneth Grant (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 51.7%.
  • Rene Konga (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Trey Moore (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
MIN · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10120
LCB10000
LDE10000
LILB10010
NB10000
NT10010
RCB10010
RDE10200
RILB10100
SLB10100
SS10100
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 1. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 2.

  • Jamal Adams (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 38.8%.
  • Taki Taimani (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 34.0%.
  • Tyler Batty (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 9.2%.
  • Jacob Roberts (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Tyreek Chappell (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
NE · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10010
LDE10100
LILB10110
NB10100
NT10000
RCB10000
RDE10100
RILB10000
SLB10010
SS10100
WLB10010

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 1.

  • Harold Landry III (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 31.4%.
  • Brenden Schooler (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 12.0%.
  • Khalil Jacobs (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
NO · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10110
LDE10200
LILB10100
NB10100
NT10210
RCB10020
RDE10100
RILB10100
SLB10000
SS10000
WLB10200

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 4.

  • David Long (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Rejzohn Wright (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Bryan Bresee (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 66.2%.
  • Jaylan Ford (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 10.6%.
  • Lorenzo Styles Jr. (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Michael Heldman (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
NYG · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10200
LCB10100
LDE10010
LILB10110
NB00100
NT10000
RCB10010
RDE10100
RILB10100
SLB10100
SS10100
WLB10000

Unresolved depth names: 2. Active defenders missing from depth list: 2. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 1.

  • Roy Robertson-Harris (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 60.7%.
  • Jarrick Bernard-Converse (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 5.9%.
  • Rico Payton (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 30.4%.
  • Korie Black (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 17.0%.
  • Thaddeus Dixon (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
NYJ · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10000
LCB10100
LDE10000
LDT10010
MLB10000
NB10010
RCB10100
RDE10200
RDT10200
SLB00100
SS10200
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 1. Active defenders missing from depth list: 2. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 1.

  • Mykal Walker (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 36.4%.
  • Tre Brown (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 72.0%.
  • Kingsley Jonathan (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 22.7%.
  • Tyler Baron (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 29.7%.
  • VJ Payne (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
PHI · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10100
LDE10100
LILB10100
NB10100
RCB10100
RDE10100
RILB10100
SLB10200
SS10100
WLB10000

Unresolved depth names: 1. Active defenders missing from depth list: 2. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 1.

  • Jakorian Bennett (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 14.2%.
  • Andre' Sam (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 7.7%.
  • Tucker Large (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
PIT · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10010
LCB10100
LDE10010
LILB10100
NB10100
NT10100
RCB10010
RDE10100
RILB10100
SLB10100
SS10000
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 1. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 2.

  • DeShon Elliott (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 95.7%.
  • Logan Lee (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 11.6%.
  • Daequan Hardy (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Donte Kent (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
SEA · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10100
LCB10110
LDE10000
LILB10200
NT10100
RCB10010
RDE10100
RILB10100
SLB10200
SS00010
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 1.

  • Bud Clark (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
SF · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10010
LCB10100
LDE10100
LDT10100
MLB10100
NB10000
RCB10010
RDE10010
RDT10100
SLB10010
SS10200
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 1. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 3.

  • Darrick Forrest (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Nate Hobbs (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 14.5%.
  • Victor Dimukeje (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 6.8%.
  • Sam Okuayinonu (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 56.3%.
  • Andrew Farmer (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Nick Martin (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 10.7%.
  • Mykel Williams (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 65.4%.
  • Mikail Kamara (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
TB · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10000
LCB10000
LDE10100
LILB10100
NB10110
NT10200
RCB10010
RDE10010
RILB10100
SLB10110
SS10010
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 3.

  • Josh Hayes (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Mohamed Kamara (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 1.8%.
  • Deshawn McKnight (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Xavier Williams (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
TEN · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10200
LCB00110
LDE10110
LDT10110
MLB10010
NB10000
RCB10000
RDE10200
RDT10100
SLB10000
SS10000
WLB10100

Unresolved depth names: 1. Active defenders missing from depth list: 1. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 3.

  • Tanoh Kpassagnon (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 39.7%.
  • Milo Eifler (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Joshua Williams (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 6.1%.
  • Kendell Brooks (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 85.1%.
  • Dominique Hampton (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
  • Jaylen Harrell (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 61.4%.
  • Dorian Mausi (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
WAS · defensive depth observations

Provider depth list: . Official report: UNKNOWN; final inactives: UNKNOWN. Report checked: Unavailable.

Provider positionListed firstFirst-listed unavailableBackups with prior usage; not confirmed outBackups with unknown history; not confirmed outUncertain backups
FS10200
LCB10000
LDE10100
LILB10110
NB10000
NT10100
RCB10100
RDE10100
RILB10100
SLB10100
SS10100
WLB10010

Unresolved depth names: 0. Active defenders missing from depth list: 0. Unavailable defenders with unknown prior role: 1.

  • Deatrich Wise (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 37.5%.
  • Dorance Armstrong (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 50.5%.
  • Drake Jackson (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 28.3%.
  • Jer'Zhan Newton (DL): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 51.1%.
  • T.J. Maguranyanga (LB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 15.7%.
  • Trey Amos (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. 2025 observed playing-time share: 83.6%.
  • Malik Spencer (DB): Confirmed unavailable; roster RES. Prior usage unknown.
Captured roster and depth sources

Admission audit, missing information and capture history.

September 11 usage check: Pregame roles are preserved. The captured postgame playing-time file does not yet contain a matching game with eligible pregame records. Missing player rows stay unknown, not zero. Injury and replacement-usage study.

How much could the score vary?

Reliable outcome ranges are not available yet. The displayed score is an average estimate, not a narrow promise about the final score. We tested a fixed range method on historical games, using only earlier seasons to set each later season's range. Those reused records lack the timestamps needed to establish pregame data availability.

Future saved ranges need to be checked against actual results before we can describe them as reliable. Differences between model versions are not the same as a likely range of game outcomes.

Score-range study and validation requirements.

Sources and limitations
  • EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. Weekly updates do not establish predictive accuracy.
  • Non-QB availability is shown separately; no fitted injury or replacement-quality penalty is applied.
  • Expected scores use the existing scoring-history heuristic. Probabilities reuse the frozen historical calibration.

Opening-night final inactive lists saved September 9.

Original Week 1 editions and confidence allocations
EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD

PGO Power Rankings — Experimental

September 9, 2026 edition. Postseason history is included in the team and quarterback inputs. This is the main public PGO view; earlier models, saved forecasts and grades remain available below. Displaying this version does not establish greater accuracy.

Injury reports are shown as context, not numerical adjustments to these ratings or saved forecasts. The listed quarterback is assumed to play. Final inactive announcements and source times · Compare previous models. PGO confidence picks and expected pool points.

This candidate did not pass the historical screen. Average margin error was 10.102 points, compared with 10.099 for the baseline on the same 2127 games. Lower is better. These reused historical seasons do not establish future accuracy.

New England moves from #1 to #6 in this candidate. This candidate did not pass the historical screen and remains EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. Its Seattle matchup favors SEA by 3.3 points. Why this forecast.

Inputs saved through . Candidate created .

All 32 PGO ratings

Higher ratings mean stronger model output; zero is the 32-team average. Rank change is candidate rank minus September 8 rank, so a positive number means a lower position. Ratings are model units, not betting lines.

RankTeamPGO ratingRank changeRating scale (-14 to +14)September 8 ratingExpected QB
1Los Angeles Rams+5.347-1+4.507Matthew Stafford
2Seattle Seahawks+4.947-1+4.017Sam Darnold
3Buffalo Bills+4.161-1+3.607Josh Allen
4Philadelphia Eagles+3.317-3+2.985Jalen Hurts
5Houston Texans+3.307-1+2.991C.J. Stroud
6New England Patriots+3.271+5+5.200Drake Maye
7Jacksonville Jaguars+3.076+2+3.354Trevor Lawrence
8Baltimore Ravens+2.258-1+2.296Lamar Jackson
9Chicago Bears+2.148+1+2.671Caleb Williams
10Denver Broncos+1.939+0+2.002Bo Nix
11Detroit Lions+1.786-1+1.649Jared Goff
12Cincinnati Bengals+1.678-1+1.558Joe Burrow
13San Francisco 49ers+1.081+2+1.975Brock Purdy
14Minnesota Vikings+0.907-1+0.959Kyler Murray
15Green Bay Packers+0.855-2+0.513Jordan Love
16Los Angeles Chargers+0.304+2+1.356Justin Herbert
17Indianapolis Colts+0.297-1+0.226Daniel Jones
18Kansas City Chiefs+0.202-2+0.030Patrick Mahomes
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers+0.196+0+0.079Baker Mayfield
20Atlanta Falcons-0.267-1-0.290Tua Tagovailoa
21Pittsburgh Steelers-0.759+5+0.575Aaron Rodgers
22Washington Commanders-0.785+0-1.386Jayden Daniels
23Dallas Cowboys-1.239+0-1.387Dak Prescott
24New York Giants-1.435+0-1.490Jaxson Dart
25Carolina Panthers-1.640-1-2.158Bryce Young
26New Orleans Saints-1.765+1-1.786Tyler Shough
27Miami Dolphins-3.238+0-3.356Malik Willis
28Arizona Cardinals-4.648+0-4.775Jacoby Brissett
29Cleveland Browns-5.091+0-5.239Deshaun Watson
30Tennessee Titans-5.708+0-5.891Cam Ward
31Las Vegas Raiders-7.028+0-7.224Kirk Cousins
32New York Jets-7.474+0-7.569Geno Smith
Why teams rank here

Why teams rank here — September 9, 2026

Experimental — accuracy is still being tested. This edition includes regular season and playoffs in its team and quarterback history. Historical testing did not establish an accuracy improvement.

Higher ratings mean the model expects a stronger team; zero is the average of these 32 teams. A +5 rating does not mean a team should be favored by five points.

Roster information saved through . Game and player performance comes from the 2025 regular season and playoffs, and earlier seasons.

Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included. These ratings assume the listed quarterback plays. Being on the active roster does not mean a player is healthy. Later injury updates are dated separately; issued forecasts keep their saved inputs.

Why does New England rank #6? The biggest boosts in this calculation come from recent game results, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays. The model does not separately grade current edge-rusher and linebacker depth or the quality of their backups. This is not a complete assessment of the current roster. What the model includes and misses. Several performance inputs describe the same games, so they are not separate proof of the team’s strength. We have not established that this is the right ranking.

Choose a team below for its main reasons and injury information. New England · Jacksonville

How the model works — technical notes and sources

EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. Model construction: September 9, 2026. Snapshot generated . Outputs are model units, not established neutral-field point prices or rank-confidence intervals.

This version matches historical and current ACT eligibility, removes six roster/coaching transition inputs, uses statistic-specific QB exposure and enforces symmetric neutral-field predictions. It keeps four-game team history and a one-year QB half-life. Those construction repairs do not establish superior forecasting accuracy. The same historical seasons have already been examined.

The results-history input responds to winning or losing margins that beat the model’s own expectation, not fans’ or media expectations.

Fixed construction and evaluation contract · All inputs and source evidence

Model versions and snapshot dates

July 21 — archived PGO v1 ratings: the original saved preseason board. September 7 — refreshed v1 construction: active expected starters with the recovered original fit. September 8 — PGO Corrected: the separately fitted regular-season-history construction.

September 9 — primary experimental edition: adds playoff history. Earlier editions remain available under Compare previous models; this display choice is not proof of greater accuracy.

The July/August frozen 272-game season forecast is a separate 75% v0 / 25% challenger blend. It is preserved as its own forecast record, not identified as the July v1 ratings board.

The earlier research name PGO v2 identifies a separate roster-age and draft-pedigree experiment that remained HOLD. It is not the name of this postseason edition. A model version describes the calculation; a snapshot date records a particular set of inputs and outputs. Every saved edition remains available. A newer date does not establish greater predictive accuracy.

#1 LAR · PGO rating +5.347

September 8 comparison: #2, rating +4.507. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

Expected quarterback: Matthew Stafford.

What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks.

What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, quarterback experience, big plays on offense.

Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

  • Aaron Donald (DE): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
  • Myles Garrett (LB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
  • Tyler Higbee (TE): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
  • Alaric Jackson (T): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
  • Grant Stuard (LB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
  • Jaylen Watson (CB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
  • Byron Young (LB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
Technical details and calculations
  • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
  • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

InputRaw inputFitted contribution
PGO v0 results-history input3.664+2.176
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1412+1.374
Team sack avoidance0.9594+1.048
QB historical sack avoidance0.9487-0.607
QB draft-position prior1+0.455
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.03553+0.449
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.2291+0.417
QB historical passing sample size6.627+0.376
QB historical ball security0.9813+0.289
QB experience prior2.89-0.251
Offensive explosive-play rate0.07911-0.240
Defensive takeaway rate0.02267+0.212
QB historical rushing efficiency-0.1625-0.200
Team giveaway avoidance0.988-0.100
QB completion rate above expectation0.03084-0.035
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.03316+0.018
Defensive sack creation0.06272-0.016
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.06093-0.010
Explosive-play prevention0.9421-0.007
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
Total model output+5.347
#2 SEA · PGO rating +4.947

September 8 comparison: #3, rating +4.017. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

Expected quarterback: Sam Darnold.

What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the defense’s history of winning the ball back, the quarterback’s passing numbers.

What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s history of losing the ball, the quarterback’s running numbers, quarterback experience.

Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

  • Ty Okada (S): Out — not included in this rating
  • AJ Barner (TE): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
  • Anthony Bradford (G): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
  • Nick Emmanwori (S): Questionable
  • Tory Horton (WR): Questionable
  • Josh Jones (T): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
  • Julian Neal (CB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
  • Emanuel Wilson (RB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
Technical details and calculations
  • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
  • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

InputRaw inputFitted contribution
PGO v0 results-history input5.624+3.340
Defensive takeaway rate0.0299+0.657
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.07991+0.357
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1145+0.284
QB historical ball security0.9721-0.281
Team sack avoidance0.9366+0.275
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1266+0.231
QB historical passing sample size6.362+0.192
QB historical rushing efficiency-0.03952-0.113
QB experience prior2.197-0.079
Team giveaway avoidance0.9862-0.079
QB draft-position prior0.5774+0.075
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1707+0.056
QB completion rate above expectation2.579+0.048
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.03943-0.027
Offensive explosive-play rate0.05726-0.016
QB historical sack avoidance0.9315+0.012
Explosive-play prevention0.9425+0.008
Defensive sack creation0.07242+0.006
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
Total model output+4.947
#3 BUF · PGO rating +4.161

September 8 comparison: #4, rating +3.607. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

Expected quarterback: Josh Allen.

What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s running numbers.

What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, opponents’ running numbers, where the quarterback was drafted.

Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

  • Oscar Delp (TE): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
  • Audric Estimé (RB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
  • Cameron Jordan (LB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
  • Alvin Kamara (RB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
Technical details and calculations
  • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
  • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

InputRaw inputFitted contribution
PGO v0 results-history input2.803+1.665
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1393+1.343
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.06224+0.618
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1826+0.332
QB historical passing sample size6.529+0.308
QB historical sack avoidance0.9402-0.301
Explosive-play prevention0.9484+0.225
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.03697-0.211
QB historical rushing efficiency0.3356+0.155
Team sack avoidance0.9327+0.143
QB draft-position prior0.378-0.104
Offensive explosive-play rate0.06566-0.102
Defensive takeaway rate0.02081+0.098
QB experience prior2.197-0.079
Defensive sack creation0.04319-0.061
QB completion rate above expectation2.589+0.049
Team giveaway avoidance0.9763+0.041
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.07519+0.029
QB historical ball security0.9769+0.015
Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
Total model output+4.161
#4 PHI · PGO rating +3.317

September 8 comparison: #7, rating +2.985. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

Expected quarterback: Jalen Hurts.

What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the team’s history of taking sacks, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from where the quarterback was drafted, the team’s history of losing the ball, quarterback experience.

Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

    Technical details and calculations
    • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
    • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

    These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

    InputRaw inputFitted contribution
    PGO v0 results-history input1.546+0.918
    Team sack avoidance0.9495+0.711
    Defensive takeaway rate0.02487+0.348
    QB draft-position prior0.1374-0.320
    Explosive-play prevention0.9509+0.316
    QB historical ball security0.9812+0.282
    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.07314+0.244
    QB historical passing sample size6.373+0.200
    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.007723+0.174
    Offensive explosive-play rate0.04261+0.135
    QB historical sack avoidance0.9287+0.113
    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.06126+0.110
    Team giveaway avoidance0.9859-0.076
    QB completion rate above expectation2.759+0.054
    QB historical rushing efficiency0.1867+0.049
    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1033+0.037
    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.01288+0.026
    QB experience prior1.946-0.017
    Defensive sack creation0.07616+0.015
    Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
    Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
    Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
    Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
    Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
    Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
    Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
    Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
    QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
    QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
    QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
    QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
    QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
    QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
    QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
    QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
    QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
    Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
    Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
    Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
    Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
    Total model output+3.317
    #5 HOU · PGO rating +3.307

    September 8 comparison: #6, rating +2.991. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

    Expected quarterback: C.J. Stroud.

    What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the defense’s history of winning the ball back, the team’s history of taking sacks.

    What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s running numbers, the team’s passing numbers.

    Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

    Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

      Technical details and calculations
      • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
      • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
      PGO v0 results-history input2.509+1.490
      Defensive takeaway rate0.03423+0.923
      Team sack avoidance0.9513+0.774
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03174-0.443
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.09991-0.411
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1507+0.403
      QB draft-position prior0.7071+0.192
      QB historical passing sample size6.348+0.183
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.07219-0.128
      QB experience prior1.386+0.121
      QB historical ball security0.9751-0.097
      Offensive explosive-play rate0.04772+0.082
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.2151+0.068
      Explosive-play prevention0.9441+0.067
      QB completion rate above expectation-0.9454-0.067
      Defensive sack creation0.0956+0.059
      Team giveaway avoidance0.9754+0.052
      QB historical sack avoidance0.931+0.030
      QB historical rushing efficiency0.1288+0.008
      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Total model output+3.307
      #6 NE · PGO rating +3.271

      September 8 comparison: #1, rating +5.200. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

      Expected quarterback: Drake Maye.

      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays.

      What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the team’s history of taking sacks, the quarterback’s history of losing the ball, big plays on offense.

      Keep in mind: The model does not separately grade current edge-rusher and linebacker depth or the quality of their backups. Past team results and quarterback history partly describe the same games. This is an incomplete assessment of the current roster. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

      Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

      • Ben Brown (C): Out — not included in this rating
      • TreVeyon Henderson (RB): Out — not included in this rating
      • Christian Barmore (DT): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
      Technical details and calculations
      • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
      • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
      PGO v0 results-history input3.204+1.903
      Team sack avoidance0.8885-1.351
      QB historical sack avoidance0.91+0.790
      Explosive-play prevention0.9624+0.736
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.09228+0.562
      Defensive takeaway rate0.02426+0.310
      QB historical ball security0.9718-0.296
      Offensive explosive-play rate0.07898-0.239
      QB experience prior1.099+0.192
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.08471+0.187
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01579+0.123
      QB completion rate above expectation4.73+0.119
      QB historical passing sample size6.21+0.087
      QB draft-position prior0.5774+0.075
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.2114+0.067
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.02549-0.044
      QB historical rushing efficiency0.1645+0.033
      Team giveaway avoidance0.9781+0.019
      Defensive sack creation0.06858-0.003
      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Total model output+3.271
      #7 JAX · PGO rating +3.076

      September 8 comparison: #5, rating +3.354. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

      Expected quarterback: Trevor Lawrence.

      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, limiting opponents’ big plays, where the quarterback was drafted.

      What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the quarterback’s history of losing the ball, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks.

      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

      Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

      • LeQuint Allen Jr. (RB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
      • Jakobi Meyers (WR): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
      • Cole Van Lanen (T): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
      Technical details and calculations
      • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
      • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
      PGO v0 results-history input3.025+1.797
      Explosive-play prevention0.9556+0.488
      QB draft-position prior1+0.455
      Defensive takeaway rate0.02601+0.417
      Team sack avoidance0.939+0.356
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1623+0.296
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.04482-0.226
      QB historical passing sample size6.384+0.207
      QB historical ball security0.9735-0.191
      QB historical sack avoidance0.9366-0.171
      Offensive explosive-play rate0.0702-0.148
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.05408-0.120
      QB completion rate above expectation-0.7283-0.060
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01157-0.052
      Defensive sack creation0.04728-0.052
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1321+0.045
      QB historical rushing efficiency0.167+0.035
      QB experience prior1.792+0.021
      Team giveaway avoidance0.9814-0.021
      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Total model output+3.076
      #8 BAL · PGO rating +2.258

      September 8 comparison: #9, rating +2.296. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

      Expected quarterback: Lamar Jackson.

      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the team’s running numbers, the quarterback’s passing numbers.

      What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the team’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays, where the quarterback was drafted.

      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

      Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

      • Teddye Buchanan (LB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
      • Zay Flowers (WR): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
      • Nnamdi Madubuike (DT): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
      • Devontez Walker (WR): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
      Technical details and calculations
      • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
      • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
      PGO v0 results-history input1.916+1.138
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.1267+1.027
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1169+0.970
      Team sack avoidance0.9083-0.680
      Explosive-play prevention0.9253-0.621
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1629+0.443
      QB historical sack avoidance0.9238+0.291
      QB draft-position prior0.1768-0.285
      Offensive explosive-play rate0.07407-0.188
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.0746+0.137
      QB experience prior2.197-0.079
      QB historical passing sample size6.162+0.053
      QB historical rushing efficiency0.1709+0.038
      Defensive takeaway rate0.01981+0.036
      Defensive sack creation0.05414-0.036
      QB completion rate above expectation2.04+0.031
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.09126-0.018
      Team giveaway avoidance0.9782+0.018
      QB historical ball security0.9764-0.017
      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Total model output+2.258
      #9 CHI · PGO rating +2.148

      September 8 comparison: #8, rating +2.671. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

      Expected quarterback: Caleb Williams.

      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s history of taking sacks, recent game results, where the quarterback was drafted.

      What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, limiting opponents’ big plays, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks.

      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

      Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

      • Tyson Bagent (QB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
      • Rome Odunze (WR): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
      • Ozzy Trapilo (T): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
      Technical details and calculations
      • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
      • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
      Team sack avoidance0.9732+1.512
      PGO v0 results-history input1.094+0.650
      QB draft-position prior1+0.455
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03378-0.409
      Explosive-play prevention0.9331-0.336
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.0154+0.321
      QB historical sack avoidance0.9392-0.266
      QB historical ball security0.9803+0.225
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1092+0.200
      QB experience prior1.099+0.192
      QB historical passing sample size6.343+0.178
      Offensive explosive-play rate0.06879-0.134
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.01227-0.130
      Defensive takeaway rate0.01712-0.130
      QB completion rate above expectation-1.86-0.097
      Team giveaway avoidance0.9831-0.041
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1159-0.025
      Defensive sack creation0.05994-0.023
      QB historical rushing efficiency0.1248+0.005
      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
      Total model output+2.148
      #10 DEN · PGO rating +1.939

      September 8 comparison: #10, rating +2.002. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

      Expected quarterback: Bo Nix.

      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the team’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays.

      What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, the team’s running numbers, where the quarterback was drafted.

      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

      Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

        Technical details and calculations
        • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
        • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
        PGO v0 results-history input2.037+1.210
        Team sack avoidance0.9562+0.939
        QB historical sack avoidance0.9557-0.862
        Explosive-play prevention0.9498+0.275
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.06744-0.205
        QB experience prior1.099+0.192
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.06981+0.189
        QB draft-position prior0.2887-0.184
        QB historical ball security0.9795+0.174
        QB historical passing sample size6.323+0.165
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.01249-0.131
        Offensive explosive-play rate0.04837+0.075
        Defensive sack creation0.09883+0.067
        Defensive takeaway rate0.02008+0.052
        QB completion rate above expectation-0.4556-0.051
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1494+0.050
        Team giveaway avoidance0.9834-0.045
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.009359+0.019
        QB historical rushing efficiency0.1303+0.009
        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Total model output+1.939
        #11 DET · PGO rating +1.786

        September 8 comparison: #12, rating +1.649. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

        Expected quarterback: Jared Goff.

        What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, recent game results, where the quarterback was drafted.

        What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the team’s running numbers, limiting opponents’ big plays, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks.

        Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

        Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

        • Keith Abney II (CB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        • Thomas Harper (S): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        • Christian Izien (S): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Derrick Moore (DE): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Trevor Nowaske (LB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        • Ennis Rakestraw Jr. (CB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        • Jimmy Rolder (LB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        • Mekhi Wingo (DT): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        Technical details and calculations
        • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
        • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1487+1.500
        PGO v0 results-history input1.806+1.073
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.1164-0.515
        QB draft-position prior1+0.455
        Explosive-play prevention0.9328-0.348
        QB historical sack avoidance0.9413-0.340
        QB historical passing sample size6.571+0.337
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1416+0.258
        Defensive takeaway rate0.0153-0.242
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.04338-0.232
        Offensive explosive-play rate0.07565-0.204
        Team sack avoidance0.9337+0.177
        QB historical rushing efficiency-0.1092-0.162
        QB experience prior2.398-0.129
        QB historical ball security0.9787+0.125
        QB completion rate above expectation1.666+0.018
        Defensive sack creation0.07765+0.018
        Team giveaway avoidance0.9801-0.005
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.02124+0.002
        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Total model output+1.786
        #12 CIN · PGO rating +1.678

        September 8 comparison: #13, rating +1.558. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

        Expected quarterback: Joe Burrow.

        What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks, the team’s running numbers.

        What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, limiting opponents’ big plays, opponents’ running numbers.

        Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

        Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

        • Ja'Marr Chase (WR): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        • Tee Higgins (WR): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        • Shemar Stewart (DE): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        Technical details and calculations
        • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
        • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1042+0.760
        Team sack avoidance0.9479+0.658
        PGO v0 results-history input-0.9802-0.582
        Explosive-play prevention0.927-0.560
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.04187+0.489
        QB draft-position prior1+0.455
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.04324-0.231
        Defensive takeaway rate0.02289+0.225
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.09266+0.170
        QB historical ball security0.9787+0.125
        QB historical passing sample size6.217+0.091
        QB completion rate above expectation3.74+0.086
        Defensive sack creation0.08782+0.042
        QB historical sack avoidance0.9328-0.034
        QB historical rushing efficiency0.1512+0.024
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.08783-0.017
        QB experience prior1.946-0.017
        Team giveaway avoidance0.981-0.016
        Offensive explosive-play rate0.05485+0.009
        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Total model output+1.678
        #13 SF · PGO rating +1.081

        September 8 comparison: #11, rating +1.975. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

        Expected quarterback: Brock Purdy.

        What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks, recent game results.

        What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the defense’s history of winning the ball back, the quarterback’s history of losing the ball, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks.

        Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

        Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

        • Nick Bosa (DE): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Alfred Collins (DT): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Luke Gifford (LB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Renardo Green (CB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Dre Greenlaw (LB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Gracen Halton (DT): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Romello Height (DE): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Kyle Juszczyk (FB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • George Kittle (TE): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        • Upton Stout (CB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        • James Thompson Jr. (DT): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
        Technical details and calculations
        • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
        • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1337+1.249
        Team sack avoidance0.9528+0.825
        PGO v0 results-history input1.093+0.649
        Defensive takeaway rate0.009857-0.576
        QB historical ball security0.9678-0.543
        QB historical sack avoidance0.9438-0.430
        QB draft-position prior0.06178-0.388
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.04624-0.241
        Explosive-play prevention0.9487+0.236
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.09286+0.170
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.04992-0.094
        Defensive sack creation0.04032-0.068
        QB experience prior1.609+0.066
        Team giveaway avoidance0.9743+0.066
        QB historical rushing efficiency0.2061+0.063
        QB completion rate above expectation2.844+0.057
        Offensive explosive-play rate0.05035+0.055
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1237-0.027
        QB historical passing sample size6.104+0.013
        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Total model output+1.081
        #14 MIN · PGO rating +0.907

        September 8 comparison: #15, rating +0.959. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

        Expected quarterback: Kyler Murray.

        What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from limiting opponents’ big plays, where the quarterback was drafted, recent game results.

        What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the team’s history of taking sacks, the team’s passing numbers, the quarterback’s passing numbers.

        Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

        Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

        • Jonathan Bullard (DT): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
        • Ajani Cornelius (T): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
        Technical details and calculations
        • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
        • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
        Team sack avoidance0.8859-1.437
        Explosive-play prevention0.967+0.905
        QB draft-position prior1+0.455
        PGO v0 results-history input0.726+0.431
        Defensive takeaway rate0.02575+0.402
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1336+0.347
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1908-0.343
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.04514-0.221
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01037+0.157
        QB historical passing sample size5.88-0.142
        Offensive explosive-play rate0.0443+0.117
        QB historical ball security0.9785+0.114
        Defensive sack creation0.1178+0.110
        QB historical sack avoidance0.9342-0.083
        Team giveaway avoidance0.9737+0.073
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.219+0.069
        QB experience prior2.079-0.050
        QB historical rushing efficiency0.1439+0.018
        QB completion rate above expectation0.6334-0.015
        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
        Total model output+0.907
        #15 GB · PGO rating +0.855

        September 8 comparison: #17, rating +0.513. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

        Expected quarterback: Jordan Love.

        What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks, the team’s passing numbers.

        What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays, where the quarterback was drafted.

        Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

        Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

          Technical details and calculations
          • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
          • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

          These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

          InputRaw inputFitted contribution
          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1537+1.581
          QB historical sack avoidance0.9516-0.712
          Team sack avoidance0.9401+0.393
          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.2093+0.381
          PGO v0 results-history input0.6113+0.363
          Explosive-play prevention0.9343-0.293
          QB draft-position prior0.1961-0.267
          Defensive takeaway rate0.01532-0.240
          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.06631-0.198
          Offensive explosive-play rate0.07264-0.173
          QB historical passing sample size6.247+0.112
          QB historical ball security0.9784+0.108
          Team giveaway avoidance0.9869-0.087
          Defensive sack creation0.04503-0.057
          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01054-0.056
          QB completion rate above expectation2.409+0.043
          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1577-0.037
          QB experience prior1.946-0.017
          QB historical rushing efficiency0.133+0.011
          Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
          Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
          Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
          Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
          Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
          Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
          Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
          Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
          QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
          QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
          QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
          QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
          QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
          QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
          QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
          QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
          QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
          Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
          Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
          Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
          Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
          Total model output+0.855
          #16 LAC · PGO rating +0.304

          September 8 comparison: #14, rating +1.356. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

          Expected quarterback: Justin Herbert.

          What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, the defense’s history of winning the ball back, opponents’ running numbers.

          What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the team’s history of taking sacks, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s passing numbers.

          Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

          Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

            Technical details and calculations
            • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
            • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

            These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

            InputRaw inputFitted contribution
            Team sack avoidance0.8894-1.321
            QB historical sack avoidance0.9196+0.442
            Defensive takeaway rate0.02636+0.439
            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03595-0.373
            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1314+0.340
            PGO v0 results-history input0.5466+0.325
            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1726-0.310
            QB historical passing sample size6.491+0.282
            Explosive-play prevention0.9489+0.244
            Offensive explosive-play rate0.04418+0.118
            QB historical ball security0.9783+0.105
            QB draft-position prior0.4082-0.077
            Defensive sack creation0.09055+0.048
            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.02771+0.047
            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.08383+0.031
            QB experience prior1.946-0.017
            Team giveaway avoidance0.9811-0.017
            QB completion rate above expectation0.6538-0.015
            QB historical rushing efficiency0.1363+0.013
            Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
            Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
            Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
            Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
            Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
            Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
            Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
            Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
            QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
            Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
            Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
            Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
            Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
            Total model output+0.304
            #17 IND · PGO rating +0.297

            September 8 comparison: #18, rating +0.226. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

            Expected quarterback: Daniel Jones.

            What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s history of taking sacks, the team’s running numbers, opponents’ running numbers.

            What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the defense’s history of winning the ball back, the quarterback’s history of losing the ball.

            Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

            Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

            • A.J. Haulcy (S): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
            • Andrew Ogletree (TE): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
            • Alec Pierce (WR): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
            • Sedrick Van Pran-Granger (C): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
            Technical details and calculations
            • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
            • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

            These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

            InputRaw inputFitted contribution
            Team sack avoidance0.9495+0.710
            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03461-0.395
            Defensive takeaway rate0.01547-0.231
            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.007448+0.176
            QB historical ball security0.9743-0.141
            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.06505+0.123
            Team giveaway avoidance0.9698+0.119
            Offensive explosive-play rate0.04493+0.111
            Explosive-play prevention0.9394-0.103
            PGO v0 results-history input0.1501+0.089
            QB historical sack avoidance0.9297+0.079
            QB draft-position prior0.4082-0.077
            Defensive sack creation0.04508-0.057
            QB experience prior2.079-0.050
            QB historical rushing efficiency0.1879+0.050
            QB historical passing sample size6.016-0.048
            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.01812-0.030
            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1301-0.029
            QB completion rate above expectation1.186+0.003
            Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
            Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
            Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
            Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
            Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
            Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
            Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
            Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
            QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
            QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
            Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
            Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
            Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
            Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
            Total model output+0.297
            #18 KC · PGO rating +0.202

            September 8 comparison: #20, rating +0.030. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

            Expected quarterback: Patrick Mahomes.

            What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, limiting opponents’ big plays, how much quarterback passing history is available.

            What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the team’s history of taking sacks, the defense’s history of winning the ball back, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks.

            Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

            Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

              Technical details and calculations
              • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
              • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

              These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

              InputRaw inputFitted contribution
              Team sack avoidance0.898-1.031
              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1119+0.888
              Explosive-play prevention0.9539+0.424
              QB historical passing sample size6.575+0.340
              Defensive takeaway rate0.01388-0.329
              QB historical sack avoidance0.9397-0.284
              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1134+0.281
              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1388-0.249
              QB draft-position prior0.3162-0.160
              PGO v0 results-history input0.2544+0.151
              Offensive explosive-play rate0.04357+0.125
              QB historical ball security0.9786+0.123
              QB experience prior2.303-0.105
              QB historical rushing efficiency0.2605+0.102
              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.04545-0.065
              Team giveaway avoidance0.9815-0.022
              QB completion rate above expectation1.542+0.014
              Defensive sack creation0.06495-0.011
              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.007375+0.010
              Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
              Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
              Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
              Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
              Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
              QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
              Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
              Total model output+0.202
              #19 TB · PGO rating +0.196

              September 8 comparison: #19, rating +0.079. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

              Expected quarterback: Baker Mayfield.

              What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from where the quarterback was drafted, how much quarterback passing history is available, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

              What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, limiting opponents’ big plays, the quarterback’s history of losing the ball.

              Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

              Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

              • Rueben Bain Jr. (LB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              • Emeka Egbuka (WR): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
              • Jalen McMillan (WR): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              • Christian Rozeboom (LB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              • Billy Schrauth (G): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
              • Justin Skule (T): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              • Sean Tucker (RB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
              Technical details and calculations
              • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
              • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

              These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

              InputRaw inputFitted contribution
              PGO v0 results-history input-0.9789-0.581
              QB draft-position prior1+0.455
              QB historical passing sample size6.491+0.282
              Defensive takeaway rate0.02298+0.231
              Explosive-play prevention0.936-0.230
              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.09403+0.218
              QB historical ball security0.9746-0.126
              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01581+0.123
              QB experience prior2.197-0.079
              Team sack avoidance0.9303+0.061
              QB historical rushing efficiency0.196+0.056
              QB historical sack avoidance0.9332-0.047
              Defensive sack creation0.05041-0.045
              QB completion rate above expectation-0.07988-0.039
              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1448-0.033
              Offensive explosive-play rate0.05886-0.032
              Team giveaway avoidance0.9803-0.008
              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.05813-0.005
              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.003047-0.003
              Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
              Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
              Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
              Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
              Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
              QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
              Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
              Total model output+0.196
              #20 ATL · PGO rating -0.267

              September 8 comparison: #21, rating -0.290. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

              Expected quarterback: Tua Tagovailoa.

              What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s history of taking sacks, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

              What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from limiting opponents’ big plays, recent game results, the quarterback’s history of losing the ball.

              Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

              Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

              • Billy Bowman Jr. (CB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              • Zachariah Branch (WR): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              • Brandon Dorlus (DT): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              • Kyle Hinton (G): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              • Michael Penix Jr. (QB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
              • Za'Darius Smith (DE): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              Technical details and calculations
              • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
              • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

              These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

              InputRaw inputFitted contribution
              Team sack avoidance0.9501+0.733
              Explosive-play prevention0.9286-0.501
              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.08662+0.468
              PGO v0 results-history input-0.7413-0.440
              QB historical ball security0.9714-0.322
              Defensive takeaway rate0.02322+0.246
              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.06841-0.211
              QB historical sack avoidance0.937-0.184
              QB historical rushing efficiency-0.06496-0.131
              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.003933-0.103
              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.03637+0.068
              QB historical passing sample size6.181+0.067
              Defensive sack creation0.09205+0.051
              QB draft-position prior0.4472-0.042
              Offensive explosive-play rate0.05166+0.042
              QB completion rate above expectation1.892+0.026
              Team giveaway avoidance0.9818-0.025
              QB experience prior1.946-0.017
              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.005178+0.009
              Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
              Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
              Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
              Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
              Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
              QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
              Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
              Total model output-0.267
              #21 PIT · PGO rating -0.759

              September 8 comparison: #16, rating +0.575. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

              Expected quarterback: Aaron Rodgers.

              What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the defense’s history of winning the ball back, the team’s history of taking sacks, the quarterback’s history of losing the ball.

              What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, quarterback experience, where the quarterback was drafted.

              Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

              Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

              • Joey Porter Jr. (CB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
              Technical details and calculations
              • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
              • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

              These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

              InputRaw inputFitted contribution
              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.01988-0.640
              Defensive takeaway rate0.02611+0.424
              Team sack avoidance0.9399+0.388
              QB experience prior3.091-0.300
              QB draft-position prior0.2041-0.260
              QB historical sack avoidance0.9379-0.216
              QB historical ball security0.98+0.204
              QB historical passing sample size6.362+0.192
              PGO v0 results-history input-0.3155-0.187
              Explosive-play prevention0.9377-0.166
              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01475+0.130
              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.06731-0.119
              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.003383-0.079
              Team giveaway avoidance0.9854-0.069
              QB completion rate above expectation-0.4599-0.051
              QB historical rushing efficiency0.06843-0.035
              Offensive explosive-play rate0.05361+0.022
              Defensive sack creation0.07499+0.012
              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.05011-0.007
              Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
              Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
              Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
              Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
              Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
              QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
              QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
              Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
              Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
              Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
              Total model output-0.759
              #22 WAS · PGO rating -0.785

              September 8 comparison: #22, rating -1.386. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

              Expected quarterback: Jayden Daniels.

              What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, the team’s history of taking sacks, quarterback experience.

              What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, the defense’s history of winning the ball back, opponents’ running numbers.

              Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

              Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                Technical details and calculations
                • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                PGO v0 results-history input-1.551-0.921
                Defensive takeaway rate0.01012-0.560
                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.09616-0.405
                QB historical sack avoidance0.9235+0.302
                QB historical passing sample size5.69-0.275
                Team sack avoidance0.935+0.220
                QB experience prior1.099+0.192
                QB draft-position prior0.7071+0.192
                QB historical ball security0.9795+0.177
                Explosive-play prevention0.946+0.137
                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01804+0.109
                Offensive explosive-play rate0.05011+0.058
                Team giveaway avoidance0.975+0.057
                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.0552-0.054
                QB historical rushing efficiency0.1812+0.045
                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1705-0.040
                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.01061-0.017
                QB completion rate above expectation0.656-0.015
                Defensive sack creation0.07491+0.012
                Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                Total model output-0.785
                #23 DAL · PGO rating -1.239

                September 8 comparison: #23, rating -1.387. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                Expected quarterback: Dak Prescott.

                What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks, the team’s passing numbers.

                What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, limiting opponents’ big plays, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

                Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                  Technical details and calculations
                  • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                  • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                  These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                  InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1146+0.932
                  PGO v0 results-history input-1.439-0.855
                  Explosive-play prevention0.9277-0.533
                  Team sack avoidance0.9434+0.504
                  Defensive takeaway rate0.01106-0.502
                  QB historical sack avoidance0.9421-0.371
                  QB draft-position prior0.08607-0.366
                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.07222-0.326
                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.136+0.248
                  QB historical passing sample size6.405+0.222
                  QB experience prior2.398-0.129
                  QB historical ball security0.9785+0.115
                  Offensive explosive-play rate0.06324-0.077
                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.2834-0.072
                  QB historical rushing efficiency0.04146-0.055
                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.02717+0.051
                  Team giveaway avoidance0.9814-0.020
                  Defensive sack creation0.0635-0.014
                  QB completion rate above expectation1.426+0.011
                  Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                  Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                  Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                  Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                  QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Total model output-1.239
                  #24 NYG · PGO rating -1.435

                  September 8 comparison: #24, rating -1.490. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                  Expected quarterback: Jaxson Dart.

                  What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s running numbers, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, quarterback experience.

                  What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks.

                  Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                  Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                  • Shelby Harris (DT): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                  • Bryan Hudson (C): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                  • Theo Johnson (TE): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                  • Malik Nabers (WR): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                  • Andrew Thomas (T): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                  Technical details and calculations
                  • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                  • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                  These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                  InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                  PGO v0 results-history input-1.258-0.747
                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.01862-0.661
                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.05816+0.592
                  Team sack avoidance0.9135-0.507
                  QB historical passing sample size5.361-0.503
                  QB historical sack avoidance0.9186+0.478
                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.06536-0.304
                  QB experience prior0.6931+0.293
                  QB draft-position prior0.2-0.264
                  Explosive-play prevention0.9358-0.236
                  QB historical ball security0.9798+0.195
                  Defensive takeaway rate0.02119+0.121
                  QB historical rushing efficiency0.2747+0.112
                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.04361+0.081
                  Team giveaway avoidance0.9856-0.072
                  QB completion rate above expectation0.2077-0.029
                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01837+0.013
                  Defensive sack creation0.07355+0.009
                  Offensive explosive-play rate0.05627-0.006
                  Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                  Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                  Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                  Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                  QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Total model output-1.435
                  #25 CAR · PGO rating -1.640

                  September 8 comparison: #26, rating -2.158. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                  Expected quarterback: Bryce Young.

                  What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays, where the quarterback was drafted.

                  What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, recent game results, the team’s running numbers.

                  Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                  Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                  • Jonathon Brooks (RB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                  • Bobby Brown III (DT): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                  • Patrick Jones II (LB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
                  Technical details and calculations
                  • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                  • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                  These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                  InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.05466-1.878
                  PGO v0 results-history input-1.718-1.020
                  Team sack avoidance0.9439+0.522
                  Explosive-play prevention0.955+0.467
                  QB draft-position prior1+0.455
                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.0636-0.180
                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.01025-0.124
                  QB experience prior1.386+0.121
                  QB historical ball security0.975-0.103
                  QB historical passing sample size6.233+0.102
                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.05438-0.096
                  Team giveaway avoidance0.974+0.069
                  QB historical sack avoidance0.9335-0.061
                  Offensive explosive-play rate0.05046+0.054
                  Defensive takeaway rate0.02+0.048
                  QB historical rushing efficiency0.1809+0.045
                  Defensive sack creation0.0603-0.022
                  QB completion rate above expectation0.4732-0.021
                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.09807-0.020
                  Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                  Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                  Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                  Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                  QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                  QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                  Total model output-1.640
                  #26 NO · PGO rating -1.765

                  September 8 comparison: #25, rating -1.786. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                  Expected quarterback: Tyler Shough.

                  What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, opponents’ running numbers, quarterback experience.

                  What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, how much quarterback passing history is available.

                  Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                  Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                    Technical details and calculations
                    • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                    • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                    These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                    InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                    PGO v0 results-history input-1.523-0.904
                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.01903-0.654
                    QB historical passing sample size5.354-0.507
                    Team sack avoidance0.9148-0.462
                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.104-0.437
                    QB historical sack avoidance0.922+0.354
                    QB draft-position prior0.1581-0.302
                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1192+0.300
                    QB experience prior0.6931+0.293
                    Explosive-play prevention0.9499+0.281
                    Offensive explosive-play rate0.04728+0.087
                    QB historical ball security0.9779+0.080
                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.03728+0.070
                    Defensive takeaway rate0.01824-0.060
                    Defensive sack creation0.0949+0.058
                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1371+0.046
                    QB historical rushing efficiency0.08097-0.027
                    Team giveaway avoidance0.9781+0.019
                    QB completion rate above expectation1.118+0.001
                    Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                    Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                    Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                    Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                    QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                    QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                    QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                    QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                    QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                    QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                    QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                    QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                    QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                    Total model output-1.765
                    #27 MIA · PGO rating -3.238

                    September 8 comparison: #27, rating -3.356. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                    Expected quarterback: Malik Willis.

                    What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

                    What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from how much quarterback passing history is available, recent game results, limiting opponents’ big plays.

                    Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                    Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                      Technical details and calculations
                      • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                      • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                      QB historical passing sample size3.859-1.545
                      PGO v0 results-history input-2.156-1.281
                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.09591+0.622
                      Explosive-play prevention0.9317-0.388
                      QB draft-position prior0.1078-0.347
                      Team sack avoidance0.9187-0.329
                      QB historical sack avoidance0.9229+0.323
                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.07006-0.221
                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.03681-0.210
                      Offensive explosive-play rate0.06574-0.103
                      Defensive takeaway rate0.02039+0.072
                      QB experience prior1.609+0.066
                      QB historical ball security0.9776+0.058
                      QB completion rate above expectation2.579+0.048
                      Team giveaway avoidance0.976+0.044
                      QB historical rushing efficiency0.0755-0.030
                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1068-0.023
                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.002987+0.008
                      Defensive sack creation0.06856-0.003
                      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Total model output-3.238
                      #28 ARI · PGO rating -4.648

                      September 8 comparison: #28, rating -4.775. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                      Expected quarterback: Jacoby Brissett.

                      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, the quarterback’s history of losing the ball, the team’s running numbers.

                      What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks.

                      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                      Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                      • Aaron Banks (G): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                      • Warren Brinson (DT): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
                      • Javon Hargrave (DT): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                      • Ty'Ron Hopper (LB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
                      • Jordan Morgan (T): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                      • Barryn Sorrell (LB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                      • Zach Bako-Bewele (T): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                      • Devonte Wyatt (DT): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                      Technical details and calculations
                      • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                      • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                      PGO v0 results-history input-3.309-1.966
                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.006593-1.080
                      Team sack avoidance0.9153-0.444
                      Defensive takeaway rate0.01271-0.401
                      QB draft-position prior0.1048-0.350
                      QB historical sack avoidance0.9229+0.323
                      Explosive-play prevention0.9342-0.296
                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.02517-0.172
                      QB experience prior2.398-0.129
                      QB historical passing sample size5.983-0.071
                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.2647-0.067
                      Defensive sack creation0.0473-0.052
                      QB historical ball security0.9775+0.051
                      Offensive explosive-play rate0.05989-0.043
                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.03054+0.029
                      QB historical rushing efficiency0.1485+0.022
                      Team giveaway avoidance0.9791+0.007
                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.004402-0.006
                      QB completion rate above expectation0.9572-0.005
                      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Total model output-4.648
                      #29 CLE · PGO rating -5.091

                      September 8 comparison: #29, rating -5.239. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                      Expected quarterback: Deshaun Watson.

                      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays, big plays on offense.

                      What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, recent game results, the team’s history of taking sacks.

                      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                      Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                      • Parker Brailsford (C): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                      • Maliek Collins (DT): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                      • Teven Jenkins (G): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                      • Carson Schwesinger (LB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                      Technical details and calculations
                      • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                      • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.03476-1.547
                      PGO v0 results-history input-2.473-1.469
                      Team sack avoidance0.8976-1.044
                      QB historical passing sample size4.818-0.880
                      QB historical sack avoidance0.9142+0.636
                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.2848-0.512
                      Defensive takeaway rate0.0149-0.266
                      Explosive-play prevention0.9485+0.230
                      QB draft-position prior0.2887-0.184
                      Offensive explosive-play rate0.03899+0.172
                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.02052-0.157
                      Team giveaway avoidance0.9707+0.109
                      QB experience prior2.303-0.105
                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.04909-0.088
                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1602+0.053
                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.007964-0.036
                      Defensive sack creation0.08322+0.031
                      QB historical ball security0.9763-0.023
                      QB historical rushing efficiency0.1066-0.008
                      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Total model output-5.091
                      #30 TEN · PGO rating -5.708

                      September 8 comparison: #30, rating -5.891. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                      Expected quarterback: Cam Ward.

                      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, where the quarterback was drafted, quarterback experience.

                      What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, limiting opponents’ big plays.

                      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                      Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                      • Keldric Faulk (DE): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                      • Cedric Gray (LB): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
                      Technical details and calculations
                      • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                      • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                      PGO v0 results-history input-4.469-2.654
                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.1001-2.632
                      Explosive-play prevention0.9275-0.542
                      QB historical sack avoidance0.9176+0.514
                      Defensive takeaway rate0.01089-0.513
                      QB draft-position prior1+0.455
                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1976-0.355
                      QB experience prior0.6931+0.293
                      QB historical passing sample size5.802-0.197
                      QB completion rate above expectation-1.471-0.084
                      Team giveaway avoidance0.9847-0.061
                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.2372-0.059
                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.0407+0.043
                      Team sack avoidance0.9295+0.034
                      Offensive explosive-play rate0.05333+0.025
                      QB historical ball security0.9763-0.020
                      Defensive sack creation0.07813+0.019
                      QB historical rushing efficiency0.1412+0.016
                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.03374+0.009
                      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                      Total model output-5.708
                      #31 LV · PGO rating -7.028

                      September 8 comparison: #31, rating -7.224. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                      Expected quarterback: Kirk Cousins.

                      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from limiting opponents’ big plays, big plays on offense, opponents’ running numbers.

                      What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, the team’s running numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks.

                      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                      Report saved with this forecast: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                        Technical details and calculations
                        • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                        • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                        PGO v0 results-history input-4.411-2.620
                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.2805-1.557
                        Team sack avoidance0.8838-1.510
                        Explosive-play prevention0.959+0.613
                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.2384-0.429
                        Defensive takeaway rate0.01319-0.372
                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03642-0.365
                        QB draft-position prior0.09901-0.355
                        QB historical sack avoidance0.9416-0.353
                        QB experience prior2.708-0.205
                        Offensive explosive-play rate0.038+0.182
                        QB historical ball security0.9746-0.124
                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.06451+0.121
                        QB historical rushing efficiency-0.009074-0.091
                        Team giveaway avoidance0.9762+0.042
                        Defensive sack creation0.08216+0.028
                        QB completion rate above expectation0.2377-0.028
                        QB historical passing sample size6.072-0.009
                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.0161+0.003
                        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Total model output-7.028
                        #32 NYJ · PGO rating -7.474

                        September 8 comparison: #32, rating -7.569. This edition adds playoff history; the change compares model editions, not movement from a newly played game.

                        Expected quarterback: Geno Smith.

                        What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, big plays on offense, how much quarterback passing history is available.

                        What holds this rating back: the largest downward contributions come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks.

                        Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                        Report saved with this forecast: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. Captured . These are the earlier saved inputs. Later final-inactive notes for NE–SEA are separate context and do not change the saved rating. Official report source.

                        • Isaiah Davis (RB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                        • Breece Hall (RB): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                        • Joseph Ossai (DE): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
                        • Tim Patrick (WR): Practice: Did Not Participate In Practice
                        • D'Angelo Ponds (CB): Practice: Limited Participation in Practice
                        • Kenyon Sadiq (TE): Practice: Full Participation in Practice
                        Technical details and calculations
                        • Captured official NFL table; retrieval time is not the report publication time.
                        • Non-QB injuries are not priced in this edition. ACT eligibility does not establish health.

                        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                        PGO v0 results-history input-5.285-3.139
                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.02937-1.458
                        Team sack avoidance0.9028-0.867
                        Defensive takeaway rate0.00562-0.837
                        QB historical sack avoidance0.9143+0.635
                        Explosive-play prevention0.9289-0.491
                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.2621-0.471
                        QB draft-position prior0.1601-0.300
                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.08193-0.297
                        QB historical ball security0.9721-0.280
                        Offensive explosive-play rate0.03269+0.236
                        QB historical passing sample size6.359+0.190
                        QB experience prior2.639-0.188
                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.3806-0.100
                        Defensive sack creation0.04108-0.066
                        QB historical rushing efficiency0.04294-0.054
                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01123-0.053
                        QB completion rate above expectation2.303+0.039
                        Team giveaway avoidance0.9775+0.027
                        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB experience prior (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0+0.000
                        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0+0.000
                        Total model output-7.474

                        PGO confidence picks

                        EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. Week 1 · full slate · 16 games. These picks and win chances come from the September 9 postseason model.

                        We give the most confidence points to PGO's strongest win chances. Expected pool points = confidence points × the picked team's win chance. These are confidence-pool points, not NFL scoreboard points.

                        Expected pool points87.17136 points available across this slate
                        Full-slate points earned00 of 16 final results recorded

                        NE @ SEA is included; its confidence calculation was added after lock. The original game forecast was saved before lock. This full-slate allocation is not a pregame pool submission; the earlier 15-game allocation remains available below.

                        MatchupPGO pickModel win chanceConfidence pointsExpected pool pointsEarned points
                        CLE @ JAXJAX78.8%1612.61
                        ARI @ LACLAC70.7%1510.61
                        WAS @ PHIPHI68.3%149.56
                        NO @ DETDET66.6%138.66
                        SF @ LARLAR63.9%127.67
                        NYJ @ TENTEN61.1%116.72
                        NE @ SEA
                        Added after lock
                        SEA60.8%106.08
                        TB @ CINCIN60.2%95.41
                        MIA @ LVMIA57.1%84.57
                        CHI @ CARCHI57.1%74.00
                        GB @ MINMIN55.4%63.33
                        DAL @ NYGNYG54.6%52.73
                        ATL @ PITPIT53.6%42.14
                        BUF @ HOUHOU52.4%31.57
                        BAL @ INDBAL51.0%21.02
                        DEN @ KCDEN50.2%10.50

                        Win chances are experimental estimates, not guarantees. Non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments in these saved forecasts. The listed quarterback is assumed to play. A loss or tie earns zero pool points.

                        How PGO calculates and grades these picks

                        The model first predicts the home team's scoring margin. A probability curve fitted to 2018–2025 historical out-of-fold forecasts converts that margin into home-win, away-win and tie probabilities. The team with the larger win probability is the pick. This curve preserves the model's favorite and its ordering by margin size.

                        Confidence points run from 1 through 16, used once each. Multiplying each allocation by its win chance gives its expected contribution; we add those contributions for the total. The calculation uses full precision before display rounding. Maximizing expected points is different from maximizing the chance of finishing first.

                        Saved . Allocations stay fixed as games lock. Official final results supply earned points and probability grades; pending games are not counted as losses.

                        0 eligible final results in probability accuracy grades. Rows added after lock are excluded from these grades. The full-slate earned-point total above includes them for tracking only.

                        The historical test showed only a small improvement and reused previously examined seasons. Historical source timing and calibration transfer remain limitations. Live probability accuracy has not been established.

                        Saved model picks and exact calculation · Verification record · Historical probability test · Try your own probability assumptions

                        Earlier 15-game confidence allocation

                        PGO confidence picks

                        EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. Week 1 · 15 remaining games. These picks and win chances come from the September 9 postseason model.

                        We give the most confidence points to PGO's strongest win chances. Expected pool points = confidence points × the picked team's win chance. These are confidence-pool points, not NFL scoreboard points.

                        Expected pool points77.00120 points available across this slate
                        Points earned so far00 of 15 final results recorded

                        NE @ SEA was already locked when this layer was created. It receives no new confidence allocation. Its original prediction remains in the saved matchups. This is a remaining-games slate, not a full 16-game pool entry.

                        MatchupPGO pickModel win chanceConfidence pointsExpected pool pointsEarned points
                        CLE @ JAXJAX78.8%1511.82
                        ARI @ LACLAC70.7%149.90
                        WAS @ PHIPHI68.3%138.88
                        NO @ DETDET66.6%128.00
                        SF @ LARLAR63.9%117.03
                        NYJ @ TENTEN61.1%106.11
                        TB @ CINCIN60.2%95.41
                        MIA @ LVMIA57.1%84.57
                        CHI @ CARCHI57.1%74.00
                        GB @ MINMIN55.4%63.33
                        DAL @ NYGNYG54.6%52.73
                        ATL @ PITPIT53.6%42.14
                        BUF @ HOUHOU52.4%31.57
                        BAL @ INDBAL51.0%21.02
                        DEN @ KCDEN50.2%10.50

                        Win chances are experimental estimates, not guarantees. Non-QB injuries are not numerical adjustments in these saved forecasts. The listed quarterback is assumed to play. A loss or tie earns zero pool points.

                        How PGO calculates and grades these picks

                        The model first predicts the home team's scoring margin. A probability curve fitted to 2018–2025 historical out-of-fold forecasts converts that margin into home-win, away-win and tie probabilities. The team with the larger win probability is the pick. This curve preserves the model's favorite and its ordering by margin size.

                        Confidence points run from 1 through 15, used once each. Multiplying each allocation by its win chance gives its expected contribution; we add those contributions for the total. The calculation uses full precision before display rounding. Maximizing expected points is different from maximizing the chance of finishing first.

                        Saved . Allocations stay fixed as games lock. Official final results supply earned points and probability grades; pending games are not counted as losses.

                        The historical test showed only a small improvement and reused previously examined seasons. Historical source timing and calibration transfer remain limitations. Live probability accuracy has not been established.

                        Saved model picks and exact calculation · Verification record · Historical probability test · Try your own probability assumptions

                        September 9 saved matchups

                        Scores are rounded averages. Open Model averages for decimals. About 25 points each means both estimates round to 25, not a predicted tie. The favored team uses the unrounded margin. These September 9 records have their own grades; earlier versions remain available, and no saved forecast is rewritten.

                        Week 1 16 games
                        MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsPrediction deadline (Eastern)Scheduled kickoffFinal score
                        NE @ SEA
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: SEA by 0.4 points

                        PGO v0: SEA by 3.9 points

                        SEA by 3.3 pointsNE 21, SEA 24
                        Model averages

                        NE 21.0, SEA 24.3

                        45.2Locked
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: SEA by 1.7 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for SEA. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves SEA by 3.3 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: NE: Drake Maye; SEA: Sam Darnold. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: NE averaged 26.52 scored and 17.86 allowed over 21 games; SEA averaged 29.20 scored and 16.90 allowed over 20 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 45.24 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (45.24 + (+3.29)) / 2 = 24.27. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 20.97. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: SEA by 0.4 points; 46.62 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        SF @ LAR
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: LAR by 2.5 points

                        PGO v0: LAR by 2.1 points

                        LAR by 4.3 pointsSF 22, LAR 27
                        Model averages

                        SF 22.5, LAR 26.7

                        49.2Locked
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: LAR by 4.3 points. The neutral site adds no home advantage. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves LAR by 4.3 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: SF: Brock Purdy; LAR: Matthew Stafford. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: SF averaged 24.53 scored and 22.68 allowed over 19 games; LAR averaged 29.95 scored and 21.25 allowed over 20 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 49.21 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (49.21 + (+4.27)) / 2 = 26.74. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 22.47. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: LAR by 2.5 points; 49.18 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        ATL @ PIT
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: PIT by 2.5 points

                        PGO v0: PIT by 3.7 points

                        PIT by 1.1 pointsATL 22, PIT 23
                        Model averages

                        ATL 21.9, PIT 23.0

                        45.0Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: ATL by 0.5 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for PIT. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves PIT by 1.1 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: ATL: Tua Tagovailoa; PIT: Aaron Rodgers. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: ATL averaged 20.76 scored and 23.59 allowed over 17 games; PIT averaged 22.39 scored and 23.17 allowed over 18 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 44.95 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (44.95 + (+1.12)) / 2 = 23.04. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 21.92. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: PIT by 2.5 points; 45.24 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        BAL @ IND
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: BAL by 0.4 points

                        PGO v0: IND by 0.7 points

                        BAL by 0.3 pointsAbout 25 points each
                        Model averages

                        BAL 25.2, IND 24.8

                        50.0Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: BAL by 2.0 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for IND. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves BAL by 0.3 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: BAL: Lamar Jackson; IND: Daniel Jones. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: BAL averaged 24.94 scored and 23.41 allowed over 17 games; IND averaged 27.41 scored and 24.24 allowed over 17 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 50.00 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (50.00 + (-0.34)) / 2 = 24.83. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 25.17. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: BAL by 0.4 points; 50.00 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        BUF @ HOU
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: HOU by 1.0 points

                        PGO v0: HOU by 2.0 points

                        HOU by 0.8 pointsAbout 23 points each
                        Model averages

                        BUF 22.5, HOU 23.3

                        45.8Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: BUF by 0.9 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for HOU. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves HOU by 0.8 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: BUF: Josh Allen; HOU: C.J. Stroud. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: BUF averaged 28.32 scored and 22.21 allowed over 19 games; HOU averaged 23.68 scored and 17.32 allowed over 19 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 45.76 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (45.76 + (+0.76)) / 2 = 23.26. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 22.50. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: HOU by 1.0 points; 45.44 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        CHI @ CAR
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: CHI by 3.2 points

                        PGO v0: CHI by 0.6 points

                        CHI by 2.2 pointsCHI 24, CAR 22
                        Model averages

                        CHI 24.1, CAR 21.9

                        46.0Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: CHI by 3.8 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for CAR. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves CHI by 2.2 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: CHI: Caleb Williams; CAR: Bryce Young. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: CHI averaged 25.74 scored and 24.32 allowed over 19 games; CAR averaged 19.00 scored and 23.00 allowed over 18 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 46.03 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (46.03 + (-2.17)) / 2 = 21.93. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 24.10. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: CHI by 3.2 points; 45.50 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        CLE @ JAX
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: JAX by 10.2 points

                        PGO v0: JAX by 8.2 points

                        JAX by 9.8 pointsCLE 17, JAX 27
                        Model averages

                        CLE 16.7, JAX 26.5

                        43.3Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: JAX by 8.2 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for JAX. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves JAX by 9.8 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: CLE: Deshaun Watson; JAX: Trevor Lawrence. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: CLE averaged 16.41 scored and 22.29 allowed over 17 games; JAX averaged 27.67 scored and 20.17 allowed over 18 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 43.27 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (43.27 + (+9.78)) / 2 = 26.53. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 16.74. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: JAX by 10.2 points; 43.18 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        NO @ DET
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: DET by 5.1 points

                        PGO v0: DET by 5.9 points

                        DET by 5.2 pointsNO 21, DET 26
                        Model averages

                        NO 20.7, DET 25.9

                        46.6Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: DET by 3.6 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for DET. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves DET by 5.2 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: NO: Tyler Shough; DET: Jared Goff. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: NO averaged 18.00 scored and 22.53 allowed over 17 games; DET averaged 28.29 scored and 24.29 allowed over 17 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 46.56 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (46.56 + (+5.17)) / 2 = 25.86. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 20.70. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: DET by 5.1 points; 46.56 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        NYJ @ TEN
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: TEN by 3.3 points

                        PGO v0: TEN by 3.3 points

                        TEN by 3.4 pointsNYJ 21, TEN 25
                        Model averages

                        NYJ 21.3, TEN 24.7

                        46.0Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: TEN by 1.8 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for TEN. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves TEN by 3.4 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: NYJ: Geno Smith; TEN: Cam Ward. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: NYJ averaged 17.65 scored and 29.59 allowed over 17 games; TEN averaged 16.71 scored and 28.12 allowed over 17 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 46.03 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (46.03 + (+3.38)) / 2 = 24.71. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 21.32. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: TEN by 3.3 points; 46.03 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        TB @ CIN
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: CIN by 3.1 points

                        PGO v0: CIN by 2.5 points

                        CIN by 3.1 pointsTB 23, CIN 27
                        Model averages

                        TB 23.4, CIN 26.5

                        49.9Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: CIN by 1.5 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for CIN. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves CIN by 3.1 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: TB: Baker Mayfield; CIN: Joe Burrow. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: TB averaged 22.35 scored and 24.18 allowed over 17 games; CIN averaged 24.35 scored and 28.94 allowed over 17 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 49.91 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (49.91 + (+3.10)) / 2 = 26.50. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 23.41. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: CIN by 3.1 points; 49.91 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        ARI @ LAC
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: LAC by 7.8 points

                        PGO v0: LAC by 6.7 points

                        LAC by 6.6 pointsARI 19, LAC 26
                        Model averages

                        ARI 19.2, LAC 25.8

                        45.0Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: LAC by 5.0 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for LAC. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves LAC by 6.6 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: ARI: Jacoby Brissett; LAC: Justin Herbert. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: ARI averaged 20.88 scored and 28.71 allowed over 17 games; LAC averaged 20.61 scored and 19.78 allowed over 18 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 44.99 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (44.99 + (+6.57)) / 2 = 25.78. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 19.21. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: LAC by 7.8 points; 45.62 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        GB @ MIN
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: MIN by 2.1 points

                        PGO v0: MIN by 2.7 points

                        MIN by 1.7 pointsGB 20, MIN 22
                        Model averages

                        GB 20.4, MIN 22.0

                        42.4Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: MIN by less than 0.1 point. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for MIN. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves MIN by 1.7 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: GB: Jordan Love; MIN: Kyler Murray. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: GB averaged 23.22 scored and 21.72 allowed over 18 games; MIN averaged 20.24 scored and 19.59 allowed over 17 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 42.38 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (42.38 + (+1.67)) / 2 = 22.03. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 20.36. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: MIN by 2.1 points; 42.00 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        MIA @ LV
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: MIA by 2.2 points

                        PGO v0: LV by 0.2 points

                        MIA by 2.2 pointsMIA 22, LV 20
                        Model averages

                        MIA 22.3, LV 20.1

                        42.5Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: MIA by 3.8 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for LV. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves MIA by 2.2 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: MIA: Malik Willis; LV: Kirk Cousins. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: MIA averaged 20.41 scored and 24.94 allowed over 17 games; LV averaged 14.18 scored and 25.41 allowed over 17 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 42.47 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (42.47 + (-2.17)) / 2 = 20.15. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 22.32. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: MIA by 2.2 points; 42.47 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        WAS @ PHI
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: PHI by 6.0 points

                        PGO v0: PHI by 5.7 points

                        PHI by 5.7 pointsWAS 19, PHI 25
                        Model averages

                        WAS 19.4, PHI 25.1

                        44.5Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: PHI by 4.1 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for PHI. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves PHI by 5.7 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: WAS: Jayden Daniels; PHI: Jalen Hurts. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: WAS averaged 20.94 scored and 26.53 allowed over 17 games; PHI averaged 22.11 scored and 19.33 allowed over 18 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 44.46 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (44.46 + (+5.72)) / 2 = 25.09. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 19.37. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: PHI by 6.0 points; 44.44 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        DAL @ NYG
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: NYG by 1.5 points

                        PGO v0: NYG by 2.7 points

                        NYG by 1.4 pointsDAL 26, NYG 27
                        Model averages

                        DAL 25.8, NYG 27.2

                        53.0Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: DAL by 0.2 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for NYG. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves NYG by 1.4 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: DAL: Dak Prescott; NYG: Jaxson Dart. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: DAL averaged 27.71 scored and 30.06 allowed over 17 games; NYG averaged 22.41 scored and 25.82 allowed over 17 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 53.00 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (53.00 + (+1.42)) / 2 = 27.21. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 25.79. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: NYG by 1.5 points; 53.00 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        DEN @ KC
                        PGO postseason — Sep 9
                        Compare forecasts

                        September 8 corrected: DEN by 0.3 points

                        PGO v0: KC by 0.6 points

                        DEN by 0.1 pointsAbout 21 points each
                        Model averages

                        DEN 20.6, KC 20.5

                        41.1Draft
                        Why this forecast

                        How the edge is built

                        Before the venue adjustment: DEN by 1.7 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for KC. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves DEN by 0.1 points.

                        What changed

                        This candidate includes regular season and playoffs in its historical team and quarterback inputs. The September 8 model used regular-season history. More history does not automatically make the prediction more accurate.

                        Expected quarterbacks: DEN: Bo Nix; KC: Patrick Mahomes. Their history is already in the ratings.

                        Combined points

                        Using the 2025 regular season and playoffs: DEN averaged 23.21 scored and 18.47 allowed over 19 games; KC averaged 21.29 scored and 19.29 allowed over 17 games. Add these four averages and divide by two: 41.14 combined points.

                        Playoff teams have more games in these averages. This remains a simple scoring-history estimate.

                        What is still missing

                        Current non-QB player quality and the quality of defensive backups are not fitted adjustments in this candidate. The defensive-depth evidence below is descriptive. It does not add or subtract points from this forecast.

                        Full calculation and saved version

                        Home score = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2: (41.14 + (-0.12)) / 2 = 20.51. Away score = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2 = 20.63. Displayed figures are rounded; saved values keep full precision.

                        September 8 comparison: DEN by 0.3 points; 41.24 combined points.

                        Saved edition: pgo-postseason-week1-2026-09-09. EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                        September 9 forecast record and grades

                        0 of 16 saved September 9 forecasts have final results. Interim grades include misses as well as hits; they are not scientific promotion.

                        No finalized postseason candidate results recorded yet.

                        Testing, history and saved source

                        History includes REG, WC, DIV, CON, SB: 3407 regular-season and 155 playoff games. History through .

                        Seasons with lower error: 4. Paired error-reduction interval: -0.020 to +0.015. This is a historical comparison, not a range for a game result.

                        • Previously inspected seasons; diagnostic comparison, not fresh validation.
                        • Historical source vintage and recorded-starter timing remain under review.
                        • A passing comparison does not remove EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD.

                          Saved candidate inputs and outputs · Package verification

                          Defensive-production test

                          EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. This separate test added prior defensive activity, experienced-contributor breadth, and history coverage to the September 8 construction. It does not use current depth-chart order as a fitted feature or grade backup talent.

                          It did not pass the historical screen. Average margin error: 10.084 points versus 10.099 for the baseline on the same 2127 games; lower is better. It improved 4 of 8 seasons. On the same fresh inputs, New England moved from #1 in the control to #2 in this diagnostic. Rank movement is not evidence that a model is more accurate.

                          These results are not added to the postseason forecasts. Previously inspected historical seasons and uneven source coverage limit what this test can establish.

                          Defensive test result and source

                          Paired error-reduction interval: -0.034 to +0.064 points. This compares historical error; it is not an uncertainty range for a game forecast.

                          • Historical source publication vintage remains under review.
                          • Missing identities and statistic exposure are excluded and reported, not treated as zero ability.
                          • The fixed diagnostic screen does not remove EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD.

                          Full model-update report. Verified research manifest: d23b20fb253ad13d00bd71807c89ecad5368868f06bb146418ac2eb47d422f92.

                          Defensive depth: what the sources show

                          DESCRIPTIVE / NOT IN MODEL. This evidence does not change any rating or forecast. It shows current listed roles and past defensive playing time and production; it is not a talent ranking.

                          A rookie or player without matched history is unknown, not automatically a poor replacement. Position labels are preserved from the source: not every linebacker is an edge rusher. Past production does not isolate player quality or prove that the same role continues. Listed first means rank one in a source position or subpackage slot; a team can have more than eleven such listings. It is not an inferred starting lineup.

                          Current inputs through ; package created . Historical window: 2025 REG + POST.

                          ACT is an active-roster status, not a promise that a player will play. These counts include players with injury designations. No injury note does not establish that a player is healthy.

                          Final inactives: Patriots rechecked at 7:15 PM Eastern; Seattle checked at 6:52 PM: Seattle confirmed Nick Emmanwori and Tory Horton inactive; New England also listed Erick Hunter inactive. These later announcements do not change the captured roster counts or saved forecasts.

                          Tonight's official inactive lists

                          New England: Karon Prunty, TreVeyon Henderson (ankle), Erick Hunter, Walter Rouse, Ben Brown (knee) and Efton Chism III; Behren Morton is designated the emergency quarterback.

                          Seattle: Nick Emmanwori, Tory Horton, Ty Okada, Nick Kallerup, Beau Stephens and Mike Morris; Jalen Milroe is designated the emergency third quarterback.

                          Seattle roster update, September 9: The club announced AJ Finley joining the 53-player roster, Rodney Thomas II and Velus Jones Jr. being elevated, and Bryce Cabeldue being waived. Those moves are missing from this captured provider roster. The table and saved forecasts retain their dated inputs.

                          Select a team for player-level evidence. A backup with past snaps has recorded experience, not a verified quality grade. Missing depth roles and missing history stay explicit.

                          ARI: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Andrew Wingard
                          00-0035378
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          999.00.01.03.09.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          JAX
                          Budda Baker
                          00-0033890
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1042.00.51.04.05.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          ARI
                          Dadrion Taylor-Demerson
                          00-0039864
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          452.00.00.00.06.02.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          ARI
                          Denzel Burke
                          00-0040195
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          679.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          ARI
                          Garrett Williams
                          00-0039007
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          553.00.00.01.05.01.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          ARI
                          Kei'Trel Clark
                          00-0038984
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          201.00.00.01.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          ARI
                          Kitan Crawford
                          00-0040230
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          142.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          ARI
                          Max Melton
                          00-0039807
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          423.00.00.01.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          9 observed games
                          ARI
                          Will Johnson
                          00-0040751
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          722.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          ARI
                          Wydett Williams Jr.
                          00-0041370
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Andrew Billings
                          00-0033066
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          553.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          CHI
                          Dante Stills
                          00-0038623
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          548.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          ARI
                          Darius Robinson
                          00-0039854
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          507.01.02.04.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          ARI
                          L.J. Collier
                          00-0035636
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          98.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          ARI
                          Roy Lopez
                          00-0036568
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          425.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DET
                          Walter Nolen
                          00-0040706
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          169.02.05.05.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          6 observed games
                          ARI
                          Baron Browning
                          00-0036995
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          519.02.05.04.01.01.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          ARI
                          Cody Simon
                          00-0040645
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          564.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          ARI
                          Eku Leota
                          00-0038782
                          LB / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jack Gibbens
                          00-0037596
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          604.01.03.08.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          21 observed games
                          NE
                          Jordan Burch
                          00-0040137
                          LB / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          504.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          ARI
                          Josh Sweat
                          00-0034381
                          LB / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          540.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          ARI
                          Karson Sharar
                          00-0041093
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mack Wilson
                          00-0035144
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          521.00.01.03.06.01.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          ARI
                          Zaven Collins
                          00-0036933
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          543.01.510.06.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          ARI
                          D'Shawn Jamison
                          00-0038877
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Joey Blount
                          00-0037141
                          DB / RES
                          FS #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kalen King
                          00-0039239
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Starling Thomas V
                          00-0038663
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cam Horsley
                          00-0040517
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          14.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          1 observed games
                          TEN
                          Damonic Williams
                          00-0041369
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jared Harrison-Hunte
                          00-0040283
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kaleb Proctor
                          00-0041555
                          DL / RES
                          RDT #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Zachary Carter
                          00-0037804
                          DL / RES
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          100.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          ARI
                          Cam Robertson
                          00-0041367
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Eugene Asante
                          00-0040299
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          ATL: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          A.J. Terrell
                          00-0036285
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          958.00.00.01.012.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          ATL
                          Avieon Terrell
                          00-0041469
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Billy Bowman Jr.
                          00-0040156
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          300.01.52.01.02.01.0OBSERVED
                          6 observed games
                          ATL
                          C.J. Henderson
                          00-0036281
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          163.00.00.00.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          ATL
                          DeMarcco Hellams
                          00-0038628
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          13.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          ATL
                          Jessie Bates
                          00-0034675
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1092.00.02.01.06.03.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          ATL
                          Malcolm DeWalt IV
                          00-0041188
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mike Ford
                          00-0034639
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mike Hughes
                          00-0034843
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          690.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          ATL
                          Sydney Brown
                          00-0039002
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          250.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          PHI
                          Xavier Watts
                          00-0040148
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1094.00.00.00.011.05.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          ATL
                          Brandon Dorlus
                          00-0039859
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          465.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          ATL
                          Cameron Thomas
                          00-0037815
                          DL / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          310.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          Da'Shawn Hand
                          00-0034371
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          491.01.55.05.04.01.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          LAC
                          Gervon Dexter Sr.
                          00-0039070
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          774.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          CHI
                          Jared Ivey
                          00-0040056
                          DL / ACT
                          RILB #4
                          LISTED
                          15.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          SEA
                          LaCale London
                          00-0036204
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          270.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          ATL
                          Maason Smith
                          00-0039889
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          311.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          JAX
                          Samson Ebukam
                          00-0033945
                          DL / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          415.02.08.05.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          IND
                          Christian Harris
                          00-0037823
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          92.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          HOU
                          Divine Deablo
                          00-0036990
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          750.01.02.05.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          ATL
                          Harold Perkins Jr.
                          00-0041112
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Josh Woods
                          00-0034801
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #3
                          LISTED
                          17.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          ATL
                          Kendal Daniels
                          00-0041066
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Yasir Abdullah
                          00-0038580
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #3
                          LISTED
                          2.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          JAX
                          Za'Darius Smith
                          00-0031576
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          131.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          PHI
                          Darnay Holmes
                          00-0036394
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          173.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          LV
                          Darren Hall
                          00-0036956
                          DB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          148.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          ARI
                          Jammie Robinson
                          00-0038587
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Anterio Thompson
                          00-0041484
                          DL / RES
                          NT #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Carlos Allen Jr.
                          00-0041184
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Keshawn Banks
                          00-0038462
                          DL / RES
                          WLB #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Zach Harrison
                          00-0038980
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          240.04.55.05.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          7 observed games
                          ATL
                          Bralen Trice
                          00-0039837
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          DeAngelo Malone
                          00-0037808
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          19.00.00.00.01.01.0OBSERVED
                          5 observed games
                          ATL
                          JD Bertrand
                          00-0039370
                          LB / RES
                          RILB #5
                          LISTED
                          197.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          ATL
                          Jalon Walker
                          00-0040577
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          492.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          ATL
                          James Pearce Jr.
                          00-0040578
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          593.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          ATL
                          Malik Verdon
                          00-0040554
                          LB / RES
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          BAL: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Chandler Rivers
                          00-0040885
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Chidobe Awuzie
                          00-0033548
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          557.00.01.00.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          BAL
                          Jaylinn Hawkins
                          00-0036302
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1102.01.56.03.06.04.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          NE
                          Keondre Jackson
                          00-0040104
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Keyon Martin
                          00-0040636
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          143.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          BAL
                          Kyle Hamilton
                          00-0038038
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          1003.01.04.07.09.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          BAL
                          Malaki Starks
                          00-0040688
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1065.00.01.01.04.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          BAL
                          Marlon Humphrey
                          00-0033281
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          880.01.03.03.013.04.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          BAL
                          Nate Wiggins
                          00-0039232
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1029.00.00.02.014.03.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          BAL
                          T.J. Tampa
                          00-0039234
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          147.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          BAL
                          Aeneas Peebles
                          00-0040076
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          71.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          BAL
                          Broderick Washington
                          00-0036081
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          102.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          BAL
                          Calais Campbell
                          00-0026190
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          524.06.516.09.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          ARI
                          John Jenkins
                          00-0030070
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          523.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          BAL
                          Nnamdi Madubuike
                          00-0036130
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          102.02.03.02.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          BAL
                          Travis Jones
                          00-0037756
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          743.05.09.09.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          BAL
                          Ethan Burke
                          00-0040978
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jay Higgins
                          00-0040100
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          7.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          BAL
                          Mike Green
                          00-0040722
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          712.03.514.07.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          BAL
                          Roquan Smith
                          00-0034874
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          953.00.04.05.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          BAL
                          Tavius Robinson
                          00-0038505
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          451.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          BAL
                          Teddye Buchanan
                          00-0040069
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          651.00.52.05.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          BAL
                          Trenton Simpson
                          00-0038504
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          407.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          BAL
                          Trey Hendrickson
                          00-0033935
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          285.04.08.03.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          7 observed games
                          CIN
                          Zion Young
                          00-0041494
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Amani Oruwariye
                          00-0035270
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Bilhal Kone
                          00-0040073
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jahquez Robinson
                          00-0040988
                          DB / RES
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          K'Von Wallace
                          00-0036395
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          108.00.00.02.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          HOU
                          Ladarius Webb Jr.
                          00-0040993
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          David Olajiga
                          00-0039938
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Rayshaun Benny
                          00-0040907
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Adisa Isaac
                          00-0039791
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Carl Jones
                          00-0039460
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dominic DeLuca
                          00-0040980
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kaimon Rucker
                          00-0040658
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          BUF: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          C.J. Gardner-Johnson
                          00-0035253
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          814.03.06.05.05.02.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          CHI, HOU
                          Christian Benford
                          00-0037288
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          924.02.02.04.06.02.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          BUF
                          Cole Bishop
                          00-0039872
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1023.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          BUF
                          Damar Hamlin
                          00-0036888
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          12.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          BUF
                          Davison Igbinosun
                          00-0041391
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dee Alford
                          00-0037034
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2, NB #1
                          LISTED
                          582.02.03.06.013.03.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          ATL
                          Jalon Kilgore
                          00-0041086
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jordan Hancock
                          00-0040192
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          181.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          BUF
                          Maxwell Hairston
                          00-0040709
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          348.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          BUF
                          Sam Franklin Jr.
                          00-0036037
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          6.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          BUF
                          DeWayne Carter
                          00-0039873
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Deone Walker
                          00-0040710
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          549.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          BUF
                          Ed Oliver
                          00-0035230
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          124.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          BUF
                          Greg Gaines
                          00-0035667
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          369.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          TB
                          Landon Jackson
                          00-0040132
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          30.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          BUF
                          T.J. Sanders
                          00-0040724
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          332.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          BUF
                          Bradley Chubb
                          00-0034832
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          766.08.520.08.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIA
                          Dorian Williams
                          00-0038557
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          455.00.03.01.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          BUF
                          Greg Rousseau
                          00-0036914
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          727.08.028.08.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          BUF
                          Javon Solomon
                          00-0039879
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          196.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          BUF
                          Joe Andreessen
                          00-0039763
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          96.00.02.02.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          BUF
                          Kaleb Elarms-Orr
                          00-0041444
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Michael Danna
                          00-0036378
                          LB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          389.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          KC
                          Michael Hoecht
                          00-0035933
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          64.02.02.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          BUF
                          TJ Parker
                          00-0041036
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Terrel Bernard
                          00-0037254
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          621.00.02.07.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          BUF
                          Anthony Kendall
                          00-0038848
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dorian Strong
                          00-0040197
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          87.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          BUF
                          Geno Stone
                          00-0036199
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          1014.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CIN
                          Kani Walker
                          00-0041275
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Te'Cory Couch
                          00-0039469
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Phidarian Mathis
                          00-0038099
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          126.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          BUF
                          Travis Clayton
                          00-0039930
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Zane Durant
                          00-0041091
                          DL / RES
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Andre Jones Jr.
                          00-0038635
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          51.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          BUF
                          Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles
                          00-0035020
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          226.01.01.03.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          7 observed games
                          NYG
                          Keonta Jenkins
                          00-0040362
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          23.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          BUF
                          Shaq Thompson
                          00-0031550
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          545.01.02.08.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          BUF
                          CAR: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Akayleb Evans
                          00-0038101
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          63.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          CAR
                          Chau Smith-Wade
                          00-0039380
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          676.00.00.01.02.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CAR
                          Jaycee Horn
                          00-0036944
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1019.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CAR
                          Lathan Ransom
                          00-0040159
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          354.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CAR
                          Mike Jackson
                          00-0035277
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1117.00.00.04.023.05.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          CAR
                          Nick Scott
                          00-0035669
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1111.00.00.00.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          CAR
                          Tre'von Moehrig
                          00-0036962
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1066.03.07.014.02.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CAR
                          Will Lee III
                          00-0041063
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Zakee Wheatley
                          00-0041076
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Aaron Hall
                          00-0041148
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Bobby Brown III
                          00-0036903
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          370.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          CAR
                          Cam Jackson
                          00-0040174
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          89.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          CAR
                          Derrick Brown
                          00-0036220
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          881.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          CAR
                          Lee Hunter
                          00-0041478
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          TeRah Edwards
                          00-0040458
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Bobby Okereke
                          00-0035687
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1104.01.01.02.06.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NYG
                          Claudin Cherelus
                          00-0038493
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          262.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          CAR
                          Devin Lloyd
                          00-0037244
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          761.01.510.06.07.05.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          JAX
                          Jackson Kuwatch
                          00-0041119
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jaelan Phillips
                          00-0036934
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          871.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          MIA, PHI
                          Patrick Jones II
                          00-0037007
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Did Not Participate In Practice
                          161.01.02.02.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          CAR
                          Princely Umanmielen
                          00-0040136
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          235.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CAR
                          Thomas Incoom
                          00-0038791
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          25.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          CAR
                          Trevis Gipson
                          00-0036305
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          258.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          CAR, SF
                          Corey Thornton
                          00-0040296
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          127.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          CAR
                          Devonta Smith
                          00-0041153
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Isaiah Simmons
                          00-0036356
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          1.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          1 observed games
                          CAR
                          Zion Childress
                          00-0040044
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          5.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          DAL
                          Anthony Goodlow
                          00-0039783
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          36.00.01.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          ARI
                          Parker Petersen
                          00-0041151
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tershawn Wharton
                          00-0035890
                          DL / RES
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          455.02.05.03.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          CAR
                          Bam Martin-Scott
                          00-0040289
                          LB / RES
                          LILB #3
                          LISTED
                          57.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          CAR
                          Cam Gill
                          00-0036045
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mapalo Mwansa
                          00-0040763
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Nic Scourton
                          00-0040746
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #4
                          LISTED
                          773.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          CAR
                          Tyrel Dodson
                          00-0035352
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          910.05.06.010.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          MIA
                          CHI: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Cam Lewis
                          00-0035357
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          442.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          BUF
                          Clark Phillips III
                          00-0038568
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dillon Thieneman
                          00-0041538
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Elijah Hicks
                          00-0037096
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          68.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          CHI
                          Jaylon Johnson
                          00-0036292
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          407.00.00.00.04.01.0OBSERVED
                          9 observed games
                          CHI
                          Josh Blackwell
                          00-0037129
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          3.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          CHI
                          Malik Muhammad
                          00-0041060
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Skyler Thomas
                          00-0041175
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tyrique Stevenson
                          00-0039071
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          626.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          CHI
                          Xavier Woods
                          00-0033579
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          526.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          TEN
                          Austin Booker
                          00-0039840
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          659.05.514.06.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          CHI
                          Daniel Hardy
                          00-0037843
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          54.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          CHI
                          Dayo Odeyingbo
                          00-0036480
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          369.01.04.02.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          CHI
                          Grady Jarrett
                          00-0031583
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          734.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          CHI
                          James Lynch
                          00-0036337
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          334.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          TEN
                          Jamree Kromah
                          00-0039461
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jayden Loving
                          00-0041171
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jordan van den Berg
                          00-0041110
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kentavius Street
                          00-0034320
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          216.02.02.03.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          7 observed games
                          ATL
                          Montez Sweat
                          00-0035647
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          901.011.022.014.06.00.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          CHI
                          Neville Gallimore
                          00-0036366
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          467.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          IND
                          D'Marco Jackson
                          00-0037271
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          371.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          CHI
                          Devin Bush
                          00-0035525
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          871.02.04.07.08.03.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          Jack Sanborn
                          00-0037109
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          230.00.00.01.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          5 observed games
                          DAL
                          Keyshaun Elliott
                          00-0041085
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          T.J. Edwards
                          00-0035386
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          581.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          CHI
                          Beanie Bishop Jr.
                          00-0039454
                          DB / RES
                          NB #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Coby Bryant
                          00-0038136
                          DB / RES
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          1166.00.00.04.09.04.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          SEA
                          Dallis Flowers
                          00-0037395
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Deantre Prince
                          00-0039378
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dontae Manning
                          00-0040550
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kyler Gordon
                          00-0038111
                          DB / RES
                          NB #3
                          LISTED
                          213.02.02.02.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          5 observed games
                          CHI
                          Marlen Sewell
                          00-0041021
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Marcus Davenport
                          00-0034344
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          281.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          DET
                          Shemar Turner
                          00-0040741
                          DL / RES
                          RDT #4
                          LISTED
                          74.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          CHI
                          Buddy Johnson
                          00-0036870
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          26.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          IND
                          Jonathan Garvin
                          00-0036239
                          LB / RES
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Nephi Sewell
                          00-0037544
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Noah Sewell
                          00-0038390
                          LB / RES
                          MLB #3
                          LISTED
                          409.00.00.03.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          CHI
                          Ruben Hyppolite II
                          00-0040167
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #4
                          LISTED
                          31.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          CHI
                          Tony Fields II
                          00-0036634
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Wayne Matthews II
                          00-0041408
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          CIN: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Bryan Cook
                          00-0037193
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          857.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          KC
                          D.J. Ivey
                          00-0038642
                          DB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          115.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          CIN
                          DJ Turner II
                          00-0038549
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          974.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CIN
                          Daxton Hill
                          00-0037743
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1012.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CIN
                          Jalen Davis
                          00-0034446
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          270.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          CIN
                          Jordan Battle
                          00-0038560
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1047.00.00.02.06.04.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CIN
                          Josh Newton
                          00-0039375
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          275.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          CIN
                          Kyle Dugger
                          00-0036231
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          775.01.01.02.05.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NE, PIT
                          PJ Jules
                          00-0039632
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          8.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          CIN
                          Tacario Davis
                          00-0041464
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          B.J. Hill
                          00-0034800
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          670.04.09.05.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CIN
                          Boye Mafe
                          00-0038133
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          632.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          20 observed games
                          SEA
                          Cashius Howell
                          00-0041546
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cedric Johnson
                          00-0039752
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          207.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          CIN
                          Dexter Lawrence
                          00-0035683
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          754.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          NYG
                          Jonathan Allen
                          00-0033523
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          810.03.511.07.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIN
                          Kris Jenkins
                          00-0039908
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #3
                          LISTED
                          497.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          CIN
                          Landon Robinson
                          00-0041118
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Myles Murphy
                          00-0038546
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          682.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CIN
                          Shemar Stewart
                          00-0040756
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          280.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          CIN
                          Tedarrell Slaton
                          00-0036642
                          DL / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          582.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CIN
                          Barrett Carter
                          00-0040157
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          792.00.01.01.04.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          CIN
                          Demetrius Knight Jr.
                          00-0040738
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          798.03.05.04.07.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CIN
                          Oren Burks
                          00-0034754
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          340.00.00.01.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          CIN
                          Swayze Bozeman
                          00-0039313
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          35.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          NYG
                          Bralyn Lux
                          00-0040372
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          19.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          CIN
                          Ja'Sir Taylor
                          00-0037307
                          DB / RES
                          NB #3
                          LISTED
                          137.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          LAC, NYJ
                          Russ Yeast
                          00-0037844
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Trikweze Bridges
                          00-0040251
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          248.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          DAL
                          Howard Cross III
                          00-0040369
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          50.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          CIN
                          Isaiah Foskey
                          00-0039143
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          34.00.01.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          CIN
                          Garmon Randolph
                          00-0040472
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Joe Giles-Harris
                          00-0035363
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          32.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          CIN
                          Shaka Heyward
                          00-0038890
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          36.00.01.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          CIN
                          CLE: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Daniel Thomas
                          00-0036306
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          111.00.00.01.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          6 observed games
                          DET
                          Denzel Ward
                          00-0034856
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          779.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          CLE
                          Donovan McMillon
                          00-0040263
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          24.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          CLE
                          Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
                          00-0041471
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Grant Delpit
                          00-0036282
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1012.03.07.04.04.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          Mekhi Blackmon
                          00-0038565
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          783.01.00.02.07.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          IND
                          Myles Harden
                          00-0039417
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          527.00.01.02.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          CLE
                          Noah Igbinoghene
                          00-0036287
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          373.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          WAS
                          Ronnie Hickman Jr.
                          00-0038715
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1039.00.00.01.07.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          Toriano Pride Jr.
                          00-0041115
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tyson Campbell
                          00-0036974
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          965.00.01.02.018.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CLE, JAX
                          Adin Huntington
                          00-0040255
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          158.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          CLE
                          Derek Barnett
                          00-0033876
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          388.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          HOU
                          Isaiah McGuire
                          00-0038574
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          427.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          Jared Verse
                          00-0039852
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          1026.08.534.014.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Maliek Collins
                          00-0033131
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          473.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          CLE
                          Mason Graham
                          00-0040685
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          763.00.54.07.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          Mike Hall Jr.
                          00-0039895
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          178.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          CLE
                          Sam Williams
                          00-0037665
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          474.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DAL
                          Carson Schwesinger
                          00-0040579
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          956.02.59.011.03.02.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          CLE
                          Easton Mascarenas-Arnold
                          00-0040261
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          12.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          CLE
                          Justin Jefferson
                          00-0041075
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Quincy Williams
                          00-0035680
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          784.03.55.08.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Winston Reid
                          00-0039515
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          D'Angelo Ross
                          00-0034966
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          41.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          CLE
                          Damarri Mathis
                          00-0038105
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Michael Coats Jr.
                          00-0041411
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Myles Bryant
                          00-0036087
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          357.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          9 observed games
                          HOU
                          Zion Washington
                          00-0041286
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Alex Wright
                          00-0037251
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          468.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          CLE
                          Chris Williams
                          00-0035857
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          238.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          CHI
                          Elijah Chatman
                          00-0039764
                          DL / RES
                          RDT #3
                          LISTED
                          83.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          NYG
                          Kalia Davis
                          00-0037832
                          DL / RES
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          543.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          SF
                          Khordae Sydnor
                          00-0041285
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Logan Fano
                          00-0041279
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Sam Kamara
                          00-0036705
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          96.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          CLE
                          Travis Bell
                          00-0038405
                          DL / RES
                          RDT #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tyreak Sapp
                          00-0041288
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Edefuan Ulofoshio
                          00-0039878
                          LB / RES
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah
                          00-0036915
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Nathaniel Watson
                          00-0039406
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          DAL: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Alijah Clark
                          00-0040045
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          40.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          DAL
                          Ameer Speed
                          00-0038624
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Caelen Carson
                          00-0039387
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          211.00.00.01.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          6 observed games
                          DAL
                          Caleb Downs
                          00-0040865
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cobie Durant
                          00-0037839
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          985.00.00.01.014.06.0OBSERVED
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          DaRon Bland
                          00-0037275
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          746.00.00.03.06.01.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          DAL
                          Jalen Thompson
                          00-0035705
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          980.01.00.02.06.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          ARI
                          Malik Hooker
                          00-0033877
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          594.00.00.02.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          DAL
                          Markquese Bell
                          00-0037561
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          356.00.01.01.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          DAL
                          P.J. Locke
                          00-0035227
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          302.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          DEN
                          Shavon Revel Jr.
                          00-0040008
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          334.00.00.01.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          7 observed games
                          DAL
                          Jonathan Bullard
                          00-0033093
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          327.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          NO
                          Kenny Clark
                          00-0033120
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          748.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DAL
                          LT Overton
                          00-0040880
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Otito Ogbonnia
                          00-0037270
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          159.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          LAC
                          Quinnen Williams
                          00-0035718
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          640.02.512.010.01.01.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          DAL, NYJ
                          DeMarvion Overshown
                          00-0038556
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          218.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          6 observed games
                          DAL
                          Dee Winters
                          00-0038625
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1038.00.04.011.05.01.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          SF
                          Donovan Ezeiruaku
                          00-0040725
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          604.02.012.09.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          DAL
                          Jaishawn Barham
                          00-0040872
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          James Houston
                          00-0037310
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          307.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DAL
                          Malachi Lawrence
                          00-0041537
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Rashan Gary
                          00-0034967
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          697.07.521.07.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          GB
                          Shemar James
                          00-0040011
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          544.01.55.02.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          DAL
                          Tyrus Wheat
                          00-0038742
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          66.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          DET
                          Von Miller
                          00-0027940
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          420.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          WAS
                          Derion Kendrick
                          00-0037842
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          134.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          LAR, SEA
                          Devin Moore
                          00-0040875
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Reddy Steward
                          00-0039465
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          519.01.52.05.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          DAL
                          Adedayo Odeleye
                          00-0038144
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Elijah Garcia
                          00-0037051
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          89.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          ATL, NYG
                          Kelvin Gilliam
                          00-0040933
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tommy Dunn
                          00-0040931
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Curtis Robinson
                          00-0036728
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          267.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          SF
                          Isaiah Land
                          00-0038737
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          3.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          1 observed games
                          DAL
                          Justin Barron
                          00-0040043
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Marist Liufau
                          00-0039352
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #4
                          LISTED
                          202.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DAL
                          DEN: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Brandon Jones
                          00-0036221
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          871.00.52.00.07.01.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          DEN
                          Devon Key
                          00-0036683
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          80.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          DEN
                          JL Skinner
                          00-0038605
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          34.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          DEN
                          Ja'Quan McMillian
                          00-0037384
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          826.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          DEN
                          Jahdae Barron
                          00-0040720
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          351.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          DEN
                          Kris Abrams-Draine
                          00-0039371
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          216.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          DEN
                          Pat Surtain II
                          00-0036874
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1000.00.00.01.013.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          DEN
                          Riley Moss
                          00-0038552
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1230.01.01.03.019.01.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          DEN
                          Talanoa Hufanga
                          00-0036564
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1224.02.03.07.013.00.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          DEN
                          Tycen Anderson
                          00-0037752
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          64.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          CIN
                          D.J. Jones
                          00-0033297
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          498.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          DEN
                          Eyioma Uwazurike
                          00-0038106
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          471.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          DEN
                          Jordan Jackson
                          00-0037294
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          85.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          DEN
                          Malcolm Roach
                          00-0035763
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          480.06.010.06.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          DEN
                          Sai'vion Jones
                          00-0040153
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          33.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          DEN
                          Tyler Onyedim
                          00-0041552
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Zach Allen
                          00-0035248
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          888.08.551.04.06.00.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          DEN
                          Alex Singleton
                          00-0031898
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1171.01.04.03.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          DEN
                          Dondrea Tillman
                          00-0037799
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          470.04.09.04.03.02.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          DEN
                          Jonah Elliss
                          00-0039809
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          369.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          DEN
                          Jordan Turner
                          00-0040634
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #3
                          LISTED
                          23.00.01.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          DEN
                          Justin Strnad
                          00-0036428
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          636.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DEN
                          Karene Reid
                          00-0040449
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          3.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          DEN
                          Nik Bonitto
                          00-0037249
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          760.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          DEN
                          Que Robinson
                          00-0040168
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          162.01.54.04.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          7 observed games
                          DEN
                          Brent Austin
                          00-0041289
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Miles Scott
                          00-0041130
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Sean Fresch
                          00-0040679
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          David Agoha
                          00-0039177
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Matt Henningsen
                          00-0037303
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Drew Sanders
                          00-0039003
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Johnny Walker Jr.
                          00-0040452
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jonathon Cooper
                          00-0036952
                          LB / EXE
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          774.09.018.09.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          DEN
                          Levelle Bailey
                          00-0039565
                          LB / RES
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          11.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          1 observed games
                          DEN
                          Red Murdock
                          00-0041134
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          DET: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Avonte Maddox
                          00-0034377
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          342.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          DET
                          Christian Izien
                          00-0038820
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          166.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          TB
                          Chuck Clark
                          00-0033294
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          470.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          PIT
                          D.J. Reed
                          00-0034384
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          584.00.00.00.07.02.0OBSERVED
                          11 observed games
                          DET
                          Ennis Rakestraw Jr.
                          00-0039862
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #3
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Keith Abney II
                          00-0041445
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Khalil Dorsey
                          00-0036124
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          20.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          5 observed games
                          DET
                          Rock Ya-Sin
                          00-0035637
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          611.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          DET
                          Roger McCreary
                          00-0038125
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          415.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          LAR, TEN
                          Thomas Harper
                          00-0039660
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          483.00.00.01.05.01.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          DET
                          Ahmed Hassanein
                          00-0040761
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Aidan Hutchinson
                          00-0037236
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          1005.014.535.014.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          DET
                          Alim McNeill
                          00-0036624
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          524.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          DET
                          Eric O'Neill
                          00-0041459
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Levi Onwuzurike
                          00-0036954
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mekhi Wingo
                          00-0039396
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          59.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          DET
                          Skyler Gill-Howard
                          00-0041447
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tyleik Williams
                          00-0040672
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          446.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DET
                          Tyler Lacy
                          00-0038940
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          237.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          DET
                          D.J. Wonnum
                          00-0036335
                          LB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          745.03.05.04.05.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CAR
                          Derrick Barnes
                          00-0036964
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          940.04.05.06.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          DET
                          Derrick Moore
                          00-0041441
                          LB / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Devin White
                          00-0035707
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          1118.02.57.011.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          LV
                          Jack Campbell
                          00-0039018
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          1097.05.05.09.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          DET
                          Jimmy Rolder
                          00-0041442
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Malcolm Rodriguez
                          00-0037289
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          72.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          DET
                          Trevor Nowaske
                          00-0038660
                          LB / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          74.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          DET
                          Aamaris Brown
                          00-0041454
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Brian Branch
                          00-0039141
                          DB / RES
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          747.02.55.05.09.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          DET
                          Kerby Joseph
                          00-0037667
                          DB / RES
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          316.00.00.00.04.03.0OBSERVED
                          6 observed games
                          DET
                          Nick Whiteside
                          00-0038841
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          51.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          DET
                          Anthony Lucas
                          00-0041458
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Ben Stille
                          00-0037356
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Chris Smith
                          00-0038661
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Payton Turner
                          00-0036926
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tyre West
                          00-0041448
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Amen Ogbongbemiga
                          00-0036716
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          89.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          CHI
                          Damone Clark
                          00-0037281
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          107.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          DAL, HOU
                          Joe Bachie
                          00-0035895
                          LB / DEV
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          156.00.00.00.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          5 observed games
                          IND
                          GB: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Benjamin St-Juste
                          00-0036625
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          378.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          LAC
                          Brandon Cisse
                          00-0041470
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Carrington Valentine
                          00-0038408
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          857.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          GB
                          Evan Williams
                          00-0039813
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          979.00.00.04.05.03.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          GB
                          Javon Bullard
                          00-0039867
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          783.00.01.02.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          GB
                          Kamal Hadden
                          00-0039831
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          37.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          GB
                          Keisean Nixon
                          00-0035133
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1091.00.01.03.017.01.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          GB
                          Kitan Oladapo
                          00-0039818
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          69.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          GB
                          Xavier McKinney
                          00-0036388
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1131.01.02.00.012.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          GB
                          Anthony Campbell
                          00-0040689
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Chris McClellan
                          00-0040869
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Devonte Wyatt
                          00-0037075
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          379.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          GB
                          Javon Hargrave
                          00-0033109
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          537.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          MIN
                          Jonathan Ford
                          00-0037094
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          144.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          CHI, GB
                          Karl Brooks
                          00-0038398
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          664.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          GB
                          Warren Brinson
                          00-0040016
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          298.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          GB
                          Barryn Sorrell
                          00-0040010
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          206.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          GB
                          Brenton Cox Jr.
                          00-0038463
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          83.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          GB
                          Dani Dennis-Sutton
                          00-0040877
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Edgerrin Cooper
                          00-0039850
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1089.00.53.04.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          GB
                          Isaiah McDuffie
                          00-0036658
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          551.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          GB
                          Lukas Van Ness
                          00-0039112
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          310.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          GB
                          Nick Niemann
                          00-0036648
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #3
                          LISTED
                          1.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          GB
                          Ty'Ron Hopper
                          00-0039812
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          133.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          GB
                          Zaire Franklin
                          00-0034431
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1112.02.06.07.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          IND
                          Domani Jackson
                          00-0040896
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Johnathan Baldwin
                          00-0040033
                          DB / RES
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          66.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          GB
                          Marlon Jones
                          00-0041493
                          DB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Murvin Kenion
                          00-0040968
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Trey Dean III
                          00-0038494
                          DB / RES
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jaden Crumedy
                          00-0039402
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          44.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          CAR
                          Jordon Riley
                          00-0038506
                          DL / RES
                          NT #3
                          LISTED
                          64.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          GB
                          Arron Mosby
                          00-0037364
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          17.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          GB
                          Collin Oliver
                          00-0040012
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          31.00.02.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          GB
                          Kristian Welch
                          00-0036157
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          2.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          GB
                          Micah Parsons
                          00-0036932
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          707.012.526.012.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          GB
                          Nyjalik Kelly
                          00-0040944
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          HOU: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Calen Bullock
                          00-0039838
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1105.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          HOU
                          Collin Wright
                          00-0041313
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Derek Stingley Jr.
                          00-0037237
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1027.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          HOU
                          Jalen Pitre
                          00-0037246
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          868.00.00.07.012.04.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          HOU
                          Jaylin Smith
                          00-0040149
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          31.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          HOU
                          Kamari Lassiter
                          00-0039343
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1074.00.01.08.021.04.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          HOU
                          Kamari Ramsey
                          00-0041466
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Reed Blankenship
                          00-0037130
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1067.00.00.01.04.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          PHI
                          Tremon Smith
                          00-0034278
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          181.00.00.01.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          11 observed games
                          HOU
                          Danielle Hunter
                          00-0031565
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          819.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          HOU
                          Dominique Robinson
                          00-0037082
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          252.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          CHI
                          Jadeveon Clowney
                          00-0031364
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          373.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          DAL
                          Kayden McDonald
                          00-0041440
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Logan Hall
                          00-0038127
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          610.01.56.02.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          TB
                          Mario Edwards
                          00-0032265
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          282.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          HOU
                          Sabastian Harsh
                          00-0041305
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Sheldon Rankins
                          00-0032759
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          705.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          HOU
                          Tommy Togiai
                          00-0036883
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          538.01.55.08.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          HOU
                          Will Anderson Jr.
                          00-0039108
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          779.015.527.022.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          HOU
                          Aiden Fisher
                          00-0041449
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Azeez Al-Shaair
                          00-0035166
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          1043.00.02.02.09.02.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          HOU
                          Henry To'oTo'o
                          00-0038599
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          930.02.55.010.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          HOU
                          Jacob Hummel
                          00-0037633
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          33.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          BAL
                          Jake Hansen
                          00-0037457
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          9.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          HOU
                          Wade Woodaz
                          00-0041465
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Alijah Huzzie
                          00-0040411
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          22.00.00.00.01.01.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          HOU
                          Bryce Hall
                          00-0036241
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          George Odum
                          00-0034091
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Ja'Marcus Ingram
                          00-0037661
                          DB / RES
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          109.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          BUF, HOU
                          M.J. Stewart
                          00-0034355
                          DB / RES
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          228.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          HOU
                          Ali Gaye
                          00-0038724
                          DL / RES
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          37.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          TEN
                          Dominic Bailey
                          00-0041302
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dylan Horton
                          00-0039009
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #4
                          LISTED
                          275.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          HOU
                          Junior Tafuna
                          00-0040414
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kyonte Hamilton
                          00-0040229
                          DL / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Solomon Byrd
                          00-0039427
                          DL / RES
                          RDE #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Chris Braswell
                          00-0039902
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          283.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          TB
                          E.J. Speed
                          00-0034987
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          444.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          HOU
                          Jamal Hill
                          00-0039395
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          8.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          HOU
                          K.C. Ossai
                          00-0040413
                          LB / RES
                          MLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          IND: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          A.J. Haulcy
                          00-0041043
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Camryn Bynum
                          00-0036629
                          DB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          1104.01.00.03.08.04.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          IND
                          Charvarius Ward
                          00-0034573
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          459.00.00.00.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          7 observed games
                          IND
                          Hunter Wohler
                          00-0040235
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jaylon Jones
                          00-0038407
                          DB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          205.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          IND
                          Johnathan Edwards
                          00-0040347
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          313.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          IND
                          Jonathan Owens
                          00-0034485
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          47.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          CHI
                          Justin Walley
                          00-0040139
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kapena Gushiken
                          00-0040928
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Sauce Gardner
                          00-0037190
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          543.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          IND, NYJ
                          Adetomiwa Adebawore
                          00-0039031
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          548.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          IND
                          Arden Key
                          00-0034825
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          449.04.011.06.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          TEN
                          Caden Curry
                          00-0041111
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          DeForest Buckner
                          00-0032378
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          469.04.013.09.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          IND
                          George Gumbs Jr.
                          00-0041080
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Grover Stewart
                          00-0033952
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          683.00.57.05.04.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          IND
                          Jaylahn Tuimoloau
                          00-0040744
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          215.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          IND
                          Jerry Tillery
                          00-0035674
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          376.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          KC
                          Laiatu Latu
                          00-0039340
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          756.08.520.012.05.03.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          IND
                          Micheal Clemons
                          00-0038107
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          578.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Tim Smith
                          00-0040207
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Akeem Davis-Gaither
                          00-0036298
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          781.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          ARI
                          Austin Ajiake
                          00-0039178
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          157.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          IND
                          Bryce Boettcher
                          00-0041518
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          CJ Allen
                          00-0041039
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jaylon Carlies
                          00-0039377
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          2.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          1 observed games
                          IND
                          Tahj Chambers
                          00-0041227
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cam Taylor-Britt
                          00-0037753
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          348.00.01.01.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          CIN
                          Cameron Mitchell
                          00-0038585
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          261.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          CLE, IND
                          Daniel Scott
                          00-0038392
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          13.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          IND
                          Kenneth Harris
                          00-0041320
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Rob Carter Jr.
                          00-0040790
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Trey Washington
                          00-0040357
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          36.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          IND
                          Cameron Ball
                          00-0041225
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mitchell Melton
                          00-0041230
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          West Weeks
                          00-0041236
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          JAX: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Antonio Johnson
                          00-0038596
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          700.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          JAX
                          Caleb Ransaw
                          00-0040145
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Christian Braswell
                          00-0038616
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          159.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          JAX
                          Eric Murray
                          00-0033038
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          661.01.02.02.06.01.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          JAX
                          Jalen Huskey
                          00-0041055
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jarrian Jones
                          00-0039353
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          571.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          JAX
                          Jourdan Lewis
                          00-0033928
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          612.00.01.05.010.02.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          JAX
                          Montaric Brown
                          00-0037313
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          794.00.00.00.012.02.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          JAX
                          Rayuan Lane III
                          00-0040213
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          117.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          JAX
                          Albert Regis
                          00-0041045
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Arik Armstead
                          00-0032164
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          661.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          JAX
                          BJ Green II
                          00-0040329
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          106.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          JAX
                          Bryan Thomas Jr.
                          00-0041218
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          DaVon Hamilton
                          00-0036262
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          516.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          JAX
                          Danny Striggow
                          00-0040342
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          144.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          JAX
                          Josh Hines-Allen
                          00-0035642
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          902.09.030.013.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          JAX
                          Matt Dickerson
                          00-0034657
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          217.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          JAX
                          Ruke Orhorhoro
                          00-0039733
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          599.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          ATL
                          Travon Walker
                          00-0037235
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          584.03.514.08.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          JAX
                          Wesley Williams
                          00-0041059
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Branson Combs
                          00-0040326
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          28.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          JAX
                          Dennis Gardeck
                          00-0034473
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          446.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          JAX
                          Foye Oluokun
                          00-0034413
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          1099.01.02.05.011.01.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          JAX
                          Jahlani Tavai
                          00-0035240
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          287.00.00.04.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          NE
                          Ventrell Miller
                          00-0038570
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          220.00.00.00.04.01.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          JAX
                          Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig
                          00-0040339
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          21.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          JAX
                          Jabbar Muhammad
                          00-0040336
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kaevon Merriweather
                          00-0038823
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          25.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          HOU, TB
                          T.J. Bollers
                          00-0041204
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Zach Durfee
                          00-0041122
                          DL / RES
                          RDE #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jack Kiser
                          00-0040723
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          43.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          JAX
                          Jalen McLeod
                          00-0040209
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jared Bartlett
                          00-0040395
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Parker Hughes
                          00-0041127
                          LB / RES
                          MLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          KC: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Alohi Gilman
                          00-0036380
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1026.00.01.01.09.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          BAL, LAC
                          Chamarri Conner
                          00-0038982
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1021.02.05.04.02.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          KC
                          Christian Roland-Wallace
                          00-0039324
                          DB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          190.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          KC
                          Jaden Hicks
                          00-0039825
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          445.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          KC
                          Jadon Canady
                          00-0041497
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kristian Fulton
                          00-0036416
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          208.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          KC
                          L'Jarius Sneed
                          00-0036374
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          361.00.00.00.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          7 observed games
                          TEN
                          Mansoor Delane
                          00-0041543
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Nohl Williams
                          00-0040670
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          457.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          KC
                          Xavier Nwankpa
                          00-0040957
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Ashton Gillotte
                          00-0040640
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          485.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          KC
                          Bryson Eason
                          00-0041358
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Chris Jones
                          00-0032762
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          761.07.025.012.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          KC
                          Felix Anudike-Uzomah
                          00-0039006
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          George Karlaftis
                          00-0037192
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          762.06.023.010.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          KC
                          Khyiris Tonga
                          00-0036909
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          415.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          NE
                          Peter Woods
                          00-0041545
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          R Mason Thomas
                          00-0041501
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cooper McDonald
                          00-0040118
                          LB / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          57.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          KC
                          Drue Tranquill
                          00-0035262
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          883.02.03.010.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          KC
                          Jack Cochrane
                          00-0037208
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          61.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          KC
                          Jack Pyburn
                          00-0041256
                          LB / ACT
                          RDE #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jeffrey Bassa
                          00-0040072
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          39.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          KC
                          Nick Bolton
                          00-0036621
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          1011.01.07.010.06.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          KC
                          D'Arco Perkins-McAllister
                          00-0040961
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          DeShon Singleton
                          00-0040963
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kader Kohou
                          00-0037353
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tanner McCalister
                          00-0038717
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Emmanuel Ogbah
                          00-0033073
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          323.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          JAX
                          Marcus Harris
                          00-0039433
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Omarr Norman-Lott
                          00-0040748
                          DL / RES
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          72.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          KC
                          Tyreke Smith
                          00-0037080
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cam Jones
                          00-0038513
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          4.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Cole Christiansen
                          00-0035900
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Ethan Downs
                          00-0040328
                          LB / RES
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          11.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          KC
                          LAC: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Cam Hart
                          00-0039369
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          677.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          LAC
                          Deane Leonard
                          00-0037320
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          36.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          LAC
                          Derwin James
                          00-0034790
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          957.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          LAC
                          Donte Jackson
                          00-0034356
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          623.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          LAC
                          Elijah Molden
                          00-0036992
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          560.00.00.00.01.01.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          LAC
                          Genesis Smith
                          00-0041064
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kendall Williamson
                          00-0038414
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #4
                          LISTED
                          27.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          LAC
                          R.J. Mickens
                          00-0040221
                          DB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          353.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          LAC
                          Rodney Shelley
                          00-0041381
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tarheeb Still
                          00-0039366
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          831.00.02.05.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          LAC
                          Tony Jefferson
                          00-0030294
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          531.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          LAC
                          Dalvin Tomlinson
                          00-0033546
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          555.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          ARI
                          Jamaree Caldwell
                          00-0040144
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          524.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          LAC
                          Justin Eboigbe
                          00-0039835
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          427.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          LAC
                          Nick Barrett
                          00-0041072
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Teair Tart
                          00-0036181
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          524.01.02.06.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          LAC
                          Akheem Mesidor
                          00-0041544
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Bud Dupree
                          00-0032146
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          390.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          LAC
                          Daiyan Henley
                          00-0038553
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          991.03.56.05.06.03.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          LAC
                          Del'Shawn Phillips
                          00-0035202
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          96.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          LAC
                          Khalil Mack
                          00-0031040
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          478.05.511.06.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          LAC
                          Marlowe Wax
                          00-0040460
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          39.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          LAC
                          Troy Dye
                          00-0036338
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          478.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          LAC
                          Tuli Tuipulotu
                          00-0039111
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          789.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          LAC
                          Kaiir Elam
                          00-0037242
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          538.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          DAL, TEN
                          Nikko Reed
                          00-0040471
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          50.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          LAC
                          Jordan Jefferson
                          00-0039743
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          25.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          CIN, SF
                          Nadame Tucker
                          00-0041385
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Terry Webb
                          00-0041386
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Andre Carter II
                          00-0038801
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Caleb Murphy
                          00-0038851
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          132.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          LAC, NE
                          Denzel Perryman
                          00-0032103
                          LB / RES
                          RILB #3
                          LISTED
                          338.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          LAC
                          Junior Colson
                          00-0039346
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kyle Kennard
                          00-0040161
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          80.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          LAC
                          Lander Barton
                          00-0041372
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          LAR: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Emmanuel Forbes
                          00-0039151
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          899.00.00.01.018.03.0OBSERVED
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Jaylen McCollough
                          00-0039776
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          558.02.02.02.06.00.0OBSERVED
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Jaylen Watson
                          00-0037195
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Did Not Participate In Practice
                          867.02.02.03.06.02.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          KC
                          Josh Wallace
                          00-0039772
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          270.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          LAR
                          Kam Curl
                          00-0036349
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1324.02.04.02.07.03.0OBSERVED
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Kamren Kinchens
                          00-0039834
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          975.01.03.01.07.02.0OBSERVED
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Quentin Lake
                          00-0037841
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          849.01.02.02.013.01.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          LAR
                          Trent McDuffie
                          00-0037191
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          688.01.01.02.07.01.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          KC
                          Braden Fiske
                          00-0039734
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          673.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Kobie Turner
                          00-0039138
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          896.07.017.09.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Poona Ford
                          00-0034234
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          626.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Ty Hamilton
                          00-0040585
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          176.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          LAR
                          Tyler Davis
                          00-0039749
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          561.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Byron Young
                          00-0039137
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Did Not Participate In Practice
                          981.012.031.014.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Desjuan Johnson
                          00-0039061
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          153.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          LAR
                          Grant Stuard
                          00-0036672
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          13.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          DET
                          Josaiah Stewart
                          00-0040580
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          465.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Myles Garrett
                          00-0033868
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Did Not Participate In Practice
                          868.023.039.033.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          Nate Landman
                          00-0037587
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1224.02.55.010.08.01.0OBSERVED
                          20 observed games
                          LAR
                          Omar Speights
                          00-0039774
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          826.00.00.01.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          LAR
                          Shaun Dolac
                          00-0040613
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          42.00.00.02.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          LAR
                          Wesley Bailey
                          00-0041404
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Alex Johnson
                          00-0039506
                          DB / RES
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cam Lampkin
                          00-0039780
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Nick Andersen
                          00-0041413
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Nyzier Fourqurean
                          00-0041416
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tanner Ingle
                          00-0038366
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          3.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          1 observed games
                          LAR
                          Zech McPhearson
                          00-0036917
                          DB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Aaron Donald
                          00-0031388
                          DL / EXE
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Bill Norton
                          00-0040595
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Daniel Rickert
                          00-0041587
                          DL / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Larrell Murchison
                          00-0036237
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          126.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          LAR
                          Tim Keenan III
                          00-0041534
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Darryl Peterson III
                          00-0041421
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Eddie Walls III
                          00-0041429
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Elias Neal
                          00-0039775
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jamie Sheriff
                          00-0039944
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Keir Thomas
                          00-0037057
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          LV: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Dalton Johnson
                          00-0040883
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Darien Porter
                          00-0040641
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          606.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          LV
                          Darrell Luter Jr.
                          00-0038594
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          275.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          SF
                          Eric Stokes
                          00-0036901
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1037.00.00.03.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          LV
                          Hezekiah Masses
                          00-0040889
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Isaiah Pola-Mao
                          00-0037512
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1080.00.00.03.04.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          LV
                          Jeremy Chinn
                          00-0036293
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          996.01.02.03.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          LV
                          Jermod McCoy
                          00-0041563
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Taron Johnson
                          00-0034376
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          678.00.00.02.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          BUF
                          Treydan Stukes
                          00-0040868
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tristin McCollum
                          00-0037461
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          145.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          LV
                          Adam Butler
                          00-0033381
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          684.01.05.03.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          LV
                          Foley Fatukasi
                          00-0034275
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          101.01.52.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          HOU
                          JJ Pegues
                          00-0040199
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          137.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          LV
                          Jonah Laulu
                          00-0039423
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          764.04.07.08.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          LV
                          Kwity Paye
                          00-0036479
                          DL / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          721.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          IND
                          Malcolm Koonce
                          00-0036989
                          DL / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          501.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          LV
                          Maxx Crosby
                          00-0034973
                          DL / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          935.010.020.028.06.01.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          LV
                          Thomas Booker
                          00-0037262
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          603.00.07.01.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          LV
                          Tonka Hemingway
                          00-0040169
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          195.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          LV
                          Cody Lindenberg
                          00-0040228
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Nakobe Dean
                          00-0037615
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          462.04.06.07.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          PHI
                          Patrick Johnson
                          00-0036922
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          115.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          PHI
                          Quay Walker
                          00-0037074
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          978.02.57.09.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          GB
                          Segun Olubi
                          00-0037527
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #3
                          LISTED
                          6.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          IND
                          Tommy Eichenberg
                          00-0039374
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          89.00.00.01.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          LV
                          Chigozie Anusiem
                          00-0039676
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Devin Lafayette
                          00-0041000
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Greedy Vance
                          00-0040489
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          92.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          LV
                          Brandon Cleveland
                          00-0040902
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Gary Smith III
                          00-0041007
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Azeez Ojulari
                          00-0036552
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          67.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          PHI
                          Brennan Jackson
                          00-0039836
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cameron McGrone
                          00-0036644
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          43.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          IND
                          Cian Slone
                          00-0041006
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jahfari Harvey
                          00-0040604
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          27.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          LV
                          Keyron Crawford
                          00-0041553
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          MIA: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Chris Johnson
                          00-0041533
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dante Trader Jr.
                          00-0040182
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          419.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          MIA
                          Jason Marshall Jr.
                          00-0040178
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          242.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          MIA
                          Julius Brents
                          00-0039156
                          DB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          110.00.00.00.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          MIA
                          Julius Wood
                          00-0039532
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Marcellas Dial Jr.
                          00-0039390
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Michael Taaffe
                          00-0041528
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Reese Taylor
                          00-0038521
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Zayne Anderson
                          00-0036677
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          22.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          GB
                          Jordan Phillips
                          00-0040175
                          DL / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          465.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          MIA
                          Keith Cooper Jr.
                          00-0040655
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          1.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          1 observed games
                          CLE
                          Malik Herring
                          00-0036682
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          6.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          KC
                          Robert Beal Jr.
                          00-0038603
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          104.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          SF
                          Zach Sieler
                          00-0034285
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          779.05.59.010.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIA
                          Zeek Biggers
                          00-0040248
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          214.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          MIA
                          Chop Robinson
                          00-0039911
                          LB / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          417.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          MIA
                          Jackson Woodard
                          00-0040066
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jacob Rodriguez
                          00-0041522
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jordyn Brooks
                          00-0036409
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          984.03.54.013.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIA
                          Joshua Uche
                          00-0036159
                          LB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          244.01.03.02.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          9 observed games
                          PHI
                          Kyle Louis
                          00-0041527
                          LB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Ronnie Harrison
                          00-0034779
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          277.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          ATL
                          Willie Gay Jr.
                          00-0036362
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          131.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          MIA
                          Darrell Baker Jr.
                          00-0037549
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          724.00.00.00.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          TEN
                          Ethan Bonner
                          00-0038684
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          90.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          MIA
                          Jaylin Simpson
                          00-0039383
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          62.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          GB
                          Major Burns
                          00-0040268
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Storm Duck
                          00-0039481
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          44.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          MIA
                          Clelin Ferrell
                          00-0035692
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          301.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          LAC, SF
                          Jordan Miller
                          00-0039570
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kenneth Grant
                          00-0040127
                          DL / RES
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          554.02.05.02.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIA
                          Max Llewellyn
                          00-0041531
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mazi Smith
                          00-0038545
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          143.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          8 observed games
                          DAL, NYJ
                          Rene Konga
                          00-0041136
                          DL / RES
                          RDT #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Rodney McGraw
                          00-0041159
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Amari Gainer
                          00-0039539
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Liam Anderson
                          00-0038429
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Trey Moore
                          00-0041526
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          MIN: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Byron Murphy
                          00-0035236
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          1046.00.00.03.07.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIN
                          Charles Demmings
                          00-0041083
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Isaiah Rodgers
                          00-0036222
                          DB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          963.00.00.04.04.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIN
                          Jacob Thomas
                          00-0041354
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jakobe Thomas
                          00-0041054
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          James Pierre
                          00-0035795
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          407.00.00.01.011.01.0OBSERVED
                          11 observed games
                          PIT
                          Jay Ward
                          00-0038578
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          248.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          MIN
                          Josh Metellus
                          00-0036348
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          868.00.52.01.06.02.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          MIN
                          Theo Jackson
                          00-0037301
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          530.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          MIN
                          Zemaiah Vaughn
                          00-0040507
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Caleb Banks
                          00-0041033
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Domonique Orange
                          00-0041046
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Elijah Williams
                          00-0040624
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          42.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          MIN
                          Jalen Redmond
                          00-0038778
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          793.06.08.012.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIN
                          Levi Drake Rodriguez
                          00-0039421
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          461.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          MIN
                          Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins
                          00-0040173
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          250.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          MIN
                          Andrew Van Ginkel
                          00-0035272
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          582.07.013.011.010.01.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          MIN
                          Blake Cashman
                          00-0035276
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          790.02.03.04.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          MIN
                          Bo Richter
                          00-0039718
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          52.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          MIN
                          Chaz Chambliss
                          00-0040496
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          25.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          MIN
                          Dallas Turner
                          00-0039924
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          701.08.015.011.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIN
                          Eric Wilson
                          00-0033336
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          965.06.510.017.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          MIN
                          Ivan Pace Jr.
                          00-0038807
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          323.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          MIN
                          Jake Golday
                          00-0041495
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Bryce Phillips
                          00-0040962
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Da'Veawn Armstead
                          00-0041341
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kahlef Hailassie
                          00-0038523
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Marcus Allen
                          00-0041340
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tavierre Thomas
                          00-0034488
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          18.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          MIN
                          Tyreek Chappell
                          00-0041344
                          DB / RES
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jahvaree Ritzie
                          00-0040572
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Naquan Jones
                          00-0036695
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          222.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          HOU, LAC
                          Taki Taimani
                          00-0039720
                          DL / RES
                          NT #3
                          LISTED
                          35.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          MIN
                          Bangally Kamara
                          00-0041431
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jacob Roberts
                          00-0040786
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jamal Adams
                          00-0033872
                          LB / RES
                          RILB #3
                          LISTED
                          448.01.02.04.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          LV
                          Kyle Van Noy
                          00-0031360
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          494.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          BAL
                          Tyler Batty
                          00-0040492
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          42.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          MIN
                          NE: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Carlton Davis III
                          00-0034778
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1168.00.02.04.014.02.0OBSERVED
                          21 observed games
                          NE
                          Channing Canada
                          00-0041316
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Charles Woods
                          00-0039770
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          153.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          NE
                          Christian Gonzalez
                          00-0039147
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1014.01.00.02.017.01.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          NE
                          Craig Woodson
                          00-0040716
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1203.00.01.08.09.01.0OBSERVED
                          21 observed games
                          NE
                          Dell Pettus
                          00-0039692
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          140.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          NE
                          Jaylen Reed
                          00-0040204
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          173.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          HOU
                          Karon Prunty
                          00-0041088
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kevin Byard
                          00-0033132
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1220.00.00.06.08.07.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          CHI
                          Marcus Jones
                          00-0037253
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          904.03.03.08.015.04.0OBSERVED
                          21 observed games
                          NE
                          Christian Barmore
                          00-0036981
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          842.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          21 observed games
                          NE
                          Cory Durden
                          00-0038653
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          512.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          21 observed games
                          NE
                          Joshua Farmer
                          00-0040171
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          224.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          NE
                          Leonard Taylor III
                          00-0039289
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          169.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          NE, NYJ
                          Milton Williams
                          00-0036916
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          600.06.513.012.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          NE
                          Christian Elliss
                          00-0036813
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          657.01.06.02.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          NE
                          Darius Muasau
                          00-0039829
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          455.01.01.02.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          NYG
                          Dre'Mont Jones
                          00-0035678
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          791.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          BAL, TEN
                          Elijah Ponder
                          00-0040574
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          314.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          NE
                          Erick Hunter
                          00-0041455
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Gabe Jacas
                          00-0041569
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Namdi Obiazor
                          00-0041109
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Quintayvious Hutchins
                          00-0041402
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Robert Spillane
                          00-0034720
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          955.01.00.04.07.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NE
                          Brenden Schooler
                          00-0037205
                          DB / RES
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          41.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          NE
                          Elliott Davison
                          00-0040537
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kindle Vildor
                          00-0036307
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          165.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          TB
                          Mike Brown
                          00-0037493
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          4.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          TEN
                          Eric Gregory
                          00-0040371
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          136.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          NE
                          Isaiah Iton
                          00-0039644
                          DL / RES
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jalen Hunt
                          00-0041211
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jeremiah Pharms Jr.
                          00-0037711
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          47.00.01.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          NE
                          Harold Landry III
                          00-0034828
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          728.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          NE
                          Jose Ramirez
                          00-0039053
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          K.J. Britt
                          00-0036643
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          148.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          MIA
                          Khalil Jacobs
                          00-0041321
                          LB / RES
                          RILB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Riley Wilson
                          00-0041564
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          NO: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Decamerion Richardson
                          00-0039357
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          13.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          LV
                          Jayden Price
                          00-0039725
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jonas Sanker
                          00-0040643
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2, NB #1
                          LISTED
                          978.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          NO
                          Jordan Howden
                          00-0038588
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          261.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          NO
                          Julian Blackmon
                          00-0036253
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          66.00.00.00.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          NO
                          Justin Reid
                          00-0034361
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          833.00.51.02.06.01.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          NO
                          Kool-Aid McKinstry
                          00-0039860
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1075.00.00.03.017.03.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NO
                          Martin Emerson
                          00-0037250
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Michael Reid
                          00-0040293
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Quincy Riley
                          00-0040166
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          594.00.00.00.010.01.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          NO
                          Christen Miller
                          00-0041390
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Colby Wooden
                          00-0038387
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          622.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          GB
                          Davon Godchaux
                          00-0033860
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          456.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          NO
                          John Ridgeway
                          00-0037283
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          73.00.01.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          NO
                          Khristian Boyd
                          00-0039401
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #4
                          LISTED
                          77.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          NO
                          Nathan Shepherd
                          00-0034760
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          696.03.013.04.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          NO
                          Vernon Broughton
                          00-0040642
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          24.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          NO
                          Anfernee Jennings
                          00-0036193
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          411.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          NE
                          Cameron Jordan
                          00-0027962
                          LB / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          590.010.515.015.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NO
                          Carl Granderson
                          00-0035402
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          765.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          NO
                          Chase Young
                          00-0036321
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          544.010.015.011.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          NO
                          Chris Rumph II
                          00-0036867
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          330.02.04.03.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NO
                          Danny Stutsman
                          00-0040155
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          204.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          NO
                          Isaiah Stalbird
                          00-0039622
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          64.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          NO
                          Kaden Elliss
                          00-0035316
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1103.03.510.010.06.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          ATL
                          Pete Werner
                          00-0036927
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          684.02.03.04.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NO
                          Tyree Wilson
                          00-0038541
                          LB / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          463.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          LV
                          David Long
                          00-0035665
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #5
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Lorenzo Styles Jr.
                          00-0041089
                          DB / RES
                          NB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Rejzohn Wright
                          00-0038781
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          TJ Hall
                          00-0041114
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Bryan Bresee
                          00-0038995
                          DL / RES
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          668.02.58.05.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          NO
                          Jay'Viar Suggs
                          00-0041335
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Fadil Diggs
                          00-0040249
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          54.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          NO
                          Jackson Sirmon
                          00-0039288
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jaylan Ford
                          00-0039388
                          LB / RES
                          RILB #3
                          LISTED
                          7.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          NO
                          Michael Heldman
                          00-0041329
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          NYG: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Andru Phillips
                          00-0039821
                          DB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          729.00.00.08.012.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NYG
                          Ar'Darius Washington
                          00-0036587
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          61.01.03.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          BAL
                          Colton Hood
                          00-0041462
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Deonte Banks
                          00-0039000
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          461.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          NYG
                          Elijah Campbell
                          00-0034248
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          16.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          MIA
                          Greg Newsome II
                          00-0036996
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          802.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          CLE, JAX
                          Jason Pinnock
                          00-0036502
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          505.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          SF
                          Jevon Holland
                          00-0036998
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          833.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          NYG
                          Nic Jones
                          00-0038986
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          20.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          NYG
                          Paulson Adebo
                          00-0036937
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          759.00.00.01.08.01.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          NYG
                          Tyler Nubin
                          00-0039861
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          811.00.00.07.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          NYG
                          Basil Okoye
                          00-0039176
                          DL / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Bobby Jamison-Travis
                          00-0041095
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Chauncey Golston
                          00-0036982
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          174.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          NYG
                          DJ Reader
                          00-0032424
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          583.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DET
                          Darius Alexander
                          00-0040694
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          395.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          NYG
                          Shelby Harris
                          00-0031270
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          509.01.05.07.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          Abdul Carter
                          00-0040677
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          843.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          NYG
                          Arvell Reese
                          00-0041509
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Brian Burns
                          00-0035713
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          862.016.531.022.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NYG
                          Jack Kelly
                          00-0041102
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kayvon Thibodeaux
                          00-0037611
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          494.02.59.05.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          NYG
                          Micah McFadden
                          00-0037259
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          11.00.01.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          NYG
                          Tremaine Edmunds
                          00-0034673
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          959.01.03.03.010.04.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          CHI
                          Zaire Barnes
                          00-0038399
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #3
                          LISTED
                          92.01.01.02.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          NYG
                          Elijah Jones
                          00-0039823
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          37.00.00.00.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          ARI
                          Jarrick Bernard-Converse
                          00-0038401
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #4
                          LISTED
                          23.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          CLE, NYG
                          Korie Black
                          00-0040243
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          184.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          NYG
                          Raheem Layne
                          00-0037468
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          106.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          NYG
                          Rico Payton
                          00-0039620
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          34.00.00.00.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          NYG
                          Thaddeus Dixon
                          00-0041142
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Ben Barten
                          00-0041141
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Josh Tupou
                          00-0033347
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          74.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          BAL
                          Roy Robertson-Harris
                          00-0032667
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          628.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          NYG
                          Chandler Martin
                          00-0040108
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Malik Harrison
                          00-0036280
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          319.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          PIT
                          Trace Ford
                          00-0040434
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          NYJ: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Andre Cisco
                          00-0036941
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          499.00.00.01.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Azareye'h Thomas
                          00-0040133
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          311.00.00.02.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Brandon Stephens
                          00-0036987
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1048.00.00.04.09.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          NYJ
                          D'Angelo Ponds
                          00-0041038
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dane Belton
                          00-0038123
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          705.02.02.03.05.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NYG
                          Jarvis Brownlee Jr.
                          00-0039372
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          408.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          NYJ, TEN
                          Malachi Moore
                          00-0040165
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          950.00.00.03.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Minkah Fitzpatrick
                          00-0034789
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          845.01.02.04.06.01.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          MIA
                          Nahshon Wright
                          00-0036986
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1177.00.01.03.012.05.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          CHI
                          Qwan'tez Stiggers
                          00-0039789
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          247.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Darrell Jackson Jr.
                          00-0041549
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          David Onyemata
                          00-0033051
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          634.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          ATL
                          Harrison Phillips
                          00-0034782
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          693.00.51.05.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Jowon Briggs
                          00-0039431
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #3
                          LISTED
                          588.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          NYJ
                          T'Vondre Sweat
                          00-0039886
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          381.02.03.04.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          TEN
                          Braiden McGregor
                          00-0039284
                          LB / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          265.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          NYJ
                          David Bailey
                          00-0041026
                          LB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Demario Davis
                          00-0029607
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          1081.00.52.06.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NO
                          Francisco Mauigoa
                          00-0040186
                          LB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          329.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Jamien Sherwood
                          00-0036500
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          1111.02.05.08.08.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Joseph Ossai
                          00-0036902
                          LB / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Did Not Participate In Practice
                          616.05.012.09.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          CIN
                          Kingsley Enagbare
                          00-0037083
                          LB / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          521.02.09.07.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          GB
                          Marcelino McCrary-Ball
                          00-0037526
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          106.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Trevin Wallace
                          00-0039347
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          624.02.04.05.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          CAR
                          Will McDonald IV
                          00-0039142
                          LB / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          649.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Jordan Clark
                          00-0040397
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          139.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Mory Bamba
                          00-0041196
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Samuel Womack
                          00-0037830
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          127.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          NYJ, TEN
                          Tre Brown
                          00-0036885
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          54.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          NYJ
                          VJ Payne
                          00-0041120
                          DB / RES
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jack Heflin
                          00-0036788
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          8.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          LAR
                          Kingsley Jonathan
                          00-0037431
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          17.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Payton Page
                          00-0040404
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          61.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Jaden Keller
                          00-0041410
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mykal Walker
                          00-0036300
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          194.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Nate Lynn
                          00-0039447
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Paschal Ekeji
                          00-0040793
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Troy Reeder
                          00-0035617
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          84.00.00.00.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          LAR
                          Tyler Baron
                          00-0040196
                          LB / RES
                          RDE #4
                          LISTED
                          95.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          NYJ
                          PHI: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Andrew Mukuba
                          00-0040749
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          672.00.51.02.03.02.0OBSERVED
                          11 observed games
                          PHI
                          Cooper DeJean
                          00-0039841
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2, NB #1
                          LISTED
                          1096.00.01.04.018.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          PHI
                          Jonathan Jones
                          00-0032580
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          484.01.01.01.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          11 observed games
                          WAS
                          Kelee Ringo
                          00-0039140
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          312.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          PHI
                          Mac McWilliams
                          00-0040071
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          28.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          PHI
                          Marcus Epps
                          00-0034993
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          308.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          PHI
                          Michael Carter II
                          00-0036501
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          254.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          NYJ, PHI
                          Quinyon Mitchell
                          00-0039888
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1045.00.00.00.020.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          PHI
                          Riq Woolen
                          00-0037079
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          962.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          SEA
                          A.J. Epenesa
                          00-0036192
                          DL / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          489.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          BUF
                          Byron Young
                          00-0038978
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          350.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          PHI
                          Jalen Carter
                          00-0038386
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          697.04.013.06.07.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          PHI
                          Jordan Davis
                          00-0037073
                          DL / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          715.04.56.010.06.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          PHI
                          Moro Ojomo
                          00-0038412
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          778.06.012.06.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          PHI
                          Ty Robinson
                          00-0040662
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          104.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          PHI
                          Arnold Ebiketie
                          00-0038116
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          384.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          ATL
                          Jalyx Hunt
                          00-0039740
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          721.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          PHI
                          Jeremiah Trotter Jr.
                          00-0039826
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          88.00.02.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          6 observed games
                          PHI
                          Jihaad Campbell
                          00-0040708
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          711.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          PHI
                          Jonathan Greenard
                          00-0036224
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          559.03.012.010.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          12 observed games
                          MIN
                          Nolan Smith
                          00-0039013
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          480.03.012.02.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          PHI
                          Smael Mondon Jr.
                          00-0040013
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          14.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          PHI
                          Zack Baun
                          00-0036418
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1097.03.55.07.07.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          PHI
                          Andre' Sam
                          00-0039267
                          DB / RES
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          3.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          1 observed games
                          PHI
                          Cole Wisniewski
                          00-0040905
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jakorian Bennett
                          00-0039072
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          98.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          PHI
                          Maximus Pulley
                          00-0040923
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Robert Longerbeam
                          00-0040077
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tucker Large
                          00-0040929
                          DB / RES
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Gabe Hall
                          00-0039265
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          13.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          PHI
                          Uar Bernard
                          00-0041580
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Chance Campbell
                          00-0037312
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Joshua Weru
                          00-0040926
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Keyshawn James-Newby
                          00-0040908
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mason Reiger
                          00-0041162
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          PIT: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Asante Samuel Jr.
                          00-0036617
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          249.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          PIT
                          Brandin Echols
                          00-0036504
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          566.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          PIT
                          Daylen Everette
                          00-0041393
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jalen Ramsey
                          00-0033055
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          1172.03.04.04.08.01.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          PIT
                          Jamel Dean
                          00-0035699
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          660.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          TB
                          Jaquan Brisker
                          00-0038135
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1221.02.04.02.010.01.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          CHI
                          Joey Porter Jr.
                          00-0039167
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          962.01.00.00.016.01.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          PIT
                          Rayshawn Jenkins
                          00-0033941
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          277.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          Robert Spears-Jennings
                          00-0041401
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cameron Heyward
                          00-0027969
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          874.03.59.09.06.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          PIT
                          Derrick Harmon
                          00-0040678
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          490.04.06.01.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          PIT
                          Gabe Rubio
                          00-0041400
                          DL / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Keeanu Benton
                          00-0039110
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          781.06.513.07.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          PIT
                          Kevin Jobity Jr.
                          00-0041261
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Sebastian Joseph-Day
                          00-0034810
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          449.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          TEN
                          Yahya Black
                          00-0040188
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          445.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          PIT
                          Alex Highsmith
                          00-0036333
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          685.09.519.015.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          PIT
                          Carson Bruener
                          00-0040231
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          1.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          PIT
                          Cole Holcomb
                          00-0035286
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          198.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          PIT
                          Jack Sawyer
                          00-0040160
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          305.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          PIT
                          Nick Herbig
                          00-0038577
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          636.07.518.013.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          PIT
                          Patrick Queen
                          00-0036323
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1180.01.05.08.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          PIT
                          Payton Wilson
                          00-0039741
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          761.02.04.06.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          PIT
                          T.J. Watt
                          00-0033886
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          864.07.020.010.08.02.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          PIT
                          Bishop Fitzgerald
                          00-0040914
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Car'lin Vigers
                          00-0040322
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Daequan Hardy
                          00-0039883
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          DeShon Elliott
                          00-0034277
                          DB / RES
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          281.01.03.01.02.01.0OBSERVED
                          5 observed games
                          PIT
                          Doneiko Slaughter
                          00-0040341
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Donte Kent
                          00-0040232
                          DB / RES
                          NB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Sebastian Castro
                          00-0040527
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Esezi Otomewo
                          00-0037274
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          197.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          13 observed games
                          PIT
                          Kyler Baugh
                          00-0039609
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Logan Lee
                          00-0039389
                          DL / RES
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          47.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          PIT
                          Bradyn Swinson
                          00-0040176
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          27.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          NE
                          Jacoby Windmon
                          00-0039457
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Julius Welschof
                          00-0039931
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          SEA: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Avery Smith
                          00-0041382
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Devon Witherspoon
                          00-0039169
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          903.01.57.03.011.01.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          SEA
                          Josh Jobe
                          00-0037137
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          937.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          SEA
                          Julian Love
                          00-0034974
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          634.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          SEA
                          Julian Neal
                          00-0040873
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Nehemiah Pritchett
                          00-0039795
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          100.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          SEA
                          Nick Emmanwori
                          00-0040733
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          Game designation: Questionable
                          947.02.54.08.015.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          SEA
                          Ty Okada
                          00-0038765
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          Game designation: Out
                          761.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          SEA
                          Brandon Pili
                          00-0038694
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          172.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          SEA
                          Byron Murphy II
                          00-0039309
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          901.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          20 observed games
                          SEA
                          Jarran Reed
                          00-0032387
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          493.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          SEA
                          Leonard Williams
                          00-0031933
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          950.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          20 observed games
                          SEA
                          Mike Morris
                          00-0038591
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          177.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          SEA
                          Rylie Mills
                          00-0040647
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          34.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          SEA
                          Chazz Surratt
                          00-0037003
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #3
                          LISTED
                          7.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          SEA
                          Connor O'Toole
                          00-0040061
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          32.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          SEA
                          Dante Fowler Jr.
                          00-0032052
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          359.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DAL
                          DeMarcus Lawrence
                          00-0031411
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          745.08.025.014.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          SEA
                          Derick Hall
                          00-0039047
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          513.04.015.05.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          SEA
                          Drake Thomas
                          00-0038922
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          874.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          20 observed games
                          SEA
                          Ernest Jones
                          00-0036994
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1088.00.51.05.08.06.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          SEA
                          Patrick O'Connell
                          00-0038764
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          65.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          SEA
                          Tyrice Knight
                          00-0039815
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          327.02.02.06.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          SEA
                          Uchenna Nwosu
                          00-0034350
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          681.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          19 observed games
                          SEA
                          AJ Finley
                          00-0038866
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Andre Fuller
                          00-0040903
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Bud Clark
                          00-0041463
                          DB / RES
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          D'Anthony Bell
                          00-0037332
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          96.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          SEA
                          Maxen Hook
                          00-0040026
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Michael Dansby
                          00-0040910
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Rodney Thomas
                          00-0037323
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          150.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          IND
                          Terrion Arnold
                          00-0039903
                          DB / EXE
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          313.00.00.00.08.01.0OBSERVED
                          8 observed games
                          DET
                          Trevon Diggs
                          00-0036361
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          461.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          DAL, GB
                          Deven Eastern
                          00-0040904
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Uso Seumalo
                          00-0040975
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Aaron Smith
                          00-0040407
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Aidan Hubbard
                          00-0040972
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Marvin Jones Jr.
                          00-0040973
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          SF: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Ashtyn Davis
                          00-0036329
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #3
                          LISTED
                          714.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          MIA
                          Deommodore Lenoir
                          00-0036563
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1192.00.00.05.05.02.0OBSERVED
                          19 observed games
                          SF
                          Ephesians Prysock
                          00-0041068
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jack Jones
                          00-0038039
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          907.00.00.04.05.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          MIA
                          Ji'Ayir Brown
                          00-0038554
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          832.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          SF
                          Malik Mustapha
                          00-0039360
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          824.01.02.04.03.01.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          SF
                          Marques Sigle
                          00-0040185
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          480.00.00.01.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          11 observed games
                          SF
                          Renardo Green
                          00-0039345
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          939.00.00.00.010.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          SF
                          Siran Neal
                          00-0034391
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Upton Stout
                          00-0040152
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          663.01.02.04.06.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          SF
                          Alfred Collins
                          00-0040721
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #3
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          550.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          SF
                          CJ West
                          00-0040711
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          334.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          SF
                          Gracen Halton
                          00-0041557
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          James Thompson Jr.
                          00-0041363
                          DL / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          Practice report: Did Not Participate In Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Keion White
                          00-0039148
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          508.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          NE, SF
                          Khalid Kareem
                          00-0036341
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          71.00.01.01.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          ATL
                          Nick Bosa
                          00-0035717
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          119.02.03.04.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          SF
                          Osa Odighizuwa
                          00-0036942
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          692.03.523.06.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          DAL
                          Romello Height
                          00-0041556
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dre Greenlaw
                          00-0034982
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          386.01.02.02.02.01.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          DEN
                          Fred Warner
                          00-0034815
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          330.00.00.02.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          6 observed games
                          SF
                          Garret Wallow
                          00-0036844
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          150.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          DEN, SF
                          Jaden Dugger
                          00-0041078
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Luke Gifford
                          00-0035413
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          172.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          SF
                          Tatum Bethune
                          00-0039435
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          499.01.01.04.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          SF
                          Brandon Codrington
                          00-0039333
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          10.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          BUF
                          Darrick Forrest
                          00-0036638
                          DB / RES
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jakob Robinson
                          00-0040559
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jalen Stroman
                          00-0041362
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Nate Hobbs
                          00-0036871
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          358.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          GB
                          Kevin Givens
                          00-0035026
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          116.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          SF
                          Mikail Kamara
                          00-0041360
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mykel Williams
                          00-0040660
                          DL / RES
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          385.01.03.04.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          9 observed games
                          SF
                          Ogbo Okoronkwo
                          00-0034807
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          4.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          1 observed games
                          PHI
                          Sam Okuayinonu
                          00-0037602
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          643.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          SF
                          Sebastian Valdez
                          00-0040560
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Victor Dimukeje
                          00-0036896
                          DL / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          16.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          NYG
                          Vincent Anthony Jr.
                          00-0040950
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Andrew Farmer
                          00-0038865
                          LB / RES
                          RDE #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jalen Graham
                          00-0038648
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          2.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          SF
                          Nick Martin
                          00-0040135
                          LB / RES
                          MLB #3
                          LISTED
                          15.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          SF
                          TB: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Antoine Winfield Jr.
                          00-0036411
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          1038.01.04.04.08.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          TB
                          Ayden Garnes
                          00-0041253
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Benjamin Morrison
                          00-0040747
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          359.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          TB
                          Jacob Parrish
                          00-0040143
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          746.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          TB
                          Keionte Scott
                          00-0041057
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Kevin Knowles
                          00-0040089
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #3
                          LISTED
                          82.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          KC
                          Miles Killebrew
                          00-0032399
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tykee Smith
                          00-0039846
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          893.02.05.06.013.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          TB
                          Zyon McCollum
                          00-0037268
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          766.00.00.01.06.01.0OBSERVED
                          13 observed games
                          TB
                          A'Shawn Robinson
                          00-0032889
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          701.02.58.03.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          CAR
                          Calijah Kancey
                          00-0039063
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          97.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          TB
                          DeMonte Capehart
                          00-0041079
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Elijah Roberts
                          00-0040183
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          507.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          TB
                          Elijah Simmons
                          00-0040384
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #3
                          LISTED
                          92.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          TB
                          Rakeem Nunez-Roches
                          00-0031957
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          241.03.04.03.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          9 observed games
                          NYG
                          Vita Vea
                          00-0034773
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          764.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          TB
                          Al-Quadin Muhammad
                          00-0033964
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          457.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          DET
                          Alex Anzalone
                          00-0033914
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1004.02.56.04.09.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          DET
                          Anthony Nelson
                          00-0035254
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          386.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          TB
                          Christian Rozeboom
                          00-0035942
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          899.02.02.07.04.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          CAR
                          David Walker
                          00-0040158
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Josiah Trotter
                          00-0041502
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Rueben Bain Jr.
                          00-0041031
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Limited Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          SirVocea Dennis
                          00-0039049
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          910.03.07.010.05.01.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          TB
                          Yaya Diaby
                          00-0039068
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          783.07.019.013.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          TB
                          Ifeatu Melifonwu
                          00-0036993
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          547.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          MIA
                          JJ Roberts
                          00-0040425
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Josh Hayes
                          00-0039051
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Sean Murphy-Bunting
                          00-0035239
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Silas Walters
                          00-0040992
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Xavier Williams
                          00-0041592
                          DB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Deshawn McKnight
                          00-0041339
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jayson Jones
                          00-0040105
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Javin Wright
                          00-0041424
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mohamed Kamara
                          00-0039877
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          5.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          3 observed games
                          TB
                          Yasir Holmes
                          00-0041434
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          TEN: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Alontae Taylor
                          00-0038121
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1058.02.03.07.011.02.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          NO
                          Amani Hooker
                          00-0035632
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          919.01.01.03.08.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          TEN
                          Cordale Flott
                          00-0037758
                          DB / ACT
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          NAME_MISMATCH
                          797.00.00.03.011.01.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          NYG
                          Kevin Winston Jr.
                          00-0040141
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          313.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          TEN
                          Marcus Harris
                          00-0040201
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          342.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          TEN
                          Melvin Smith Jr.
                          00-0040093
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Micah Robinson
                          00-0040020
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          66.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          TEN
                          Terrell Burgess
                          00-0036421
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          115.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          NO
                          Tony Adams
                          00-0037155
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          468.01.01.03.05.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Jackie Marshall
                          00-0040892
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jacob Martin
                          00-0034163
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          700.05.518.03.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          WAS
                          Jeffery Simmons
                          00-0035643
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #1
                          LISTED
                          764.011.021.017.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          TEN
                          John Franklin-Myers
                          00-0034805
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          570.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          DEN
                          Jordan Elliott
                          00-0036266
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #1
                          LISTED
                          517.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          18 observed games
                          SF
                          Nazir Stackhouse
                          00-0040041
                          DL / ACT
                          LDT #3
                          LISTED
                          173.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          14 observed games
                          GB
                          Solomon Thomas
                          00-0033870
                          DL / ACT
                          RDT #2
                          LISTED
                          419.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          DAL
                          Truman Jones
                          00-0038514
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          104.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          9 observed games
                          TEN
                          Anthony Hill Jr.
                          00-0041479
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Cedric Gray
                          00-0039858
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Did Not Participate In Practice
                          922.01.03.07.04.00.0OBSERVED
                          16 observed games
                          TEN
                          Cody Barton
                          00-0035672
                          LB / ACT
                          MLB #1
                          LISTED
                          1061.01.01.04.011.03.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          TEN
                          James Williams
                          00-0039430
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          79.01.01.03.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          TEN
                          Jermaine Johnson II
                          00-0037663
                          LB / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          679.03.06.05.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          NYJ
                          Keldric Faulk
                          00-0041508
                          LB / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          Practice report: Full Participation in Practice
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Oluwafemi Oladejo
                          00-0040752
                          LB / ACT
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          188.00.01.02.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          5 observed games
                          TEN
                          Owen Pappoe
                          00-0038600
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          96.00.00.00.02.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          ARI
                          Erick Hallett
                          00-0038620
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          146.00.00.00.01.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          DET, TEN
                          Jalen McMurray
                          00-0040917
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jerrick Reed II
                          00-0038613
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          74.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          SEA, TEN
                          Joshua Williams
                          00-0038043
                          DB / RES
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          17.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          KC
                          Kendell Brooks
                          00-0038703
                          DB / RES
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          154.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          5 observed games
                          TEN
                          Shemar Bartholomew
                          00-0039292
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          34.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          GB
                          Jalyn Holmes
                          00-0034264
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          251.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          10 observed games
                          WAS
                          Laki Tasi
                          00-0040762
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Tanoh Kpassagnon
                          00-0033902
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #4
                          LISTED
                          89.01.02.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          4 observed games
                          CHI
                          Timmy Horne
                          00-0037585
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dominique Hampton
                          00-0039381
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Dorian Mausi
                          00-0040503
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jaylen Harrell
                          00-0039436
                          LB / RES
                          RDE #4
                          LISTED
                          363.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          TEN
                          Milo Eifler
                          00-0036511
                          LB / RES
                          WLB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Mohamoud Diabate
                          00-0038711
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          297.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          CLE
                          WAS: player roles and prior production

                          Data coverage: AVAILABLE. . ACT, RES, DEV and EXE are source roster-status labels; reserve players are not assumed available.

                          Earlier forecast-input report notes captured . Earlier official report source. These are archived input notes; the later final inactive announcements below take precedence.

                          PlayerPosition / roster / depthDefensive snapsSacksQB hitsTackles for lossPasses defendedInterceptionsHistory coverage
                          Amik Robertson
                          00-0036375
                          DB / ACT
                          NB #1
                          LISTED
                          843.00.00.02.012.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          DET
                          Fabian Moreau
                          00-0033918
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #2
                          LISTED
                          198.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          MIN
                          Jeremy Reaves
                          00-0034465
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #1
                          LISTED
                          708.01.02.05.07.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          WAS
                          Mike Sainristil
                          00-0039898
                          DB / ACT
                          RCB #1
                          LISTED
                          1024.00.00.01.012.04.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          WAS
                          Nick Cross
                          00-0037616
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #1
                          LISTED
                          1111.02.56.05.05.01.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          IND
                          Percy Butler
                          00-0038100
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #3
                          LISTED
                          20.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          11 observed games
                          WAS
                          Quan Martin
                          00-0039149
                          DB / ACT
                          FS #2
                          LISTED
                          927.00.02.01.03.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          WAS
                          Rasul Douglas
                          00-0033551
                          DB / ACT
                          LCB #1
                          LISTED
                          850.01.02.02.013.02.0OBSERVED
                          15 observed games
                          MIA
                          Tyler Owens
                          00-0039681
                          DB / ACT
                          SS #2
                          LISTED
                          66.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          6 observed games
                          WAS
                          Charles Omenihu
                          00-0035279
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #2
                          LISTED
                          565.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          KC
                          Daron Payne
                          00-0034333
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #1
                          LISTED
                          607.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          15 observed games
                          WAS
                          Javon Kinlaw
                          00-0036260
                          DL / ACT
                          RDE #1
                          LISTED
                          724.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          WAS
                          Ricky Barber
                          00-0040314
                          DL / ACT
                          NT #2
                          LISTED
                          32.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          2 observed games
                          WAS
                          Shy Tuttle
                          00-0035409
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #2
                          LISTED
                          177.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          TEN, WAS
                          Tim Settle
                          00-0034397
                          DL / ACT
                          LDE #1
                          LISTED
                          383.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          12 observed games
                          HOU
                          Frankie Luvu
                          00-0034302
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #1
                          LISTED
                          1107.03.06.05.06.00.0OBSERVED
                          17 observed games
                          WAS
                          Javontae Jean-Baptiste
                          00-0039412
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #2
                          LISTED
                          60.01.01.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          WAS
                          Jordan Magee
                          00-0039368
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #2
                          LISTED
                          364.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          16 observed games
                          WAS
                          Joshua Josephs
                          00-0041074
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #2
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          K'Lavon Chaisson
                          00-0036286
                          LB / ACT
                          SLB #1
                          LISTED
                          833.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          20 observed games
                          NE
                          Kain Medrano
                          00-0040216
                          LB / ACT
                          LILB #3
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Leo Chenal
                          00-0037819
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #2
                          LISTED
                          440.02.05.02.02.01.0OBSERVED
                          14 observed games
                          KC
                          Odafe Oweh
                          00-0036940
                          LB / ACT
                          WLB #1
                          LISTED
                          535.010.521.012.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          18 observed games
                          BAL, LAC
                          Sonny Styles
                          00-0041028
                          LB / ACT
                          RILB #1
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Darius Rush
                          00-0038388
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Fred Davis
                          00-0041177
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Isaac Yiadom
                          00-0034780
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          147.00.00.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          6 observed games
                          NO
                          Malik Spencer
                          00-0041181
                          DB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Terell Smith
                          00-0038395
                          DB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Trey Amos
                          00-0040731
                          DB / RES
                          LCB #2
                          LISTED
                          511.00.00.01.06.00.0OBSERVED
                          10 observed games
                          WAS
                          Byron Cowart
                          00-0035278
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Deatrich Wise
                          00-0033947
                          DL / RES
                          RDE #3
                          LISTED
                          51.00.01.01.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          2 observed games
                          WAS
                          Jeffrey M'ba
                          00-0040864
                          DL / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Jer'Zhan Newton
                          00-0039906
                          DL / RES
                          LDE #3
                          LISTED
                          432.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          17 observed games
                          WAS
                          Ale Kaho
                          00-0040318
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          Curtis Jacobs
                          00-0039318
                          LB / RES
                          LILB #4
                          LISTED
                          UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableNO_OBSERVED_PRIOR_DEFENSIVE_SNAPS
                          0 observed games
                          No prior team recorded
                          DJ Johnson
                          00-0038535
                          LB / DEV
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          53.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          4 observed games
                          CAR
                          Dorance Armstrong
                          00-0034373
                          LB / RES
                          SLB #3
                          LISTED
                          239.0UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailablePARTIAL_STAT_COVERAGE
                          7 observed games
                          WAS
                          Drake Jackson
                          00-0037826
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          61.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          3 observed games
                          WAS
                          T.J. Maguranyanga
                          00-0040004
                          LB / RES
                          Not assigned a verified depth role
                          UNLISTED
                          11.00.00.00.00.00.0OBSERVED
                          1 observed games
                          WAS
                          Depth sources and limitations
                          • Production and prior playing time do not measure replacement quality.
                          • No calibrated availability probability or forecast adjustment is applied.
                          • Active roster and provider depth do not establish final game-day availability.
                          • No observed prior defensive snaps means unknown demonstrated production, not bad player quality.
                          • Historical source publication vintage is not verified; qualified identity audit covered REG and this build also checks POST.
                          • Unique roster-name fallback is counted; unresolved snap identities remain excluded.
                          • Current roster includes provider reserve/practice-squad labels that can lag official transactions.
                          • roster.csv.gz; ; SHA-256 cc7a314651f6a482fcb354205b5a25c02e1943014c245e3ec4f578ad150147dc
                          • depth.csv.gz; ; SHA-256 396f8faf4d85d51277b3e946e5ed11081a402d6a9579d96d2a14b6a7cad22694
                          • weekly_rosters; Capture time unavailable; SHA-256 c3376e135a7e62bb8b31631d7fe7501e8dd931929eaf1245a7dc6787486b0b24
                          • snap_counts; Capture time unavailable; SHA-256 80b02a6e511aa20283551cae622b29ba4d0a6f006c489a2d91591fcad33792e7
                          • player_stats; Capture time unavailable; SHA-256 4d540f34138528c917b957ed3d84e4854eee082a0d4b30af57f225f7d75fe2ef
                          Compare previous models
                          Experimental — still being tested

                          PGO Forecast Lab

                          Weekly game forecasts

                          See who the model favors, its estimated scores, and how the predictions compare with final results.

                          Each prediction becomes final 60 minutes before kickoff. We keep the last saved prediction before that deadline and record its misses as well as its wins.

                          A draft can change before its own deadline. A locked prediction cannot. An early game does not lock every other game that week.

                          Back to McCabe Ratings · Why teams rank here · Full-season archive · How we track every forecast

                          Weekly predictions

                          Forecast snapshot created: . Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included. These forecasts assume the listed quarterback plays. Team injury information is below.

                          Open “Why this forecast” for the saved calculation. The current model combines recent results, passing and rushing, sacks and turnovers, and quarterback history, then adjusts for venue and rest. Combined points uses 2025 scoring averages.

                          “SEA by 3.0 points” means the model favors Seattle by three. Combined points adds both teams’ estimates.

                          Scores are rounded to whole points. Open “Model averages” for decimal estimates. “About 25 points each” means both estimates round to 25; it does not predict a tied game. The favored team uses the unrounded numbers. Rounded scores may not add up to the combined-points estimate.

                          How much should you trust the scores? In historical testing, the combined-score estimate missed by about 11 points per game on average. It did not clearly beat using a simple league average. Treat these scores as an experiment.

                          Week 1 16 games
                          MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsPrediction deadline (Eastern)Scheduled kickoffFinal score
                          NE @ SEA
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: SEA by 1.2 points

                          PGO v0: SEA by 3.9 points

                          SEA by 0.4 pointsNE 23, SEA 24
                          Model averages

                          NE 23.1, SEA 23.5

                          46.6Locked
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: NE by 1.2 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for SEA. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves SEA by 0.4 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: NE: Drake Maye; SEA: Sam Darnold. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. NE rating explanation · SEA rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: NE 28.82 scored / 18.82 allowed; SEA 28.41 scored / 17.18 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 46.62. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 46.62; home-team lead +0.44; SEA 23.53, NE 23.09. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          SF @ LAR
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: LAR by 1.6 points

                          PGO v0: LAR by 2.1 points

                          LAR by 2.5 pointsSF 23, LAR 26
                          Model averages

                          SF 23.3, LAR 25.9

                          49.2Locked
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: LAR by 2.5 points. The neutral site adds no home advantage. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves LAR by 2.5 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: SF: Brock Purdy; LAR: Matthew Stafford. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. SF rating explanation · LAR rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: SF 25.71 scored / 21.82 allowed; LAR 30.47 scored / 20.35 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 49.18. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 49.18; home-team lead +2.53; LAR 25.85, SF 23.32. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          ATL @ PIT
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: PIT by 5.6 points

                          PGO v0: PIT by 3.7 points

                          PIT by 2.5 pointsATL 21, PIT 24
                          Model averages

                          ATL 21.4, PIT 23.9

                          45.2Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: PIT by 0.9 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for PIT. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves PIT by 2.5 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: ATL: Tua Tagovailoa; PIT: Aaron Rodgers. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. ATL rating explanation · PIT rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: ATL 20.76 scored / 23.59 allowed; PIT 23.35 scored / 22.76 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 45.24. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 45.24; home-team lead +2.49; PIT 23.86, ATL 21.37. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          BAL @ IND
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: BAL by 5.5 points

                          PGO v0: IND by 0.7 points

                          BAL by 0.4 pointsAbout 25 points each
                          Model averages

                          BAL 25.2, IND 24.8

                          50.0Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: BAL by 2.1 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for IND. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves BAL by 0.4 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: BAL: Lamar Jackson; IND: Daniel Jones. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. BAL rating explanation · IND rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: BAL 24.94 scored / 23.41 allowed; IND 27.41 scored / 24.24 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 50.00. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 50.00; home-team lead -0.45; IND 24.78, BAL 25.22. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          BUF @ HOU
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: HOU by 0.5 points

                          PGO v0: HOU by 2.0 points

                          HOU by 1.0 pointsBUF 22, HOU 23
                          Model averages

                          BUF 22.2, HOU 23.2

                          45.4Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: BUF by 0.6 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for HOU. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves HOU by 1.0 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: BUF: Josh Allen; HOU: C.J. Stroud. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. BUF rating explanation · HOU rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: BUF 28.29 scored / 21.47 allowed; HOU 23.76 scored / 17.35 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 45.44. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 45.44; home-team lead +1.01; HOU 23.22, BUF 22.22. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          CHI @ CAR
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: CHI by 4.1 points

                          PGO v0: CHI by 0.6 points

                          CHI by 3.2 pointsCHI 24, CAR 21
                          Model averages

                          CHI 24.4, CAR 21.1

                          45.5Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: CHI by 4.8 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for CAR. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves CHI by 3.2 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: CHI: Caleb Williams; CAR: Bryce Young. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. CHI rating explanation · CAR rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: CHI 25.94 scored / 24.41 allowed; CAR 18.29 scored / 22.35 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 45.50. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 45.50; home-team lead -3.21; CAR 21.15, CHI 24.35. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          CLE @ JAX
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: JAX by 12.2 points

                          PGO v0: JAX by 8.2 points

                          JAX by 10.2 pointsCLE 16, JAX 27
                          Model averages

                          CLE 16.5, JAX 26.7

                          43.2Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: JAX by 8.6 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for JAX. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves JAX by 10.2 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: CLE: Deshaun Watson; JAX: Trevor Lawrence. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. CLE rating explanation · JAX rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: CLE 16.41 scored / 22.29 allowed; JAX 27.88 scored / 19.76 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 43.18. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 43.18; home-team lead +10.22; JAX 26.70, CLE 16.48. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          NO @ DET
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: DET by 5.8 points

                          PGO v0: DET by 5.9 points

                          DET by 5.1 pointsNO 21, DET 26
                          Model averages

                          NO 20.8, DET 25.8

                          46.6Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: DET by 3.4 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for DET. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves DET by 5.1 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: NO: Tyler Shough; DET: Jared Goff. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. NO rating explanation · DET rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: NO 18.00 scored / 22.53 allowed; DET 28.29 scored / 24.29 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 46.56. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 46.56; home-team lead +5.06; DET 25.81, NO 20.75. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          NYJ @ TEN
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: TEN by 5.0 points

                          PGO v0: TEN by 3.3 points

                          TEN by 3.3 pointsNYJ 21, TEN 25
                          Model averages

                          NYJ 21.4, TEN 24.7

                          46.0Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: TEN by 1.7 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for TEN. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves TEN by 3.3 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: NYJ: Geno Smith; TEN: Cam Ward. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. NYJ rating explanation · TEN rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: NYJ 17.65 scored / 29.59 allowed; TEN 16.71 scored / 28.12 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 46.03. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 46.03; home-team lead +3.30; TEN 24.67, NYJ 21.36. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          TB @ CIN
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: CIN by 2.8 points

                          PGO v0: CIN by 2.5 points

                          CIN by 3.1 pointsTB 23, CIN 27
                          Model averages

                          TB 23.4, CIN 26.5

                          49.9Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: CIN by 1.5 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for CIN. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves CIN by 3.1 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: TB: Baker Mayfield; CIN: Joe Burrow. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. TB rating explanation · CIN rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: TB 22.35 scored / 24.18 allowed; CIN 24.35 scored / 28.94 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 49.91. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 49.91; home-team lead +3.10; CIN 26.51, TB 23.40. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          ARI @ LAC
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: LAC by 10.0 points

                          PGO v0: LAC by 6.7 points

                          LAC by 7.8 pointsARI 19, LAC 27
                          Model averages

                          ARI 18.9, LAC 26.7

                          45.6Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: LAC by 6.1 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for LAC. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves LAC by 7.8 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: ARI: Jacoby Brissett; LAC: Justin Herbert. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. ARI rating explanation · LAC rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: ARI 20.88 scored / 28.71 allowed; LAC 21.65 scored / 20.00 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 45.62. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 45.62; home-team lead +7.75; LAC 26.69, ARI 18.93. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          GB @ MIN
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: MIN by 0.9 points

                          PGO v0: MIN by 2.7 points

                          MIN by 2.1 pointsGB 20, MIN 22
                          Model averages

                          GB 20.0, MIN 22.0

                          42.0Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: MIN by 0.4 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for MIN. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves MIN by 2.1 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: GB: Jordan Love; MIN: Kyler Murray. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. GB rating explanation · MIN rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: GB 23.00 scored / 21.18 allowed; MIN 20.24 scored / 19.59 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 42.00. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 42.00; home-team lead +2.07; MIN 22.03, GB 19.97. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          MIA @ LV
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: MIA by 4.4 points

                          PGO v0: LV by 0.2 points

                          MIA by 2.2 pointsMIA 22, LV 20
                          Model averages

                          MIA 22.4, LV 20.1

                          42.5Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: MIA by 3.9 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for LV. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves MIA by 2.2 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: MIA: Malik Willis; LV: Kirk Cousins. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. MIA rating explanation · LV rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: MIA 20.41 scored / 24.94 allowed; LV 14.18 scored / 25.41 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 42.47. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 42.47; home-team lead -2.25; LV 20.11, MIA 22.36. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          WAS @ PHI
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: PHI by 9.5 points

                          PGO v0: PHI by 5.7 points

                          PHI by 6.0 pointsWAS 19, PHI 25
                          Model averages

                          WAS 19.2, PHI 25.2

                          44.4Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: PHI by 4.4 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for PHI. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves PHI by 6.0 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: WAS: Jayden Daniels; PHI: Jalen Hurts. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. WAS rating explanation · PHI rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: WAS 20.94 scored / 26.53 allowed; PHI 22.29 scored / 19.12 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 44.44. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 44.44; home-team lead +5.99; PHI 25.22, WAS 19.22. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          DAL @ NYG
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: NYG by 4.5 points

                          PGO v0: NYG by 2.7 points

                          NYG by 1.5 pointsDAL 26, NYG 27
                          Model averages

                          DAL 25.7, NYG 27.3

                          53.0Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: DAL by 0.1 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for NYG. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves NYG by 1.5 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: DAL: Dak Prescott; NYG: Jaxson Dart. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. DAL rating explanation · NYG rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: DAL 27.71 scored / 30.06 allowed; NYG 22.41 scored / 25.82 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 53.00. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 53.00; home-team lead +1.52; NYG 27.26, DAL 25.74. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          DEN @ KC
                          PGO Corrected — Sep 8
                          Compare forecasts

                          September 7: DEN by 1.7 points

                          PGO v0: KC by 0.6 points

                          DEN by 0.3 pointsDEN 21, KC 20
                          Model averages

                          DEN 20.8, KC 20.4

                          41.2Draft
                          Why this forecast

                          How the edge is built

                          Before the venue adjustment: DEN by 2.0 points. Playing at home adds 1.6 points for KC. Both teams have the same rest, so there is no rest adjustment. That leaves DEN by 0.3 points.

                          Team and quarterback inputs

                          The team ratings combine recent results, passing and rushing efficiency, sacks, turnovers, and quarterback history. These are model inputs, not a scouting explanation of how this particular game will unfold. Past team defense results are included, but current edge-rusher and linebacker depth and the quality of their backups are not rated separately.

                          Expected quarterbacks: DEN: Bo Nix; KC: Patrick Mahomes. Their history is already in the ratings; it is not added again here. DEN rating explanation · KC rating explanation.

                          Combined points

                          Combined points uses each team’s 2025 regular-season points scored and allowed per game: DEN 23.59 scored / 18.29 allowed; KC 21.29 scored / 19.29 allowed. Add those four averages and divide by two: 41.24. This is a simple scoring-history estimate.

                          Injury assumptions

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in this saved forecast. Separate injury scenarios and missing information.

                          Full calculation and saved version

                          Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                          Combined points 41.24; home-team lead -0.35; KC 20.44, DEN 20.79. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                          Saved edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                          Weekly forecast record

                          0 of 16 saved weekly forecasts have final results. We will keep the misses as well as the hits. Early results alone cannot prove the model works.

                          No finalized weekly results recorded yet.

                          How we track every forecast — saved versions and technical details

                          Research status: EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. Score summaries use whole-number rounded averages; model averages and combined points use one decimal. The favored team uses the original unrounded margin, including edges below 0.1 point. Evaluation uses unrounded values.

                          Historical totals test and limitations.

                          1. Review sources: verify roster, expected starters, injury coverage, and source dates. Missing formal reports remain unknown; refreshes require review.
                          2. Save a revision: record a dated forecast revision before the relevant game's deadline. Keep every earlier revision.
                          3. Lock each matchup: at T-60, freeze that game's scores, spread, and total together from its last eligible saved revision.
                          4. Grade every issued matchup: add verified final results, including losses and misses. Report the number graded and every outstanding game.
                          5. Compare benchmarks: evaluate the same games against the stated baselines. Interim results do not satisfy a full-season acceptance gate.
                          6. Test future versions: freeze a separate evaluation before future games. Research findings can propose a new version; they never rewrite issued predictions.

                          Saved revisions

                          Revisions are saved separately and cannot be submitted at or after the cutoff. A saved timestamp records local registration; the repository history records publication. A schedule change requires review and cannot silently extend an existing deadline.

                          Fresh weekly inputs require a separately reviewed source snapshot. Source refresh is not automated. Future weeks without a weekly edition remain available in the preseason baseline below.

                          Weekly results provenance

                          • No weekly results recorded.

                          PGO Corrected — September 8, 2026

                          Experimental — accuracy is still being tested. “Corrected” means we repaired problems in the calculation. It does not mean this version has proved more accurate.

                          Higher ratings mean the model expects a stronger team; zero is the average of these 32 teams. A +5 rating does not mean a team should be favored by five points.

                          Roster information saved through . Game and player performance comes from the 2025 regular season and earlier.

                          Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included. These ratings assume the listed quarterback plays. Being on the active roster does not mean a player is healthy. Reports need another review before each game locks.

                          Why does New England rank #1? The biggest boosts in this calculation come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s passing numbers. The model does not separately grade current edge-rusher and linebacker depth or the quality of their backups. This is not a complete assessment of the current roster. What the model includes and misses. Several performance inputs describe the same games, so they are not separate proof of the team’s strength. We have not established that this is the right ranking.

                          Choose a team below for its main reasons and injury information. New England · Jacksonville

                          How the model works — technical notes and sources

                          EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. Model construction: September 8, 2026. Snapshot generated . Outputs are model units, not established neutral-field point prices or rank-confidence intervals.

                          This version matches historical and current ACT eligibility, removes six roster/coaching transition inputs, uses statistic-specific QB exposure and enforces symmetric neutral-field predictions. It keeps four-game team history and a one-year QB half-life. Those construction repairs do not establish superior forecasting accuracy. The same historical seasons have already been examined.

                          The results-history input responds to winning or losing margins that beat the model’s own expectation, not fans’ or media expectations.

                          Fixed construction and evaluation contract · All inputs and source evidence

                          Model versions and snapshot dates

                          July 21 — archived PGO v1 ratings: the original saved preseason board. September 7 — refreshed v1 construction: active expected starters with the recovered original fit. September 8 — PGO Corrected: the separately fitted regular-season-history construction.

                          The July/August frozen 272-game season forecast is a separate 75% v0 / 25% challenger blend. It is preserved as its own forecast record, not identified as the July v1 ratings board.

                          The earlier research name PGO v2 identifies a separate roster-age and draft-pedigree experiment that remained HOLD. It is not the name of this corrected edition. A model version describes the calculation; a snapshot date records a particular set of inputs and outputs. Every saved edition remains available. A newer date does not establish greater predictive accuracy.

                          #1 NE · PGO rating +5.200

                          Expected quarterback: Drake Maye.

                          What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s passing numbers.

                          Keep in mind: The model does not separately grade current edge-rusher and linebacker depth or the quality of their backups. This is not a complete assessment of the current roster. Recent results and passing numbers partly describe the same games. This position in the ranking is not proof that New England is the NFL’s best team. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                          Injury report: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. 2026-09-07. Official report source.

                          • Ben Brown (OL): Out — not included in this rating
                          • Christian Barmore (DT): Practice: Full Participation
                          • TreVeyon Henderson (RB): Practice: Did Not Participate
                          Technical details and calculations
                          • Monday practice report; later final game designations were not yet available at capture.
                          • The corrected base forecast does not numerically adjust non-QB availability.

                          These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                          InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                          PGO v0 results-history input3.057+1.752
                          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1506+1.493
                          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.3236+0.686
                          Offensive explosive-play rate0.09353-0.517
                          Explosive-play prevention0.9575+0.496
                          QB historical sack avoidance0.9189+0.489
                          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.03619+0.438
                          QB experience prior1.099+0.184
                          QB completion rate above expectation5.898+0.149
                          QB historical ball security0.9752-0.107
                          QB draft-position prior0.5774+0.075
                          Team giveaway avoidance0.9876-0.072
                          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1029+0.071
                          Defensive takeaway rate0.01977+0.061
                          Team sack avoidance0.9287-0.028
                          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.03229+0.025
                          QB historical rushing efficiency0.138+0.019
                          QB historical passing sample size6.009-0.009
                          Defensive sack creation0.0621-0.004
                          Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                          Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                          Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                          Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                          QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                          QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                          QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                          QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                          QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                          QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                          QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                          QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                          QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                          Total model output+5.200
                          #2 LAR · PGO rating +4.507

                          Expected quarterback: Matthew Stafford.

                          What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks.

                          Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                          Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                            Technical details and calculations
                            • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                            • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                            These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                            InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                            PGO v0 results-history input3.648+2.091
                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1343+1.219
                            Team sack avoidance0.9659+1.214
                            QB historical sack avoidance0.9495-0.646
                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.2511+0.520
                            Explosive-play prevention0.9295-0.462
                            QB draft-position prior1+0.456
                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.02444+0.360
                            Offensive explosive-play rate0.0818-0.351
                            QB historical passing sample size6.461+0.306
                            Defensive takeaway rate0.0232+0.284
                            QB experience prior2.89-0.239
                            QB historical rushing efficiency-0.1538-0.208
                            QB historical ball security0.9801+0.176
                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.007094-0.132
                            Team giveaway avoidance0.9865-0.059
                            QB completion rate above expectation0.3514-0.029
                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.01441+0.005
                            Defensive sack creation0.07594+0.003
                            Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                            Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                            Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                            Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                            QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Total model output+4.507
                            #3 SEA · PGO rating +4.017

                            Expected quarterback: Sam Darnold.

                            What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, limiting opponents’ big plays, opponents’ running numbers.

                            Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                            Injury report: An official report is available. Injuries beyond the quarterback are not included in the rating. 2026-09-07. Official report source.

                            • AJ Barner (TE): Practice: Full Participation
                            • Anthony Bradford (G): Practice: Full Participation
                            • Nick Emmanwori (S): Practice: Limited Participation
                            • Tory Horton (WR): Practice: Limited Participation
                            • Josh Jones (T): Practice: Limited Participation
                            • Julian Neal (CB): Practice: Full Participation
                            • Ty Okada (S): Practice: Did Not Participate
                            • Emanuel Wilson (RB): Practice: Full Participation
                            Technical details and calculations
                            • Monday practice report; later final game designations were not yet available at capture.
                            • The corrected base forecast does not numerically adjust non-QB availability.

                            These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                            InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                            PGO v0 results-history input4.422+2.534
                            Explosive-play prevention0.958+0.513
                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1514+0.500
                            QB historical ball security0.9699-0.411
                            Defensive takeaway rate0.02439+0.362
                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.08075+0.321
                            Offensive explosive-play rate0.06684-0.140
                            QB historical passing sample size6.217+0.136
                            QB historical rushing efficiency-0.05098-0.128
                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1679+0.107
                            Team sack avoidance0.9326+0.100
                            QB experience prior2.197-0.076
                            QB draft-position prior0.5774+0.075
                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.05383+0.072
                            QB historical sack avoidance0.9335-0.051
                            Team giveaway avoidance0.9765+0.050
                            QB completion rate above expectation2.805+0.050
                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.02931+0.005
                            Defensive sack creation0.06619-0.002
                            Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                            Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                            Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                            Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                            QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                            QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                            Total model output+4.017
                            #4 BUF · PGO rating +3.607

                            Expected quarterback: Josh Allen.

                            What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s running numbers.

                            Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                            Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                              Technical details and calculations
                              • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                              • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                              These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                              InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                              PGO v0 results-history input2.532+1.451
                              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1342+1.218
                              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.05706+0.576
                              Explosive-play prevention0.9591+0.552
                              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.06921-0.380
                              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1829+0.365
                              QB historical sack avoidance0.9393-0.268
                              QB historical passing sample size6.371+0.243
                              QB historical rushing efficiency0.3196+0.161
                              Offensive explosive-play rate0.06604-0.129
                              Team sack avoidance0.9261-0.115
                              QB draft-position prior0.378-0.104
                              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1497+0.097
                              QB experience prior2.197-0.076
                              Defensive takeaway rate0.01964+0.052
                              Team giveaway avoidance0.9857-0.051
                              QB completion rate above expectation2.16+0.029
                              QB historical ball security0.9768-0.011
                              Defensive sack creation0.06064-0.005
                              Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                              Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                              Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                              Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                              QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                              QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                              QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                              QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                              QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                              QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                              QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                              QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                              QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                              Total model output+3.607
                              #5 JAX · PGO rating +3.354

                              Expected quarterback: Trevor Lawrence.

                              What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the defense’s history of winning the ball back, limiting opponents’ big plays.

                              Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                              Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                Technical details and calculations
                                • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                PGO v0 results-history input3.271+1.875
                                Defensive takeaway rate0.02793+0.592
                                Explosive-play prevention0.9564+0.458
                                QB draft-position prior1+0.456
                                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1855+0.371
                                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.04654-0.253
                                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.06736-0.247
                                QB historical passing sample size6.34+0.221
                                Offensive explosive-play rate0.06958-0.179
                                Team sack avoidance0.9342+0.154
                                QB historical sack avoidance0.9356-0.132
                                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.2036+0.127
                                QB historical ball security0.9748-0.126
                                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.04154+0.062
                                QB historical rushing efficiency0.1876+0.058
                                QB completion rate above expectation-0.5532-0.058
                                Team giveaway avoidance0.9844-0.036
                                QB experience prior1.792+0.020
                                Defensive sack creation0.05073-0.009
                                Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                Total model output+3.354
                                #6 HOU · PGO rating +2.991

                                Expected quarterback: C.J. Stroud.

                                What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the team’s history of taking sacks, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

                                Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                  Technical details and calculations
                                  • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                  • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                  These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                  InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                  PGO v0 results-history input1.99+1.140
                                  Team sack avoidance0.9633+1.127
                                  Defensive takeaway rate0.03072+0.774
                                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.1292-0.656
                                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.07884+0.210
                                  QB draft-position prior0.7071+0.192
                                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.05418-0.125
                                  QB historical passing sample size6.188+0.116
                                  QB experience prior1.386+0.116
                                  QB historical ball security0.979+0.113
                                  Team giveaway avoidance0.9908-0.106
                                  Offensive explosive-play rate0.05015+0.095
                                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1089+0.074
                                  QB completion rate above expectation-0.1588-0.045
                                  Explosive-play prevention0.9418-0.041
                                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.03974+0.039
                                  QB historical sack avoidance0.9331-0.038
                                  Defensive sack creation0.08045+0.005
                                  QB historical rushing efficiency0.1155+0.002
                                  Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                  Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                  Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                  Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                  QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                  Total model output+2.991
                                  #7 PHI · PGO rating +2.985

                                  Expected quarterback: Jalen Hurts.

                                  What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the team’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays.

                                  Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                  Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                    Technical details and calculations
                                    • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                    • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                    These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                    InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                    PGO v0 results-history input1.62+0.928
                                    Team sack avoidance0.9454+0.530
                                    Explosive-play prevention0.9552+0.419
                                    QB draft-position prior0.1374-0.321
                                    Defensive takeaway rate0.02272+0.253
                                    QB historical ball security0.98+0.170
                                    Offensive explosive-play rate0.04572+0.157
                                    QB historical passing sample size6.244+0.155
                                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.07045+0.148
                                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01108+0.125
                                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.05674+0.122
                                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.17+0.108
                                    QB historical sack avoidance0.9296+0.092
                                    QB completion rate above expectation2.826+0.050
                                    QB historical rushing efficiency0.1753+0.048
                                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.03313+0.024
                                    Team giveaway avoidance0.9826-0.017
                                    QB experience prior1.946-0.016
                                    Defensive sack creation0.08369+0.007
                                    Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                    Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                    Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                    Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                    QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                    Total model output+2.985
                                    #8 CHI · PGO rating +2.671

                                    Expected quarterback: Caleb Williams.

                                    What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s history of taking sacks, the team’s running numbers, recent game results.

                                    Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                    Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                      Technical details and calculations
                                      • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                      • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                      Team sack avoidance0.9644+1.164
                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.08613+0.768
                                      PGO v0 results-history input1.109+0.635
                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.02441-0.625
                                      QB draft-position prior1+0.456
                                      Defensive takeaway rate0.02543+0.429
                                      Explosive-play prevention0.9323-0.366
                                      QB historical ball security0.9833+0.358
                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.02433-0.201
                                      QB experience prior1.099+0.184
                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.09196+0.158
                                      QB historical passing sample size6.237+0.150
                                      QB historical sack avoidance0.9352-0.114
                                      Team giveaway avoidance0.9909-0.108
                                      Offensive explosive-play rate0.06334-0.091
                                      QB completion rate above expectation-1.404-0.085
                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.07238-0.028
                                      QB historical rushing efficiency0.1002-0.010
                                      Defensive sack creation0.06179-0.004
                                      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                      Total model output+2.671
                                      #9 BAL · PGO rating +2.296

                                      Expected quarterback: Lamar Jackson.

                                      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the team’s running numbers, the quarterback’s passing numbers.

                                      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                      Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                        Technical details and calculations
                                        • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                        • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                        PGO v0 results-history input1.921+1.101
                                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.1247+1.024
                                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1162+0.915
                                        Team sack avoidance0.9087-0.698
                                        Explosive-play prevention0.9256-0.597
                                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1658+0.557
                                        QB historical sack avoidance0.9241+0.297
                                        QB draft-position prior0.1768-0.285
                                        Offensive explosive-play rate0.0739-0.240
                                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.07609+0.122
                                        Defensive takeaway rate0.02008+0.081
                                        QB experience prior2.197-0.076
                                        QB historical passing sample size6.103+0.056
                                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.08731-0.037
                                        QB historical rushing efficiency0.1554+0.033
                                        Team giveaway avoidance0.9785+0.028
                                        QB completion rate above expectation1.892+0.021
                                        Defensive sack creation0.05427-0.008
                                        QB historical ball security0.977+0.001
                                        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                        Total model output+2.296
                                        #10 DEN · PGO rating +2.002

                                        Expected quarterback: Bo Nix.

                                        What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from recent game results, the team’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays.

                                        Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                        Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                          Technical details and calculations
                                          • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                          • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                          These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                          InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                          PGO v0 results-history input2.146+1.230
                                          Team sack avoidance0.9554+0.862
                                          QB historical sack avoidance0.9543-0.825
                                          Explosive-play prevention0.9554+0.424
                                          Defensive takeaway rate0.01448-0.283
                                          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.07378+0.204
                                          QB draft-position prior0.2887-0.185
                                          QB experience prior1.099+0.184
                                          QB historical passing sample size6.256+0.163
                                          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.09203+0.158
                                          QB historical ball security0.9794+0.135
                                          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.04662-0.110
                                          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1663+0.106
                                          Offensive explosive-play rate0.0497+0.101
                                          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.005658-0.081
                                          Team giveaway avoidance0.9866-0.060
                                          QB completion rate above expectation-0.2125-0.047
                                          QB historical rushing efficiency0.1329+0.015
                                          Defensive sack creation0.09066+0.010
                                          Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                          Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                          Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                          Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                          QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                          Total model output+2.002
                                          #11 SF · PGO rating +1.975

                                          Expected quarterback: Brock Purdy.

                                          What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, recent game results, the team’s history of taking sacks.

                                          Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                          Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                            Technical details and calculations
                                            • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                            • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                            These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                            InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1472+1.437
                                            PGO v0 results-history input1.559+0.894
                                            Team sack avoidance0.9527+0.771
                                            QB historical ball security0.9692-0.449
                                            QB historical sack avoidance0.9427-0.395
                                            QB draft-position prior0.06178-0.389
                                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1817+0.363
                                            Defensive takeaway rate0.01398-0.316
                                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.007495+0.248
                                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.01904-0.180
                                            QB historical rushing efficiency0.2194+0.083
                                            Explosive-play prevention0.9409-0.071
                                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1463-0.070
                                            QB completion rate above expectation3.384+0.068
                                            QB experience prior1.609+0.063
                                            QB historical passing sample size5.956-0.046
                                            Offensive explosive-play rate0.05812-0.018
                                            Defensive sack creation0.03489-0.017
                                            Team giveaway avoidance0.9812-0.001
                                            Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                            Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                            Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                            Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                            QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                            Total model output+1.975
                                            #12 DET · PGO rating +1.649

                                            Expected quarterback: Jared Goff.

                                            What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, recent game results, where the quarterback was drafted.

                                            Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                            Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                              Technical details and calculations
                                              • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                              • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                              These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                              InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1516+1.509
                                              PGO v0 results-history input1.903+1.091
                                              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.12-0.596
                                              QB draft-position prior1+0.456
                                              QB historical passing sample size6.524+0.350
                                              Explosive-play prevention0.9328-0.349
                                              QB historical sack avoidance0.9412-0.337
                                              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1461+0.281
                                              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.04324-0.276
                                              Offensive explosive-play rate0.07535-0.260
                                              Defensive takeaway rate0.01549-0.218
                                              QB historical rushing efficiency-0.1163-0.179
                                              Team sack avoidance0.9336+0.136
                                              QB historical ball security0.9794+0.135
                                              QB experience prior2.398-0.123
                                              QB completion rate above expectation1.802+0.018
                                              Team giveaway avoidance0.9806+0.005
                                              Defensive sack creation0.07798+0.004
                                              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.0167+0.003
                                              Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                              Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                              Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                              Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                              QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                              Total model output+1.649
                                              #13 CIN · PGO rating +1.558

                                              Expected quarterback: Joe Burrow.

                                              What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks, the team’s running numbers.

                                              Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                              Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                Technical details and calculations
                                                • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.105+0.727
                                                Team sack avoidance0.9479+0.613
                                                PGO v0 results-history input-0.9611-0.551
                                                Explosive-play prevention0.927-0.550
                                                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.04186+0.475
                                                QB draft-position prior1+0.456
                                                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.04325-0.276
                                                Defensive takeaway rate0.02289+0.264
                                                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.09266+0.160
                                                QB historical passing sample size6.186+0.115
                                                QB historical ball security0.9786+0.091
                                                QB completion rate above expectation3.752+0.080
                                                QB historical sack avoidance0.9335-0.054
                                                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.08782-0.037
                                                Offensive explosive-play rate0.05485+0.029
                                                QB historical rushing efficiency0.1432+0.023
                                                QB experience prior1.946-0.016
                                                Defensive sack creation0.08783+0.009
                                                Team giveaway avoidance0.981+0.001
                                                Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                Total model output+1.558
                                                #14 LAC · PGO rating +1.356

                                                Expected quarterback: Justin Herbert.

                                                What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from opponents’ running numbers, recent game results, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

                                                Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                  Technical details and calculations
                                                  • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                  • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                  These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                  InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                  Team sack avoidance0.8997-0.996
                                                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1546+0.513
                                                  PGO v0 results-history input0.882+0.506
                                                  Defensive takeaway rate0.02509+0.407
                                                  Explosive-play prevention0.9546+0.397
                                                  QB historical sack avoidance0.9223+0.361
                                                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1298-0.347
                                                  QB historical passing sample size6.433+0.287
                                                  QB historical ball security0.9797+0.154
                                                  Offensive explosive-play rate0.04925+0.108
                                                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.0562-0.091
                                                  QB draft-position prior0.4082-0.077
                                                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01888+0.074
                                                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.0912+0.064
                                                  QB experience prior1.946-0.016
                                                  QB historical rushing efficiency0.1329+0.015
                                                  QB completion rate above expectation1.084-0.005
                                                  Defensive sack creation0.07938+0.005
                                                  Team giveaway avoidance0.9812-0.001
                                                  Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                  Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                  Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                  Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                  QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                  Total model output+1.356
                                                  #15 MIN · PGO rating +0.959

                                                  Expected quarterback: Kyler Murray.

                                                  What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from limiting opponents’ big plays, recent game results, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

                                                  Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                  Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                    Technical details and calculations
                                                    • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                    • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                    These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                    InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                    Team sack avoidance0.8874-1.408
                                                    Explosive-play prevention0.9672+0.829
                                                    PGO v0 results-history input0.8651+0.496
                                                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1826-0.466
                                                    Defensive takeaway rate0.02595+0.463
                                                    QB draft-position prior1+0.456
                                                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1323+0.424
                                                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.04704-0.245
                                                    Offensive explosive-play rate0.04434+0.177
                                                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.22+0.137
                                                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01169+0.121
                                                    QB historical passing sample size5.879-0.100
                                                    QB historical ball security0.9787+0.095
                                                    Team giveaway avoidance0.9738+0.079
                                                    QB historical sack avoidance0.9342-0.077
                                                    QB experience prior2.079-0.048
                                                    Defensive sack creation0.1176+0.023
                                                    QB historical rushing efficiency0.1404+0.021
                                                    QB completion rate above expectation0.7078-0.017
                                                    Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                    Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                    Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                    Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                    QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                    Total model output+0.959
                                                    #16 PIT · PGO rating +0.575

                                                    Expected quarterback: Aaron Rodgers.

                                                    What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s history of taking sacks, the team’s running numbers, recent game results.

                                                    Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                    Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                      Technical details and calculations
                                                      • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                      • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                      Team sack avoidance0.9489+0.644
                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.02248+0.347
                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.0423-0.324
                                                      QB experience prior3.091-0.287
                                                      PGO v0 results-history input0.4848+0.278
                                                      QB historical sack avoidance0.9395-0.273
                                                      QB draft-position prior0.2041-0.261
                                                      Defensive takeaway rate0.02245+0.235
                                                      QB historical ball security0.981+0.231
                                                      QB historical passing sample size6.316+0.205
                                                      Explosive-play prevention0.9378-0.177
                                                      Team giveaway avoidance0.9889-0.085
                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.04642+0.081
                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.04658+0.055
                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.261-0.048
                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency0.06554-0.037
                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.05556-0.019
                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate0.05623+0.009
                                                      Defensive sack creation0.07301+0.001
                                                      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                      Total model output+0.575
                                                      #17 GB · PGO rating +0.513

                                                      Expected quarterback: Jordan Love.

                                                      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, recent game results, the team’s passing numbers.

                                                      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                      Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                        Technical details and calculations
                                                        • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                        • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1452+1.403
                                                        QB historical sack avoidance0.9499-0.660
                                                        PGO v0 results-history input0.6951+0.398
                                                        Defensive takeaway rate0.01307-0.375
                                                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1576+0.308
                                                        QB draft-position prior0.1961-0.268
                                                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.0586-0.189
                                                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.009625-0.142
                                                        Offensive explosive-play rate0.06631-0.133
                                                        QB historical ball security0.9788+0.101
                                                        Explosive-play prevention0.9459+0.099
                                                        QB historical passing sample size6.149+0.088
                                                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1305-0.061
                                                        Team sack avoidance0.9279-0.056
                                                        QB completion rate above expectation2.539+0.041
                                                        Team giveaway avoidance0.9843-0.036
                                                        QB historical rushing efficiency0.1369+0.018
                                                        QB experience prior1.946-0.016
                                                        Defensive sack creation0.05226-0.009
                                                        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                        Total model output+0.513
                                                        #18 IND · PGO rating +0.226

                                                        Expected quarterback: Daniel Jones.

                                                        What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s history of taking sacks, big plays on offense, opponents’ running numbers.

                                                        Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                        Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                          Technical details and calculations
                                                          • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                          • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                          These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                          InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                          Team sack avoidance0.9495+0.664
                                                          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03525-0.443
                                                          Defensive takeaway rate0.01547-0.219
                                                          Offensive explosive-play rate0.04493+0.168
                                                          QB historical ball security0.9743-0.156
                                                          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.06505+0.155
                                                          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.007448+0.149
                                                          Team giveaway avoidance0.9698+0.123
                                                          Explosive-play prevention0.9394-0.122
                                                          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.01812-0.092
                                                          PGO v0 results-history input0.1388+0.080
                                                          QB draft-position prior0.4082-0.077
                                                          QB historical sack avoidance0.9301+0.074
                                                          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1301-0.061
                                                          QB historical rushing efficiency0.1813+0.053
                                                          QB experience prior2.079-0.048
                                                          Defensive sack creation0.04508-0.012
                                                          QB historical passing sample size6.005-0.012
                                                          QB completion rate above expectation1.274+0.001
                                                          Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                          Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                          Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                          Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                          QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                          Total model output+0.226
                                                          #19 TB · PGO rating +0.079

                                                          Expected quarterback: Baker Mayfield.

                                                          What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from where the quarterback was drafted, how much quarterback passing history is available, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

                                                          Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                          Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                            Technical details and calculations
                                                            • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                            • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                            These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                            InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                            PGO v0 results-history input-0.9765-0.560
                                                            QB draft-position prior1+0.456
                                                            QB historical passing sample size6.461+0.306
                                                            Defensive takeaway rate0.02315+0.281
                                                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.09384+0.270
                                                            Explosive-play prevention0.936-0.241
                                                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.0513-0.173
                                                            QB historical ball security0.9744-0.150
                                                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.01285+0.113
                                                            QB historical rushing efficiency0.2169+0.081
                                                            QB experience prior2.197-0.076
                                                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1423-0.067
                                                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.004235-0.061
                                                            QB historical sack avoidance0.9334-0.050
                                                            QB completion rate above expectation-0.1453-0.045
                                                            Offensive explosive-play rate0.05878-0.027
                                                            Team sack avoidance0.9303+0.024
                                                            Defensive sack creation0.0508-0.009
                                                            Team giveaway avoidance0.9803+0.008
                                                            Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                            Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                            Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                            Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                            QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                            Total model output+0.079
                                                            #20 KC · PGO rating +0.030

                                                            Expected quarterback: Patrick Mahomes.

                                                            What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, limiting opponents’ big plays, opponents’ running numbers.

                                                            Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                            Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                              Technical details and calculations
                                                              • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                              • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                              These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                              InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                              Team sack avoidance0.8991-1.016
                                                              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.1092+0.798
                                                              Explosive-play prevention0.9539+0.375
                                                              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1361-0.361
                                                              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1123+0.344
                                                              QB historical sack avoidance0.9407-0.320
                                                              QB historical passing sample size6.469+0.312
                                                              Defensive takeaway rate0.01423-0.300
                                                              Offensive explosive-play rate0.04325+0.192
                                                              QB draft-position prior0.3162-0.160
                                                              PGO v0 results-history input0.2627+0.151
                                                              QB historical rushing efficiency0.269+0.121
                                                              QB experience prior2.303-0.100
                                                              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.04518-0.100
                                                              QB historical ball security0.9785+0.087
                                                              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01067+0.019
                                                              Team giveaway avoidance0.982-0.010
                                                              Defensive sack creation0.06407-0.003
                                                              QB completion rate above expectation1.311+0.002
                                                              Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                              Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                              Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                              Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                              QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                              Total model output+0.030
                                                              #21 ATL · PGO rating -0.290

                                                              Expected quarterback: Tua Tagovailoa.

                                                              What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s history of taking sacks, the quarterback’s passing numbers, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

                                                              Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                              Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                Technical details and calculations
                                                                • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                Team sack avoidance0.9501+0.687
                                                                Explosive-play prevention0.9286-0.494
                                                                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.09092+0.492
                                                                PGO v0 results-history input-0.7638-0.438
                                                                QB historical ball security0.9714-0.322
                                                                Defensive takeaway rate0.02322+0.285
                                                                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.06841-0.254
                                                                QB historical sack avoidance0.9368-0.177
                                                                QB historical rushing efficiency-0.0731-0.145
                                                                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.003933-0.120
                                                                QB historical passing sample size6.17+0.103
                                                                Offensive explosive-play rate0.05166+0.074
                                                                QB draft-position prior0.4472-0.042
                                                                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.03637+0.032
                                                                QB completion rate above expectation2.093+0.027
                                                                QB experience prior1.946-0.016
                                                                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.005178+0.016
                                                                Defensive sack creation0.09205+0.011
                                                                Team giveaway avoidance0.9818-0.008
                                                                Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                Total model output-0.290
                                                                #22 WAS · PGO rating -1.386

                                                                Expected quarterback: Jayden Daniels.

                                                                What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, where the quarterback was drafted, quarterback experience.

                                                                Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                  Technical details and calculations
                                                                  • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                  • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                  These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                  InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                  PGO v0 results-history input-1.597-0.916
                                                                  Defensive takeaway rate0.009821-0.587
                                                                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.09311-0.475
                                                                  QB historical sack avoidance0.92+0.448
                                                                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03886-0.382
                                                                  QB historical passing sample size5.555-0.325
                                                                  QB draft-position prior0.7071+0.192
                                                                  QB experience prior1.099+0.184
                                                                  Explosive-play prevention0.9468+0.128
                                                                  Team sack avoidance0.933+0.116
                                                                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.0145+0.103
                                                                  Offensive explosive-play rate0.04973+0.101
                                                                  QB historical ball security0.9786+0.093
                                                                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.01717-0.090
                                                                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1659-0.081
                                                                  Team giveaway avoidance0.975+0.067
                                                                  QB historical rushing efficiency0.1852+0.056
                                                                  QB completion rate above expectation0.5643-0.022
                                                                  Defensive sack creation0.07525+0.003
                                                                  Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                  Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                  Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                  Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                  QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                  Total model output-1.386
                                                                  #23 DAL · PGO rating -1.387

                                                                  Expected quarterback: Dak Prescott.

                                                                  What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the team’s history of taking sacks, the team’s passing numbers.

                                                                  Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                  Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                    Technical details and calculations
                                                                    • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                    • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                    These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                    InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.117+0.929
                                                                    PGO v0 results-history input-1.414-0.810
                                                                    Explosive-play prevention0.9277-0.524
                                                                    Defensive takeaway rate0.01107-0.505
                                                                    Team sack avoidance0.9434+0.461
                                                                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.07215-0.392
                                                                    QB historical sack avoidance0.9421-0.371
                                                                    QB draft-position prior0.08607-0.367
                                                                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.1362+0.259
                                                                    QB historical passing sample size6.376+0.247
                                                                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.2831-0.147
                                                                    QB experience prior2.398-0.123
                                                                    QB historical ball security0.9787+0.099
                                                                    Offensive explosive-play rate0.06325-0.090
                                                                    QB historical rushing efficiency0.02245-0.071
                                                                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.02731+0.018
                                                                    QB completion rate above expectation1.441+0.006
                                                                    Team giveaway avoidance0.9814-0.003
                                                                    Defensive sack creation0.06352-0.003
                                                                    Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                    Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                    Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                    Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                    QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                    Total model output-1.387
                                                                    #24 NYG · PGO rating -1.490

                                                                    Expected quarterback: Jaxson Dart.

                                                                    What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the team’s running numbers, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, quarterback experience.

                                                                    Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                    Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                      Technical details and calculations
                                                                      • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                      • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.01886-0.718
                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-1.233-0.707
                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)0.05816+0.583
                                                                      Team sack avoidance0.9135-0.537
                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance0.9186+0.498
                                                                      QB historical passing sample size5.364-0.458
                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.06535-0.364
                                                                      QB experience prior0.6931+0.279
                                                                      QB draft-position prior0.2-0.264
                                                                      Explosive-play prevention0.9358-0.247
                                                                      QB historical ball security0.9799+0.168
                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate0.02119+0.153
                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency0.2719+0.124
                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance0.9856-0.050
                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.04361+0.048
                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation0.2529-0.032
                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01838+0.023
                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate0.05627+0.009
                                                                      Defensive sack creation0.07356+0.002
                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                      Total model output-1.490
                                                                      #25 NO · PGO rating -1.786

                                                                      Expected quarterback: Tyler Shough.

                                                                      What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, opponents’ running numbers, quarterback experience.

                                                                      Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                      Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                        Technical details and calculations
                                                                        • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                        • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                        These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                        InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                        PGO v0 results-history input-1.54-0.883
                                                                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.01927-0.711
                                                                        Team sack avoidance0.9148-0.493
                                                                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.104-0.490
                                                                        QB historical passing sample size5.357-0.463
                                                                        QB historical sack avoidance0.9221+0.371
                                                                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1192+0.371
                                                                        QB draft-position prior0.1581-0.302
                                                                        QB experience prior0.6931+0.279
                                                                        Explosive-play prevention0.9499+0.238
                                                                        Offensive explosive-play rate0.04728+0.135
                                                                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1371+0.090
                                                                        QB historical ball security0.9781+0.060
                                                                        Defensive takeaway rate0.01824-0.038
                                                                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.03728+0.034
                                                                        Team giveaway avoidance0.9781+0.033
                                                                        QB historical rushing efficiency0.07704-0.028
                                                                        Defensive sack creation0.0949+0.012
                                                                        QB completion rate above expectation1.164-0.003
                                                                        Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                        Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                        Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                        Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                        QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                        Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                        Total model output-1.786
                                                                        #26 CAR · PGO rating -2.158

                                                                        Expected quarterback: Bryce Young.

                                                                        What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from where the quarterback was drafted, the team’s history of taking sacks, limiting opponents’ big plays.

                                                                        Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                        Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                          Technical details and calculations
                                                                          • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                          • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                          These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                          InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.04923-1.860
                                                                          PGO v0 results-history input-1.958-1.122
                                                                          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.1-0.463
                                                                          QB draft-position prior1+0.456
                                                                          Team sack avoidance0.9417+0.406
                                                                          Explosive-play prevention0.9513+0.284
                                                                          Defensive takeaway rate0.02133+0.162
                                                                          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.005475-0.126
                                                                          QB historical ball security0.975-0.117
                                                                          QB experience prior1.386+0.116
                                                                          QB historical passing sample size6.182+0.111
                                                                          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.01916-0.095
                                                                          Offensive explosive-play rate0.05123+0.080
                                                                          Team giveaway avoidance0.9751+0.065
                                                                          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.09324-0.040
                                                                          QB historical rushing efficiency0.1506+0.029
                                                                          QB historical sack avoidance0.9328-0.028
                                                                          QB completion rate above expectation0.7503-0.016
                                                                          Defensive sack creation0.07015+0.000
                                                                          Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                          Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                          Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                          Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                          QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                          Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                          Total model output-2.158
                                                                          #27 MIA · PGO rating -3.356

                                                                          Expected quarterback: Malik Willis.

                                                                          What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s passing numbers, the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, the defense’s history of winning the ball back.

                                                                          Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                          Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                            Technical details and calculations
                                                                            • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                            • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                            These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                            InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                            QB historical passing sample size3.862-1.504
                                                                            PGO v0 results-history input-2.131-1.221
                                                                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.09646+0.585
                                                                            Explosive-play prevention0.9317-0.389
                                                                            Team sack avoidance0.9187-0.361
                                                                            QB draft-position prior0.1078-0.347
                                                                            QB historical sack avoidance0.9229+0.339
                                                                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.07009-0.265
                                                                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.03685-0.251
                                                                            Offensive explosive-play rate0.06576-0.125
                                                                            Defensive takeaway rate0.0204+0.102
                                                                            QB experience prior1.609+0.063
                                                                            Team giveaway avoidance0.976+0.055
                                                                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.1067-0.047
                                                                            QB completion rate above expectation2.658+0.045
                                                                            QB historical ball security0.9778+0.044
                                                                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)0.00326-0.044
                                                                            QB historical rushing efficiency0.07127-0.033
                                                                            Defensive sack creation0.06861-0.001
                                                                            Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                            Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                            Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                            Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                            QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                            Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                            Total model output-3.356
                                                                            #28 ARI · PGO rating -4.775

                                                                            Expected quarterback: Jacoby Brissett.

                                                                            What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, the quarterback’s history of losing the ball, the quarterback’s running numbers.

                                                                            Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                            Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                              Technical details and calculations
                                                                              • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                              • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                              These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                              InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                              PGO v0 results-history input-3.325-1.906
                                                                              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.006447-1.143
                                                                              Team sack avoidance0.9153-0.476
                                                                              Defensive takeaway rate0.01271-0.399
                                                                              QB draft-position prior0.1048-0.350
                                                                              QB historical sack avoidance0.9229+0.340
                                                                              Explosive-play prevention0.9342-0.303
                                                                              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.02517-0.204
                                                                              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.2647-0.136
                                                                              QB experience prior2.398-0.123
                                                                              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.004401-0.061
                                                                              Offensive explosive-play rate0.05989-0.042
                                                                              QB historical ball security0.9776+0.031
                                                                              QB historical passing sample size5.985-0.025
                                                                              QB historical rushing efficiency0.145+0.025
                                                                              Team giveaway avoidance0.9791+0.021
                                                                              Defensive sack creation0.0473-0.011
                                                                              QB completion rate above expectation0.9893-0.008
                                                                              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.03054-0.004
                                                                              Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                              Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                              Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                              Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                              QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                              Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                              Total model output-4.775
                                                                              #29 CLE · PGO rating -5.239

                                                                              Expected quarterback: Deshaun Watson.

                                                                              What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, big plays on offense, limiting opponents’ big plays.

                                                                              Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                              Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                                Technical details and calculations
                                                                                • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                                • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                                These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                                InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.03479-1.618
                                                                                PGO v0 results-history input-2.438-1.397
                                                                                Team sack avoidance0.8976-1.067
                                                                                QB historical passing sample size4.811-0.843
                                                                                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.2846-0.699
                                                                                QB historical sack avoidance0.9143+0.658
                                                                                Defensive takeaway rate0.01491-0.256
                                                                                Offensive explosive-play rate0.03901+0.252
                                                                                Explosive-play prevention0.9486+0.191
                                                                                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.02054-0.186
                                                                                QB draft-position prior0.2887-0.185
                                                                                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.04908-0.126
                                                                                Team giveaway avoidance0.9707+0.113
                                                                                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.1605+0.103
                                                                                QB experience prior2.303-0.100
                                                                                QB completion rate above expectation0.05047-0.038
                                                                                QB historical ball security0.9764-0.038
                                                                                QB historical rushing efficiency0.102-0.009
                                                                                Defensive sack creation0.08324+0.007
                                                                                Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                                Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                                Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                Total model output-5.239
                                                                                #30 TEN · PGO rating -5.891

                                                                                Expected quarterback: Cam Ward.

                                                                                What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, where the quarterback was drafted, quarterback experience.

                                                                                Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                                Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                                  Technical details and calculations
                                                                                  • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                                  • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                                  These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                                  InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.1-2.713
                                                                                  PGO v0 results-history input-4.48-2.568
                                                                                  QB historical sack avoidance0.9176+0.536
                                                                                  Explosive-play prevention0.9275-0.533
                                                                                  Defensive takeaway rate0.01089-0.517
                                                                                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.1976-0.501
                                                                                  QB draft-position prior1+0.456
                                                                                  QB experience prior0.6931+0.279
                                                                                  QB historical passing sample size5.805-0.151
                                                                                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.2372-0.121
                                                                                  QB completion rate above expectation-1.437-0.086
                                                                                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.0407+0.058
                                                                                  Offensive explosive-play rate0.05333+0.050
                                                                                  Team giveaway avoidance0.9847-0.040
                                                                                  QB historical ball security0.9764-0.035
                                                                                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.03374-0.025
                                                                                  QB historical rushing efficiency0.1371+0.019
                                                                                  Defensive sack creation0.07813+0.004
                                                                                  Team sack avoidance0.9295-0.003
                                                                                  Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                  Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                                  Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                  Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                  QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                                  Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                  Total model output-5.891
                                                                                  #31 LV · PGO rating -7.224

                                                                                  Expected quarterback: Kirk Cousins.

                                                                                  What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from limiting opponents’ big plays, big plays on offense, opponents’ running numbers.

                                                                                  Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                                  Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                                    Technical details and calculations
                                                                                    • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                                    • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                                    These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                                    InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                                    PGO v0 results-history input-4.406-2.525
                                                                                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.2805-1.658
                                                                                    Team sack avoidance0.8838-1.527
                                                                                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.2384-0.593
                                                                                    Explosive-play prevention0.959+0.549
                                                                                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)0.03532-0.442
                                                                                    Defensive takeaway rate0.01319-0.368
                                                                                    QB draft-position prior0.09901-0.355
                                                                                    QB historical sack avoidance0.9414-0.347
                                                                                    Offensive explosive-play rate0.038+0.266
                                                                                    QB experience prior2.708-0.196
                                                                                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.06451+0.153
                                                                                    QB historical ball security0.9746-0.142
                                                                                    QB historical rushing efficiency-0.01417-0.099
                                                                                    Team giveaway avoidance0.9762+0.053
                                                                                    QB completion rate above expectation0.1987-0.034
                                                                                    QB historical passing sample size6.066+0.031
                                                                                    Defensive sack creation0.08216+0.006
                                                                                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.0161+0.004
                                                                                    Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                    Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                                    Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                    Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                    QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                                    Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                    Total model output-7.224
                                                                                    #32 NYJ · PGO rating -7.569

                                                                                    Expected quarterback: Geno Smith.

                                                                                    What lifts this rating: the biggest boosts in the calculation come from the quarterback’s history of taking sacks, big plays on offense, how much quarterback passing history is available.

                                                                                    Keep in mind: Several inputs describe the same games. This ranking is not proof of how the team will perform next. A boost from an input reflects how the formula weighs it; it is not a separate football grade.

                                                                                    Injury report: We have not saved an official injury report. That does not mean everyone is healthy. Report date unavailable. Official report source.

                                                                                      Technical details and calculations
                                                                                      • No formal team report appeared in the captured NFL injury overview at this point in the Week 1 reporting cycle.
                                                                                      • Unknown coverage is not evidence that the roster is healthy.

                                                                                      These terms sum to the output relative to the league average. Related performance signals overlap; they are conditional model contributions, not independent player or team grades.

                                                                                      InputRaw inputFitted contribution
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-5.281-3.026
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.02968-1.532
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance0.9028-0.892
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate0.00562-0.860
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance0.9143+0.660
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.2621-0.647
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention0.9289-0.485
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.08193-0.344
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate0.03269+0.341
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior0.1601-0.300
                                                                                      QB historical ball security0.9722-0.276
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size6.356+0.233
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.3806-0.202
                                                                                      QB experience prior2.639-0.180
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)0.01123-0.059
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency0.03891-0.058
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance0.9775+0.040
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation2.296+0.033
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation0.04108-0.014
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Home-field adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      QB historical ball security (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment0+0.000
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      QB experience prior (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Rest adjustmentUnavailable+0.000
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry) (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate (missing flag)0-0.000
                                                                                      Total model output-7.569
                                                                                      Experimental — injury estimates are still being tested

                                                                                      How injuries could change the ratings

                                                                                      These estimates cover players other than quarterbacks. The original ratings and game predictions stay unchanged.

                                                                                      A negative change means a lower team rating. “Incomplete” means we lack a full injury report or cannot estimate every listed player. We show the change for players we can estimate, but no full adjusted rating. “Unknown” never means zero impact.

                                                                                      Reports checked through . Estimate saved . This page does not refresh automatically.

                                                                                      The first estimate counts players ruled out or on the listed injury reserve lists. The second also assumes questionable and doubtful players miss the game. Missing practice alone does not count as missing the game.

                                                                                      TeamOriginal PGO ratingEstimated change: ruled outEstimated change: uncertain players out tooRating with ruled-out players absentRating if uncertain players miss tooWhat we know
                                                                                      New England Patriots+5.200-0.573-0.573UnavailableUnavailableIncomplete — known players only
                                                                                      Los Angeles Rams+4.507UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableIncomplete — known players only
                                                                                      Seattle Seahawks+4.017-0.312-0.538UnavailableUnavailableIncomplete — known players only
                                                                                      San Francisco 49ers+1.975-0.052-0.052UnavailableUnavailableIncomplete — known players only
                                                                                      28 teams without a verified report

                                                                                      We do not know enough to estimate their injury impact. Missing reports do not mean healthy teams.

                                                                                      TeamOriginal PGO ratingEstimated change: ruled outEstimated change: uncertain players out tooRating with ruled-out players absentRating if uncertain players miss tooWhat we know
                                                                                      Buffalo Bills+3.607UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Jacksonville Jaguars+3.354UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Houston Texans+2.991UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Philadelphia Eagles+2.985UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Chicago Bears+2.671UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Baltimore Ravens+2.296UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Denver Broncos+2.002UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Detroit Lions+1.649UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Cincinnati Bengals+1.558UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Los Angeles Chargers+1.356UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Minnesota Vikings+0.959UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Pittsburgh Steelers+0.575UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Green Bay Packers+0.513UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Indianapolis Colts+0.226UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Tampa Bay Buccaneers+0.079UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Kansas City Chiefs+0.030UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Atlanta Falcons-0.290UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Washington Commanders-1.386UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Dallas Cowboys-1.387UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      New York Giants-1.490UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      New Orleans Saints-1.786UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Carolina Panthers-2.158UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Miami Dolphins-3.356UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Arizona Cardinals-4.775UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Cleveland Browns-5.239UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Tennessee Titans-5.891UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      Las Vegas Raiders-7.224UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report
                                                                                      New York Jets-7.569UnknownUnknownUnavailableUnavailableNo verified report

                                                                                      What this could mean for each game

                                                                                      A positive lead favors the home team; a negative lead favors the away team. The range covers different combinations of players missing the game; it is not a confidence interval. We only show an injury-adjusted lead when both teams have enough verified information before the prediction deadline.

                                                                                      MatchupOriginal home-team leadHome-team lead with ruled-out players absentPossible leads if uncertain players missWhat we knowKickoffPrediction deadline
                                                                                      NE at SEA+0.440UnavailableUnavailableIncomplete — known players only
                                                                                      SF at LAR+2.531UnavailableUnavailableIncomplete — known players only
                                                                                      14 matchups without enough injury information
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal home-team leadHome-team lead with ruled-out players absentPossible leads if uncertain players missWhat we knowKickoffPrediction deadline
                                                                                      ATL at PIT+2.488UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      BAL at IND-0.447UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      BUF at HOU+1.007UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      CHI at CAR-3.207UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      CLE at JAX+10.216UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      NO at DET+5.058UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      NYJ at TEN+3.302UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      TB at CIN+3.102UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      ARI at LAC+7.754UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      GB at MIN+2.069UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      MIA at LV-2.246UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      WAS at PHI+5.994UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      DAL at NYG+1.520UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      DEN at KC-0.349UnavailableUnavailableNot enough verified injury information
                                                                                      How we estimate injury effects — players, sources and limits

                                                                                      Research status: EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD. Base edition: pgo-corrected-week1-2026-09-08. Known-out status includes OUT, IR and PUP. Information must be saved before each game’s deadline, 60 minutes before kickoff. Complete covers the listed reports, not a guarantee that every absence is known.

                                                                                      Role is the median of the last four positive regular-season unit snap shares through 2025. A transferred or returning player’s historical usage is a proxy, not a current depth-chart claim. The fitted unit-role effect is an aggregate conditional association, not an individual star valuation or a measurement of replacement quality. QB and special teams are excluded. Past team performance may already reflect absences, so residual overlap remains possible. This role/status policy is unvalidated; scenario endpoints and their midpoint are not forecasts or calibrated probabilities.

                                                                                      NE — Incomplete — known players only: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 5. Report type: official game-status report. Source report dated 2026-09-08; captured

                                                                                      • Ben Brown (C; OUT; offense). Player ID: 00-0037413. Estimated change: -0.238 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 100.0%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: NE. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: C 2. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated 2026-09-08; captured
                                                                                      • TreVeyon Henderson (RB; OUT; offense). Player ID: 00-0040734. Estimated change: -0.106 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 44.4%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: NE. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: RB 2. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated 2026-09-08; captured
                                                                                      • Marcus Bryant (T; IR; offense). Player ID: 00-0040226. Estimated change: -0.024 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 9.9%; 3 observations; last observed 2025 Week 12. Previous team: NE. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: RT 3. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Julian Hill (TE; IR; offense). Player ID: 00-0038720. Estimated change: -0.128 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 53.7%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: MIA. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: TE 5. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Isaiah Iton (DT; IR; defense). Player ID: 00-0039644. Estimated change: Cannot estimate. No positive observed 2025 unit role; expected playing time is unknown.
                                                                                        Past playing-time data unavailable Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: NT 2. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Khalil Jacobs (LB; IR; defense). Player ID: 00-0041321. Estimated change: Cannot estimate. No positive observed 2025 unit role; expected playing time is unknown.
                                                                                        Past playing-time data unavailable Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: RILB 3. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Myles Montgomery (RB; IR; offense). Player ID: 00-0041323. Estimated change: Cannot estimate. No positive observed 2025 unit role; expected playing time is unknown.
                                                                                        Past playing-time data unavailable Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: RB 4. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Jeremiah Webb (WR; IR; offense). Player ID: 00-0040570. Estimated change: Cannot estimate. No positive observed 2025 unit role; expected playing time is unknown.
                                                                                        Past playing-time data unavailable Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: WR 7. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Harold Landry III (LB; PUP; defense). Player ID: 00-0034828. Estimated change: -0.077 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 65.1%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 16. Previous team: NE. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: WLB 3. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      Excluded observations

                                                                                      • Bryce Baringer (IR): Special teams excluded from offense/defense adjustment. Saved source: capture-20260909T171524Z/patriots-roster.html.
                                                                                      • Brenden Schooler (NFI): Preserved separately; requested injury status contract does not include NFI. Saved source: capture-20260909T171524Z/patriots-roster.html.
                                                                                      LAR — Incomplete — known players only: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 1. Report type: practice report only. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      • Aaron Donald (DE; OUT; defense). Player ID: 00-0031388. Estimated change: Cannot estimate. No positive observed 2025 unit role; expected playing time is unknown.
                                                                                        Past playing-time data unavailable Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: RDE 1.
                                                                                        Source report dated 2026-09-08; captured
                                                                                      SEA — Incomplete — known players only: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 5. Report type: official game-status report. Source report dated 2026-09-08; captured

                                                                                      • Nick Emmanwori (S; QUESTIONABLE; defense). Player ID: 00-0040733. Estimated change: -0.113 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 95.3%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: SEA. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: NB 1.
                                                                                        Source report dated 2026-09-08; captured
                                                                                      • Tory Horton (WR; QUESTIONABLE; offense). Player ID: 00-0040648. Estimated change: -0.113 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 47.3%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 9. Previous team: SEA. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: PR 2, WR 4. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated 2026-09-08; captured
                                                                                      • Ty Okada (S; OUT; defense). Player ID: 00-0038765. Estimated change: -0.073 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 61.7%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: SEA. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: SS 1.
                                                                                        Source report dated 2026-09-08; captured
                                                                                      • Jake Bobo (WR; IR; offense). Player ID: 00-0038752. Estimated change: -0.035 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 14.7%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: SEA. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: WR 7. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Bud Clark (S; IR; defense). Player ID: 00-0041463. Estimated change: Cannot estimate. No positive observed 2025 unit role; expected playing time is unknown.
                                                                                        Past playing-time data unavailable Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: SS 2. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Amari Kight (T; IR; offense). Player ID: 00-0040059. Estimated change: -0.007 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 3.0%; 2 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: SEA. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. No current role is established by a depth listing.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Robbie Ouzts (FB; IR; offense). Player ID: 00-0040649. Estimated change: -0.060 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 25.4%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: SEA. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: FB 2. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Mason Richman (T/G; IR; offense). Player ID: 00-0040652. Estimated change: -0.004 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 1.6%; 1 observations; last observed 2025 Week 5. Previous team: SEA. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: LG 3. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Aaron Smith (LB; IR; defense). Player ID: 00-0040407. Estimated change: Cannot estimate. No positive observed 2025 unit role; expected playing time is unknown.
                                                                                        Past playing-time data unavailable Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. No current role is established by a depth listing.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured
                                                                                      • Zach Charbonnet (RB; PUP; offense). Player ID: 00-0039165. Estimated change: -0.132 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 55.4%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: SEA. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: RB 4. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      Excluded observations

                                                                                      • Irv Charles (IR): No unique exact same-team name in fresh roster; no fuzzy matching. Saved source: capture-20260909T171524Z/seahawks-roster.html.
                                                                                      • Power Echols (IR): Official reserve section conflicts with fresh roster CUT/W03. Saved source: capture-20260909T171524Z/seahawks-roster.html.
                                                                                      • Brock Lampe (IR): Official reserve section conflicts with fresh roster CUT/R01. Saved source: capture-20260909T171524Z/seahawks-roster.html.
                                                                                      BUF — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      JAX — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      HOU — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      PHI — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      CHI — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      BAL — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      DEN — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      SF — Incomplete — known players only: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: practice report only. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      • Alfred Collins (DT; OUT; defense). Player ID: 00-0040721. Estimated change: -0.052 points.
                                                                                        Past share of offensive or defensive plays: 43.7%; 4 observations; last observed 2025 Week 18. Previous team: SF. Median of last four positive observed 2025 regular-season unit snap shares; historical playing-role proxy, not a current depth-chart or replacement-quality estimate. Fresh depth listing: RDT 3. Current backup listing: prior usage can overstate current lost playing time.
                                                                                        Source report dated 2026-09-08; captured
                                                                                      DET — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      CIN — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      LAC — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      MIN — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      PIT — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      GB — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      IND — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      TB — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      KC — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      ATL — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      WAS — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      DAL — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      NYG — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      NO — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      CAR — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      MIA — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      ARI — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      CLE — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      TEN — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      LV — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      NYJ — No verified report: players and injury reports

                                                                                      Missing formal game-status coverage or an unpriced player; subtotals are partial Players we cannot fully account for: 0. Report type: no verified report. Source report dated unknown; captured

                                                                                      No individual player estimates are available. That does not mean the team is healthy.

                                                                                      Why teams rank here · All 32 September ratings

                                                                                      Open a team to see what raises and lowers its saved September 7 output. Higher totals rank higher; the gaps show how close neighboring teams are.

                                                                                      Archived July comparison: the board preserves its July ratings. Issued September 7 snapshot: the explanations below describe that saved preseason edition. Unadopted research: later candidate studies remain separate and do not replace either edition.

                                                                                      New England · Jacksonville · Read the outlier audit

                                                                                      How the contribution tables are calculated · Glossary and limits

                                                                                      Every summary shows the same seven input groups in the same order, so you can compare teams row by row. All are centered against the 32-team average and sum to the rating before rounding. These are fitted adjustments, not independent football grades, player values, or calibrated point-spread prices.

                                                                                      Team passing efficiency is shown separately from the other nine team-efficiency inputs. QB history combines eight QB inputs; roster composition combines returning offensive and defensive snap shares, incoming snap share, and rookie draft capital; coaching combines continuity and tenure. Other adjustments include availability, the QB lineup adjustment, venue, rest, and missing-data indicators. A zero here does not establish comprehensive injury coverage. Open the full breakdown to see every term.

                                                                                      EPA means expected points added. Team efficiency uses games through 2025 with a four-game half-life; QB efficiency uses shrunk player history. The PGO v0 input carries the earlier results rating forward without a new offseason shrink, unlike the separate v0 game-forecast baseline.

                                                                                      Audit finding: lower returning offensive snap share raises this saved model's output, and head-coach continuity lowers it. Later research improved when roster-continuity inputs were removed. The new input audit also identified different historical/current roster eligibility and preseason transition effects. These findings weaken a football interpretation of those contributions. Returning snap share tracks historical snap weight and a player's last recorded team, not the percentage of last season's team snaps retained. Issued values remain archived; research corrections are separate.

                                                                                      #1 NE · +7.219

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+3.864), Team passing efficiency (+2.084). Largest downward group: Coaching (-0.672).

                                                                                      Drake Maye is the saved QB1; his QB passing term contributes +0.692 within the QB-history group.

                                                                                      Why first place is uncertain: recent results and passing drive NE high, but these inputs overlap. Its narrow lead also includes a counterintuitive roster-continuity benefit. The new input audit tests roster eligibility, preseason transition effects, and QB valuations. NE ranks first through fourth across seven specified constructions and stays first after removing the transition fields; none of the six new candidates clears the improvement screen. This saved rank does not establish that New England is clearly the best team in football.

                                                                                      0.287 above #2 LAR.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+3.864
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+2.084
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.470
                                                                                      QB history+1.013
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.461
                                                                                      Coaching-0.672
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+7.219
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.443
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.575
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.132
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-0.059
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.168
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.007
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+2.084
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+3.864
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.082
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.066
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.017
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.692
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.140
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.048
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.096
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.327
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.009
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.635
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.015
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.020
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.397
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.018
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.010
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.054
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #2 LAR · +6.932

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+4.610), Team passing efficiency (+1.582). Largest downward group: Roster composition (-0.014).

                                                                                      0.287 below #1 NE; 0.258 above #3 SEA. Expected QB1: Matthew Stafford.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+4.610
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+1.582
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.527
                                                                                      QB history+0.198
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.014
                                                                                      Coaching+0.029
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+6.932
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.413
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.391
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.110
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.642
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.318
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+1.582
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+4.610
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.001
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.025
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.101
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.284
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.182
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.072
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.284
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.186
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.427
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.691
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.069
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.106
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.326
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.758
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.008
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.250
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #3 SEA · +6.674

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+5.589), Other team efficiency (+1.009). Largest downward group: Coaching (-0.452).

                                                                                      0.258 below #2 LAR; 1.221 above #4 BAL. Expected QB1: Sam Darnold.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+5.589
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.217
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+1.009
                                                                                      QB history-0.294
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.606
                                                                                      Coaching-0.452
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+6.674
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.458
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.156
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.093
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.161
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.405
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.010
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.217
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+5.589
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.182
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.010
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.017
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.764
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.057
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.022
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.241
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.089
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.823
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.530
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.092
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.399
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.004
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.063
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.005
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.318
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #4 BAL · +5.453

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+2.428), Coaching (+1.174).

                                                                                      1.221 below #3 SEA; 0.062 above #5 JAX. Expected QB1: Lamar Jackson.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+2.428
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.371
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.174
                                                                                      QB history+0.828
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.477
                                                                                      Coaching+1.174
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+5.453
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.533
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.267
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.052
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity+2.189
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-1.015
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.161
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.004
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.371
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+2.428
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.013
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.008
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.063
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.830
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.057
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.023
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.096
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.087
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.409
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.108
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.016
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.445
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.928
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.435
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.021
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.071
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #5 JAX · +5.392

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+4.134), Team passing efficiency (+1.128). Largest downward group: Coaching (-0.672).

                                                                                      Trevor Lawrence is the saved QB1; his QB passing term contributes -0.406 within the QB-history group.

                                                                                      The active-only roster already selects Lawrence under either selector, so the isolated starter-policy effect is zero. The July-to-September change also includes roster inputs and league centering.

                                                                                      0.062 below #4 BAL; 0.684 above #6 BUF.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+4.134
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+1.128
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.756
                                                                                      QB history-0.637
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.682
                                                                                      Coaching-0.672
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+5.392
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.409
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.199
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.067
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-0.059
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.129
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.012
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+1.128
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+4.134
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.089
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.027
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.101
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.406
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.015
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.016
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.035
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.241
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.497
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.072
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.016
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.049
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.224
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.096
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.025
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.520
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #6 BUF · +4.708

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+3.201), Team passing efficiency (+1.110). Largest downward group: Roster composition (-0.412).

                                                                                      0.684 below #5 JAX; 0.162 above #7 SF. Expected QB1: Josh Allen.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+3.201
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+1.110
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.657
                                                                                      QB history+0.126
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.412
                                                                                      Coaching+0.027
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+4.708
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.493
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.144
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.093
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.640
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.192
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.009
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+1.110
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+3.201
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.032
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.009
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.023
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.706
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.057
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.042
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.314
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.296
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.492
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.285
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.013
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.304
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.522
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.071
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.012
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.046
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #7 SF · +4.546

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+1.971), QB history (+1.279). Largest downward group: Roster composition (-0.077).

                                                                                      0.162 below #6 BUF; 0.808 above #8 DEN. Expected QB1: Brock Purdy.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+1.971
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+1.102
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.243
                                                                                      QB history+1.279
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.077
                                                                                      Coaching+0.029
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+4.546
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.063
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.020
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.002
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.642
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.192
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.007
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+1.102
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+1.971
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.143
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.030
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.086
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+1.414
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.048
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.022
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.142
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.217
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.281
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.400
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.005
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.144
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.225
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.481
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.046
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.278
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #8 DEN · +3.738

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+2.713), Other team efficiency (+0.709). Largest downward group: QB history (-0.414).

                                                                                      0.808 below #7 SF; 0.288 above #9 HOU. Expected QB1: Bo Nix.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+2.713
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.482
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.709
                                                                                      QB history-0.414
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.570
                                                                                      Coaching-0.321
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+3.738
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.379
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.113
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.111
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.292
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.388
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.010
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.482
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+2.713
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.059
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.018
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.041
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.095
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.140
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.031
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.075
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.541
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.786
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.515
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.089
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.065
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.100
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.538
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.027
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.249
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #9 HOU · +3.450

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+2.515), Other team efficiency (+1.216). Largest downward group: Coaching (-0.321).

                                                                                      0.288 below #8 DEN; 0.033 above #10 PHI. Expected QB1: C.J. Stroud.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+2.515
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.120
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+1.216
                                                                                      QB history-0.013
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.066
                                                                                      Coaching-0.321
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+3.450
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.036
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.106
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.197
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.292
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.076
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.007
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.120
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+2.515
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.071
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.020
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.042
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.060
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.088
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.017
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.010
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.060
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.079
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.217
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.004
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.168
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.595
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.703
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.014
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.680
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #10 PHI · +3.417

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+2.047), Other team efficiency (+1.336). Largest downward group: Coaching (-0.155).

                                                                                      0.033 below #9 HOU; 0.114 above #11 PIT. Expected QB1: Jalen Hurts.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+2.047
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.074
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+1.336
                                                                                      QB history+0.093
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.021
                                                                                      Coaching-0.155
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+3.417
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.374
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.175
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.031
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.458
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.123
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.011
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.074
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+2.047
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.049
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.017
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.071
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.186
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.012
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.012
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.143
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.046
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.183
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.243
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.042
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.098
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.113
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.331
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.018
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.222
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #11 PIT · +3.303

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Coaching (+1.174), Other team efficiency (+0.992).

                                                                                      0.114 below #10 PHI; 1.546 above #12 LAC. Expected QB1: Aaron Rodgers.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+0.613
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.167
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.992
                                                                                      QB history+0.165
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.192
                                                                                      Coaching+1.174
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+3.303
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.158
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.010
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.157
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity+2.189
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-1.015
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.034
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.002
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.167
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+0.613
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.168
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.008
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.058
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.696
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.218
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.065
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.099
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.161
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.118
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.040
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.065
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.315
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.402
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.004
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.207
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #12 LAC · +1.757

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Roster composition (+1.386), Results history (+1.115). Largest downward group: Team passing efficiency (-1.053).

                                                                                      1.546 below #11 PIT; 0.100 above #13 DET. Expected QB1: Justin Herbert.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+1.115
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-1.053
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.684
                                                                                      QB history+0.078
                                                                                      Roster composition+1.386
                                                                                      Coaching-0.452
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+1.757
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.355
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.120
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.003
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.161
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.100
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.006
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-1.053
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+1.115
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.102
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.007
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.017
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.297
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.012
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.032
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.025
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.135
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.703
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.585
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.002
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.410
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.067
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.622
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.012
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.358
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #13 DET · +1.657

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+2.406), Team passing efficiency (+0.856). Largest downward group: Other team efficiency (-1.488).

                                                                                      0.100 below #12 LAC; 0.243 above #14 CHI. Expected QB1: Jared Goff.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+2.406
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.856
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-1.488
                                                                                      QB history+0.698
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.659
                                                                                      Coaching-0.155
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+1.657
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.311
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.290
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.009
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.458
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.077
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.856
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+2.406
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.007
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.009
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.101
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.518
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.093
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.056
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.622
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.321
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.148
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.552
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.036
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.221
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.540
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.085
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.011
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.192
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #14 CHI · +1.413

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Other team efficiency (+1.418), Results history (+1.401). Largest downward group: Coaching (-0.672).

                                                                                      0.243 below #13 DET; 0.027 above #15 GB. Expected QB1: Caleb Williams.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+1.401
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.481
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+1.418
                                                                                      QB history-0.660
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.555
                                                                                      Coaching-0.672
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+1.413
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.327
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.101
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.199
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-0.059
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.009
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.003
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.481
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+1.401
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.161
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.033
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.101
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.653
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.140
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.031
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.003
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.110
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.326
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.228
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.010
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.161
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.696
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.726
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.011
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.377
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #15 GB · +1.387

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Team passing efficiency (+0.935), Results history (+0.879). Largest downward group: Other team efficiency (-0.626).

                                                                                      0.027 below #14 CHI; 0.791 above #16 MIN. Expected QB1: Jordan Love.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+0.879
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.935
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-0.626
                                                                                      QB history+0.412
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.162
                                                                                      Coaching-0.050
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+1.387
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.088
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.148
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.066
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.563
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.156
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.006
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.935
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+0.879
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.019
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.009
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.059
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.858
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.012
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.016
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.016
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.466
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.173
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.424
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.067
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.114
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.171
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.035
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.023
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.330
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #16 MIN · +0.596

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Results history (+1.093), Roster composition (+1.005). Largest downward group: Team passing efficiency (-1.418).

                                                                                      0.791 below #15 GB; 0.315 above #17 KC. Expected QB1: Kyler Murray.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+1.093
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-1.418
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.718
                                                                                      QB history-0.575
                                                                                      Roster composition+1.005
                                                                                      Coaching-0.228
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+0.596
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.740
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.197
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.147
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.385
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.356
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.013
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-1.418
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+1.093
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.048
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.003
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.101
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.218
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.036
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.023
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.079
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.120
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.900
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.264
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.013
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.339
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.110
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.879
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.063
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.407
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #17 KC · +0.280

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: QB history (+0.735), Results history (+0.332). Largest downward group: Team passing efficiency (-1.096).

                                                                                      0.315 below #16 MIN; 0.846 above #18 ATL. Expected QB1: Patrick Mahomes.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+0.332
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-1.096
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-0.138
                                                                                      QB history+0.735
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.301
                                                                                      Coaching+0.146
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating+0.280
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.335
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.214
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.018
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.759
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.222
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.002
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-1.096
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+0.332
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.072
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.020
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.035
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+1.536
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.076
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.049
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.255
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.461
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.412
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.374
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.041
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.275
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.091
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.634
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.008
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.264
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #18 ATL · -0.565

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: QB history (+0.927), Team passing efficiency (+0.097). Largest downward group: Results history (-0.965).

                                                                                      0.846 below #17 KC; 0.138 above #19 CIN. Expected QB1: Tua Tagovailoa.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-0.965
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.097
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-0.020
                                                                                      QB history+0.927
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.152
                                                                                      Coaching-0.452
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-0.565
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.442
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.082
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.014
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.161
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.041
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.002
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.097
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-0.965
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.052
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.014
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.009
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.577
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.012
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.012
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.557
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.253
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.107
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.066
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.070
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.096
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.230
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.428
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.029
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.251
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #19 CIN · -0.703

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: QB history (+0.520), Team passing efficiency (+0.486). Largest downward group: Results history (-1.215).

                                                                                      0.138 below #18 ATL; 0.237 above #20 NYG. Expected QB1: Joe Burrow.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-1.215
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.486
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.336
                                                                                      QB history+0.520
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.777
                                                                                      Coaching-0.053
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-0.703
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.491
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.032
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.002
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.560
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.097
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.004
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.486
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-1.215
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.032
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.038
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.101
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.628
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.012
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.021
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.016
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.038
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.132
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.691
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.051
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.221
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.431
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.383
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.024
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.232
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #20 NYG · -0.940

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Coaching (+1.174), Team passing efficiency (+0.147). Largest downward group: Results history (-1.559).

                                                                                      0.237 below #19 CIN; 0.114 above #21 MIA. Expected QB1: Jaxson Dart.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-1.559
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.147
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-0.085
                                                                                      QB history-0.340
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.277
                                                                                      Coaching+1.174
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-0.940
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.220
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.010
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.092
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity+2.189
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-1.015
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.220
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.002
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.147
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-1.559
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.078
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.014
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.058
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.475
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.212
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.100
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.278
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.306
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.428
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.293
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.078
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.291
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.529
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.335
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.005
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.135
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #21 MIA · -1.053

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Roster composition (+1.302), Coaching (+1.174). Largest downward group: Results history (-2.693).

                                                                                      0.114 below #20 NYG; 0.688 above #22 IND. Expected QB1: Malik Willis.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-2.693
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-0.132
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-1.169
                                                                                      QB history+0.465
                                                                                      Roster composition+1.302
                                                                                      Coaching+1.174
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-1.053
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.347
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.139
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.102
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity+2.189
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-1.015
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.007
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.005
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.132
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-2.693
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.022
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.010
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.077
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.347
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.048
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.142
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.182
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.635
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.704
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.496
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.109
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.200
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.240
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.226
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.002
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.090
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #22 IND · -1.741

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Other team efficiency (+0.359), Results history (+0.175). Largest downward group: Roster composition (-0.908).

                                                                                      0.688 below #21 MIA; 0.062 above #23 TB. Expected QB1: Daniel Jones.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history+0.175
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-0.280
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.359
                                                                                      QB history-0.766
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.908
                                                                                      Coaching-0.321
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-1.741
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.109
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.187
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.227
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.292
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share+0.050
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.006
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.280
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input+0.175
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.075
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.012
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.017
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.946
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.036
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.018
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.131
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.225
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.468
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.463
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.027
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.124
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.135
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.414
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.033
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.193
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #23 TB · -1.803

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Other team efficiency (+0.339). Largest downward group: Results history (-1.234).

                                                                                      0.062 below #22 IND; 0.626 above #24 NO. Expected QB1: Baker Mayfield.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-1.234
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-0.184
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.339
                                                                                      QB history-0.091
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.404
                                                                                      Coaching-0.228
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-1.803
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.216
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.030
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.015
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.385
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.046
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.007
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.184
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-1.234
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.100
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.020
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.101
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.138
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.057
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.041
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.060
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.015
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.266
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.091
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.002
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.216
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.103
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.015
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.025
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.247
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #24 NO · -2.429

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Roster composition (+0.338), Team passing efficiency (+0.103). Largest downward group: Results history (-1.947).

                                                                                      0.626 below #23 TB; 1.245 above #25 DAL. Expected QB1: Tyler Shough.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-1.947
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.103
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-0.210
                                                                                      QB history-0.042
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.338
                                                                                      Coaching-0.672
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-2.429
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.213
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.151
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.060
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-0.059
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.099
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.009
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.103
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-1.947
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.028
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.001
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.067
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.495
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.212
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.102
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.096
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.210
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share+0.039
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.461
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.063
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.297
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.444
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.307
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.033
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.034
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #25 DAL · -3.674

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Team passing efficiency (+0.787), QB history (+0.339). Largest downward group: Results history (-1.787).

                                                                                      1.245 below #24 NO; 0.653 above #26 WAS. Expected QB1: Dak Prescott.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-1.787
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency+0.787
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-1.021
                                                                                      QB history+0.339
                                                                                      Roster composition-1.320
                                                                                      Coaching-0.672
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-3.674
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.468
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.100
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.006
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-0.059
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.043
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.014
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.787
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-1.787
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.009
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.006
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.081
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.619
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.093
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.051
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.079
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.224
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.680
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.587
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.010
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.313
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.016
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.288
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.009
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.444
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #26 WAS · -4.327

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: QB history (+0.094). Largest downward group: Results history (-2.019).

                                                                                      0.653 below #25 DAL; 0.143 above #27 CAR. Expected QB1: Jayden Daniels.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-2.019
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-0.274
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-0.642
                                                                                      QB history+0.094
                                                                                      Roster composition-1.034
                                                                                      Coaching-0.452
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-4.327
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.115
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.112
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.124
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.161
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.299
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.008
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.274
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-2.019
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.079
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.004
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.042
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.023
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.140
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.061
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.189
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.306
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.806
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.082
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.011
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.380
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.093
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.073
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.007
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.516
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #27 CAR · -4.469

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Roster composition (+0.574), Other team efficiency (+0.094). Largest downward group: Results history (-2.475).

                                                                                      0.143 below #26 WAS; 0.579 above #28 CLE. Expected QB1: Bryce Young.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-2.475
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-0.288
                                                                                      Other team efficiency+0.094
                                                                                      QB history-1.922
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.574
                                                                                      Coaching-0.452
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-4.469
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.253
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.089
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.120
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.161
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.253
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.004
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.288
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-2.475
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.054
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.013
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.101
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-1.882
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.088
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.019
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.245
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.169
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.024
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.881
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital-0.030
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.101
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.420
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance+0.254
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate+0.143
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #28 CLE · -5.048

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Coaching (+1.174), QB history (+0.400). Largest downward group: Results history (-3.082).

                                                                                      0.579 below #27 CAR; 1.498 above #29 ARI. Expected QB1: Deshaun Watson.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-3.082
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-2.124
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-0.920
                                                                                      QB history+0.400
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.497
                                                                                      Coaching+1.174
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-5.048
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.170
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.280
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.209
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity+2.189
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-1.015
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.254
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.010
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-2.124
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-3.082
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.007
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.019
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.041
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.064
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.076
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.011
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.120
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.506
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.567
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.238
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.086
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.149
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.114
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.666
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.017
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.225
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #29 ARI · -6.546

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Roster composition (+0.192). Largest downward group: Results history (-4.202).

                                                                                      1.498 below #28 CLE; 0.652 above #30 LV. Expected QB1: Jacoby Brissett.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-4.202
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-0.185
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-1.154
                                                                                      QB history-0.875
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.192
                                                                                      Coaching-0.321
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-6.546
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.271
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate-0.047
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.039
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure+0.292
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.105
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.013
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-0.185
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-4.202
                                                                                      QB historical ball security-0.066
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.027
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.077
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.951
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.093
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.009
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.059
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.181
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.050
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.333
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.015
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.163
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.003
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.297
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.030
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.350
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #30 LV · -7.198

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Coaching (+1.174), Roster composition (+0.674). Largest downward group: Results history (-5.569).

                                                                                      0.652 below #29 ARI; 1.903 above #31 TEN. Expected QB1: Kirk Cousins.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-5.569
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-1.804
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-1.984
                                                                                      QB history+0.311
                                                                                      Roster composition+0.674
                                                                                      Coaching+1.174
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-7.198
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention+0.490
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.296
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.099
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity+2.189
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-1.015
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.271
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-1.804
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-5.569
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.062
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.013
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.078
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.195
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.149
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.063
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.332
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance-0.257
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.106
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.893
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.158
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.123
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-1.502
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.953
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.016
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.323
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #31 TEN · -9.101

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. Largest upward groups: Coaching (+1.174). Largest downward group: Results history (-5.663).

                                                                                      1.903 below #30 LV; 3.224 above #32 NYJ. Expected QB1: Cam Ward.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-5.663
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-1.522
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-0.801
                                                                                      QB history-1.651
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.638
                                                                                      Coaching+1.174
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-9.101
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.476
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.056
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance+0.074
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity+2.189
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-1.015
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.330
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.012
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-1.522
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-5.663
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.019
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation+0.042
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior-0.101
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-1.995
                                                                                      QB experience prior+0.212
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size-0.073
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency-0.100
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.345
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.745
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share+0.387
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.050
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.047
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.022
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.002
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation-0.011
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.455
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000
                                                                                      #32 NYJ · -12.325

                                                                                      Issued September 7 snapshot. No input group contributes positively relative to the league average. Largest downward group: Results history (-6.674).

                                                                                      3.224 below #31 TEN. Expected QB1: Geno Smith.

                                                                                      These are model contributions, not independent team grades. How to read them.

                                                                                      Input groupContribution
                                                                                      Results history-6.674
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency-1.968
                                                                                      Other team efficiency-1.780
                                                                                      QB history-0.400
                                                                                      Roster composition-0.830
                                                                                      Coaching-0.672
                                                                                      Other adjustments+0.000
                                                                                      Total model rating-12.325
                                                                                      All 55 fitted terms

                                                                                      The same input order for every team, including zero contributions. Group totals can hide offsetting positive and negative terms.

                                                                                      Fitted inputContribution
                                                                                      Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Explosive-play prevention-0.433
                                                                                      Offensive explosive-play rate+0.380
                                                                                      Team giveaway avoidance-0.073
                                                                                      Head-coach continuity-0.613
                                                                                      Head-coach tenure-0.059
                                                                                      Home-field adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Incoming players' prior snap share-0.183
                                                                                      Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.020
                                                                                      Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)-1.968
                                                                                      PGO v0 results-history input-6.674
                                                                                      QB historical ball security+0.139
                                                                                      QB completion rate above expectation-0.008
                                                                                      QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      QB draft-position prior+0.066
                                                                                      QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)-0.887
                                                                                      QB experience prior-0.137
                                                                                      QB historical passing sample size+0.028
                                                                                      QB historical rushing efficiency+0.144
                                                                                      QB historical sack avoidance+0.255
                                                                                      Rest adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Returning defensive snap share-0.635
                                                                                      Returning offensive snap share-0.130
                                                                                      Rookie draft capital+0.118
                                                                                      Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)-0.047
                                                                                      Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)-0.311
                                                                                      Team sack avoidance-0.557
                                                                                      Defensive sack creation+0.038
                                                                                      Defensive takeaway rate-0.756
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Explosive-play prevention+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive explosive-play rate+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team giveaway avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Head-coach continuity+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Incoming players' prior snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Offensive availability adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Pass defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team passing efficiency (EPA per dropback)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical ball security+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB completion rate above expectation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB lineup adjustment+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB draft-position prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB passing efficiency (historical EPA)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB experience prior+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical passing sample size+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical rushing efficiency+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: QB historical sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning defensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Returning offensive snap share+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Run defense (opponent EPA prevented)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team rushing efficiency (EPA per carry)+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Team sack avoidance+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive sack creation+0.000
                                                                                      Missing-data adjustment: Defensive takeaway rate+0.000

                                                                                      Full precision and all inputs: saved snapshot JSON. Ratings remain EXPERIMENTAL / HOLD.

                                                                                      September 7 preseason baseline · All 272 games and 32 team ratings
                                                                                      EXPERIMENTAL — HOLD

                                                                                      September 7 preseason snapshot

                                                                                      Active-roster preseason scenario. Each game shows the team the model favors and its estimated winning margin.

                                                                                      ACT is an administrative roster status, not proof of health or game-day availability. Week 1 and the full schedule use the same September 7 state; later weeks are not weekly lineup updates.

                                                                                      Season-method check: a separate historical replay found that freezing preseason model strength all year performed worse than both weekly updates and a simpler frozen rating. That replay also uses retrospective Week 1 identities, so it cannot certify what was knowable before the season. Read the season test and its limits.

                                                                                      0 of 272 finalized results recorded. Interim tracking — not a validation result.

                                                                                      Back to McCabe Ratings

                                                                                      September snapshot record

                                                                                      No finalized September snapshot results recorded yet.

                                                                                      Week 1 and full-season forecasts

                                                                                      Score summaries use whole-number rounded averages; model averages and combined points use one decimal. Evaluation uses the original unrounded projections.

                                                                                      Open “Model averages” for decimal estimates. “About 25 points each” means both estimates round to 25; it does not predict a tied game. The favored team uses the unrounded numbers. Rounded scores may not add up to the combined-points estimate.

                                                                                      Week 1 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      NE @ SEASEA by 1.2 pointsNE 23, SEA 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NE 22.7, SEA 23.9

                                                                                      46.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.62; home-team lead +1.19; SEA 23.91, NE 22.71. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SF @ LARLAR by 1.6 pointsSF 24, LAR 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SF 23.8, LAR 25.4

                                                                                      49.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.18; home-team lead +1.59; LAR 25.38, SF 23.80. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ATL @ PITPIT by 5.6 pointsATL 20, PIT 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ATL 19.8, PIT 25.4

                                                                                      45.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.24; home-team lead +5.61; PIT 25.42, ATL 19.81. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BAL @ INDBAL by 5.5 pointsBAL 28, IND 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BAL 27.7, IND 22.3

                                                                                      50.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.00; home-team lead -5.46; IND 22.27, BAL 27.73. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BUF @ HOUHOU by 0.5 pointsBUF 22, HOU 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BUF 22.5, HOU 23.0

                                                                                      45.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.44; home-team lead +0.48; HOU 22.96, BUF 22.48. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CHI @ CARCHI by 4.1 pointsCHI 25, CAR 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CHI 24.8, CAR 20.7

                                                                                      45.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.50; home-team lead -4.15; CAR 20.68, CHI 24.82. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CLE @ JAXJAX by 12.2 pointsCLE 15, JAX 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CLE 15.5, JAX 27.7

                                                                                      43.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.18; home-team lead +12.18; JAX 27.68, CLE 15.50. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NO @ DETDET by 5.8 pointsNO 20, DET 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NO 20.4, DET 26.2

                                                                                      46.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.56; home-team lead +5.82; DET 26.19, NO 20.37. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYJ @ TENTEN by 5.0 pointsNYJ 21, TEN 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYJ 20.5, TEN 25.5

                                                                                      46.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.03; home-team lead +4.96; TEN 25.50, NYJ 20.53. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TB @ CINCIN by 2.8 pointsTB 24, CIN 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TB 23.5, CIN 26.4

                                                                                      49.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.91; home-team lead +2.84; CIN 26.37, TB 23.54. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ARI @ LACLAC by 10.0 pointsARI 18, LAC 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ARI 17.8, LAC 27.8

                                                                                      45.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.62; home-team lead +10.04; LAC 27.83, ARI 17.79. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      GB @ MINMIN by 0.9 pointsAbout 21 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      GB 20.5, MIN 21.5

                                                                                      42.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.00; home-team lead +0.95; MIN 21.47, GB 20.53. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIA @ LVMIA by 4.4 pointsMIA 23, LV 19
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIA 23.4, LV 19.0

                                                                                      42.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.47; home-team lead -4.41; LV 19.03, MIA 23.44. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      WAS @ PHIPHI by 9.5 pointsWAS 17, PHI 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      WAS 17.5, PHI 27.0

                                                                                      44.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.44; home-team lead +9.48; PHI 26.96, WAS 17.48. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DAL @ NYGNYG by 4.5 pointsDAL 24, NYG 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DAL 24.3, NYG 28.7

                                                                                      53.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 53.00; home-team lead +4.47; NYG 28.74, DAL 24.26. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DEN @ KCDEN by 1.7 pointsDEN 21, KC 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DEN 21.5, KC 19.8

                                                                                      41.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.24; home-team lead -1.72; KC 19.76, DEN 21.48. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 2 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      DET @ BUFBUF by 4.8 pointsDET 23, BUF 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DET 23.2, BUF 28.0

                                                                                      51.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 51.18; home-team lead +4.79; BUF 27.98, DET 23.19. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CAR @ ATLATL by 5.6 pointsCAR 18, ATL 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CAR 18.4, ATL 24.1

                                                                                      42.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.50; home-team lead +5.64; ATL 24.07, CAR 18.43. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CIN @ HOUHOU by 5.9 pointsCIN 21, HOU 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CIN 20.7, HOU 26.5

                                                                                      47.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.21; home-team lead +5.89; HOU 26.55, CIN 20.66. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CLE @ TBTB by 5.0 pointsCLE 19, TB 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CLE 18.8, TB 23.8

                                                                                      42.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.62; home-team lead +4.98; TB 23.80, CLE 18.82. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      GB @ NYJGB by 12.0 pointsGB 29, NYJ 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      GB 28.8, NYJ 16.9

                                                                                      45.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.71; home-team lead -11.97; NYJ 16.87, GB 28.84. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIN @ CHICHI by 2.6 pointsMIN 21, CHI 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIN 21.3, CHI 23.8

                                                                                      45.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.09; home-team lead +2.56; CHI 23.82, MIN 21.27. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NO @ BALBAL by 9.6 pointsNO 17, BAL 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NO 17.4, BAL 27.0

                                                                                      44.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.44; home-team lead +9.62; BAL 27.03, NO 17.41. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PHI @ TENPHI by 10.8 pointsPHI 27, TEN 16
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PHI 26.9, TEN 16.2

                                                                                      43.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.12; home-team lead -10.78; TEN 16.17, PHI 26.95. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PIT @ NENE by 6.0 pointsPIT 20, NE 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PIT 20.4, NE 26.4

                                                                                      46.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.88; home-team lead +5.98; NE 26.43, PIT 20.45. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      JAX @ DENDEN by less than 0.1 pointAbout 22 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      JAX 22.4, DEN 22.4

                                                                                      44.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.76; home-team lead +0.00; DEN 22.38, JAX 22.38. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LV @ LACLAC by 10.7 pointsLV 15, LAC 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LV 15.0, LAC 25.7

                                                                                      40.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.62; home-team lead +10.69; LAC 25.66, LV 14.96. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIA @ SFSF by 7.6 pointsMIA 19, SF 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIA 19.4, SF 27.0

                                                                                      46.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.44; home-team lead +7.58; SF 27.01, MIA 19.43. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SEA @ ARISEA by 11.8 pointsSEA 30, ARI 18
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SEA 29.7, ARI 17.9

                                                                                      47.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.59; home-team lead -11.81; ARI 17.89, SEA 29.70. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      WAS @ DALDAL by 2.4 pointsWAS 25, DAL 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      WAS 25.1, DAL 27.5

                                                                                      52.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 52.62; home-team lead +2.39; DAL 27.50, WAS 25.11. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      IND @ KCKC by 3.7 pointsIND 21, KC 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      IND 21.2, KC 24.9

                                                                                      46.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.12; home-team lead +3.68; KC 24.90, IND 21.22. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYG @ LARLAR by 9.9 pointsNYG 20, LAR 30
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYG 19.8, LAR 29.7

                                                                                      49.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.53; home-team lead +9.86; LAR 29.69, NYG 19.84. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 3 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      ATL @ GBGB by 3.7 pointsATL 20, GB 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ATL 20.3, GB 24.0

                                                                                      44.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.26; home-team lead +3.69; GB 23.98, ATL 20.29. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CAR @ CLECLE by 1.2 pointsCAR 19, CLE 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CAR 19.3, CLE 20.4

                                                                                      39.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 39.68; home-team lead +1.16; CLE 20.42, CAR 19.26. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CIN @ PITPIT by 5.7 pointsCIN 22, PIT 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CIN 22.0, PIT 27.7

                                                                                      49.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.71; home-team lead +5.74; PIT 27.72, CIN 21.98. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      HOU @ INDHOU by 3.5 pointsHOU 25, IND 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      HOU 24.9, IND 21.5

                                                                                      46.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.38; home-team lead -3.45; IND 21.46, HOU 24.92. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      KC @ MIAMIA by 0.4 pointsKC 21, MIA 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      KC 21.3, MIA 21.7

                                                                                      43.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.97; home-team lead +0.40; MIA 21.69, KC 21.28. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAC @ BUFBUF by 4.9 pointsLAC 20, BUF 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAC 20.4, BUF 25.3

                                                                                      45.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.71; home-team lead +4.94; BUF 25.32, LAC 20.38. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NE @ JAXNE by less than 0.1 pointAbout 24 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NE 23.9, JAX 23.8

                                                                                      47.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.65; home-team lead -0.09; JAX 23.78, NE 23.87. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYJ @ DETDET by 16.0 pointsNYJ 17, DET 33
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYJ 17.0, DET 32.9

                                                                                      49.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.91; home-team lead +15.97; DET 32.94, NYJ 16.97. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SEA @ WASSEA by 9.3 pointsSEA 28, WAS 19
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SEA 27.9, WAS 18.6

                                                                                      46.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.53; home-team lead -9.26; WAS 18.63, SEA 27.90. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TEN @ NYGNYG by 9.8 pointsTEN 18, NYG 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TEN 18.4, NYG 28.2

                                                                                      46.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.53; home-team lead +9.82; NYG 28.17, TEN 18.36. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ARI @ SFSF by 12.8 pointsARI 18, SF 31
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ARI 17.9, SF 30.7

                                                                                      48.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.56; home-team lead +12.83; SF 30.69, ARI 17.86. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIN @ TBMIN by 0.7 pointsMIN 22, TB 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIN 21.9, TB 21.3

                                                                                      43.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.18; home-team lead -0.66; TB 21.26, MIN 21.92. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BAL @ DALBAL by 9.9 pointsBAL 31, DAL 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BAL 31.5, DAL 21.6

                                                                                      53.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 53.06; home-team lead -9.93; DAL 21.57, BAL 31.49. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LV @ NONO by 6.5 pointsLV 17, NO 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LV 16.8, NO 23.3

                                                                                      40.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.06; home-team lead +6.51; NO 23.28, LV 16.78. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAR @ DENLAR by 1.4 pointsLAR 24, DEN 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAR 23.9, DEN 22.5

                                                                                      46.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.35; home-team lead -1.37; DEN 22.49, LAR 23.86. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PHI @ CHIPHI by 0.3 pointsAbout 23 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PHI 23.1, CHI 22.8

                                                                                      45.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.88; home-team lead -0.27; CHI 22.81, PHI 23.07. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 4 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      PIT @ CLEPIT by 6.6 pointsPIT 25, CLE 18
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PIT 24.5, CLE 17.9

                                                                                      42.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.41; home-team lead -6.61; CLE 17.90, PIT 24.51. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      IND @ WASIND by 3.4 pointsIND 26, WAS 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      IND 26.5, WAS 23.1

                                                                                      49.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.56; home-team lead -3.39; WAS 23.09, IND 26.47. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ARI @ NYGNYG by 7.3 pointsARI 21, NYG 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ARI 20.8, NYG 28.1

                                                                                      48.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.91; home-team lead +7.34; NYG 28.13, ARI 20.78. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DAL @ HOUHOU by 8.9 pointsDAL 20, HOU 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DAL 20.3, HOU 29.2

                                                                                      49.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.44; home-team lead +8.86; HOU 29.15, DAL 20.29. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      GB @ TBGB by 1.7 pointsGB 24, TB 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      GB 23.5, TB 21.8

                                                                                      45.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.35; home-team lead -1.70; TB 21.83, GB 23.53. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      JAX @ CINJAX by 4.4 pointsJAX 27, CIN 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      JAX 27.4, CIN 23.1

                                                                                      50.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.47; home-team lead -4.36; CIN 23.06, JAX 27.41. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAR @ PHILAR by 1.9 pointsLAR 24, PHI 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAR 24.0, PHI 22.1

                                                                                      46.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.12; home-team lead -1.86; PHI 22.13, LAR 23.99. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NE @ BUFNE by 0.8 pointsNE 25, BUF 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NE 24.7, BUF 24.0

                                                                                      48.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.71; home-team lead -0.77; BUF 23.97, NE 24.74. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYJ @ CHICHI by 15.4 pointsNYJ 17, CHI 32
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYJ 16.7, CHI 32.1

                                                                                      48.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.79; home-team lead +15.39; CHI 32.09, NYJ 16.70. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TEN @ BALBAL by 16.3 pointsTEN 15, BAL 31
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TEN 15.1, BAL 31.4

                                                                                      46.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.59; home-team lead +16.29; BAL 31.44, TEN 15.15. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIA @ MINMIN by 3.4 pointsMIA 20, MIN 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIA 19.6, MIN 23.0

                                                                                      42.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.59; home-team lead +3.39; MIN 22.99, MIA 19.60. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DEN @ SFSF by 2.5 pointsDEN 21, SF 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DEN 21.1, SF 23.6

                                                                                      44.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.71; home-team lead +2.54; SF 23.63, DEN 21.08. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      KC @ LVKC by 5.7 pointsKC 23, LV 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      KC 22.9, LV 17.2

                                                                                      40.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.09; home-team lead -5.74; LV 17.17, KC 22.91. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAC @ SEASEA by 6.7 pointsLAC 18, SEA 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAC 18.5, SEA 25.1

                                                                                      43.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.62; home-team lead +6.65; SEA 25.14, LAC 18.48. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DET @ CARDET by 4.4 pointsDET 26, CAR 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DET 25.5, CAR 21.1

                                                                                      46.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.62; home-team lead -4.39; CAR 21.11, DET 25.50. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ATL @ NOATL by 0.4 pointsAbout 21 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ATL 21.4, NO 21.0

                                                                                      42.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.44; home-team lead -0.37; NO 21.03, ATL 21.41. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 5 15 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      TB @ DALTB by 0.1 pointsAbout 26 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TB 26.1, DAL 26.0

                                                                                      52.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 52.15; home-team lead -0.13; DAL 26.01, TB 26.14. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PHI @ JAXJAX by 3.7 pointsPHI 20, JAX 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PHI 20.4, JAX 24.1

                                                                                      44.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.53; home-team lead +3.71; JAX 24.12, PHI 20.41. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CIN @ MIAMIA by 1.4 pointsCIN 24, MIA 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CIN 24.0, MIA 25.4

                                                                                      49.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.32; home-team lead +1.39; MIA 25.36, CIN 23.97. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CLE @ NYJCLE by 5.8 pointsCLE 24, NYJ 19
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CLE 24.4, NYJ 18.6

                                                                                      43.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.97; home-team lead -5.79; NYJ 18.59, CLE 24.38. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      HOU @ TENHOU by 10.8 pointsHOU 27, TEN 16
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      HOU 26.9, TEN 16.1

                                                                                      43.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.97; home-team lead -10.81; TEN 16.08, HOU 26.89. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      IND @ PITPIT by 7.0 pointsIND 21, PIT 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      IND 20.9, PIT 28.0

                                                                                      48.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.88; home-team lead +7.03; PIT 27.96, IND 20.93. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LV @ NENE by 16.2 pointsLV 14, NE 30
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LV 13.7, NE 29.9

                                                                                      43.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.62; home-team lead +16.15; NE 29.89, LV 13.73. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIN @ NOMIN by 1.4 pointsMIN 21, NO 19
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIN 20.8, NO 19.4

                                                                                      40.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.18; home-team lead -1.37; NO 19.40, MIN 20.77. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYG @ WASNYG by 1.6 pointsNYG 25, WAS 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYG 24.8, WAS 23.1

                                                                                      47.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.85; home-team lead -1.65; WAS 23.10, NYG 24.75. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DEN @ LACDEN by 0.2 pointsAbout 21 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DEN 21.0, LAC 20.8

                                                                                      41.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.76; home-team lead -0.24; LAC 20.76, DEN 21.00. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CHI @ GBGB by 1.7 pointsCHI 23, GB 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CHI 22.8, GB 24.5

                                                                                      47.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.26; home-team lead +1.71; GB 24.49, CHI 22.78. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DET @ ARIDET by 6.5 pointsDET 29, ARI 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DET 28.8, ARI 22.3

                                                                                      51.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 51.09; home-team lead -6.47; ARI 22.31, DET 28.78. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SF @ SEASEA by 3.9 pointsSF 21, SEA 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SF 21.3, SEA 25.2

                                                                                      46.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.56; home-team lead +3.87; SEA 25.21, SF 21.35. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BAL @ ATLBAL by 4.4 pointsBAL 25, ATL 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BAL 25.4, ATL 21.0

                                                                                      46.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.35; home-team lead -4.36; ATL 20.99, BAL 25.36. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BUF @ LARLAR by 4.0 pointsBUF 23, LAR 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BUF 23.2, LAR 27.1

                                                                                      50.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.29; home-team lead +3.96; LAR 27.13, BUF 23.17. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 6 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      SEA @ DENSEA by 1.2 pointsSEA 22, DEN 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SEA 22.5, DEN 21.3

                                                                                      43.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.74; home-team lead -1.20; DEN 21.27, SEA 22.47. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      HOU @ JAXJAX by 1.1 pointsHOU 22, JAX 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      HOU 21.6, JAX 22.8

                                                                                      44.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.38; home-team lead +1.14; JAX 22.76, HOU 21.62. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BAL @ CLEBAL by 8.8 pointsBAL 26, CLE 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BAL 26.1, CLE 17.4

                                                                                      43.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.53; home-team lead -8.76; CLE 17.38, BAL 26.15. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CAR @ PHIPHI by 9.0 pointsCAR 16, PHI 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CAR 16.0, PHI 25.0

                                                                                      41.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.03; home-team lead +9.04; PHI 25.04, CAR 15.99. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CHI @ ATLCHI by 0.2 pointsAbout 24 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CHI 23.8, ATL 23.6

                                                                                      47.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.35; home-team lead -0.24; ATL 23.56, CHI 23.80. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NO @ NYGNYG by 3.2 pointsNO 21, NYG 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NO 20.6, NYG 23.8

                                                                                      44.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.38; home-team lead +3.23; NYG 23.80, NO 20.58. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYJ @ NENE by 21.3 pointsNYJ 13, NE 34
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYJ 13.1, NE 34.4

                                                                                      47.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.44; home-team lead +21.28; NE 34.36, NYJ 13.08. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PIT @ TBPIT by 3.1 pointsPIT 25, TB 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PIT 24.7, TB 21.6

                                                                                      46.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.32; home-team lead -3.12; TB 21.60, PIT 24.72. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TEN @ INDIND by 9.1 pointsTEN 20, IND 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TEN 19.6, IND 28.7

                                                                                      48.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.24; home-team lead +9.10; IND 28.67, TEN 19.57. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ARI @ LARLAR by 15.1 pointsARI 18, LAR 33
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ARI 17.5, LAR 32.7

                                                                                      50.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.21; home-team lead +15.13; LAR 32.67, ARI 17.54. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BUF @ LVBUF by 10.1 pointsBUF 27, LV 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BUF 27.4, LV 17.3

                                                                                      44.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.68; home-team lead -10.09; LV 17.30, BUF 27.38. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAC @ KCKC by 0.8 pointsLAC 20, KC 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAC 20.1, KC 21.0

                                                                                      41.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.12; home-team lead +0.84; KC 20.98, LAC 20.14. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DAL @ GBGB by 6.5 pointsDAL 22, GB 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DAL 22.2, GB 28.8

                                                                                      51.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.97; home-team lead +6.55; GB 28.76, DAL 22.21. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      WAS @ SFSF by 10.6 pointsWAS 18, SF 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      WAS 18.4, SF 29.1

                                                                                      47.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.50; home-team lead +10.61; SF 29.05, WAS 18.45. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 7 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      NE @ CHINE by 4.1 pointsNE 27, CHI 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NE 26.5, CHI 22.5

                                                                                      49.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.00; home-team lead -4.07; CHI 22.47, NE 26.53. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PIT @ NOPIT by 6.5 pointsPIT 25, NO 18
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PIT 24.9, NO 18.4

                                                                                      43.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.32; home-team lead -6.53; NO 18.40, PIT 24.93. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CIN @ BALBAL by 7.3 pointsCIN 22, BAL 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CIN 21.8, BAL 29.1

                                                                                      50.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.82; home-team lead +7.31; BAL 29.07, CIN 21.75. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CLE @ TENCLE by 2.3 pointsCLE 22, TEN 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CLE 22.0, TEN 19.7

                                                                                      41.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.76; home-team lead -2.32; TEN 19.72, CLE 22.04. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      IND @ MINMIN by 4.7 pointsIND 21, MIN 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      IND 20.5, MIN 25.2

                                                                                      45.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.74; home-team lead +4.65; MIN 25.19, IND 20.54. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIA @ NYJMIA by 10.1 pointsMIA 28, NYJ 18
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIA 28.2, NYJ 18.1

                                                                                      46.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.29; home-team lead -10.11; NYJ 18.09, MIA 28.20. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYG @ HOUHOU by 6.1 pointsNYG 19, HOU 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYG 19.3, HOU 25.4

                                                                                      44.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.68; home-team lead +6.13; HOU 25.40, NYG 19.27. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SF @ ATLSF by 3.3 pointsSF 25, ATL 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SF 24.6, ATL 21.3

                                                                                      45.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.94; home-team lead -3.29; ATL 21.33, SF 24.62. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TB @ CARTB by 0.9 pointsTB 22, CAR 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TB 22.3, CAR 21.3

                                                                                      43.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.59; home-team lead -0.93; CAR 21.33, TB 22.26. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DEN @ ARIDEN by 8.8 pointsDEN 27, ARI 18
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DEN 27.3, ARI 18.5

                                                                                      45.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.74; home-team lead -8.80; ARI 18.47, DEN 27.27. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      GB @ DETDET by 2.6 pointsGB 23, DET 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      GB 22.9, DET 25.5

                                                                                      48.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.38; home-team lead +2.59; DET 25.48, GB 22.90. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAR @ LVLAR by 12.4 pointsLAR 29, LV 16
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAR 28.8, LV 16.4

                                                                                      45.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.21; home-team lead -12.39; LV 16.41, LAR 28.80. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      KC @ SEASEA by 8.4 pointsKC 17, SEA 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      KC 17.4, SEA 25.7

                                                                                      43.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.09; home-team lead +8.38; SEA 25.73, KC 17.35. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DAL @ PHIPHI by 8.8 pointsDAL 20, PHI 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DAL 20.4, PHI 29.2

                                                                                      49.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.59; home-team lead +8.83; PHI 29.21, DAL 20.38. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 8 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      CAR @ GBGB by 7.6 pointsCAR 17, GB 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CAR 17.4, GB 25.0

                                                                                      42.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.41; home-team lead +7.59; GB 25.00, CAR 17.41. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ARI @ DALDAL by 4.5 pointsARI 25, DAL 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ARI 24.6, DAL 29.1

                                                                                      53.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 53.68; home-team lead +4.53; DAL 29.10, ARI 24.57. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ATL @ TBTB by 0.5 pointsATL 22, TB 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ATL 22.5, TB 23.0

                                                                                      45.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.44; home-team lead +0.50; TB 22.97, ATL 22.47. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BAL @ BUFBUF by 1.6 pointsBAL 24, BUF 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BAL 23.7, BUF 25.3

                                                                                      49.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.06; home-team lead +1.57; BUF 25.31, BAL 23.74. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CLE @ PITPIT by 10.1 pointsCLE 16, PIT 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CLE 16.2, PIT 26.2

                                                                                      42.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.41; home-team lead +10.09; PIT 26.25, CLE 16.16. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      IND @ JAXJAX by 9.4 pointsIND 20, JAX 30
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      IND 20.1, JAX 29.5

                                                                                      49.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.65; home-team lead +9.45; JAX 29.55, IND 20.10. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LV @ NYJLV by 3.4 pointsLV 23, NYJ 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LV 23.4, NYJ 20.0

                                                                                      43.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.41; home-team lead -3.39; NYJ 20.01, LV 23.40. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIN @ DETDET by 2.8 pointsMIN 22, DET 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIN 21.7, DET 24.5

                                                                                      46.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.21; home-team lead +2.80; DET 24.50, MIN 21.70. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TEN @ CINCIN by 10.1 pointsTEN 19, CIN 30
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TEN 19.5, CIN 29.6

                                                                                      49.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.06; home-team lead +10.13; CIN 29.60, TEN 19.46. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAC @ LARLAR by 6.3 pointsLAC 20, LAR 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAC 20.0, LAR 26.3

                                                                                      46.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.24; home-team lead +6.33; LAR 26.28, LAC 19.95. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      KC @ DENDEN by 5.2 pointsKC 18, DEN 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      KC 18.0, DEN 23.2

                                                                                      41.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.24; home-team lead +5.19; DEN 23.22, KC 18.02. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NE @ MIANE by 6.8 pointsNE 27, MIA 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NE 26.6, MIA 19.9

                                                                                      46.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.50; home-team lead -6.78; MIA 19.86, NE 26.64. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PHI @ WASPHI by 5.4 pointsPHI 25, WAS 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PHI 24.9, WAS 19.5

                                                                                      44.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.44; home-team lead -5.43; WAS 19.51, PHI 24.93. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CHI @ SEASEA by 6.7 pointsCHI 21, SEA 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CHI 20.6, SEA 27.4

                                                                                      48.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.97; home-team lead +6.75; SEA 27.36, CHI 20.61. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 9 15 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      JAX @ BALBAL by 1.8 pointsJAX 23, BAL 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      JAX 23.1, BAL 24.9

                                                                                      48.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.00; home-team lead +1.80; BAL 24.90, JAX 23.10. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CIN @ ATLCIN by 0.7 pointsCIN 25, ATL 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CIN 24.7, ATL 24.1

                                                                                      48.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.82; home-team lead -0.66; ATL 24.08, CIN 24.74. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CLE @ NONO by 4.9 pointsCLE 17, NO 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CLE 17.3, NO 22.3

                                                                                      39.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 39.62; home-team lead +4.94; NO 22.28, CLE 17.34. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DAL @ INDIND by 3.7 pointsDAL 26, IND 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DAL 25.5, IND 29.2

                                                                                      54.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 54.71; home-team lead +3.67; IND 29.19, DAL 25.52. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DEN @ CARDEN by 6.2 pointsDEN 24, CAR 18
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DEN 23.7, CAR 17.5

                                                                                      41.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.26; home-team lead -6.22; CAR 17.52, DEN 23.74. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DET @ MIADET by 1.0 pointsDET 25, MIA 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DET 25.0, MIA 24.0

                                                                                      49.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.97; home-team lead -0.97; MIA 24.00, DET 24.97. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAR @ WASLAR by 9.5 pointsLAR 29, WAS 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAR 29.3, WAS 19.8

                                                                                      49.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.15; home-team lead -9.52; WAS 19.81, LAR 29.33. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYG @ PHIPHI by 5.5 pointsNYG 20, PHI 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYG 19.7, PHI 25.2

                                                                                      44.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.82; home-team lead +5.51; PHI 25.17, NYG 19.65. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYJ @ KCKC by 14.3 pointsNYJ 15, KC 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYJ 14.8, KC 29.1

                                                                                      43.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.91; home-team lead +14.34; KC 29.13, NYJ 14.78. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      HOU @ LACHOU by 0.5 pointsHOU 21, LAC 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      HOU 21.0, LAC 20.4

                                                                                      41.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.38; home-team lead -0.53; LAC 20.42, HOU 20.96. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LV @ SFSF by 14.1 pointsLV 15, SF 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LV 14.7, SF 28.8

                                                                                      43.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.56; home-team lead +14.06; SF 28.81, LV 14.75. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ARI @ SEASEA by 14.9 pointsARI 16, SEA 31
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ARI 16.4, SEA 31.2

                                                                                      47.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.59; home-team lead +14.87; SEA 31.23, ARI 16.36. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      GB @ NENE by 7.3 pointsGB 19, NE 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      GB 19.3, NE 26.6

                                                                                      45.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.91; home-team lead +7.32; NE 26.62, GB 19.30. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TB @ CHICHI by 4.9 pointsTB 22, CHI 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TB 21.8, CHI 26.7

                                                                                      48.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.44; home-team lead +4.87; CHI 26.66, TB 21.79. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BUF @ MINBUF by 2.4 pointsBUF 24, MIN 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BUF 23.6, MIN 21.2

                                                                                      44.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.79; home-team lead -2.38; MIN 21.21, BUF 23.58. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 10 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      WAS @ NYGNYG by 5.1 pointsWAS 21, NYG 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      WAS 21.4, NYG 26.5

                                                                                      47.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.85; home-team lead +5.12; NYG 26.49, WAS 21.36. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NE @ DETNE by 6.4 pointsNE 28, DET 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NE 28.2, DET 21.9

                                                                                      50.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.12; home-team lead -6.36; DET 21.88, NE 28.24. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BUF @ NYJBUF by 15.2 pointsBUF 32, NYJ 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BUF 31.9, NYJ 16.6

                                                                                      48.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.50; home-team lead -15.21; NYJ 16.64, BUF 31.86. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CAR @ NONO by 3.8 pointsCAR 18, NO 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CAR 18.4, NO 22.2

                                                                                      40.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.59; home-team lead +3.78; NO 22.18, CAR 18.41. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      HOU @ CLEHOU by 6.8 pointsHOU 23, CLE 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      HOU 23.3, CLE 16.6

                                                                                      39.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 39.91; home-team lead -6.76; CLE 16.58, HOU 23.34. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      JAX @ TENJAX by 12.4 pointsJAX 29, TEN 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      JAX 29.3, TEN 16.9

                                                                                      46.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.24; home-team lead -12.42; TEN 16.91, JAX 29.33. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      KC @ ATLATL by 0.9 pointsKC 21, ATL 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      KC 20.8, ATL 21.7

                                                                                      42.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.47; home-team lead +0.89; ATL 21.68, KC 20.79. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIA @ INDIND by 1.0 pointsMIA 24, IND 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIA 23.7, IND 24.8

                                                                                      48.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.50; home-team lead +1.05; IND 24.77, MIA 23.73. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIN @ GBGB by 2.6 pointsMIN 20, GB 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIN 19.7, GB 22.3

                                                                                      42.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.00; home-team lead +2.61; GB 22.31, MIN 19.69. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAR @ ARILAR by 11.7 pointsLAR 31, ARI 19
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAR 31.0, ARI 19.2

                                                                                      50.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.21; home-team lead -11.74; ARI 19.23, LAR 30.97. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SEA @ LVSEA by 12.1 pointsSEA 27, LV 15
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SEA 27.4, LV 15.2

                                                                                      42.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.59; home-team lead -12.13; LV 15.23, SEA 27.36. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SF @ DALSF by 6.5 pointsSF 30, DAL 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SF 29.6, DAL 23.1

                                                                                      52.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 52.65; home-team lead -6.48; DAL 23.08, SF 29.56. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PIT @ CINPIT by 2.8 pointsPIT 26, CIN 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PIT 26.3, CIN 23.4

                                                                                      49.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.71; home-team lead -2.85; CIN 23.43, PIT 26.28. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAC @ BALBAL by 5.7 pointsLAC 20, BAL 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAC 19.7, BAL 25.3

                                                                                      45.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.00; home-team lead +5.68; BAL 25.34, LAC 19.66. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 11 13 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      IND @ HOUHOU by 6.9 pointsIND 20, HOU 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      IND 19.7, HOU 26.7

                                                                                      46.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.38; home-team lead +6.93; HOU 26.66, IND 19.73. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ARI @ KCKC by 8.6 pointsARI 18, KC 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ARI 18.3, KC 26.8

                                                                                      45.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.09; home-team lead +8.56; KC 26.83, ARI 18.26. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BAL @ CARBAL by 8.1 pointsBAL 26, CAR 18
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BAL 26.3, CAR 18.2

                                                                                      44.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.50; home-team lead -8.10; CAR 18.20, BAL 26.30. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      JAX @ NYGJAX by 4.3 pointsJAX 26, NYG 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      JAX 26.1, NYG 21.8

                                                                                      47.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.94; home-team lead -4.35; NYG 21.80, JAX 26.14. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIA @ BUFBUF by 7.5 pointsMIA 20, BUF 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIA 20.0, BUF 27.5

                                                                                      47.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.56; home-team lead +7.50; BUF 27.53, MIA 20.03. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NO @ CHICHI by 6.2 pointsNO 20, CHI 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NO 19.6, CHI 25.8

                                                                                      45.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.44; home-team lead +6.16; CHI 25.80, NO 19.64. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TB @ DETDET by 4.6 pointsTB 22, DET 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TB 22.5, DET 27.1

                                                                                      49.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.56; home-team lead +4.62; DET 27.09, TB 22.47. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TEN @ DALDAL by 7.2 pointsTEN 22, DAL 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TEN 22.1, DAL 29.2

                                                                                      51.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 51.29; home-team lead +7.16; DAL 29.23, TEN 22.07. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYJ @ LACLAC by 15.7 pointsNYJ 14, LAC 30
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYJ 14.4, LAC 30.1

                                                                                      44.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.44; home-team lead +15.74; LAC 30.09, NYJ 14.35. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LV @ DENDEN by 13.3 pointsLV 14, DEN 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LV 13.7, DEN 27.0

                                                                                      40.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.74; home-team lead +13.25; DEN 26.99, LV 13.74. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PIT @ PHIPHI by 2.4 pointsPIT 21, PHI 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PIT 20.7, PHI 23.1

                                                                                      43.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.76; home-team lead +2.43; PHI 23.10, PIT 20.67. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIN @ SFSF by 3.1 pointsMIN 20, SF 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIN 20.3, SF 23.4

                                                                                      43.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.68; home-team lead +3.15; SF 23.41, MIN 20.26. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CIN @ WASCIN by 1.6 pointsCIN 26, WAS 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CIN 26.0, WAS 24.4

                                                                                      50.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.38; home-team lead -1.64; WAS 24.37, CIN 26.01. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 12 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      GB @ LARLAR by 7.3 pointsGB 20, LAR 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      GB 20.1, LAR 27.4

                                                                                      47.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.50; home-team lead +7.28; LAR 27.39, GB 20.11. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CHI @ DETDET by 2.0 pointsCHI 25, DET 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CHI 24.7, DET 26.7

                                                                                      51.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 51.47; home-team lead +1.98; DET 26.73, CHI 24.74. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PHI @ DALPHI by 5.4 pointsPHI 27, DAL 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PHI 27.5, DAL 22.1

                                                                                      49.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.59; home-team lead -5.35; DAL 22.12, PHI 27.47. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      KC @ BUFBUF by 6.2 pointsKC 20, BUF 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      KC 19.5, BUF 25.7

                                                                                      45.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.18; home-team lead +6.16; BUF 25.67, KC 19.51. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DEN @ PITPIT by 1.3 pointsDEN 21, PIT 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DEN 21.3, PIT 22.7

                                                                                      44.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.00; home-team lead +1.30; PIT 22.65, DEN 21.35. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ATL @ MINMIN by 2.3 pointsATL 20, MIN 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ATL 19.9, MIN 22.2

                                                                                      42.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.09; home-team lead +2.32; MIN 22.20, ATL 19.88. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BAL @ HOUBAL by less than 0.1 pointAbout 22 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BAL 22.4, HOU 22.4

                                                                                      44.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.74; home-team lead -0.02; HOU 22.36, BAL 22.38. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LV @ CLECLE by 4.5 pointsLV 17, CLE 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LV 17.3, CLE 21.8

                                                                                      39.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 39.15; home-team lead +4.47; CLE 21.81, LV 17.34. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NO @ CINCIN by 3.4 pointsNO 22, CIN 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NO 21.8, CIN 25.1

                                                                                      46.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.91; home-team lead +3.38; CIN 25.15, NO 21.77. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYG @ INDIND by 1.2 pointsNYG 24, IND 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYG 24.4, IND 25.6

                                                                                      49.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.94; home-team lead +1.18; IND 25.56, NYG 24.38. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYJ @ MIAMIA by 13.0 pointsNYJ 17, MIA 30
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYJ 16.6, MIA 29.7

                                                                                      46.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.29; home-team lead +13.01; MIA 29.65, NYJ 16.64. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TEN @ JAXJAX by 16.2 pointsTEN 15, JAX 31
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TEN 15.0, JAX 31.2

                                                                                      46.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.24; home-team lead +16.23; JAX 31.23, TEN 15.00. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SEA @ SFSEA by 1.0 pointsSEA 24, SF 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SEA 23.8, SF 22.8

                                                                                      46.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.56; home-team lead -0.97; SF 22.79, SEA 23.76. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      WAS @ ARIWAS by 0.4 pointsAbout 24 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      WAS 24.5, ARI 24.1

                                                                                      48.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.53; home-team lead -0.40; ARI 24.06, WAS 24.46. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NE @ LACNE by 4.3 pointsNE 24, LAC 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NE 24.5, LAC 20.2

                                                                                      44.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.65; home-team lead -4.30; LAC 20.17, NE 24.48. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CAR @ TBTB by 4.4 pointsCAR 20, TB 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CAR 19.6, TB 24.0

                                                                                      43.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.59; home-team lead +4.40; TB 24.00, CAR 19.59. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 13 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      KC @ LARLAR by 8.5 pointsKC 19, LAR 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      KC 18.6, LAR 27.1

                                                                                      45.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.71; home-team lead +8.47; LAR 27.09, KC 18.62. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CIN @ CLECIN by 2.6 pointsCIN 24, CLE 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CIN 24.3, CLE 21.7

                                                                                      46.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.00; home-team lead -2.61; CLE 21.70, CIN 24.30. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DET @ ATLDET by 0.7 pointsDET 25, ATL 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DET 24.6, ATL 23.9

                                                                                      48.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.47; home-team lead -0.73; ATL 23.87, DET 24.60. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      GB @ NOGB by 2.4 pointsGB 22, NO 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      GB 22.4, NO 20.0

                                                                                      42.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.35; home-team lead -2.41; NO 19.97, GB 22.38. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      JAX @ CHIJAX by 2.0 pointsJAX 25, CHI 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      JAX 25.5, CHI 23.5

                                                                                      49.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.00; home-team lead -1.99; CHI 23.50, JAX 25.50. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAC @ TBLAC by 1.9 pointsLAC 23, TB 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAC 23.0, TB 21.1

                                                                                      44.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.09; home-team lead -1.91; TB 21.09, LAC 23.00. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SF @ NYGSF by 3.7 pointsSF 26, NYG 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SF 25.8, NYG 22.1

                                                                                      47.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.88; home-team lead -3.75; NYG 22.07, SF 25.82. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      WAS @ TENWAS by 3.0 pointsWAS 25, TEN 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      WAS 24.6, TEN 21.6

                                                                                      46.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.15; home-team lead -3.04; TEN 21.56, WAS 24.59. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIA @ DENDEN by 6.7 pointsMIA 18, DEN 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIA 18.5, DEN 25.2

                                                                                      43.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.62; home-team lead +6.69; DEN 25.16, MIA 18.46. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PHI @ ARIPHI by 8.5 pointsPHI 27, ARI 19
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PHI 27.0, ARI 18.5

                                                                                      45.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.50; home-team lead -8.47; ARI 18.51, PHI 26.99. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BUF @ NENE by 4.0 pointsBUF 22, NE 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BUF 22.4, NE 26.4

                                                                                      48.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.71; home-team lead +4.00; NE 26.35, BUF 22.35. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CAR @ MINMIN by 6.9 pointsCAR 17, MIN 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CAR 16.7, MIN 23.6

                                                                                      40.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.24; home-team lead +6.88; MIN 23.56, CAR 16.68. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      HOU @ PITPIT by 1.8 pointsHOU 21, PIT 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      HOU 20.9, PIT 22.7

                                                                                      43.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.62; home-team lead +1.76; PIT 22.69, HOU 20.93. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DAL @ SEASEA by 11.8 pointsDAL 20, SEA 32
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DAL 19.9, SEA 31.8

                                                                                      51.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 51.68; home-team lead +11.84; SEA 31.76, DAL 19.92. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 14 15 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      MIN @ NENE by 8.4 pointsMIN 18, NE 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIN 17.7, NE 26.0

                                                                                      43.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.74; home-team lead +8.36; NE 26.05, MIN 17.69. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ATL @ CLEATL by 2.7 pointsATL 22, CLE 19
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ATL 22.1, CLE 19.4

                                                                                      41.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.53; home-team lead -2.75; CLE 19.39, ATL 22.14. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CHI @ MIACHI by 0.7 pointsAbout 24 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CHI 24.3, MIA 23.6

                                                                                      47.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.85; home-team lead -0.73; MIA 23.56, CHI 24.29. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DEN @ NYJDEN by 13.7 pointsDEN 29, NYJ 15
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DEN 29.2, NYJ 15.4

                                                                                      44.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.56; home-team lead -13.75; NYJ 15.41, DEN 29.15. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      HOU @ WASHOU by 6.0 pointsHOU 25, WAS 19
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      HOU 25.2, WAS 19.1

                                                                                      44.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.29; home-team lead -6.04; WAS 19.13, HOU 25.17. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      IND @ PHIPHI by 6.3 pointsIND 20, PHI 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      IND 20.1, PHI 26.4

                                                                                      46.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.53; home-team lead +6.32; PHI 26.42, IND 20.11. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NO @ CARNO by 0.3 pointsAbout 20 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NO 20.4, CAR 20.1

                                                                                      40.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.59; home-team lead -0.30; CAR 20.14, NO 20.45. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TB @ BALBAL by 9.6 pointsTB 19, BAL 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TB 18.9, BAL 28.5

                                                                                      47.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.44; home-team lead +9.57; BAL 28.51, TB 18.93. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TEN @ DETDET by 12.5 pointsTEN 18, DET 31
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TEN 18.1, DET 30.6

                                                                                      48.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.71; home-team lead +12.49; DET 30.60, TEN 18.11. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAC @ LVLAC by 6.6 pointsLAC 24, LV 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAC 23.6, LV 17.0

                                                                                      40.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.62; home-team lead -6.64; LV 16.99, LAC 23.63. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      KC @ CINCIN by 0.5 pointsKC 23, CIN 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      KC 23.2, CIN 23.7

                                                                                      46.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.94; home-team lead +0.51; CIN 23.72, KC 23.22. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAR @ SFLAR by 0.9 pointsLAR 25, SF 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAR 25.0, SF 24.1

                                                                                      49.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.18; home-team lead -0.90; SF 24.14, LAR 25.04. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYG @ SEASEA by 9.3 pointsNYG 19, SEA 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYG 18.8, SEA 28.1

                                                                                      46.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.91; home-team lead +9.27; SEA 28.09, NYG 18.82. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BUF @ GBBUF by 1.6 pointsBUF 24, GB 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BUF 24.3, GB 22.7

                                                                                      47.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.97; home-team lead -1.58; GB 22.69, BUF 24.28. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PIT @ JAXJAX by 3.8 pointsPIT 22, JAX 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PIT 21.5, JAX 25.4

                                                                                      46.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.88; home-team lead +3.83; JAX 25.35, PIT 21.53. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 15 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      SF @ LACSF by 1.1 pointsSF 23, LAC 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SF 22.8, LAC 21.8

                                                                                      44.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.59; home-team lead -1.05; LAC 21.77, SF 22.82. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SEA @ PHISEA by 1.5 pointsSEA 23, PHI 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SEA 22.5, PHI 21.0

                                                                                      43.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.50; home-team lead -1.52; PHI 20.99, SEA 22.51. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CHI @ BUFBUF by 5.0 pointsCHI 23, BUF 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CHI 22.5, BUF 27.5

                                                                                      50.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.06; home-team lead +5.03; BUF 27.55, CHI 22.51. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ATL @ WASATL by 2.0 pointsATL 24, WAS 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ATL 24.0, WAS 21.9

                                                                                      45.9
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.91; home-team lead -2.02; WAS 21.94, ATL 23.97. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BAL @ PITBAL by 0.5 pointsBAL 24, PIT 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BAL 23.9, PIT 23.4

                                                                                      47.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.24; home-team lead -0.50; PIT 23.37, BAL 23.87. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CIN @ CARCIN by 2.0 pointsCIN 24, CAR 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CIN 24.5, CAR 22.5

                                                                                      47.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.97; home-team lead -2.03; CAR 22.47, CIN 24.50. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CLE @ NYGNYG by 5.8 pointsCLE 19, NYG 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CLE 18.8, NYG 24.7

                                                                                      43.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.47; home-team lead +5.85; NYG 24.66, CLE 18.81. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      IND @ TENIND by 5.6 pointsIND 27, TEN 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      IND 26.9, TEN 21.3

                                                                                      48.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.24; home-team lead -5.62; TEN 21.31, IND 26.93. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      JAX @ HOUJAX by 0.1 pointsAbout 22 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      JAX 22.3, HOU 22.1

                                                                                      44.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.38; home-team lead -0.12; HOU 22.13, JAX 22.25. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIA @ GBGB by 4.2 pointsMIA 20, GB 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIA 20.3, GB 24.5

                                                                                      44.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.76; home-team lead +4.18; GB 24.47, MIA 20.29. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NO @ TBTB by 2.4 pointsNO 21, TB 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NO 20.6, TB 22.9

                                                                                      43.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.53; home-team lead +2.36; TB 22.95, NO 20.58. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYJ @ ARIARI by 8.1 pointsNYJ 20, ARI 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYJ 20.2, ARI 28.3

                                                                                      48.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.41; home-team lead +8.09; ARI 28.25, NYJ 20.16. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DAL @ LARLAR by 11.8 pointsDAL 21, LAR 33
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DAL 21.2, LAR 33.1

                                                                                      54.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 54.29; home-team lead +11.85; LAR 33.07, DAL 21.22. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DEN @ LVDEN by 9.2 pointsDEN 25, LV 16
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DEN 25.0, LV 15.8

                                                                                      40.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.74; home-team lead -9.20; LV 15.77, DEN 24.97. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DET @ MINMIN by 0.9 pointsDET 23, MIN 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DET 22.6, MIN 23.6

                                                                                      46.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.21; home-team lead +0.92; MIN 23.57, DET 22.64. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NE @ KCNE by 5.4 pointsNE 25, KC 19
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NE 24.8, KC 19.3

                                                                                      44.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.12; home-team lead -5.45; KC 19.33, NE 24.78. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 16 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      HOU @ PHIPHI by 1.8 pointsHOU 20, PHI 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      HOU 19.7, PHI 21.5

                                                                                      41.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.26; home-team lead +1.79; PHI 21.53, HOU 19.74. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      GB @ CHICHI by 1.8 pointsGB 23, CHI 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      GB 22.7, CHI 24.6

                                                                                      47.3
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.26; home-team lead +1.85; CHI 24.56, GB 22.71. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BUF @ DENDEN by 0.7 pointsAbout 23 points each
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BUF 22.6, DEN 23.3

                                                                                      45.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.82; home-team lead +0.68; DEN 23.25, BUF 22.57. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAR @ SEASEA by 1.6 pointsLAR 23, SEA 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAR 23.3, SEA 24.9

                                                                                      48.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.21; home-team lead +1.56; SEA 24.88, LAR 23.32. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      ARI @ NONO by 5.9 pointsARI 20, NO 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ARI 19.6, NO 25.5

                                                                                      45.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.06; home-team lead +5.85; NO 25.46, ARI 19.60. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CAR @ PITPIT by 9.5 pointsCAR 17, PIT 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CAR 16.9, PIT 26.4

                                                                                      43.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.38; home-team lead +9.51; PIT 26.45, CAR 16.94. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CIN @ INDIND by 0.7 pointsCIN 26, IND 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CIN 25.9, IND 26.6

                                                                                      52.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 52.47; home-team lead +0.70; IND 26.58, CIN 25.89. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CLE @ BALBAL by 12.2 pointsCLE 16, BAL 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CLE 15.6, BAL 27.9

                                                                                      43.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.53; home-team lead +12.24; BAL 27.88, CLE 15.65. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAC @ MIALAC by 1.3 pointsLAC 22, MIA 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAC 22.4, MIA 21.1

                                                                                      43.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.50; home-team lead -1.32; MIA 21.09, LAC 22.41. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NE @ NYJNE by 17.7 pointsNE 33, NYJ 15
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NE 32.6, NYJ 14.9

                                                                                      47.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.44; home-team lead -17.72; NYJ 14.86, NE 32.58. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TB @ ATLATL by 3.0 pointsTB 21, ATL 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TB 21.2, ATL 24.2

                                                                                      45.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.44; home-team lead +2.97; ATL 24.21, TB 21.23. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      WAS @ MINMIN by 6.7 pointsWAS 18, MIN 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      WAS 18.5, MIN 25.2

                                                                                      43.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.65; home-team lead +6.66; MIN 25.15, WAS 18.49. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TEN @ LVLV by 3.6 pointsTEN 19, LV 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TEN 19.3, LV 22.9

                                                                                      42.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.21; home-team lead +3.64; LV 22.92, TEN 19.28. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SF @ KCSF by 2.9 pointsSF 23, KC 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SF 23.5, KC 20.6

                                                                                      44.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.06; home-team lead -2.86; KC 20.60, SF 23.46. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      JAX @ DALJAX by 7.3 pointsJAX 30, DAL 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      JAX 30.0, DAL 22.7

                                                                                      52.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 52.71; home-team lead -7.33; DAL 22.69, JAX 30.02. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYG @ DETDET by 4.3 pointsNYG 23, DET 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYG 23.0, DET 27.4

                                                                                      50.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.41; home-team lead +4.33; DET 27.37, NYG 23.04. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 17 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      BAL @ CINBAL by 4.4 pointsBAL 28, CIN 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BAL 27.6, CIN 23.2

                                                                                      50.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 50.82; home-team lead -4.42; CIN 23.20, BAL 27.62. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      BUF @ MIABUF by 4.2 pointsBUF 26, MIA 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      BUF 25.9, MIA 21.7

                                                                                      47.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.56; home-team lead -4.19; MIA 21.68, BUF 25.87. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DEN @ NENE by 5.1 pointsDEN 20, NE 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DEN 19.9, NE 24.9

                                                                                      44.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.76; home-team lead +5.05; NE 24.91, DEN 19.86. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      IND @ CLEIND by 1.6 pointsIND 23, CLE 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      IND 23.4, CLE 21.8

                                                                                      45.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.18; home-team lead -1.57; CLE 21.80, IND 23.37. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      KC @ LACLAC by 3.2 pointsKC 19, LAC 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      KC 19.0, LAC 22.2

                                                                                      41.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.12; home-team lead +3.21; LAC 22.17, KC 18.95. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAR @ TBLAR by 7.2 pointsLAR 28, TB 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAR 27.9, TB 20.8

                                                                                      48.7
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.68; home-team lead -7.16; TB 20.76, LAR 27.92. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIN @ NYJMIN by 11.2 pointsMIN 27, NYJ 16
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIN 27.4, NYJ 16.2

                                                                                      43.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.53; home-team lead -11.18; NYJ 16.17, MIN 27.36. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NO @ ATLATL by 3.6 pointsNO 19, ATL 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NO 19.4, ATL 23.0

                                                                                      42.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.44; home-team lead +3.60; ATL 23.02, NO 19.42. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYG @ DALNYG by 0.9 pointsNYG 27, DAL 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYG 27.0, DAL 26.0

                                                                                      53.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 53.00; home-team lead -0.91; DAL 26.04, NYG 26.96. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PIT @ TENPIT by 10.7 pointsPIT 28, TEN 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PIT 28.1, TEN 17.4

                                                                                      45.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.47; home-team lead -10.67; TEN 17.40, PIT 28.07. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SEA @ CARSEA by 9.6 pointsSEA 26, CAR 17
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SEA 26.3, CAR 16.8

                                                                                      43.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.12; home-team lead -9.57; CAR 16.77, SEA 26.34. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      WAS @ JAXJAX by 11.5 pointsWAS 18, JAX 30
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      WAS 18.1, JAX 29.5

                                                                                      47.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.56; home-team lead +11.46; JAX 29.51, WAS 18.05. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LV @ ARIARI by 2.4 pointsLV 21, ARI 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LV 21.1, ARI 23.5

                                                                                      44.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.59; home-team lead +2.39; ARI 23.49, LV 21.10. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DET @ CHICHI by 1.7 pointsDET 25, CHI 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DET 24.9, CHI 26.6

                                                                                      51.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 51.47; home-team lead +1.74; CHI 26.61, DET 24.86. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PHI @ SFSF by 2.6 pointsPHI 21, SF 24
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PHI 20.9, SF 23.5

                                                                                      44.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.47; home-team lead +2.62; SF 23.54, PHI 20.93. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      HOU @ GBHOU by 0.4 pointsHOU 22, GB 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      HOU 21.5, GB 21.1

                                                                                      42.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.65; home-team lead -0.41; GB 21.12, HOU 21.53. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      Week 18 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupWho PGO favorsEstimated scoreCombined pointsScheduled kickoffFinal score
                                                                                      ATL @ CARATL by 2.2 pointsATL 22, CAR 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      ATL 22.3, CAR 20.2

                                                                                      42.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.50; home-team lead -2.17; CAR 20.17, ATL 22.33. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CHI @ MINMIN by 0.9 pointsCHI 22, MIN 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CHI 22.1, MIN 23.0

                                                                                      45.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 45.09; home-team lead +0.92; MIN 23.00, CHI 22.08. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      CLE @ CINCIN by 6.3 pointsCLE 20, CIN 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      CLE 19.8, CIN 26.2

                                                                                      46.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.00; home-team lead +6.33; CIN 26.17, CLE 19.83. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DAL @ WASWAS by 1.1 pointsDAL 26, WAS 27
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DAL 25.8, WAS 26.9

                                                                                      52.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 52.62; home-team lead +1.08; WAS 26.85, DAL 25.77. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      DET @ GBGB by 1.4 pointsDET 23, GB 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      DET 23.5, GB 24.9

                                                                                      48.4
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.38; home-team lead +1.38; GB 24.88, DET 23.50. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      JAX @ INDJAX by 5.4 pointsJAX 28, IND 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      JAX 27.5, IND 22.1

                                                                                      49.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 49.65; home-team lead -5.40; IND 22.13, JAX 27.52. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LAC @ DENDEN by 3.7 pointsLAC 19, DEN 23
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LAC 19.0, DEN 22.7

                                                                                      41.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 41.76; home-team lead +3.72; DEN 22.74, LAC 19.02. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      LV @ KCKC by 9.2 pointsLV 15, KC 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      LV 15.4, KC 24.7

                                                                                      40.1
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 40.09; home-team lead +9.22; KC 24.65, LV 15.44. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      MIA @ NENE by 10.0 pointsMIA 18, NE 28
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      MIA 18.2, NE 28.3

                                                                                      46.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 46.50; home-team lead +10.01; NE 28.25, MIA 18.25. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      NYJ @ BUFBUF by 18.8 pointsNYJ 15, BUF 34
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      NYJ 14.9, BUF 33.6

                                                                                      48.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.50; home-team lead +18.77; BUF 33.63, NYJ 14.87. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PHI @ NYGPHI by 2.6 pointsPHI 24, NYG 21
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PHI 23.7, NYG 21.1

                                                                                      44.8
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 44.82; home-team lead -2.62; NYG 21.10, PHI 23.72. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      PIT @ BALBAL by 4.1 pointsPIT 22, BAL 26
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      PIT 21.5, BAL 25.7

                                                                                      47.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 47.24; home-team lead +4.14; BAL 25.69, PIT 21.55. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SEA @ LARLAR by 2.0 pointsSEA 23, LAR 25
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SEA 23.1, LAR 25.1

                                                                                      48.2
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.21; home-team lead +1.99; LAR 25.10, SEA 23.11. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      SF @ ARISF by 9.4 pointsSF 29, ARI 20
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      SF 29.0, ARI 19.6

                                                                                      48.6
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 48.56; home-team lead -9.35; ARI 19.60, SF 28.96. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TB @ NONO by 1.1 pointsTB 21, NO 22
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TB 21.2, NO 22.3

                                                                                      43.5
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 43.53; home-team lead +1.11; NO 22.32, TB 21.21. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      TEN @ HOUHOU by 14.2 pointsTEN 14, HOU 29
                                                                                      Model averages

                                                                                      TEN 14.4, HOU 28.6

                                                                                      43.0
                                                                                      Why this forecast
                                                                                      Full calculation and saved version

                                                                                      Saved score calculation: split the combined-points estimate in half, then give half the projected lead to the favored team and subtract it from the other team. Home = (combined points + home-team lead) / 2; away = (combined points - home-team lead) / 2.

                                                                                      Combined points 42.97; home-team lead +14.21; HOU 28.59, TEN 14.38. Numbers here are rounded for reading; the saved calculation uses full precision.

                                                                                      Saved edition: See this archive’s saved method. Experimental / HOLD; this explains the calculation, not certainty about the result.

                                                                                      32-team active-roster ratings and QB assumptions
                                                                                      RankTeamPGO ratingRating scaleExpected QB1Old QB-selector comparison
                                                                                      1New England Patriots+7.2Drake MayeDrake Maye (+7.1)
                                                                                      2Los Angeles Rams+6.9Matthew StaffordMatthew Stafford (+6.8)
                                                                                      3Seattle Seahawks+6.7Sam DarnoldJalen Milroe (+6.5)
                                                                                      4Baltimore Ravens+5.5Lamar JacksonLamar Jackson (+5.4)
                                                                                      5Jacksonville Jaguars+5.4Trevor LawrenceTrevor Lawrence (+5.3)
                                                                                      6Buffalo Bills+4.7Josh AllenJosh Allen (+4.6)
                                                                                      7San Francisco 49ers+4.5Brock PurdyBrock Purdy (+4.5)
                                                                                      8Denver Broncos+3.7Bo NixBo Nix (+3.6)
                                                                                      9Houston Texans+3.4C.J. StroudC.J. Stroud (+3.4)
                                                                                      10Philadelphia Eagles+3.4Jalen HurtsJalen Hurts (+3.3)
                                                                                      11Pittsburgh Steelers+3.3Aaron RodgersAaron Rodgers (+3.2)
                                                                                      12Los Angeles Chargers+1.8Justin HerbertJustin Herbert (+1.7)
                                                                                      13Detroit Lions+1.7Jared GoffJared Goff (+1.6)
                                                                                      14Chicago Bears+1.4Caleb WilliamsCaleb Williams (+1.3)
                                                                                      15Green Bay Packers+1.4Jordan LoveJordan Love (+1.3)
                                                                                      16Minnesota Vikings+0.6Kyler MurrayKyler Murray (+0.5)
                                                                                      17Kansas City Chiefs+0.3Patrick MahomesPatrick Mahomes (+0.2)
                                                                                      18Atlanta Falcons-0.6Tua TagovailoaTua Tagovailoa (-0.7)
                                                                                      19Cincinnati Bengals-0.7Joe BurrowJoe Burrow (-0.8)
                                                                                      20New York Giants-0.9Jaxson DartJameis Winston (-0.7)
                                                                                      21Miami Dolphins-1.1Malik WillisKyle McCord (-2.0)
                                                                                      22Indianapolis Colts-1.7Daniel JonesRiley Leonard (-1.9)
                                                                                      23Tampa Bay Buccaneers-1.8Baker MayfieldBaker Mayfield (-1.9)
                                                                                      24New Orleans Saints-2.4Tyler ShoughTyler Shough (-2.5)
                                                                                      25Dallas Cowboys-3.7Dak PrescottDak Prescott (-3.8)
                                                                                      26Washington Commanders-4.3Jayden DanielsJayden Daniels (-4.4)
                                                                                      27Carolina Panthers-4.5Bryce YoungHaynes King (-2.9)
                                                                                      28Cleveland Browns-5.0Deshaun WatsonDeshaun Watson (-5.1)
                                                                                      29Arizona Cardinals-6.5Jacoby BrissettCarson Beck (-6.0)
                                                                                      30Las Vegas Raiders-7.2Kirk CousinsKirk Cousins (-7.3)
                                                                                      31Tennessee Titans-9.1Cam WardMitchell Trubisky (-8.1)
                                                                                      32New York Jets-12.3Geno SmithCade Klubnik (-12.3)
                                                                                      September method, sources, and downloads

                                                                                      Generated September 7, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC. This inference-policy change and the simple projected-score method remain experimental; through-2025 performance does not validate them.

                                                                                      • Roster policy: Only ACT roster entries; the latest verified active QB1 is selected by depth order. The same roster and QB assumptions apply to every week.
                                                                                      • Injury coverage: ACT is administrative status, not proof of health or game-day availability. No comprehensive practice, injury, or game-day inactive adjustment is included.
                                                                                      • History: Team and QB performance through the 2025 regular season. The historical fit and selected parameters are fixed. The embedded results-rating offseason convention is preserved.
                                                                                      • Projected totals: Total = (home 2025 points for/game + home points allowed/game + away points for/game + away points allowed/game) / 2. Expected scores = (total ± home margin) / 2. Whole scores are presentation rounding.
                                                                                      • Fit recovery: The exact July public fit was reconstructed and reproduced every saved field for all 32 teams. This active-roster / expected-starter inference policy is a separate, unvalidated candidate.
                                                                                      • Evaluation boundary: Primary: margin MAE. Also track margin RMSE, total MAE, per-team score MAE and winner accuracy. No calibrated win probabilities or automatic promotion.
                                                                                      • Schedule: Week 1 was independently checked against NFL.com. Later kickoffs are provider-listed and may change; Week 18 times are provisional.

                                                                                      Snapshot JSON · Forecast CSV · Ratings CSV · Verification manifest

                                                                                      • roster.csv.gz: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.047852+00:00; SHA-256 e356efc0f9ff9b8d50d82e2524312bda3ebb6598cf487eee69ba339b90f6230a
                                                                                      • depth.csv.gz: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.208350+00:00; SHA-256 92ced698838f0d3208ebfefc935c0eb260b82bbcc9f2040133e9181367761c23
                                                                                      • schedule.csv.gz: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.020510+00:00; SHA-256 abeb9b6c541648308d61d3c187ae94ca82b2d4005829740e48daa64bdd33aa6f
                                                                                      • nfl-week-1.html: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.592025+00:00; SHA-256 05aee0c759959bb0d53b5446259316435004119caf78bb776ff03fb68a22b2b3
                                                                                      • rosters-release.json: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.468458+00:00; SHA-256 761d5e96beae2f77c113afcf282d8dac7460ee74e77a4356ad235e55c2d9c77a
                                                                                      • rosters-timestamp.json: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.359889+00:00; SHA-256 f298daf8f63db12c434a23cdeffa0f5f06acb8413e6c24ffdfa8e94478120e09
                                                                                      • depth_charts-release.json: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.600803+00:00; SHA-256 f5e4fab36b1e248c430a9eea475e3d23a6100bb31a4a388159b70b01ebc64d0a
                                                                                      • depth_charts-timestamp.json: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.579613+00:00; SHA-256 9b8a5a879ad9b0e95ddbd1f0e0e9b87839c7d61e5a309c12452853a4f00d0d5a
                                                                                      • schedules-release.json: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.741102+00:00; SHA-256 abb33b2f8a96a5747b465075d65657086d1a407b8c036ad5e0d40e0723c9016b
                                                                                      • schedules-timestamp.json: source; captured 2026-09-07T21:28:03.687011+00:00; SHA-256 28bf220cd76f3060464bf9eb0917fc6d45d024af278e8ef27773e1cefdb252a7

                                                                                      No calibrated probabilities, market claims, or retrospective promotion are attached to this snapshot.

                                                                                      September results provenance

                                                                                      • No September result transcriptions recorded.
                                                                                      Rank gaps, source freshness, and model sensitivity

                                                                                      Latest review: Input definitions, roster eligibility, neutral-field consistency, and separate weekly/season tests. The earlier experiments below remain available as dated evidence.

                                                                                      The completed input audit compares seven constructions on 2,127 matched games. NE ranks 1–4 and JAX 5–7 across those specific choices; these are sensitivity ranges, not confidence intervals. The symmetric arm fixes neutral-field reversal and has the lowest margin MAE (10.0982 versus 10.1198 for its reference), but none of the six new candidates passes the predeclared improvement screen. All remain HOLD.

                                                                                      EXPERIMENTAL — HOLD. Calibrated uncertainty: unavailable. The ranges below show how six specified model variants change each team's output. This is model sensitivity, not a confidence or prediction interval; it does not measure the chance that a rating or game result falls inside the range.

                                                                                      McCabe's human ranks are compared with the September 7 preseason PGO baseline here. The main board leads with the September 9 postseason edition; September 8 and July remain available for comparison. Rank gap = PGO rank minus McCabe rank: positive means PGO ranks the team lower. No point-price gap is calculated.

                                                                                      Source freshness: McCabe source revision 2026-09-10T13:46:45-07:00; September baseline generated 2026-09-07T22:01:01.941144+00:00; depth snapshot 2026-09-07T13:13:25Z. Roster/source captures: 2026-09-07T21:28:03.020510+00:00, 2026-09-07T21:28:03.047852+00:00, 2026-09-07T21:28:03.208350+00:00, 2026-09-07T21:28:03.359889+00:00, 2026-09-07T21:28:03.468458+00:00, 2026-09-07T21:28:03.579613+00:00, 2026-09-07T21:28:03.592025+00:00, 2026-09-07T21:28:03.600803+00:00, 2026-09-07T21:28:03.687011+00:00, 2026-09-07T21:28:03.741102+00:00. Performance history ends with the 2025 regular season; these are not current injury updates.

                                                                                      TeamMcCabe rankSeptember PGO rankRank gapSensitivity: rank spanSensitivity: model-output span
                                                                                      NE71-61–3+4.582 to +7.219
                                                                                      LAR12+11–2+4.627 to +7.249
                                                                                      SEA43-12–5+3.474 to +6.775
                                                                                      BAL34+13–6+3.566 to +5.453
                                                                                      JAX95-44–8+2.883 to +5.392
                                                                                      BUF26+46–7+2.933 to +4.711
                                                                                      SF87-13–7+3.560 to +5.062
                                                                                      DEN158-78–10+2.339 to +3.853
                                                                                      HOU129-39–11+2.043 to +3.501
                                                                                      PHI1110-19–12+1.718 to +3.417
                                                                                      PIT2111-106–11+2.997 to +3.521
                                                                                      LAC612+612–14+1.014 to +1.757
                                                                                      DET1713-413–15+0.454 to +2.086
                                                                                      CHI1314+114–15+0.475 to +1.413
                                                                                      GB1815-311–15+0.947 to +2.206
                                                                                      MIN1916-316–20-0.814 to +0.596
                                                                                      KC1017+716–18+0.114 to +0.400
                                                                                      ATL2718-918–19-0.565 to +0.114
                                                                                      CIN519+1416–20-0.703 to +0.471
                                                                                      NYG2520-520–23-1.887 to -0.160
                                                                                      MIA3121-1016–21-1.288 to +0.293
                                                                                      IND2022+220–24-1.829 to -1.081
                                                                                      TB1423+922–23-1.906 to -1.171
                                                                                      NO2624-223–24-3.448 to -1.456
                                                                                      DAL1625+925–25-3.674 to -2.392
                                                                                      WAS2226+426–27-4.327 to -2.711
                                                                                      CAR2427+326–27-4.469 to -2.865
                                                                                      CLE2828+028–30-6.019 to -3.507
                                                                                      ARI2929+029–30-6.601 to -4.208
                                                                                      LV3230-228–30-7.198 to -3.933
                                                                                      TEN2331+831–31-9.101 to -5.096
                                                                                      NYJ3032+232–32-12.325 to -8.249

                                                                                      The six variants cross raw, opponent-adjusted team EPA, and opponent-adjusted team plus QB EPA with either the unchanged earlier results-based PGO input or 50% offseason retention of that input. Ranges are descriptive, centered model-scale outputs. Both opponent-adjustment arms remain HOLD; this retrospective study does not replace issued forecasts or validate the September inference policy.

                                                                                      Historical publication vintage: REVIEW REQUIRED. Final/backfilled historical releases lack complete row-publication receipts; all evaluation seasons were previously inspected. Research completed 2026-09-08T01:39:57.921630+00:00.

                                                                                      Research ratings, method, and receipts. Verified research manifest SHA-256: 0e2fd095579fdd33a6ab1c728eeeb07c373779cdb32da6c8d14ce48b08de5998.

                                                                                      Current-strength study — separate retrospective experiment

                                                                                      All four arms remain HOLD. On 2,127 matched 2018–2025 games, the three starter-based candidates meet the screen for further prospective study against raw. That is not model promotion. Winner accuracy excludes eight actual ties; these arms have no zero-margin abstentions.

                                                                                      Later audit: these historical arms used a broader roster population than the active-only September forecast. Their fitted neutral-field margins also retain an offset for identical teams. The input and valuation audit tests those issues separately; the earlier numerical screen does not establish current-model readiness.

                                                                                      Study armMargin MAEWinner accuracy
                                                                                      Raw control10.193763.95% (1355/2119)
                                                                                      Recorded starter10.119364.98% (1377/2119)
                                                                                      Starter + QB recency10.119865.60% (1390/2119)
                                                                                      Starter + recency + skill efficiency10.131865.83% (1395/2119)

                                                                                      The starter change lowers MAE versus raw; adding recency and then skill efficiency does not lower MAE further. Historical selections use recorded actual starters, not verified pregame/T-60 expectations. Seasons were already inspected and historical publication vintage remains REVIEW REQUIRED. Offensive-line and defensive player quality remain unavailable; the added skill features are efficiency proxies.

                                                                                      Refitting without roster-continuity inputs reached margin MAE 10.1082: an exploratory simplification to test prospectively, not an adopted model change.

                                                                                      Separate availability scenario, captured September 8 at 02:24 UTC: 11 formal player-report rows for New England and Seattle; the other 30 teams remain unknown. This later capture does not change the frozen September baseline.

                                                                                      This study is separate from the six-variant opponent-adjustment experiment above; those sensitivity spans do not include these four arms. Completed 2026-09-08T02:34:18.211406+00:00. Study method and findings · Verified results and receipts.

                                                                                      Original July/August archive · Frozen 25% stability blend

                                                                                      Original frozen forecast record

                                                                                      This separate 272-game archive and its HOLD gate remain unchanged.

                                                                                      Record so far

                                                                                      No finalized results recorded yet.

                                                                                      The theoretical 50% winner benchmark is a reference only.

                                                                                      What was frozen

                                                                                      The source cutoff was July 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. The exact forecasts were publicly attested on August 26, 2026 at 4:07 PM EDT, before the first kickoff. This track is 75% PGO v0 and 25% of an archived challenger fit; it is not the live ratings-table model.

                                                                                      Download exact lock · Download exact prediction CSV · Immutable attestation

                                                                                      Method, metrics, and scientific boundary

                                                                                      These are model-estimated home-score margins, not market prices, final-score predictions, or calibrated probabilities. MAE is mean absolute margin error; RMSE gives larger misses more weight.

                                                                                      Winner accuracy is derived from frozen margin signs. It excludes actual ties and zero-margin abstentions, reports its denominator, and is separate from calibration and every promotion gate. The theoretical 50% benchmark is a reference; no observed coin-flip record is invented.

                                                                                      Constant zero and venue-only (+2.5 Home, 0 Neutral) are fixed diagnostic margin baselines outside the preregistered full-season gate. Market and McCabe game-pick comparisons are unavailable because they were not captured before kickoff.

                                                                                      Raw source cutoff: 2026-07-21T12:00:00-04:00. Raw attestation time: 2026-08-26T16:07:24-04:00.

                                                                                      Partial metrics are descriptive only. The unchanged canonical grade requires all 272 exact final results and is the only path to a prospective PASS, HOLD, or BLOCKED receipt.

                                                                                      Frozen forecasts and observed results

                                                                                      Kickoffs are the frozen schedule record and may differ from the current schedule. Original forecasts are never rewritten.

                                                                                      Week 1 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      NE @ SEASEA by 3.2 pointsSEA by 3.9 points
                                                                                      SF @ LARLAR by 2.1 pointsLAR by 2.1 points
                                                                                      ATL @ PITPIT by 4.2 pointsPIT by 3.7 points
                                                                                      BAL @ INDBAL by 0.9 pointsIND by 0.7 points
                                                                                      BUF @ HOUHOU by 1.6 pointsHOU by 2.0 points
                                                                                      CHI @ CARCHI by 1.1 pointsCHI by 0.6 points
                                                                                      CLE @ JAXJAX by 9.3 pointsJAX by 8.2 points
                                                                                      NO @ DETDET by 6.1 pointsDET by 5.9 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ TENTEN by 4.0 pointsTEN by 3.3 points
                                                                                      TB @ CINCIN by 2.6 pointsCIN by 2.5 points
                                                                                      ARI @ LACLAC by 7.4 pointsLAC by 6.7 points
                                                                                      GB @ MINMIN by 2.2 pointsMIN by 2.7 points
                                                                                      MIA @ LVMIA by 0.4 pointsLV by 0.2 points
                                                                                      WAS @ PHIPHI by 6.4 pointsPHI by 5.7 points
                                                                                      DAL @ NYGNYG by 3.1 pointsNYG by 2.7 points
                                                                                      DEN @ KCKC by less than 0.1 pointKC by 0.6 points
                                                                                      Week 2 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      DET @ BUFBUF by 3.3 pointsBUF by 3.1 points
                                                                                      CAR @ ATLATL by 3.8 pointsATL by 3.7 points
                                                                                      CIN @ HOUHOU by 5.5 pointsHOU by 5.5 points
                                                                                      CLE @ TBTB by 4.2 pointsTB by 4.0 points
                                                                                      GB @ NYJGB by 5.4 pointsGB by 3.5 points
                                                                                      MIN @ CHICHI by 2.9 pointsCHI by 2.7 points
                                                                                      NO @ BALBAL by 6.8 pointsBAL by 6.0 points
                                                                                      PHI @ TENPHI by 4.9 pointsPHI by 3.6 points
                                                                                      PIT @ NENE by 5.2 pointsNE by 5.1 points
                                                                                      JAX @ DENDEN by 0.8 pointsDEN by 1.4 points
                                                                                      LV @ LACLAC by 8.5 pointsLAC by 7.8 points
                                                                                      MIA @ SFSF by 7.0 pointsSF by 6.2 points
                                                                                      SEA @ ARISEA by 6.6 pointsSEA by 5.2 points
                                                                                      WAS @ DALDAL by 2.6 pointsDAL by 2.7 points
                                                                                      IND @ KCKC by 3.0 pointsKC by 2.6 points
                                                                                      NYG @ LARLAR by 7.8 pointsLAR by 7.4 points
                                                                                      Week 3 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      ATL @ GBGB by 3.8 pointsGB by 4.0 points
                                                                                      CAR @ CLECLE by 1.4 pointsCLE by 2.0 points
                                                                                      CIN @ PITPIT by 4.3 pointsPIT by 3.9 points
                                                                                      HOU @ INDHOU by 0.5 pointsIND by 0.6 points
                                                                                      KC @ MIAKC by 0.3 pointsMIA by 0.1 points
                                                                                      LAC @ BUFBUF by 4.4 pointsBUF by 4.2 points
                                                                                      NE @ JAXJAX by 2.3 pointsJAX by 2.7 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ DETDET by 11.3 pointsDET by 9.7 points
                                                                                      SEA @ WASSEA by 4.7 pointsSEA by 3.5 points
                                                                                      TEN @ NYGNYG by 6.4 pointsNYG by 5.7 points
                                                                                      ARI @ SFSF by 8.5 pointsSF by 7.4 points
                                                                                      MIN @ TBTB by 0.4 pointsTB by 0.7 points
                                                                                      BAL @ DALBAL by 4.6 pointsBAL by 3.3 points
                                                                                      LV @ NONO by 5.6 pointsNO by 5.4 points
                                                                                      LAR @ DENDEN by 0.4 pointsDEN by 1.0 points
                                                                                      PHI @ CHICHI by 1.5 pointsCHI by 2.0 points
                                                                                      Week 4 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      PIT @ CLEPIT by 1.9 pointsPIT by 0.4 points
                                                                                      IND @ WASIND by 1.7 pointsIND by 1.7 points
                                                                                      ARI @ NYGNYG by 5.3 pointsNYG by 4.6 points
                                                                                      DAL @ HOUHOU by 6.5 pointsHOU by 5.9 points
                                                                                      GB @ TBTB by 0.2 pointsTB by 0.8 points
                                                                                      JAX @ CINJAX by 2.5 pointsJAX by 1.7 points
                                                                                      LAR @ PHILAR by less than 0.1 pointPHI by 0.5 points
                                                                                      NE @ BUFBUF by 1.3 pointsBUF by 2.0 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ CHICHI by 10.5 pointsCHI by 8.9 points
                                                                                      TEN @ BALBAL by 10.2 pointsBAL by 8.9 points
                                                                                      MIA @ MINMIN by 5.4 pointsMIN by 5.5 points
                                                                                      DEN @ SFSF by 2.0 pointsSF by 1.9 points
                                                                                      KC @ LVKC by 3.0 pointsKC by 2.2 points
                                                                                      LAC @ SEASEA by 6.1 pointsSEA by 6.0 points
                                                                                      DET @ CARDET by 1.9 pointsDET by 1.4 points
                                                                                      ATL @ NONO by 1.1 pointsNO by 1.7 points
                                                                                      Week 5 15 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      TB @ DALDAL by 1.6 pointsDAL by 2.1 points
                                                                                      PHI @ JAXJAX by 4.2 pointsJAX by 4.2 points
                                                                                      CIN @ MIAMIA by 0.7 pointsMIA by 1.3 points
                                                                                      CLE @ NYJCLE by 1.6 pointsCLE by 0.3 points
                                                                                      HOU @ TENHOU by 5.2 pointsHOU by 4.0 points
                                                                                      IND @ PITPIT by 4.0 pointsPIT by 2.8 points
                                                                                      LV @ NENE by 11.5 pointsNE by 10.0 points
                                                                                      MIN @ NOMIN by 0.2 pointsNO by less than 0.1 point
                                                                                      NYG @ WASWAS by 1.2 pointsWAS by 2.1 points
                                                                                      DEN @ LACLAC by 0.9 pointsLAC by 1.2 points
                                                                                      CHI @ GBGB by 1.8 pointsGB by 2.1 points
                                                                                      DET @ ARIDET by 3.8 pointsDET by 2.7 points
                                                                                      SF @ SEASEA by 5.0 pointsSEA by 5.4 points
                                                                                      BAL @ ATLBAL by 1.1 pointsBAL by 0.2 points
                                                                                      BUF @ LARLAR by 3.7 pointsLAR by 3.6 points
                                                                                      Week 6 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      SEA @ DENSEA by less than 0.1 pointDEN by 0.2 points
                                                                                      HOU @ JAXJAX by 1.5 pointsJAX by 1.3 points
                                                                                      BAL @ CLEBAL by 3.5 pointsBAL by 1.9 points
                                                                                      CAR @ PHIPHI by 6.4 pointsPHI by 6.1 points
                                                                                      CHI @ ATLATL by 0.3 pointsATL by 0.6 points
                                                                                      NO @ NYGNYG by 3.1 pointsNYG by 2.8 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ NENE by 13.2 pointsNE by 10.8 points
                                                                                      PIT @ TBPIT by less than 0.1 pointTB by 1.0 points
                                                                                      TEN @ INDIND by 7.0 pointsIND by 7.1 points
                                                                                      ARI @ LARLAR by 10.7 pointsLAR by 9.5 points
                                                                                      BUF @ LVBUF by 5.9 pointsBUF by 4.4 points
                                                                                      LAC @ KCKC by 1.6 pointsKC by 1.9 points
                                                                                      DAL @ GBGB by 4.9 pointsGB by 4.6 points
                                                                                      WAS @ SFSF by 6.6 pointsSF by 5.7 points
                                                                                      Week 7 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      NE @ CHINE by 0.4 pointsCHI by 0.6 points
                                                                                      PIT @ NOPIT by 3.1 pointsPIT by 2.0 points
                                                                                      CIN @ BALBAL by 5.7 pointsBAL by 5.4 points
                                                                                      CLE @ TENTEN by 0.2 pointsTEN by 0.5 points
                                                                                      IND @ MINMIN by 3.6 pointsMIN by 3.2 points
                                                                                      MIA @ NYJMIA by 2.3 pointsMIA by 0.6 points
                                                                                      NYG @ HOUHOU by 5.6 pointsHOU by 5.7 points
                                                                                      SF @ ATLSF by 0.6 pointsATL by 0.2 points
                                                                                      TB @ CARCAR by 1.4 pointsCAR by 1.5 points
                                                                                      DEN @ ARIDEN by 4.2 pointsDEN by 3.0 points
                                                                                      GB @ DETDET by 3.6 pointsDET by 3.7 points
                                                                                      LAR @ LVLAR by 7.2 pointsLAR by 5.6 points
                                                                                      KC @ SEASEA by 7.0 pointsSEA by 6.7 points
                                                                                      DAL @ PHIPHI by 6.2 pointsPHI by 5.5 points
                                                                                      Week 8 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      CAR @ GBGB by 5.3 pointsGB by 5.2 points
                                                                                      ARI @ DALDAL by 4.5 pointsDAL by 4.4 points
                                                                                      ATL @ TBTB by 1.8 pointsTB by 2.3 points
                                                                                      BAL @ BUFBUF by 2.8 pointsBUF by 3.1 points
                                                                                      CLE @ PITPIT by 6.5 pointsPIT by 5.4 points
                                                                                      IND @ JAXJAX by 6.8 pointsJAX by 5.6 points
                                                                                      LV @ NYJNYJ by 0.5 pointsNYJ by 1.6 points
                                                                                      MIN @ DETDET by 3.7 pointsDET by 3.5 points
                                                                                      TEN @ CINCIN by 6.6 pointsCIN by 6.0 points
                                                                                      LAC @ LARLAR by 5.5 pointsLAR by 5.3 points
                                                                                      KC @ DENDEN by 4.6 pointsDEN by 4.4 points
                                                                                      NE @ MIANE by 4.2 pointsNE by 2.7 points
                                                                                      PHI @ WASPHI by 1.7 pointsPHI by 0.7 points
                                                                                      CHI @ SEASEA by 5.8 pointsSEA by 5.8 points
                                                                                      Week 9 15 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      JAX @ BALBAL by 1.0 pointsBAL by 1.2 points
                                                                                      CIN @ ATLATL by less than 0.1 pointATL by 0.2 points
                                                                                      CLE @ NONO by 3.7 pointsNO by 3.4 points
                                                                                      DAL @ INDIND by 3.7 pointsIND by 4.1 points
                                                                                      DEN @ CARDEN by 2.3 pointsDEN by 1.6 points
                                                                                      DET @ MIADET by 2.2 pointsDET by 1.5 points
                                                                                      LAR @ WASLAR by 4.2 pointsLAR by 2.7 points
                                                                                      NYG @ PHIPHI by 5.3 pointsPHI by 5.4 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ KCKC by 9.4 pointsKC by 8.0 points
                                                                                      HOU @ LACLAC by 0.9 pointsLAC by 1.4 points
                                                                                      LV @ SFSF by 9.8 pointsSF by 8.5 points
                                                                                      ARI @ SEASEA by 11.2 pointsSEA by 10.2 points
                                                                                      GB @ NENE by 5.4 pointsNE by 4.9 points
                                                                                      TB @ CHICHI by 4.8 pointsCHI by 4.6 points
                                                                                      BUF @ MINBUF by less than 0.1 pointMIN by 0.8 points
                                                                                      Week 10 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      WAS @ NYGNYG by 3.4 pointsNYG by 2.9 points
                                                                                      NE @ DETNE by 2.1 pointsNE by 1.2 points
                                                                                      BUF @ NYJBUF by 7.6 pointsBUF by 5.3 points
                                                                                      CAR @ NONO by 2.6 pointsNO by 2.9 points
                                                                                      HOU @ CLEHOU by 3.1 pointsHOU by 1.9 points
                                                                                      JAX @ TENJAX by 6.8 pointsJAX by 5.3 points
                                                                                      KC @ ATLATL by 1.4 pointsATL by 1.5 points
                                                                                      MIA @ INDIND by 4.3 pointsIND by 4.8 points
                                                                                      MIN @ GBGB by 2.5 pointsGB by 2.3 points
                                                                                      LAR @ ARILAR by 6.1 pointsLAR by 4.5 points
                                                                                      SEA @ LVSEA by 7.7 pointsSEA by 6.3 points
                                                                                      SF @ DALSF by 1.7 pointsSF by 0.5 points
                                                                                      PIT @ CINCIN by 0.2 pointsCIN by 1.1 points
                                                                                      LAC @ BALBAL by 4.0 pointsBAL by 3.5 points
                                                                                      Week 11 13 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      IND @ HOUHOU by 5.1 pointsHOU by 4.4 points
                                                                                      ARI @ KCKC by 6.5 pointsKC by 6.1 points
                                                                                      BAL @ CARBAL by 2.5 pointsBAL by 1.4 points
                                                                                      JAX @ NYGJAX by 2.6 pointsJAX by 2.0 points
                                                                                      MIA @ BUFBUF by 7.8 pointsBUF by 7.2 points
                                                                                      NO @ CHICHI by 5.5 pointsCHI by 5.1 points
                                                                                      TB @ DETDET by 5.4 pointsDET by 5.4 points
                                                                                      TEN @ DALDAL by 5.6 pointsDAL by 5.6 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ LACLAC by 10.2 pointsLAC by 8.7 points
                                                                                      LV @ DENDEN by 10.0 pointsDEN by 9.1 points
                                                                                      PIT @ PHIPHI by 3.3 pointsPHI by 3.6 points
                                                                                      MIN @ SFSF by 1.4 pointsSF by 0.7 points
                                                                                      CIN @ WASWAS by 1.1 pointsWAS by 1.9 points
                                                                                      Week 12 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      GB @ LARLAR by 5.9 pointsLAR by 5.5 points
                                                                                      CHI @ DETDET by 3.1 pointsDET by 3.3 points
                                                                                      PHI @ DALPHI by 1.6 pointsPHI by 0.5 points
                                                                                      KC @ BUFBUF by 5.1 pointsBUF by 4.8 points
                                                                                      DEN @ PITPIT by 1.0 pointsPIT by 0.8 points
                                                                                      ATL @ MINMIN by 3.6 pointsMIN by 4.1 points
                                                                                      BAL @ HOUHOU by 2.0 pointsHOU by 2.6 points
                                                                                      LV @ CLECLE by 4.5 pointsCLE by 4.5 points
                                                                                      NO @ CINCIN by 3.2 pointsCIN by 3.1 points
                                                                                      NYG @ INDIND by 2.9 pointsIND by 3.9 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ MIAMIA by 6.8 pointsMIA by 5.6 points
                                                                                      TEN @ JAXJAX by 11.4 pointsJAX by 10.3 points
                                                                                      SEA @ SFSEA by 0.5 pointsSEA by 0.4 points
                                                                                      WAS @ ARIARI by 0.4 pointsARI by 0.8 points
                                                                                      NE @ LACNE by 0.8 pointsLAC by 0.3 points
                                                                                      CAR @ TBTB by 3.2 pointsTB by 3.5 points
                                                                                      Week 13 14 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      KC @ LARLAR by 6.5 pointsLAR by 5.9 points
                                                                                      CIN @ CLECLE by less than 0.1 pointCLE by 1.0 points
                                                                                      DET @ ATLDET by 0.5 pointsDET by 0.2 points
                                                                                      GB @ NOGB by 0.4 pointsNO by 0.3 points
                                                                                      JAX @ CHIJAX by 0.3 pointsCHI by 0.3 points
                                                                                      LAC @ TBTB by less than 0.1 pointTB by 0.6 points
                                                                                      SF @ NYGSF by 0.9 pointsSF by 0.3 points
                                                                                      WAS @ TENWAS by 0.8 pointsWAS by 0.4 points
                                                                                      MIA @ DENDEN by 7.3 pointsDEN by 6.8 points
                                                                                      PHI @ ARIPHI by 3.8 pointsPHI by 2.4 points
                                                                                      BUF @ NENE by 3.2 pointsNE by 3.0 points
                                                                                      CAR @ MINMIN by 5.1 pointsMIN by 5.3 points
                                                                                      HOU @ PITPIT by 1.2 pointsPIT by 1.0 points
                                                                                      DAL @ SEASEA by 9.0 pointsSEA by 8.3 points
                                                                                      Week 14 15 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      MIN @ NENE by 5.6 pointsNE by 4.7 points
                                                                                      ATL @ CLEATL by less than 0.1 pointCLE by 0.8 points
                                                                                      CHI @ MIACHI by 1.4 pointsCHI by 0.7 points
                                                                                      DEN @ NYJDEN by 7.0 pointsDEN by 4.9 points
                                                                                      HOU @ WASHOU by 2.1 pointsHOU by 1.1 points
                                                                                      IND @ PHIPHI by 4.7 pointsPHI by 4.0 points
                                                                                      NO @ CARCAR by 2.0 pointsCAR by 2.1 points
                                                                                      TB @ BALBAL by 6.3 pointsBAL by 5.4 points
                                                                                      TEN @ DETDET by 9.5 pointsDET by 8.9 points
                                                                                      LAC @ LVLAC by 3.8 pointsLAC by 2.8 points
                                                                                      KC @ CINCIN by 1.2 pointsCIN by 1.3 points
                                                                                      LAR @ SFSF by less than 0.1 pointSF by 0.4 points
                                                                                      NYG @ SEASEA by 8.2 pointsSEA by 8.2 points
                                                                                      BUF @ GBGB by less than 0.1 pointGB by 0.7 points
                                                                                      PIT @ JAXJAX by 5.1 pointsJAX by 5.3 points
                                                                                      Week 15 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      SF @ LACLAC by 1.1 pointsLAC by 1.8 points
                                                                                      SEA @ PHISEA by 0.5 pointsSEA by 0.3 points
                                                                                      CHI @ BUFBUF by 4.0 pointsBUF by 3.9 points
                                                                                      ATL @ WASWAS by 0.9 pointsWAS by 1.7 points
                                                                                      BAL @ PITPIT by 0.8 pointsPIT by 1.1 points
                                                                                      CIN @ CARCAR by 1.0 pointsCAR by 1.5 points
                                                                                      CLE @ NYGNYG by 4.3 pointsNYG by 3.7 points
                                                                                      IND @ TENIND by 2.4 pointsIND by 2.1 points
                                                                                      JAX @ HOUHOU by 0.7 pointsHOU by 1.2 points
                                                                                      MIA @ GBGB by 5.6 pointsGB by 5.3 points
                                                                                      NO @ TBTB by 2.9 pointsTB by 3.1 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ ARIARI by 5.3 pointsARI by 4.5 points
                                                                                      DAL @ LARLAR by 8.4 pointsLAR by 7.6 points
                                                                                      DEN @ LVDEN by 5.3 pointsDEN by 4.1 points
                                                                                      DET @ MINMIN by 1.0 pointsMIN by 1.5 points
                                                                                      NE @ KCNE by 1.6 pointsNE by 0.3 points
                                                                                      Week 16 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      HOU @ PHIPHI by 2.1 pointsPHI by 2.1 points
                                                                                      GB @ CHICHI by 2.8 pointsCHI by 2.9 points
                                                                                      BUF @ DENDEN by 1.7 pointsDEN by 2.1 points
                                                                                      LAR @ SEASEA by 2.8 pointsSEA by 3.3 points
                                                                                      ARI @ NONO by 4.5 pointsNO by 4.3 points
                                                                                      CAR @ PITPIT by 5.6 pointsPIT by 4.9 points
                                                                                      CIN @ INDIND by 2.7 pointsIND by 3.6 points
                                                                                      CLE @ BALBAL by 8.1 pointsBAL by 6.9 points
                                                                                      LAC @ MIALAC by 1.2 pointsLAC by 0.5 points
                                                                                      NE @ NYJNE by 8.6 pointsNE by 5.8 points
                                                                                      TB @ ATLATL by 2.8 pointsATL by 2.7 points
                                                                                      WAS @ MINMIN by 5.1 pointsMIN by 5.0 points
                                                                                      TEN @ LVLV by 2.3 pointsLV by 2.6 points
                                                                                      SF @ KCKC by 0.2 pointsKC by 1.2 points
                                                                                      JAX @ DALJAX by 3.5 pointsJAX by 2.2 points
                                                                                      NYG @ DETDET by 5.4 pointsDET by 5.6 points
                                                                                      Week 17 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      BAL @ CINBAL by 1.2 pointsBAL by 0.4 points
                                                                                      BUF @ MIABUF by 3.2 pointsBUF by 2.2 points
                                                                                      DEN @ NENE by 3.8 pointsNE by 3.4 points
                                                                                      IND @ CLEIND by 0.3 pointsIND by less than 0.1 point
                                                                                      KC @ LACLAC by 3.1 pointsLAC by 3.1 points
                                                                                      LAR @ TBLAR by 3.3 pointsLAR by 2.1 points
                                                                                      MIN @ NYJMIN by 5.3 pointsMIN by 3.6 points
                                                                                      NO @ ATLATL by 3.4 pointsATL by 3.3 points
                                                                                      NYG @ DALDAL by 1.5 pointsDAL by 2.3 points
                                                                                      PIT @ TENPIT by 4.0 pointsPIT by 2.5 points
                                                                                      SEA @ CARSEA by 4.7 pointsSEA by 3.9 points
                                                                                      WAS @ JAXJAX by 8.4 pointsJAX by 7.4 points
                                                                                      LV @ ARIARI by 3.4 pointsARI by 3.6 points
                                                                                      DET @ CHICHI by 1.6 pointsCHI by 1.7 points
                                                                                      PHI @ SFSF by 2.4 pointsSF by 2.4 points
                                                                                      HOU @ GBGB by 0.8 pointsGB by 1.2 points
                                                                                      Week 18 16 games
                                                                                      MatchupOriginal forecast favorsPGO v0 comparison favorsFrozen kickoffFinal scoreOriginal forecast miss (points)
                                                                                      ATL @ CARCAR by 0.9 pointsCAR by 1.3 points
                                                                                      CHI @ MINMIN by 1.7 pointsMIN by 2.3 points
                                                                                      CLE @ CINCIN by 4.6 pointsCIN by 4.0 points
                                                                                      DAL @ WASWAS by 2.0 pointsWAS by 2.3 points
                                                                                      DET @ GBGB by 1.1 pointsGB by 1.3 points
                                                                                      JAX @ INDJAX by 2.1 pointsJAX by 0.6 points
                                                                                      LAC @ DENDEN by 3.7 pointsDEN by 3.8 points
                                                                                      LV @ KCKC by 7.6 pointsKC by 7.2 points
                                                                                      MIA @ NENE by 8.7 pointsNE by 7.7 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ BUFBUF by 12.2 pointsBUF by 10.3 points
                                                                                      PHI @ NYGPHI by 0.8 pointsPHI by 0.4 points
                                                                                      PIT @ BALBAL by 3.9 pointsBAL by 3.9 points
                                                                                      SEA @ LARLAR by 1.8 pointsLAR by 1.7 points
                                                                                      SF @ ARISF by 3.9 pointsSF by 2.4 points
                                                                                      TB @ NONO by 1.7 pointsNO by 1.9 points
                                                                                      TEN @ HOUHOU by 9.8 pointsHOU by 9.0 points
                                                                                      Archived challenger diagnostic

                                                                                      These are outputs from the archived July-cutoff fit (delta 0.75 with QB-depth uncertainty), kept separate from the public ratings-table fit.

                                                                                      MatchupCurrent-lineup forecast favorsFull-strength forecast favors
                                                                                      NE @ SEASEA by 1.0 pointsSEA by 1.0 points
                                                                                      SF @ LARLAR by 2.0 pointsLAR by 2.0 points
                                                                                      ATL @ PITPIT by 5.4 pointsPIT by 5.4 points
                                                                                      BAL @ INDBAL by 5.6 pointsBAL by 5.6 points
                                                                                      BUF @ HOUHOU by 0.4 pointsHOU by 0.4 points
                                                                                      CHI @ CARCHI by 2.8 pointsCHI by 2.8 points
                                                                                      CLE @ JAXJAX by 12.7 pointsJAX by 12.7 points
                                                                                      NO @ DETDET by 6.8 pointsDET by 6.8 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ TENTEN by 6.2 pointsTEN by 6.2 points
                                                                                      TB @ CINCIN by 3.0 pointsCIN by 3.0 points
                                                                                      ARI @ LACLAC by 9.3 pointsLAC by 9.3 points
                                                                                      GB @ MINMIN by 0.7 pointsMIN by 0.7 points
                                                                                      MIA @ LVMIA by 2.3 pointsMIA by 2.3 points
                                                                                      WAS @ PHIPHI by 8.6 pointsPHI by 8.6 points
                                                                                      DAL @ NYGNYG by 4.4 pointsNYG by 4.4 points
                                                                                      DEN @ KCDEN by 1.8 pointsDEN by 1.8 points
                                                                                      DET @ BUFBUF by 3.8 pointsBUF by 3.8 points
                                                                                      CAR @ ATLATL by 3.9 pointsATL by 3.9 points
                                                                                      CIN @ HOUHOU by 5.5 pointsHOU by 5.5 points
                                                                                      CLE @ TBTB by 4.8 pointsTB by 4.8 points
                                                                                      GB @ NYJGB by 11.3 pointsGB by 11.3 points
                                                                                      MIN @ CHICHI by 3.4 pointsCHI by 3.4 points
                                                                                      NO @ BALBAL by 9.3 pointsBAL by 9.3 points
                                                                                      PHI @ TENPHI by 8.9 pointsPHI by 8.9 points
                                                                                      PIT @ NENE by 5.6 pointsNE by 5.6 points
                                                                                      JAX @ DENJAX by 0.9 pointsJAX by 0.9 points
                                                                                      LV @ LACLAC by 10.6 pointsLAC by 10.6 points
                                                                                      MIA @ SFSF by 9.4 pointsSF by 9.4 points
                                                                                      SEA @ ARISEA by 10.8 pointsSEA by 10.8 points
                                                                                      WAS @ DALDAL by 2.2 pointsDAL by 2.2 points
                                                                                      IND @ KCKC by 3.9 pointsKC by 3.9 points
                                                                                      NYG @ LARLAR by 9.0 pointsLAR by 9.0 points
                                                                                      ATL @ GBGB by 3.3 pointsGB by 3.3 points
                                                                                      CAR @ CLECAR by 0.6 pointsCAR by 0.6 points
                                                                                      CIN @ PITPIT by 5.5 pointsPIT by 5.5 points
                                                                                      HOU @ INDHOU by 3.8 pointsHOU by 3.8 points
                                                                                      KC @ MIAKC by 1.7 pointsKC by 1.7 points
                                                                                      LAC @ BUFBUF by 5.0 pointsBUF by 5.0 points
                                                                                      NE @ JAXJAX by 0.9 pointsJAX by 0.9 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ DETDET by 16.2 pointsDET by 16.2 points
                                                                                      SEA @ WASSEA by 8.1 pointsSEA by 8.1 points
                                                                                      TEN @ NYGNYG by 8.4 pointsNYG by 8.4 points
                                                                                      ARI @ SFSF by 11.9 pointsSF by 11.9 points
                                                                                      MIN @ TBMIN by 0.3 pointsMIN by 0.3 points
                                                                                      BAL @ DALBAL by 8.6 pointsBAL by 8.6 points
                                                                                      LV @ NONO by 6.5 pointsNO by 6.5 points
                                                                                      LAR @ DENLAR by 1.4 pointsLAR by 1.4 points
                                                                                      PHI @ CHICHI by 0.2 pointsCHI by 0.2 points
                                                                                      PIT @ CLEPIT by 6.5 pointsPIT by 6.5 points
                                                                                      IND @ WASIND by 1.8 pointsIND by 1.8 points
                                                                                      ARI @ NYGNYG by 7.3 pointsNYG by 7.3 points
                                                                                      DAL @ HOUHOU by 8.1 pointsHOU by 8.1 points
                                                                                      GB @ TBGB by 1.5 pointsGB by 1.5 points
                                                                                      JAX @ CINJAX by 4.8 pointsJAX by 4.8 points
                                                                                      LAR @ PHILAR by 1.7 pointsLAR by 1.7 points
                                                                                      NE @ BUFNE by 0.6 pointsNE by 0.6 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ CHICHI by 15.3 pointsCHI by 15.3 points
                                                                                      TEN @ BALBAL by 14.0 pointsBAL by 14.0 points
                                                                                      MIA @ MINMIN by 5.2 pointsMIN by 5.2 points
                                                                                      DEN @ SFSF by 2.3 pointsSF by 2.3 points
                                                                                      KC @ LVKC by 5.7 pointsKC by 5.7 points
                                                                                      LAC @ SEASEA by 6.4 pointsSEA by 6.4 points
                                                                                      DET @ CARDET by 3.4 pointsDET by 3.4 points
                                                                                      ATL @ NOATL by 0.7 pointsATL by 0.7 points
                                                                                      TB @ DALDAL by 0.4 pointsDAL by 0.4 points
                                                                                      PHI @ JAXJAX by 4.4 pointsJAX by 4.4 points
                                                                                      CIN @ MIACIN by 1.1 pointsCIN by 1.1 points
                                                                                      CLE @ NYJCLE by 5.3 pointsCLE by 5.3 points
                                                                                      HOU @ TENHOU by 8.8 pointsHOU by 8.8 points
                                                                                      IND @ PITPIT by 7.4 pointsPIT by 7.4 points
                                                                                      LV @ NENE by 15.9 pointsNE by 15.9 points
                                                                                      MIN @ NOMIN by 1.1 pointsMIN by 1.1 points
                                                                                      NYG @ WASNYG by 1.5 pointsNYG by 1.5 points
                                                                                      DEN @ LACDEN by 0.3 pointsDEN by 0.3 points
                                                                                      CHI @ GBGB by 1.1 pointsGB by 1.1 points
                                                                                      DET @ ARIDET by 6.8 pointsDET by 6.8 points
                                                                                      SF @ SEASEA by 3.8 pointsSEA by 3.8 points
                                                                                      BAL @ ATLBAL by 3.8 pointsBAL by 3.8 points
                                                                                      BUF @ LARLAR by 3.8 pointsLAR by 3.8 points
                                                                                      SEA @ DENSEA by 1.0 pointsSEA by 1.0 points
                                                                                      HOU @ JAXJAX by 2.3 pointsJAX by 2.3 points
                                                                                      BAL @ CLEBAL by 8.2 pointsBAL by 8.2 points
                                                                                      CAR @ PHIPHI by 7.2 pointsPHI by 7.2 points
                                                                                      CHI @ ATLCHI by 0.6 pointsCHI by 0.6 points
                                                                                      NO @ NYGNYG by 3.9 pointsNYG by 3.9 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ NENE by 20.4 pointsNE by 20.4 points
                                                                                      PIT @ TBPIT by 3.2 pointsPIT by 3.2 points
                                                                                      TEN @ INDIND by 6.7 pointsIND by 6.7 points
                                                                                      ARI @ LARLAR by 14.4 pointsLAR by 14.4 points
                                                                                      BUF @ LVBUF by 10.1 pointsBUF by 10.1 points
                                                                                      LAC @ KCKC by 0.7 pointsKC by 0.7 points
                                                                                      DAL @ GBGB by 5.8 pointsGB by 5.8 points
                                                                                      WAS @ SFSF by 9.5 pointsSF by 9.5 points
                                                                                      NE @ CHINE by 3.3 pointsNE by 3.3 points
                                                                                      PIT @ NOPIT by 6.3 pointsPIT by 6.3 points
                                                                                      CIN @ BALBAL by 6.7 pointsBAL by 6.7 points
                                                                                      CLE @ TENCLE by 0.6 pointsCLE by 0.6 points
                                                                                      IND @ MINMIN by 4.6 pointsMIN by 4.6 points
                                                                                      MIA @ NYJMIA by 7.2 pointsMIA by 7.2 points
                                                                                      NYG @ HOUHOU by 5.4 pointsHOU by 5.4 points
                                                                                      SF @ ATLSF by 2.8 pointsSF by 2.8 points
                                                                                      TB @ CARCAR by 0.9 pointsCAR by 0.9 points
                                                                                      DEN @ ARIDEN by 8.1 pointsDEN by 8.1 points
                                                                                      GB @ DETDET by 3.4 pointsDET by 3.4 points
                                                                                      LAR @ LVLAR by 12.3 pointsLAR by 12.3 points
                                                                                      KC @ SEASEA by 8.1 pointsSEA by 8.1 points
                                                                                      DAL @ PHIPHI by 8.2 pointsPHI by 8.2 points
                                                                                      CAR @ GBGB by 5.6 pointsGB by 5.6 points
                                                                                      ARI @ DALDAL by 4.6 pointsDAL by 4.6 points
                                                                                      ATL @ TBTB by 0.3 pointsTB by 0.3 points
                                                                                      BAL @ BUFBUF by 1.7 pointsBUF by 1.7 points
                                                                                      CLE @ PITPIT by 9.9 pointsPIT by 9.9 points
                                                                                      IND @ JAXJAX by 10.5 pointsJAX by 10.5 points
                                                                                      LV @ NYJLV by 2.7 pointsLV by 2.7 points
                                                                                      MIN @ DETDET by 4.0 pointsDET by 4.0 points
                                                                                      TEN @ CINCIN by 8.4 pointsCIN by 8.4 points
                                                                                      LAC @ LARLAR by 6.4 pointsLAR by 6.4 points
                                                                                      KC @ DENDEN by 5.2 pointsDEN by 5.2 points
                                                                                      NE @ MIANE by 8.7 pointsNE by 8.7 points
                                                                                      PHI @ WASPHI by 4.7 pointsPHI by 4.7 points
                                                                                      CHI @ SEASEA by 5.9 pointsSEA by 5.9 points
                                                                                      JAX @ BALBAL by 0.7 pointsBAL by 0.7 points
                                                                                      CIN @ ATLCIN by 0.4 pointsCIN by 0.4 points
                                                                                      CLE @ NONO by 4.5 pointsNO by 4.5 points
                                                                                      DAL @ INDIND by 2.6 pointsIND by 2.6 points
                                                                                      DEN @ CARDEN by 4.2 pointsDEN by 4.2 points
                                                                                      DET @ MIADET by 4.1 pointsDET by 4.1 points
                                                                                      LAR @ WASLAR by 8.5 pointsLAR by 8.5 points
                                                                                      NYG @ PHIPHI by 5.0 pointsPHI by 5.0 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ KCKC by 13.5 pointsKC by 13.5 points
                                                                                      HOU @ LACHOU by 0.5 pointsHOU by 0.5 points
                                                                                      LV @ SFSF by 13.7 pointsSF by 13.7 points
                                                                                      ARI @ SEASEA by 13.9 pointsSEA by 13.9 points
                                                                                      GB @ NENE by 7.2 pointsNE by 7.2 points
                                                                                      TB @ CHICHI by 5.3 pointsCHI by 5.3 points
                                                                                      BUF @ MINBUF by 2.7 pointsBUF by 2.7 points
                                                                                      WAS @ NYGNYG by 4.9 pointsNYG by 4.9 points
                                                                                      NE @ DETNE by 4.8 pointsNE by 4.8 points
                                                                                      BUF @ NYJBUF by 14.6 pointsBUF by 14.6 points
                                                                                      CAR @ NONO by 1.8 pointsNO by 1.8 points
                                                                                      HOU @ CLEHOU by 6.5 pointsHOU by 6.5 points
                                                                                      JAX @ TENJAX by 11.3 pointsJAX by 11.3 points
                                                                                      KC @ ATLATL by 1.2 pointsATL by 1.2 points
                                                                                      MIA @ INDIND by 2.8 pointsIND by 2.8 points
                                                                                      MIN @ GBGB by 2.8 pointsGB by 2.8 points
                                                                                      LAR @ ARILAR by 11.0 pointsLAR by 11.0 points
                                                                                      SEA @ LVSEA by 11.8 pointsSEA by 11.8 points
                                                                                      SF @ DALSF by 5.6 pointsSF by 5.6 points
                                                                                      PIT @ CINPIT by 2.5 pointsPIT by 2.5 points
                                                                                      LAC @ BALBAL by 5.4 pointsBAL by 5.4 points
                                                                                      IND @ HOUHOU by 7.2 pointsHOU by 7.2 points
                                                                                      ARI @ KCKC by 7.8 pointsKC by 7.8 points
                                                                                      BAL @ CARBAL by 5.9 pointsBAL by 5.9 points
                                                                                      JAX @ NYGJAX by 4.6 pointsJAX by 4.6 points
                                                                                      MIA @ BUFBUF by 9.6 pointsBUF by 9.6 points
                                                                                      NO @ CHICHI by 6.6 pointsCHI by 6.6 points
                                                                                      TB @ DETDET by 5.5 pointsDET by 5.5 points
                                                                                      TEN @ DALDAL by 5.8 pointsDAL by 5.8 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ LACLAC by 14.9 pointsLAC by 14.9 points
                                                                                      LV @ DENDEN by 13.0 pointsDEN by 13.0 points
                                                                                      PIT @ PHIPHI by 2.3 pointsPHI by 2.3 points
                                                                                      MIN @ SFSF by 3.5 pointsSF by 3.5 points
                                                                                      CIN @ WASCIN by 1.2 pointsCIN by 1.2 points
                                                                                      GB @ LARLAR by 7.1 pointsLAR by 7.1 points
                                                                                      CHI @ DETDET by 2.3 pointsDET by 2.3 points
                                                                                      PHI @ DALPHI by 4.8 pointsPHI by 4.8 points
                                                                                      KC @ BUFBUF by 6.2 pointsBUF by 6.2 points
                                                                                      DEN @ PITPIT by 1.5 pointsPIT by 1.5 points
                                                                                      ATL @ MINMIN by 1.8 pointsMIN by 1.8 points
                                                                                      BAL @ HOUHOU by 0.2 pointsHOU by 0.2 points
                                                                                      LV @ CLECLE by 4.6 pointsCLE by 4.6 points
                                                                                      NO @ CINCIN by 3.7 pointsCIN by 3.7 points
                                                                                      NYG @ INDIND by less than 0.1 pointIND by less than 0.1 point
                                                                                      NYJ @ MIAMIA by 10.2 pointsMIA by 10.2 points
                                                                                      TEN @ JAXJAX by 15.0 pointsJAX by 15.0 points
                                                                                      SEA @ SFSEA by 0.8 pointsSEA by 0.8 points
                                                                                      WAS @ ARIWAS by 0.7 pointsWAS by 0.7 points
                                                                                      NE @ LACNE by 4.1 pointsNE by 4.1 points
                                                                                      CAR @ TBTB by 2.5 pointsTB by 2.5 points
                                                                                      KC @ LARLAR by 8.4 pointsLAR by 8.4 points
                                                                                      CIN @ CLECIN by 2.7 pointsCIN by 2.7 points
                                                                                      DET @ ATLDET by 1.4 pointsDET by 1.4 points
                                                                                      GB @ NOGB by 2.4 pointsGB by 2.4 points
                                                                                      JAX @ CHIJAX by 2.3 pointsJAX by 2.3 points
                                                                                      LAC @ TBLAC by 1.7 pointsLAC by 1.7 points
                                                                                      SF @ NYGSF by 2.9 pointsSF by 2.9 points
                                                                                      WAS @ TENWAS by 1.9 pointsWAS by 1.9 points
                                                                                      MIA @ DENDEN by 8.7 pointsDEN by 8.7 points
                                                                                      PHI @ ARIPHI by 7.9 pointsPHI by 7.9 points
                                                                                      BUF @ NENE by 3.8 pointsNE by 3.8 points
                                                                                      CAR @ MINMIN by 4.6 pointsMIN by 4.6 points
                                                                                      HOU @ PITPIT by 1.8 pointsPIT by 1.8 points
                                                                                      DAL @ SEASEA by 10.8 pointsSEA by 10.8 points
                                                                                      MIN @ NENE by 8.4 pointsNE by 8.4 points
                                                                                      ATL @ CLEATL by 2.8 pointsATL by 2.8 points
                                                                                      CHI @ MIACHI by 3.5 pointsCHI by 3.5 points
                                                                                      DEN @ NYJDEN by 13.1 pointsDEN by 13.1 points
                                                                                      HOU @ WASHOU by 5.2 pointsHOU by 5.2 points
                                                                                      IND @ PHIPHI by 6.8 pointsPHI by 6.8 points
                                                                                      NO @ CARCAR by 1.6 pointsCAR by 1.6 points
                                                                                      TB @ BALBAL by 9.0 pointsBAL by 9.0 points
                                                                                      TEN @ DETDET by 11.4 pointsDET by 11.4 points
                                                                                      LAC @ LVLAC by 6.7 pointsLAC by 6.7 points
                                                                                      KC @ CINCIN by 1.0 pointsCIN by 1.0 points
                                                                                      LAR @ SFLAR by 1.0 pointsLAR by 1.0 points
                                                                                      NYG @ SEASEA by 8.3 pointsSEA by 8.3 points
                                                                                      BUF @ GBBUF by 1.6 pointsBUF by 1.6 points
                                                                                      PIT @ JAXJAX by 4.5 pointsJAX by 4.5 points
                                                                                      SF @ LACSF by 0.9 pointsSF by 0.9 points
                                                                                      SEA @ PHISEA by 1.2 pointsSEA by 1.2 points
                                                                                      CHI @ BUFBUF by 4.4 pointsBUF by 4.4 points
                                                                                      ATL @ WASATL by 1.5 pointsATL by 1.5 points
                                                                                      BAL @ PITBAL by less than 0.1 pointBAL by less than 0.1 point
                                                                                      CIN @ CARCIN by 0.4 pointsCIN by 0.4 points
                                                                                      CLE @ NYGNYG by 6.2 pointsNYG by 6.2 points
                                                                                      IND @ TENIND by 3.3 pointsIND by 3.3 points
                                                                                      JAX @ HOUJAX by 1.0 pointsJAX by 1.0 points
                                                                                      MIA @ GBGB by 6.3 pointsGB by 6.3 points
                                                                                      NO @ TBTB by 2.5 pointsTB by 2.5 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ ARIARI by 7.9 pointsARI by 7.9 points
                                                                                      DAL @ LARLAR by 11.1 pointsLAR by 11.1 points
                                                                                      DEN @ LVDEN by 9.1 pointsDEN by 9.1 points
                                                                                      DET @ MINDET by 0.4 pointsDET by 0.4 points
                                                                                      NE @ KCNE by 5.3 pointsNE by 5.3 points
                                                                                      HOU @ PHIPHI by 1.8 pointsPHI by 1.8 points
                                                                                      GB @ CHICHI by 2.4 pointsCHI by 2.4 points
                                                                                      BUF @ DENDEN by 0.6 pointsDEN by 0.6 points
                                                                                      LAR @ SEASEA by 1.3 pointsSEA by 1.3 points
                                                                                      ARI @ NONO by 5.2 pointsNO by 5.2 points
                                                                                      CAR @ PITPIT by 7.6 pointsPIT by 7.6 points
                                                                                      CIN @ INDCIN by less than 0.1 pointCIN by less than 0.1 point
                                                                                      CLE @ BALBAL by 11.7 pointsBAL by 11.7 points
                                                                                      LAC @ MIALAC by 3.4 pointsLAC by 3.4 points
                                                                                      NE @ NYJNE by 16.9 pointsNE by 16.9 points
                                                                                      TB @ ATLATL by 3.1 pointsATL by 3.1 points
                                                                                      WAS @ MINMIN by 5.5 pointsMIN by 5.5 points
                                                                                      TEN @ LVLV by 1.6 pointsLV by 1.6 points
                                                                                      SF @ KCSF by 2.7 pointsSF by 2.7 points
                                                                                      JAX @ DALJAX by 7.5 pointsJAX by 7.5 points
                                                                                      NYG @ DETDET by 4.6 pointsDET by 4.6 points
                                                                                      BAL @ CINBAL by 3.8 pointsBAL by 3.8 points
                                                                                      BUF @ MIABUF by 6.3 pointsBUF by 6.3 points
                                                                                      DEN @ NENE by 4.9 pointsNE by 4.9 points
                                                                                      IND @ CLEIND by 1.0 pointsIND by 1.0 points
                                                                                      KC @ LACLAC by 3.2 pointsLAC by 3.2 points
                                                                                      LAR @ TBLAR by 6.9 pointsLAR by 6.9 points
                                                                                      MIN @ NYJMIN by 10.2 pointsMIN by 10.2 points
                                                                                      NO @ ATLATL by 3.9 pointsATL by 3.9 points
                                                                                      NYG @ DALNYG by 0.9 pointsNYG by 0.9 points
                                                                                      PIT @ TENPIT by 8.8 pointsPIT by 8.8 points
                                                                                      SEA @ CARSEA by 7.3 pointsSEA by 7.3 points
                                                                                      WAS @ JAXJAX by 11.3 pointsJAX by 11.3 points
                                                                                      LV @ ARIARI by 3.0 pointsARI by 3.0 points
                                                                                      DET @ CHICHI by 1.3 pointsCHI by 1.3 points
                                                                                      PHI @ SFSF by 2.3 pointsSF by 2.3 points
                                                                                      HOU @ GBHOU by 0.4 pointsHOU by 0.4 points
                                                                                      ATL @ CARATL by 0.5 pointsATL by 0.5 points
                                                                                      CHI @ MINMIN by less than 0.1 pointMIN by less than 0.1 point
                                                                                      CLE @ CINCIN by 6.4 pointsCIN by 6.4 points
                                                                                      DAL @ WASWAS by 1.2 pointsWAS by 1.2 points
                                                                                      DET @ GBGB by 0.4 pointsGB by 0.4 points
                                                                                      JAX @ INDJAX by 6.6 pointsJAX by 6.6 points
                                                                                      LAC @ DENDEN by 3.7 pointsDEN by 3.7 points
                                                                                      LV @ KCKC by 9.1 pointsKC by 9.1 points
                                                                                      MIA @ NENE by 11.9 pointsNE by 11.9 points
                                                                                      NYJ @ BUFBUF by 18.1 pointsBUF by 18.1 points
                                                                                      PHI @ NYGPHI by 2.1 pointsPHI by 2.1 points
                                                                                      PIT @ BALBAL by 3.7 pointsBAL by 3.7 points
                                                                                      SEA @ LARLAR by 2.2 pointsLAR by 2.2 points
                                                                                      SF @ ARISF by 8.5 pointsSF by 8.5 points
                                                                                      TB @ NONO by 1.0 pointsNO by 1.0 points
                                                                                      TEN @ HOUHOU by 12.2 pointsHOU by 12.2 points

                                                                                      Results provenance

                                                                                      Each entry is a reviewed transcription. Its digest verifies the archived CSV, not the remote source contents.

                                                                                      • No result transcriptions recorded.

                                                                                      Staff Picks

                                                                                      No editorial picks are published in this model archive. Staff Picks remain a separate human product.